AAPL 2025-12-11
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for AAPL as of 2025-12-11
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.85
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.76
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-30
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.65
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.4
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.97
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-01-28
Valuation Data Summary for AAPL as of 2025-12-11
Current P/E for AAPL: 34.03
1 year P/E range: 30.45 - 39.85
2 years P/E range: 26.45 - 39.85
5 years P/E range: 21.73 - 39.85
Management Sentiment Summary for AAPL in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| Director of Investor Relations | 0.10 |
| CEO | 0.57 |
| CFO | 0.42 |
Insider transactions in the last 90 days:
On 2025-11-12, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AAPL.
Total of 3.8K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $271.23 and $271.23.
The insiders have 15.1K shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-17, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AAPL.
Total of 4.2K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $245.89 and $248.73.
The insiders have 41.3K shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-03, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AAPL.
Total of 130K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $254.83 and $257.57.
The insiders have 13.4M shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-03, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AAPL.
Total of 43K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $257.36 and $258.08.
The insiders have 275.1K shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-03, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AAPL.
Total of 47.1K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $254.83 and $257.54.
The insiders have 817.3K shares left in the company.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for AAPL
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 272.18
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 265.32
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 270.9
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 265.92
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 267.88
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 262.20
Price Range for AAPL
AAPL current price: $274.76
5-Day Range: $274.33 - $281.14
50-Day Range: $243.76 - $288.62
200-Day Range: $168.63 - $288.62
Technical Indicators Summary for AAPL as of 2025-12-11
MACD values for AAPL in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | -0.57 | 3.84 | 4.42 |
| 2025-12-09 | -0.47 | 4.09 | 4.56 |
| 2025-12-08 | -0.18 | 4.51 | 4.68 |
| 2025-12-05 | 0.18 | 4.90 | 4.72 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0.56 | 5.24 | 4.68 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0.86 | 5.40 | 4.54 |
| 2025-12-02 | 0.86 | 5.18 | 4.33 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.51 | 4.62 | 4.11 |
| 2025-11-28 | 0.16 | 4.14 | 3.98 |
| 2025-11-26 | -0.04 | 3.91 | 3.95 |
EMA values for AAPL with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | 266.65 |
| 2025-12-09 | 266.16 |
| 2025-12-08 | 265.71 |
| 2025-12-05 | 265.21 |
| 2025-12-04 | 264.66 |
| 2025-12-03 | 264.00 |
| 2025-12-02 | 263.18 |
| 2025-12-01 | 262.24 |
| 2025-11-28 | 261.39 |
| 2025-11-26 | 260.68 |
EMA values for AAPL with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | 239.62 |
| 2025-12-09 | 239.23 |
| 2025-12-08 | 238.85 |
| 2025-12-05 | 238.46 |
| 2025-12-04 | 238.05 |
| 2025-12-03 | 237.62 |
| 2025-12-02 | 237.15 |
| 2025-12-01 | 236.66 |
| 2025-11-28 | 236.19 |
| 2025-11-26 | 235.77 |
RSI values for AAPL in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | 58.76 |
| 2025-12-09 | 56.38 |
| 2025-12-08 | 57.75 |
| 2025-12-05 | 59.44 |
| 2025-12-04 | 63.14 |
| 2025-12-03 | 70.45 |
| 2025-12-02 | 75.23 |
| 2025-12-01 | 72.62 |
| 2025-11-28 | 68.35 |
| 2025-11-26 | 66.88 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for AAPL over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 51.17
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | 51.17 | 1.05 | 276.23 |
| 2025-12-10 | 55.82 | 1.26 | 278.32 |
| 2025-12-09 | 57.31 | 1.34 | 278.04 |
| 2025-12-08 | 60.45 | 1.53 | 277.90 |
| 2025-12-05 | 70.37 | 2.38 | 279.32 |
| 2025-12-04 | 80.53 | 4.14 | 281.34 |
| 2025-12-03 | 90.13 | 9.13 | 285.36 |
| 2025-12-02 | 90.27 | 9.28 | 285.41 |
| 2025-12-01 | 80.16 | 4.04 | 280.89 |
| 2025-11-28 | 69.56 | 2.29 | 277.95 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for AAPL, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 274.78
Latest SMA: 275.87
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 264.49
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 287.25
ADX for AAPL, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 24.25
Volume and volume ratio for AAPL:
Last 30 days average volume: 45.9M
Today's volume: 4.1M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.09
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 275.76
Support levels for AAPL (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 195.07 on 2025-06-18 (UTC)
Last High: 288.62 on 2025-12-03 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 260.44, 38.2%: 243.01, 50.0%: 228.92, 61.8%: 214.82, 78.6%: 194.76
Resonance Supports: 78.6%: 194.76
Short interest data for AAPL in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | 44M | 2.94 | 129.5M |
| 2025-11-14 | 47.1M | 2.44 | 114.9M |
| 2025-10-31 | 52.6M | 2.20 | 115.6M |
