AAPL 2025-06-25
Symbol
AAPL
User Message
Looking to sell some cash secured puts on AAPL
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for AAPL as of 2025-06-25----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.65
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.63
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-05-01
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.67
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.4
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.26
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-07-23
----Valuation Data Summary for AAPL as of 2025-06-25----
Current P/E for AAPL: 28.49
1 year P/E range: 31.29 - 35.84
2 years P/E range: 26.28 - 35.84
5 years P/E range: 21.78 - 35.84
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['AMZN', 'META', 'HPQ', 'MSFT', 'GOOGL', 'IONQ', 'GOOG', 'DIS', 'WDC', 'NVDA', 'NTAP', 'SMCI', 'NFLX', 'HPE', 'PSTG', 'TSLA', 'DELL']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 40.45
----Management Sentiment Summary for AAPL in 2025Q2 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CEO | 0.59 |
| CFO | 0.50 |
Technical Report
----Stock performance for AAPL----
AAPL current price: $201.96
5-Day Range: $195.07 - $203.66
50-Day Range: $189.56 - $214.28
200-Day Range: $168.99 - $259.47
----Sector peers performance for AAPL----
AMZN current price: $213.16
5-Day Range: $207.31 - $217.96
50-Day Range: $165.29 - $218.40
200-Day Range: $161.38 - $242.52
META current price: $711.59
5-Day Range: $678.67 - $716.58
50-Day Range: $479.43 - $716.58
200-Day Range: $479.43 - $739.68
HPQ current price: $24.35
5-Day Range: $23.45 - $24.75
50-Day Range: $22.81 - $29.15
200-Day Range: $20.97 - $38.63
MSFT current price: $491.85
5-Day Range: $472.51 - $494.56
50-Day Range: $355.02 - $494.56
200-Day Range: $344.16 - $494.56
GOOGL current price: $171.88
5-Day Range: $162.00 - $176.56
50-Day Range: $145.92 - $181.11
200-Day Range: $140.36 - $206.56
IONQ current price: $39.72
5-Day Range: $37.31 - $42.81
50-Day Range: $23.49 - $48.94
200-Day Range: $6.54 - $54.74
GOOG current price: $172.88
5-Day Range: $163.33 - $177.82
50-Day Range: $148.22 - $182.45
200-Day Range: $142.49 - $208.21
DIS current price: $119.12
5-Day Range: $114.53 - $119.31
50-Day Range: $81.66 - $119.99
200-Day Range: $79.76 - $119.99
WDC current price: $62.21
5-Day Range: $58.53 - $62.89
50-Day Range: $34.93 - $62.89
200-Day Range: $28.78 - $62.89
NVDA current price: $151.82
5-Day Range: $142.03 - $153.00
50-Day Range: $95.03 - $153.00
200-Day Range: $86.61 - $153.11
NTAP current price: $105.41
5-Day Range: $101.73 - $107.00
50-Day Range: $80.22 - $107.09
200-Day Range: $71.84 - $133.98
SMCI current price: $44.76
5-Day Range: $40.78 - $46.93
50-Day Range: $28.78 - $47.80
200-Day Range: $17.25 - $66.44
NFLX current price: $1281.49
5-Day Range: $1215.01 - $1298.00
50-Day Range: $919.50 - $1298.00
200-Day Range: $660.80 - $1298.00
HPE current price: $18.38
5-Day Range: $17.49 - $18.44
50-Day Range: $14.10 - $19.06
200-Day Range: $11.88 - $24.28
PSTG current price: $54.28
5-Day Range: $50.87 - $55.40
50-Day Range: $39.72 - $57.15
200-Day Range: $34.51 - $73.67
TSLA current price: $326.63
