AAPL 2025-06-24
Symbol
AAPL
User Message
I ordered to sell 5 contracts (500 shares) of AAPL puts expire in a month on July 25. The strike price is 180.
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for AAPL as of 2025-06-24----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.65
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.63
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-05-01
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31
Historical EPS (last 8 quarters):
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2024-12-31 | 2.4 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.64 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1.4 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1.53 |
| 2023-12-31 | 2.18 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1.46 |
| 2023-06-30 | 1.26 |
| 2023-03-31 | 1.52 |
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.67
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.4
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.26
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-07-23
----Valuation Data Summary for AAPL as of 2025-06-24----
Current P/E for AAPL: 28.42
1 year P/E range: 31.29 - 35.84
2 years P/E range: 26.28 - 35.84
5 years P/E range: 21.78 - 35.84
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['META', 'GOOGL', 'DELL', 'NTAP', 'GOOG', 'PSTG', 'AMZN', 'MSFT', 'TSLA', 'SMCI', 'HPE', 'NFLX', 'WDC', 'NVDA', 'IONQ', 'HPQ', 'DIS']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 40.31
----Management Sentiment Summary for AAPL in 2025Q2 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CEO | 0.59 |
| CFO | 0.50 |
Technical Report
----Stock performance for AAPL----
AAPL performance in the past 5 days: 1.55%
AAPL performance in the past 30 days: 1.63%
AAPL performance in the past 90 days: -14.82%
AAPL performance in the past 200 days: -8.44%
----Sector peers performance for AAPL----
META performance in the past 5 days: -0.51%
META performance in the past 30 days: 17.99%
META performance in the past 90 days: -3.54%
META performance in the past 200 days: 36.7%
GOOGL performance in the past 5 days: -6.55%
GOOGL performance in the past 30 days: 8.27%
GOOGL performance in the past 90 days: -9.82%
GOOGL performance in the past 200 days: 6.1%
DELL performance in the past 5 days: 3.76%
DELL performance in the past 30 days: 23.05%
DELL performance in the past 90 days: 5.19%
DELL performance in the past 200 days: 9.73%
NTAP performance in the past 5 days: 0.07%
NTAP performance in the past 30 days: 11.58%
NTAP performance in the past 90 days: -10.99%
NTAP performance in the past 200 days: -11.1%
GOOG performance in the past 5 days: -6.7%
GOOG performance in the past 30 days: 7.66%
GOOG performance in the past 90 days: -10.26%
GOOG performance in the past 200 days: 5.7%
PSTG performance in the past 5 days: 3.06%
PSTG performance in the past 30 days: 9.34%
PSTG performance in the past 90 days: -20.82%
PSTG performance in the past 200 days: 12.37%
AMZN performance in the past 5 days: -3.53%
AMZN performance in the past 30 days: 7.98%
AMZN performance in the past 90 days: -8.94%
AMZN performance in the past 200 days: 20.27%
MSFT performance in the past 5 days: 1.43%
MSFT performance in the past 30 days: 10.98%
MSFT performance in the past 90 days: 19.27%
MSFT performance in the past 200 days: 19.55%
TSLA performance in the past 5 days: 5.94%
TSLA performance in the past 30 days: 16.9%
TSLA performance in the past 90 days: 3.62%
TSLA performance in the past 200 days: 58.92%
SMCI performance in the past 5 days: -6.41%
SMCI performance in the past 30 days: 27.82%
SMCI performance in the past 90 days: 3.05%
SMCI performance in the past 200 days: -3.44%
HPE performance in the past 5 days: -1.64%
HPE performance in the past 30 days: 6.22%
HPE performance in the past 90 days: -14.25%
HPE performance in the past 200 days: -2.35%
NFLX performance in the past 5 days: 2.3%
NFLX performance in the past 30 days: 9.94%
NFLX performance in the past 90 days: 22.02%
NFLX performance in the past 200 days: 84.43%
WDC performance in the past 5 days: 5.17%
WDC performance in the past 30 days: 37.17%
WDC performance in the past 90 days: 18.95%
WDC performance in the past 200 days: 27.14%
NVDA performance in the past 5 days: -0.36%
NVDA performance in the past 30 days: 23.6%
NVDA performance in the past 90 days: 9.95%
