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AAPL 2025-07-03

Created on

Symbol

AAPL

User Message

Exit price for AAPL?

Financial Report

----Earnings Data Summary for AAPL as of 2025-07-03----

Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.65

Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.63

Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-05-01

Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31

Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.67

In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.

Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.4

Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.26

Upcoming earnings date: 2025-07-23

----Valuation Data Summary for AAPL as of 2025-07-03----

Current P/E for AAPL: 29.96

1 year P/E range: 31.29 - 35.84

2 years P/E range: 26.28 - 35.84

5 years P/E range: 21.78 - 35.84

Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['AMZN', 'META', 'HPQ', 'MSFT', 'GOOGL', 'IONQ', 'GOOG', 'DIS', 'WDC', 'NVDA', 'NTAP', 'SMCI', 'NFLX', 'HPE', 'PSTG', 'TSLA', 'DELL']

Average P/E for these peer companies: 40.45

----Management Sentiment Summary for AAPL in 2025Q3 earnings call----:

The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:

The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.

The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.

0.5 is neutral.

| Title | Sentiment Score |

|--------|---------------|

| CEO | 0.59 |

| CFO | 0.50 |

Technical Report

----Price Distribution for AAPL----

25th percentile in the past 20 days: 199.09

Lowest price in the past 20 days: 195.07

Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 198.41

Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 195.7

Price below mean by one standard deviation: 196.32

Price below mean by two standard deviations: 193.0

----Technical Indicators Summary for AAPL as of 2025-07-03----

MACD values for AAPL in the past 14 days:

| Date | histogram | macd | signal |

|--------|---------|--------|--------|

| 2025-07-02 | 1.45 | 1.05 | -0.41 |

| 2025-07-01 | 1.01 | 0.24 | -0.77 |

| 2025-06-30 | 0.71 | -0.32 | -1.02 |

| 2025-06-27 | 0.44 | -0.75 | -1.20 |

| 2025-06-26 | 0.42 | -0.89 | -1.31 |

| 2025-06-25 | 0.38 | -1.04 | -1.42 |

| 2025-06-24 | 0.24 | -1.27 | -1.51 |

| 2025-06-23 | 0.15 | -1.42 | -1.57 |

| 2025-06-20 | -0.11 | -1.72 | -1.61 |

| 2025-06-18 | -0.44 | -2.01 | -1.58 |

EMA values for AAPL with a window of 50 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-07-02 | 204.39 |

| 2025-07-01 | 204.06 |

| 2025-06-30 | 203.91 |

| 2025-06-27 | 203.86 |

| 2025-06-26 | 203.97 |

| 2025-06-25 | 204.09 |

| 2025-06-24 | 204.20 |

| 2025-06-23 | 204.35 |

| 2025-06-20 | 204.47 |

| 2025-06-18 | 204.61 |

EMA values for AAPL with a window of 200 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-07-02 | 214.14 |

| 2025-07-01 | 214.16 |

| 2025-06-30 | 214.23 |

| 2025-06-27 | 214.32 |

| 2025-06-26 | 214.45 |

| 2025-06-25 | 214.58 |

| 2025-06-24 | 214.72 |

| 2025-06-23 | 214.86 |

| 2025-06-20 | 214.99 |

| 2025-06-18 | 215.14 |

RSI values for AAPL in the past 14 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-07-02 | 66.56 |

| 2025-07-01 | 60.95 |

| 2025-06-30 | 57.12 |

| 2025-06-27 | 50.10 |

| 2025-06-26 | 49.95 |

| 2025-06-25 | 50.94 |

| 2025-06-24 | 48.83 |

| 2025-06-23 | 50.76 |

| 2025-06-20 | 49.99 |

| 2025-06-18 | 42.68 |

Money Flow Index (MFI) for AAPL over the last 20 days:

Latest MFI: 64.42

| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |

|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|

| 2025-07-02 | 64.42 | 1.81 | 211.31 |

| 2025-07-01 | 63.65 | 1.75 | 208.05 |

| 2025-06-30 | 62.13 | 1.64 | 203.94 |

| 2025-06-27 | 54.79 | 1.21 | 201.43 |

| 2025-06-26 | 48.99 | 0.96 | 201.03 |

| 2025-06-25 | 53.56 | 1.15 | 201.95 |

| 2025-06-24 | 54.26 | 1.19 | 201.31 |

| 2025-06-23 | 48.18 | 0.93 | 200.92 |

| 2025-06-20 | 43.42 | 0.77 | 199.85 |

| 2025-06-18 | 35.70 | 0.56 | 196.41 |

| 2025-06-17 | 35.72 | 0.56 | 196.41 |

| 2025-06-16 | 35.39 | 0.55 | 197.89 |

| 2025-06-13 | 30.92 | 0.45 | 197.51 |

| 2025-06-12 | 31.02 | 0.45 | 198.75 |

| 2025-06-11 | 35.62 | 0.55 | 200.56 |

| 2025-06-10 | 40.96 | 0.69 | 202.53 |

| 2025-06-09 | 41.58 | 0.71 | 202.49 |

| 2025-06-06 | 46.54 | 0.87 | 203.89 |

| 2025-06-05 | 46.65 | 0.87 | 201.84 |

| 2025-06-04 | 46.14 | 0.86 | 203.72 |

| 2025-06-03 | 43.79 | 0.78 | 202.67 |

Bollinger lower and higher band for AAPL, calculated for the past 20 days

Number of Standard Deviations: 2

Latest Close: 212.44

Latest SMA: 201.42

Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 193.59

Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 209.25

Volume and volume ratio for AAPL:

Last 30 days average volume: 56594006.67

Today's volume: 67893400

Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.2

Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 201.63

Support levels for AAPL in the last 200 days:

Last Low: 168.99 on 2025-04-08

Last High: 214.28 on 2025-05-01

Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 203.59, 38.2%: 196.98, 50.0%: 191.63, 61.8%: 186.29, 78.6%: 178.68

Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.

Short interest data for AAPL in the past 5 months:

| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |

|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|

| 2025-06-13 | 50596046 | 1.98 | 100226522 |

| 2025-05-30 | 54577495 | 1.74 | 94828443 |

| 2025-05-15 | 58066315 | 1.81 | 105169332 |

| 2025-04-30 | 47359185 | 2.29 | 108598767 |

| 2025-04-15 | 101632881 | 1.11 | 113127198 |

| 2025-03-31 | 48844478 | 2.30 | 112333139 |

| 2025-03-14 | 56586843 | 2.29 | 129678474 |

| 2025-02-28 | 44925361 | 2.99 | 134441154 |

| 2025-02-14 | 45049013 | 2.84 | 127893856 |

| 2025-01-31 | 71221819 | 1.75 | 124917523 |

Economics Report

None

News Report

----News and sentiment report for AAPL as of 2025-07-03----

There are 824 articles found for AAPL for the last 30 days.

Peer news results as a comparison:

AMZN: 1161 articles found.

META: 23203 articles found.

HPQ: 42 articles found.

MSFT: 592 articles found.

GOOGL: 488 articles found.

IONQ: 199 articles found.

GOOG: 98 articles found.

DIS: 1348 articles found.

WDC: 56 articles found.

NVDA: 969 articles found.

Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 AAPL news articles:

Title: Can US Equities Extend Record Run as Broader Market Joins the Rally?

Publisher: Investing.com

Published: 2025-07-03T08:41:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Stock price increased by 2.22% during the trading session

URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/can-us-equities-extend-record-run-as-broader-market-joins-the-rally-200663138

Title: MiLi Gears Up for Amazon Prime Day with Exclusive Deals on the MiTag Duo & LiTag Duo for Travel Gadgets Up To 30% Off

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2025-07-02T18:00:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Mentioned as a compatible platform for MiLi's tracking devices

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/07/02/3109448/0/en/MiLi-Gears-Up-for-Amazon-Prime-Day-with-Exclusive-Deals-on-the-MiTag-Duo-LiTag-Duo-for-Travel-Gadgets-Up-To-30-Off.html

Title: S&P 500 First-Half Recap: Why Value Fizzled and Growth Stocks Roared Back

Publisher: Investing.com

Published: 2025-07-02T17:35:00Z

Sentiment: negative

Reasoning: Down 20% year-to-date, but analysts suggest potential 13% return

URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/sp-500-firsthalf-recap-why-value-fizzled-and-growth-stocks-roared-back-200663109

Title: Global Portfolio Returns May Be Entering a Lower-Growth Phase

Publisher: Investing.com

Published: 2025-07-02T13:37:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Mentioned in market movers section without specific performance analysis in the main article

URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/global-portfolio-returns-may-be-entering-a-lowergrowth-phase-200663095

Title: Can Buying the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Make You a Millionaire?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-07-02T09:25:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: One of the largest companies in the world with substantial market capitalization

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/07/02/can-buying-vanguard-sp-500-etf-make-millionaire/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: SCHD Is a Popular Dividend ETF for Passive Income. But Is It the Best?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-07-02T08:10:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Mentioned as a potential holding and part of the author's personal investment portfolio

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/07/02/schd-is-a-popular-dividend-etf-for-passive-income/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: S&P 500: Market Rotation Sends Mixed Technical Signals Across Indexes

Publisher: Investing.com

Published: 2025-07-02T07:18:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Stock showed modest gain of 1.29%, indicating stable performance

URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/sp-500-market-rotation-sends-mixed-technical-signals-across-indexes-200663061

Title: Apple Sues Ex-Engineer Over Alleged Theft Of Vision Pro Secrets As Snap Prepares AR Glasses Launch

Publisher: Benzinga

Published: 2025-07-01T23:30:23Z

Sentiment: negative

Reasoning: Experiencing potential intellectual property breach and taking legal action to protect proprietary information

URL: https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/07/46210955/apple-sues-ex-engineer-over-alleged-theft-of-vision-pro-secrets-as-snap-prepares-ar-glasses-launch