5-Day Range: $315.45 - $357.54
50-Day Range: $222.79 - $367.71
200-Day Range: $210.51 - $488.54
DELL current price: $121.22
5-Day Range: $115.55 - $122.24
50-Day Range: $80.23 - $122.24
200-Day Range: $65.83 - $146.13
----Mag 7 performance as a reference----
GOOG current price: $173.03
5-Day Range: $163.33 - $177.82
50-Day Range: $148.22 - $182.45
200-Day Range: $142.49 - $208.21
GOOGL current price: $172.04
5-Day Range: $162.00 - $176.56
50-Day Range: $145.92 - $181.11
200-Day Range: $140.36 - $206.56
AMZN current price: $213.33
5-Day Range: $207.31 - $217.96
50-Day Range: $165.29 - $218.40
200-Day Range: $161.38 - $242.52
AAPL current price: $202.03
5-Day Range: $195.07 - $203.66
50-Day Range: $189.56 - $214.28
200-Day Range: $168.99 - $259.47
MSFT current price: $491.92
5-Day Range: $472.51 - $494.56
50-Day Range: $355.02 - $494.56
200-Day Range: $344.16 - $494.56
META current price: $711.96
5-Day Range: $678.67 - $716.58
50-Day Range: $479.43 - $716.58
200-Day Range: $479.43 - $739.68
NVDA current price: $151.92
5-Day Range: $142.03 - $153.00
50-Day Range: $95.03 - $153.00
200-Day Range: $86.61 - $153.11
TSLA current price: $326.63
5-Day Range: $315.45 - $357.54
50-Day Range: $222.79 - $367.71
200-Day Range: $210.51 - $488.54
----Technical Indicators Summary for AAPL as of 2025-06-25----
MACD values for AAPL in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-24 | 0.24 | -1.27 | -1.51 |
| 2025-06-23 | 0.15 | -1.42 | -1.57 |
| 2025-06-20 | -0.11 | -1.72 | -1.61 |
| 2025-06-18 | -0.44 | -2.01 | -1.58 |
| 2025-06-17 | -0.45 | -1.92 | -1.47 |
| 2025-06-16 | -0.31 | -1.67 | -1.36 |
| 2025-06-13 | -0.33 | -1.61 | -1.28 |
| 2025-06-12 | -0.11 | -1.31 | -1.20 |
| 2025-06-11 | -0.02 | -1.19 | -1.17 |
| 2025-06-10 | 0.18 | -0.98 | -1.16 |
EMA values for AAPL with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-24 | 204.20 |
| 2025-06-23 | 204.36 |
| 2025-06-20 | 204.47 |
| 2025-06-18 | 204.61 |
| 2025-06-17 | 204.94 |
| 2025-06-16 | 205.32 |
| 2025-06-13 | 205.60 |
| 2025-06-12 | 205.98 |
| 2025-06-11 | 206.25 |
| 2025-06-10 | 206.56 |
EMA values for AAPL with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-24 | 214.67 |
| 2025-06-23 | 214.82 |
| 2025-06-20 | 214.95 |
| 2025-06-18 | 215.09 |
| 2025-06-17 | 215.28 |
| 2025-06-16 | 215.48 |
| 2025-06-13 | 215.65 |
| 2025-06-12 | 215.84 |
| 2025-06-11 | 216.01 |
| 2025-06-10 | 216.18 |
RSI values for AAPL in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-24 | 48.35 |
| 2025-06-23 | 50.25 |
| 2025-06-20 | 49.48 |
| 2025-06-18 | 42.14 |
| 2025-06-17 | 40.43 |
| 2025-06-16 | 44.00 |
| 2025-06-13 | 40.55 |
| 2025-06-12 | 44.07 |
| 2025-06-11 | 43.37 |
| 2025-06-10 | 48.59 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for AAPL over the last 20 days:
Latest MFI: 52.58
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-06-25 | 52.58 | 1.11 | 202.29 |
| 2025-06-24 | 54.26 | 1.19 | 201.31 |
| 2025-06-23 | 48.18 | 0.93 | 200.92 |
| 2025-06-20 | 43.42 | 0.77 | 199.85 |
| 2025-06-18 | 35.70 | 0.56 | 196.41 |
| 2025-06-17 | 35.72 | 0.56 | 196.41 |
| 2025-06-16 | 35.39 | 0.55 | 197.89 |
| 2025-06-13 | 30.92 | 0.45 | 197.51 |
| 2025-06-12 | 31.02 | 0.45 | 198.75 |