NVDA performance in the past 200 days: 35.78%
IONQ performance in the past 5 days: 7.05%
IONQ performance in the past 30 days: 31.56%
IONQ performance in the past 90 days: 8.26%
IONQ performance in the past 200 days: 486.88%
HPQ performance in the past 5 days: -2.49%
HPQ performance in the past 30 days: -8.6%
HPQ performance in the past 90 days: -26.06%
HPQ performance in the past 200 days: -29.7%
DIS performance in the past 5 days: -1.45%
DIS performance in the past 30 days: 11.15%
DIS performance in the past 90 days: 7.8%
DIS performance in the past 200 days: 32.52%
----Mag 7 performance as a reference----
GOOG performance in the past 5 days: -6.7%
GOOG performance in the past 30 days: 7.66%
GOOG performance in the past 90 days: -10.26%
GOOG performance in the past 200 days: 5.7%
GOOGL performance in the past 5 days: -6.55%
GOOGL performance in the past 30 days: 8.27%
GOOGL performance in the past 90 days: -9.82%
GOOGL performance in the past 200 days: 6.1%
AMZN performance in the past 5 days: -3.53%
AMZN performance in the past 30 days: 7.98%
AMZN performance in the past 90 days: -8.94%
AMZN performance in the past 200 days: 20.27%
AAPL performance in the past 5 days: 1.55%
AAPL performance in the past 30 days: 1.63%
AAPL performance in the past 90 days: -14.82%
AAPL performance in the past 200 days: -8.44%
MSFT performance in the past 5 days: 1.43%
MSFT performance in the past 30 days: 10.98%
MSFT performance in the past 90 days: 19.27%
MSFT performance in the past 200 days: 19.55%
META performance in the past 5 days: -0.51%
META performance in the past 30 days: 17.99%
META performance in the past 90 days: -3.54%
META performance in the past 200 days: 36.7%
NVDA performance in the past 5 days: -0.36%
NVDA performance in the past 30 days: 23.6%
NVDA performance in the past 90 days: 9.95%
NVDA performance in the past 200 days: 35.78%
TSLA performance in the past 5 days: 5.94%
TSLA performance in the past 30 days: 16.9%
TSLA performance in the past 90 days: 3.62%
TSLA performance in the past 200 days: 58.92%
----Technical Indicators Summary for AAPL as of 2025-06-24----
MACD values for AAPL in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-23 | 0.15 | -1.42 | -1.57 |
| 2025-06-20 | -0.11 | -1.72 | -1.61 |
| 2025-06-18 | -0.44 | -2.01 | -1.58 |
| 2025-06-17 | -0.45 | -1.92 | -1.47 |
| 2025-06-16 | -0.31 | -1.67 | -1.36 |
| 2025-06-13 | -0.33 | -1.61 | -1.28 |
| 2025-06-12 | -0.11 | -1.31 | -1.20 |
| 2025-06-11 | -0.02 | -1.19 | -1.17 |
| 2025-06-10 | 0.18 | -0.98 | -1.16 |
| 2025-06-09 | 0.12 | -1.09 | -1.21 |
EMA values for AAPL with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-23 | 204.36 |
| 2025-06-20 | 204.47 |
| 2025-06-18 | 204.61 |
| 2025-06-17 | 204.94 |
| 2025-06-16 | 205.32 |
| 2025-06-13 | 205.60 |
| 2025-06-12 | 205.98 |
| 2025-06-11 | 206.25 |
| 2025-06-10 | 206.56 |
| 2025-06-09 | 206.72 |
EMA values for AAPL with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-23 | 214.82 |
| 2025-06-20 | 214.95 |
| 2025-06-18 | 215.09 |
| 2025-06-17 | 215.28 |
| 2025-06-16 | 215.48 |
| 2025-06-13 | 215.65 |
| 2025-06-12 | 215.84 |
| 2025-06-11 | 216.01 |
| 2025-06-10 | 216.18 |
| 2025-06-09 | 216.32 |
RSI values for AAPL in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-23 | 50.25 |
| 2025-06-20 | 49.48 |
| 2025-06-18 | 42.14 |
| 2025-06-17 | 40.43 |
| 2025-06-16 | 44.00 |
| 2025-06-13 | 40.55 |
| 2025-06-12 | 44.07 |
| 2025-06-11 | 43.37 |
| 2025-06-10 | 48.59 |
| 2025-06-09 | 46.72 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for AAPL over the last 20 days:
Latest MFI: 48.17
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-06-23 | 48.17 | 0.93 | 200.92 |
| 2025-06-20 | 43.42 | 0.77 | 199.85 |
| 2025-06-18 | 35.70 | 0.56 | 196.41 |
| 2025-06-17 | 35.72 | 0.56 | 196.41 |
| 2025-06-16 | 35.39 | 0.55 | 197.89 |
| 2025-06-13 | 30.92 | 0.45 | 197.51 |
| 2025-06-12 | 31.02 | 0.45 | 198.75 |
| 2025-06-11 | 35.62 | 0.55 | 200.56 |
| 2025-06-10 | 40.96 | 0.69 | 202.53 |
| 2025-06-09 | 41.58 | 0.71 | 202.49 |
| 2025-06-06 | 46.54 | 0.87 | 203.89 |
| 2025-06-05 | 46.65 | 0.87 | 201.84 |
| 2025-06-04 | 46.14 | 0.86 | 203.72 |
| 2025-06-03 | 41.70 | 0.72 | 202.67 |
| 2025-06-02 | 36.53 | 0.58 | 201.32 |
| 2025-05-30 | 31.31 | 0.46 | 199.86 |
| 2025-05-29 | 36.89 | 0.58 | 200.76 |
| 2025-05-28 | 41.57 | 0.71 | 201.02 |
| 2025-05-27 | 41.22 | 0.70 | 199.46 |