Title: AAPL INVESTOR ALERT: Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman LLC Announces that Apple Inc. Investors with Substantial Losses Have Opportunity to Lead Class Action Lawsuit

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2025-07-01T20:00:00Z

Sentiment: negative

Reasoning: The lawsuit alleges Apple made misleading statements about AI feature integration, potentially overstating business prospects and misrepresenting product capabilities, which could negatively impact investor confidence and stock performance

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/07/01/3108757/9788/en/AAPL-INVESTOR-ALERT-Bronstein-Gewirtz-Grossman-LLC-Announces-that-Apple-Inc-Investors-with-Substantial-Losses-Have-Opportunity-to-Lead-Class-Action-Lawsuit.html

Title: Semiconductor Index and the Wave Count Puzzle: Final Rally or Reversal?

Publisher: Investing.com

Published: 2025-07-01T19:12:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Mentioned with a +1.37% price change, showing minimal market movement

URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/semiconductor-index-and-the-wave-count-puzzle-final-rally-or-reversal-200663054

Out of the total 10 articles,

There are 3 articles with positive sentiment, and

3 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.

Hedging Tools

----VIX Summary as of 2025-07-03----

Current VIX: 16.64, VIX percentile in the past 200 days: 31.5%

Z-score (5 days): 0.09

Z-score (20 days): -0.87

VIX9D: 13.07

VIX9D VIX: False

---UVXY Performance Summary----

Current UVXY: 18.65, UVXY percentile in the past 90 days: 0.0%

5D % Change: -1.17

5D Volatility (%): 0.47

RSI (14): 42.58

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 1.08

----SQQQ Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -2.38

5D Volatility (%): 1.86

RSI (14): 34.3

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 1.0

5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0

----PSQ Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -0.77

5D Volatility (%): 0.65

RSI (14): 35.07

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 1.17

5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0

----QID Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -1.55

5D Volatility (%): 1.24

RSI (14): 34.55

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 0.88

5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0

----SH Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -1.25

5D Volatility (%): 0.27

RSI (14): 31.42

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 0.67

5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0

----SDS Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -2.48

5D Volatility (%): 0.54

RSI (14): 30.77

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 0.67

5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0

----SPXU Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -3.77

5D Volatility (%): 0.82

RSI (14): 30.82

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 0.87

5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0

----DOG Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -2.32

5D Volatility (%): 0.38

RSI (14): 32.28

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 0.85

5D Correlation with ^DJI: -1.0

Final Report

Recommendation: Neutral

Reasoning:

  • Financial:

  • AAPL's recent EPS of 1.65 beat consensus (1.63), and the company has not missed earnings in the past 8 quarters, indicating consistent performance.

  • However, the current P/E of 29.96 is near the lower end of its 1-year range (31.29–35.84), suggesting the stock is fairly valued but not cheap. The peer average P/E of 40.45 implies AAPL is undervalued relative to peers, but this could also reflect differing growth prospects.

  • Management sentiment is neutral to slightly positive (CEO: 0.59, CFO: 0.50), with no strong bullish signals. Upcoming earnings on 2025-07-23 could be a catalyst.

  • Technical:

  • The stock is trading above key support levels (Fibonacci 50% at 191.63, recent low at 195.07) and the Bollinger lower band (193.59).

  • MACD histogram turned positive recently (1.45 on 2025-07-02), signaling potential upward momentum. RSI (66.56) is approaching overbought territory but not extreme.

  • Volume is 20% above the 30-day average, indicating increased interest. However, the stock is below the 200-day EMA (214.14), suggesting longer-term resistance.

  • News and Macro Economics:

  • News sentiment is mixed (3 positive, 3 negative, 4 neutral). Negative headlines include a lawsuit over AI features and intellectual property concerns, while positive mentions highlight AAPL's market cap and inclusion in ETFs.

  • No major macroeconomic trends were provided, but broader market conditions (e.g., S&P 500 performance) could influence AAPL.

Strategy to Minimize Risk:

  1. Entry Price: Ideal buy zone near support at $195–198 (Fibonacci 38.2% level at 196.98 or recent low).

  2. Stop-Loss: Exit if price falls below $193 (Bollinger lower band).

  3. Profit Targets:

  • Short-term: $209 (Bollinger higher band, ~5% upside).

  • Long-term: $214 (200-day EMA, ~7% upside) if earnings surprise positively.

  1. Time Horizon: 2–3 weeks (until earnings on 2025-07-23).

Final Notes:

  • AAPL is in a neutral technical and fundamental position with mixed sentiment. Wait for a pullback to support ($195–198) for a lower-risk entry.

  • Monitor earnings expectations and news around the lawsuit, as these could drive volatility.

  • Avoid chasing the current price ($212.44) due to limited near-term upside and overbought RSI.

Exit Price Suggestion: If holding, consider taking profits near $209 (Bollinger upper band) or $214 (200-day EMA). For new positions, wait for a better entry.