| 2025-06-11 | 35.62 | 0.55 | 200.56 |
| 2025-06-10 | 40.96 | 0.69 | 202.53 |
| 2025-06-09 | 41.58 | 0.71 | 202.49 |
| 2025-06-06 | 46.54 | 0.87 | 203.89 |
| 2025-06-05 | 46.65 | 0.87 | 201.84 |
| 2025-06-04 | 46.14 | 0.86 | 203.72 |
| 2025-06-03 | 41.70 | 0.72 | 202.67 |
| 2025-06-02 | 36.53 | 0.58 | 201.32 |
| 2025-05-30 | 31.31 | 0.46 | 199.86 |
| 2025-05-29 | 36.89 | 0.58 | 200.76 |
| 2025-05-28 | 41.57 | 0.71 | 201.02 |
| 2025-05-27 | 39.16 | 0.64 | 199.46 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for AAPL, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 202.01
Latest SMA: 200.38
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 195.79
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 204.96
Volume and volume ratio for AAPL:
Last 30 days average volume: 52022592.87
Today's volume: 17914586
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.34
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 200.59
Support levels for AAPL in the last 200 days:
Last Low: 168.99 on 2025-04-08
Last High: 214.28 on 2025-05-01
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 203.59, 38.2%: 196.98, 50.0%: 191.63, 61.8%: 186.29, 78.6%: 178.68
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.
Short interest data for AAPL in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-05-30 | 54577495 | 1.74 | 94828443 |
| 2025-05-15 | 58066315 | 1.81 | 105169332 |
| 2025-04-30 | 47359185 | 2.29 | 108598767 |
| 2025-04-15 | 101632881 | 1.11 | 113127198 |
| 2025-03-31 | 48844478 | 2.30 | 112333139 |
| 2025-03-14 | 56586843 | 2.29 | 129678474 |
| 2025-02-28 | 44925361 | 2.99 | 134441154 |
| 2025-02-14 | 45049013 | 2.84 | 127893856 |
| 2025-01-31 | 71221819 | 1.75 | 124917523 |
| 2025-01-15 | 45239163 | 2.99 | 135189465 |
Economics Report
Summary: Time to Be Cautiously Greedy
The current macroeconomic landscape suggests a mixed but leaning-positive outlook, warranting cautious optimism ("greedy" in selective areas) rather than outright fear. Here’s why:
-
Soft Landing Potential: The Fed’s anticipated rate cuts (likely Q4 2025) and cooling inflation could stabilize markets, historically a bullish signal. Past soft landings (e.g., mid-1990s) saw equities rally as growth normalized without recession.
-
Valuation Opportunities: Slower growth may create pockets of undervaluation, especially in sectors less sensitive to rates (e.g., healthcare, staples) or beneficiaries of structural trends (AI, green energy).
-
Historical Precedent: Markets often bottom before economic troughs. With inflation decelerating and policy easing ahead, early positioning in quality assets could pay off.
Risks to Monitor:
-
Tariffs/Geopolitics: Trade tensions could reignite inflation, delaying Fed cuts.
-
Consumer Weakness: Rising delinquencies may pressure earnings in discretionary sectors.
-
Global Spillovers: Emerging market stress or geopolitical shocks could derail sentiment.
Action: Favor defensive growth (tech, utilities) and dividend payers, but keep dry powder for volatility. Avoid overexposure to rate-sensitive cyclicals until the Fed’s path clarifies.
Bottom Line: Not time for outright fear, but selective greed with hedges.