| 2025-05-23 | 40.41 | 0.68 | 195.48 |
| 2025-05-22 | 43.36 | 0.77 | 201.27 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for AAPL, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 201.5
Latest SMA: 200.04
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 194.99
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 205.08
Volume and volume ratio for AAPL:
Last 30 days average volume: 52960053.33
Today's volume: 55595500
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.05
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 200.44
Support levels for AAPL in the last 200 days:
Last Low: 168.99 on 2025-04-08
Last High: 214.28 on 2025-05-01
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 203.59, 38.2%: 196.98, 50.0%: 191.63, 61.8%: 186.29, 78.6%: 178.68
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.
Short interest data for AAPL in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-05-30 | 54577495 | 1.74 | 94828443 |
| 2025-05-15 | 58066315 | 1.81 | 105169332 |
| 2025-04-30 | 47359185 | 2.29 | 108598767 |
| 2025-04-15 | 101632881 | 1.11 | 113127198 |
| 2025-03-31 | 48844478 | 2.30 | 112333139 |
| 2025-03-14 | 56586843 | 2.29 | 129678474 |
| 2025-02-28 | 44925361 | 2.99 | 134441154 |
| 2025-02-14 | 45049013 | 2.84 | 127893856 |
| 2025-01-31 | 71221819 | 1.75 | 124917523 |
| 2025-01-15 | 45239163 | 2.99 | 135189465 |
Close Price as of 2025-06-24: 201.50
Economics Report
----Economics Summary as of 2025-06-24----
----FED Data for Producer Price Index----
Latest Value: 259.03 on 2025-05-01
A 1.46% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A 2.11% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 37.34% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for Federal Funds Effective Rate----
Latest Value: 4.33 on 2025-05-01
A -18.76% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A -14.43% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 8560.0% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for M2 Money Stock----
Latest Value: 21862.5 on 2025-04-01
A 4.44% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-04-01
A 5.46% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-04-01
A 28.56% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-04-01
----FED Data for CPI, US City Average----
Latest Value: 320.58 on 2025-05-01
A 2.38% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A 5.69% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 25.32% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for Unemployment Rate----
Latest Value: 4.2 on 2025-05-01
A 5.0% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A 16.67% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A -68.18% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis----
Latest Value: 4.38 on 2025-06-20
A 0.23% change compared to 1 year ago on 2025-06-04
A -1.79% change compared to 2 years ago on 2025-05-19
A 2.58% change compared to 5 years ago on 2025-03-28
----FED Data for Inflation, consumer prices for the United States----
Latest Value: 2.95 on 2024-01-01
----FED Data for M1 Money Stock----
Latest Value: 18668.0 on 2025-04-01
A 3.86% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-04-01
A 0.28% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-04-01
A 288.57% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-04-01
----FED Data for Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks----
Latest Value: 3.05 on 2025-01-01
A 80.47% change compared to 1 year ago on 2022-01-01
A 20.08% change compared to 2 years ago on 2019-01-01
----FED Data for Federal Debt, Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product----
Latest Value: 120.81 on 2025-01-01
A 0.2% change compared to 1 year ago on 2022-01-01
A 15.78% change compared to 2 years ago on 2019-01-01
----FED Data for Labor Force Participation Rate----
Latest Value: 62.4 on 2025-05-01
A -0.32% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A -0.32% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 2.63% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for Personal Savings Rate----
Latest Value: 4.9 on 2025-04-01
A -3.92% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-04-01
A -2.0% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-04-01
A -84.69% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-04-01
----FED Data for All Employees, Total Nonfarm Payrolls----
Latest Value: 159561.0 on 2025-05-01
A 1.1% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A 2.54% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 19.93% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----Mag 7 performance as a reference----
GOOG performance in the past 5 days: -6.7%
GOOG performance in the past 30 days: 7.66%
GOOG performance in the past 90 days: -10.26%
GOOG performance in the past 200 days: 5.7%
GOOGL performance in the past 5 days: -6.55%
GOOGL performance in the past 30 days: 8.27%
GOOGL performance in the past 90 days: -9.82%
GOOGL performance in the past 200 days: 6.1%
AMZN performance in the past 5 days: -3.53%
AMZN performance in the past 30 days: 7.98%
AMZN performance in the past 90 days: -8.94%
AMZN performance in the past 200 days: 20.27%
AAPL performance in the past 5 days: 1.55%
AAPL performance in the past 30 days: 1.63%
AAPL performance in the past 90 days: -14.82%
AAPL performance in the past 200 days: -8.44%
MSFT performance in the past 5 days: 1.43%
MSFT performance in the past 30 days: 10.98%
MSFT performance in the past 90 days: 19.27%
MSFT performance in the past 200 days: 19.55%
META performance in the past 5 days: -0.51%
META performance in the past 30 days: 17.99%
META performance in the past 90 days: -3.54%
META performance in the past 200 days: 36.7%
NVDA performance in the past 5 days: -0.36%
NVDA performance in the past 30 days: 23.6%
NVDA performance in the past 90 days: 9.95%
NVDA performance in the past 200 days: 35.78%
TSLA performance in the past 5 days: 5.94%
TSLA performance in the past 30 days: 16.9%
TSLA performance in the past 90 days: 3.62%
TSLA performance in the past 200 days: 58.92%
Mag 7 earning dates:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| GOOG | 2025-07-21 |
| GOOGL | 2025-07-21 |
| AMZN | 2025-07-30 |
| AAPL | 2025-07-23 |
| MSFT | 2025-07-28 |
| META | 2025-07-23 |
| NVDA | 2025-08-27 |
| TSLA | 2025-07-21 |
Next FOMC meeting date: 2025-07-29
Hedging Tools
----Hedging Tools----
----VIX Summary as of 2025-06-24----
Current VIX: 19.83, VIX percentile in the past 252 days: 64.33%
Z-score (5 days): -0.71
Z-score (20 days): 0.62
VIX9D: 17.92
VIX9D > VIX: False
---VIXY Performance Summary----
Current VIXY: 51.41, VIXY percentile in the past 90 days: 33.33%
5D % Change: 3.21
5D Volatility (%): 4.42
RSI (14): 48.5
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.1
---UVXY Performance Summary----
Current UVXY: 21.6, UVXY percentile in the past 90 days: 21.67%
5D % Change: 3.9
5D Volatility (%): 6.24
RSI (14): 47.83
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.34
----SQQQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 1.37
5D Volatility (%): 2.7
RSI (14): 41.56
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.24
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----PSQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.51
5D Volatility (%): 0.93
RSI (14): 42.9
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.36
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----QID Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.92
5D Volatility (%): 1.82
RSI (14): 41.94
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.32
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----SH Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.27
5D Volatility (%): 0.73
RSI (14): 42.68
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.42
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----SDS Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.45
5D Volatility (%): 1.44
RSI (14): 41.67
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.34
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----SPXU Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.6
5D Volatility (%): 2.22
RSI (14): 41.23
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.5
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----DOG Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -0.08
5D Volatility (%): 0.61
RSI (14): 47.09
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.05
5D Correlation with ^DJI: -1.0
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral (Hold/Cautious)
Reasoning:
Financial Health:
-
Earnings: AAPL has consistently met or exceeded earnings estimates in the last 8 quarters, with an average EPS of 1.67. The most recent EPS (1.65) slightly beat consensus (1.63).