Hedging Tools
----Hedging Tools----
----VIX Summary as of 2025-06-25----
Current VIX: 17.48, VIX percentile in the past 200 days: 38.5%
Z-score (5 days): -1.61
Z-score (20 days): -0.88
VIX9D: 15.40
VIX9D > VIX: False
---UVXY Performance Summary----
Current UVXY: 19.46, UVXY percentile in the past 90 days: 0.0%
5D % Change: -10.48
5D Volatility (%): 4.02
RSI (14): 42.91
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.22
----SQQQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -7.78
5D Volatility (%): 2.17
RSI (14): 37.55
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.43
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----PSQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -3.35
5D Volatility (%): 0.79
RSI (14): 36.16
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.37
5D Correlation with QQQ: -0.97
----QID Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -5.44
5D Volatility (%): 1.44
RSI (14): 37.63
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.35
5D Correlation with QQQ: -0.99
----SH Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -2.75
5D Volatility (%): 0.61
RSI (14): 35.17
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.2
5D Correlation with SPY: -0.97
----SDS Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -4.49
5D Volatility (%): 1.1
RSI (14): 36.57
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.4
5D Correlation with SPY: -0.99
----SPXU Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -6.3
5D Volatility (%): 1.65
RSI (14): 36.87
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.47
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----DOG Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -2.61
5D Volatility (%): 0.5
RSI (14): 38.5
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.22
5D Correlation with ^DJI: -0.98
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy (for selling cash-secured puts)
Reasoning:
Financial:
-
Earnings Strength: AAPL has consistently met or exceeded earnings estimates (0 misses in last 8 quarters), with a healthy historical average EPS of $1.67. Upcoming earnings on July 23 could be a catalyst.
-
Valuation: Current P/E (28.49) is below its 1-year range (31.29–35.84) and peers’ average (40.45), suggesting relative undervaluation.
-
Management Sentiment: Neutral-to-slightly-positive (CEO sentiment score: 0.59).
Technical:
-
Price Action: AAPL is near the lower end of its 5-day range ($195.07–$203.66) and below 50-day EMA ($204.20), indicating short-term weakness but potential mean reversion.
-
Support Levels: Strong support at $195.07 (5-day low) and $189.56 (50-day low). Bollinger lower band at $195.79 adds confirmation.
-
Momentum: RSI (48.35) is neutral, MACD shows tentative bullish crossover (histogram turning positive), and MFI (52.58) suggests balanced money flow.
-
Volume: Low volume (34% of 30-day avg) indicates lack of selling pressure.
News and Macro Economics:
-
Sentiment: 4/10 articles are positive, highlighting Apple’s ecosystem strength and long-term growth potential.
-
Macro: Fed rate cuts (likely Q4 2025) could buoy tech stocks. Tariffs/geopolitics are risks but priced in.
Additional Context:
- User wants to sell cash-secured puts, a strategy that benefits from sideways/upward movement and elevated implied volatility (likely ahead of earnings).
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price for Puts: Sell puts at or below $195 (near strong support).
- Example: Sell the $195 put expiring July 19 (pre-earnings) for premium.
-
Stop-Loss: Exit trade if AAPL breaks $189.50 (50-day low).
-
Profit Targets:
-
Short-term: Close puts at 50% profit or let expire worthless if AAPL stays above strike.
-
Long-term: Roll puts if AAPL nears strike, or assign shares at a discount.
- Time Horizon: 3–4 weeks (until earnings).
Final Notes:
-
Earnings Volatility: July 23 earnings could spike IV—ideal for selling premium but monitor for unexpected guidance.
-
Alternative: Consider selling puts further OTM (e.g., $190) for lower risk but reduced premium.
-
Hedging: Pair with long-dated calls if bullish on breakout post-earnings.
Bottom Line: AAPL’s technical support, undervaluation vs. peers, and earnings catalyst make selling cash-secured puts attractive here. Manage risk with tight stops.