-
Valuation: Current P/E (28.42) is below the 1-year range (31.29–35.84) and sector peers' average (40.31), suggesting relative undervaluation.
-
Upcoming Catalyst: Earnings on July 23 (before your put expiration on July 25), which could introduce volatility.
-
Management Sentiment: Neutral-to-slightly-positive (CEO sentiment: 0.59, CFO: 0.50).
Technical Indicators:
-
Trend: AAPL is underperforming peers (-14.82% over 90d vs. Mag7 avg. +3.6%).
-
MACD: Negative but improving (histogram turning less negative).
-
RSI: 50.25 (neutral, no overbought/oversold signal).
-
Support Levels:
-
Fibonacci 38.2%: $196.98
-
Recent Low: $168.99 (April 2025)
-
Bollinger Lower Band: $194.99
-
Volume: Slightly above 30-day average (1.05x), no extreme spikes.
News Sentiment:
-
6/10 articles positive, highlighting AI growth, strong ecosystem, and undervaluation.
-
2/10 negative, citing lawsuits over AI-based Siri features and Buffett trimming holdings.
Additional Context:
-
You sold 5x AAPL $180 puts expiring July 25 (obligation to buy 500 shares at $180 if assigned).
-
Current price ($201.50) is 11.9% above strike, providing a 12.6% buffer before breakeven.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
1. Capital Allocation & Entry/Exit:
-
If Assigned (AAPL ≤ $180):
-
Allocate 100% capital to buy 500 shares at $180 (cost basis).
-
Stop-Loss: $168.99 (-6.1% below strike; aligns with April low).
-
Profit Target: $203.59 (Fibonacci 23.6% resistance, +13.1% from $180).
2. Hedging Measures:
-
VIX Hedge: VIX is at 64th percentile (elevated); no urgent need for long-volatility hedges.
-
Inverse ETF Hedge: Allocate 5–10% to SQQQ (if tech sector weakens further).
-
Alternative Hedge: Buy July 25 $185 puts (~$2.50 premium) to limit downside below $180.
3. Earnings Volatility Management:
-
Pre-Earnings (July 23):
-
Close puts if AAPL drops near $190–195 (lock in premium, avoid assignment risk).
-
If holding through earnings, set a stop-limit order at $175 (below strike).
4. Profit Targets:
-
Short-Term (If Unassigned): Keep premium as profit (max gain).
-
Long-Term (If Assigned): Hold shares with a $203.59 target (sell covered calls at $205 strike).
5. Time Horizon:
-
Short-Term: Until July 25 expiry (earnings-driven).
-
Long-Term: If assigned, hold for 3–6 months (AAPL’s P/E discount to peers could narrow).
Final Notes:
-
Watch Earnings Closely: AAPL’s guidance will dictate near-term momentum.
-
Tariff Risks: Negative news on China tariffs could pressure shares.
-
Peer Comparison: AAPL lags NVDA, META, MSFT—sector rotation could delay rebound.
Action: Hold puts for now, but prepare to hedge or exit if AAPL nears $190 pre-earnings.