| 2025-10-15 | 41.5M | 2.63 | 109.1M |
| 2025-09-30 | 63.5M | 1.74 | 110.8M |
| 2025-09-15 | 55.6M | 2.13 | 118.2M |
| 2025-08-29 | 38.3M | 2.97 | 113.6M |
| 2025-08-15 | 74.8M | 1.70 | 127.1M |
| 2025-07-31 | 48.9M | 2.14 | 104.6M |
| 2025-07-15 | 48.5M | 1.94 | 93.9M |
Option Chain
Monthly options:
AAPL 270 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2072, delta: -0.3512, gamma: 0.0231, theta: -0.0923, vega: 0.2873 ask price: 4.0, bid price: 3.85
AAPL 265 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2154, delta: -0.2507, gamma: 0.0191, theta: -0.0842, vega: 0.2464 ask price: 2.64, bid price: 2.51
AAPL 260 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2243, delta: -0.1713, gamma: 0.0146, theta: -0.0711, vega: 0.1969 ask price: 1.71, bid price: 1.57
AAPL 255 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2346, delta: -0.1143, gamma: 0.0106, theta: -0.0572, vega: 0.1496 ask price: 1.09, bid price: 0.99
AAPL 250 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2503, delta: -0.0788, gamma: 0.0076, theta: -0.0468, vega: 0.1138 ask price: 0.73, bid price: 0.69
AAPL 245 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2649, delta: -0.0538, gamma: 0.0053, theta: -0.0371, vega: 0.0846 ask price: 0.5, bid price: 0.46
AAPL 240 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2801, delta: -0.0371, gamma: 0.0037, theta: -0.0292, vega: 0.0627 ask price: 0.35, bid price: 0.31
AAPL 235 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2972, delta: -0.0261, gamma: 0.0026, theta: -0.0233, vega: 0.0469 ask price: 0.25, bid price: 0.22
Weekly options:
AAPL 270 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2038, delta: -0.3168, gamma: 0.0314, theta: -0.1255, vega: 0.1983 ask price: 2.43, bid price: 2.33
AAPL 265 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2151, delta: -0.1896, gamma: 0.0226, theta: -0.1027, vega: 0.1509 ask price: 1.3, bid price: 1.25
AAPL 260 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2312, delta: -0.1083, gamma: 0.0144, theta: -0.0767, vega: 0.1036 ask price: 0.7, bid price: 0.67
AAPL 255 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2469, delta: -0.0611, gamma: 0.0088, theta: -0.0536, vega: 0.0673 ask price: 0.38, bid price: 0.36
AAPL 250 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2657, delta: -0.0351, gamma: 0.0052, theta: -0.0372, vega: 0.0432 ask price: 0.22, bid price: 0.2
AAPL 245 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2872, delta: -0.0215, gamma: 0.0032, theta: -0.0268, vega: 0.0287 ask price: 0.14, bid price: 0.12
AAPL 240 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3102, delta: -0.0137, gamma: 0.002, theta: -0.0198, vega: 0.0195 ask price: 0.09, bid price: 0.08
AAPL 235 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3354, delta: -0.0093, gamma: 0.0013, theta: -0.0154, vega: 0.014 ask price: 0.07, bid price: 0.05
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial:
- Earnings Strength: AAPL’s most recent EPS of $1.85 beat consensus ($1.76), and the company has not missed estimates in the past 8 quarters. Historical average EPS is $1.65, with a high of $2.40, indicating solid profitability.
- Valuation Concerns: Current P/E of 34.03 is near the upper end of the 1-year range (30.45–39.85) and above the 5-year range (21.73–39.85), suggesting the stock is richly valued.
- Management Sentiment: Mixed—CEO sentiment is slightly positive (0.57), but CFO and Investor Relations scores are neutral to negative (0.42 and 0.10, respectively), hinting at cautious internal outlook.
- Insider Activity: Consistent insider selling over the past 90 days (~187K shares total), though remaining holdings are substantial. This may signal that insiders see limited near-term upside.
-
Technical:
- Price Action: Current price ($274.76) is near the top of the 5-day range ($274.33–$281.14) and above the 50-day EMA (~$266.65), indicating short-term strength. However, it is below the recent high of $288.62 (Dec 3).
- Momentum Indicators:
- MACD histogram has turned negative (-0.57), suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
- RSI (58.76) is neutral, not overbought or oversold.
- Money Flow Index (51.17) is neutral, down from overbought levels (>80) earlier in December.
- Support/Resistance:
- Immediate support: 50-day EMA (~$266.65), Bollinger lower band ($264.49), and Fibonacci 23.6% level ($260.44).
- Resistance: Recent high ($288.62) and Bollinger upper band ($287.25).
- Volume: Today’s volume is extremely low (4.1M vs. 30-day avg of 45.9M), indicating lack of conviction in the current price move.
- Short Interest: Days to cover is low (~2.94), suggesting limited squeeze potential.
-
News:
- Sentiment: Over the past 30 days, news sentiment is mostly positive (6 out of 10 articles), highlighting AAPL’s role in ETFs, AI investments, and Buffett’s portfolio. However, some articles note overvaluation risks (P/E >37) and regulatory warnings on AI.
- Macro Context: The broader market (SPY) is in a late-cycle expansion with high valuations (Buffett Indicator at 223.3%). Inflation remains sticky, and the Fed is on hold. This environment supports caution for richly valued growth stocks like AAPL.
-
Option Chain:
- Implied Volatility (IV): IV for puts increases as strikes decrease (e.g., 20.7% for 270 put, 29.7% for 235 put), reflecting higher demand for downside protection.
- Greeks: Delta for near-the-money puts (270 strike) is -0.35, indicating moderate sensitivity to price declines. Theta decay is moderate (-0.09 to -0.12 for monthly puts), suggesting time decay is not extreme.
- Strikes: High open interest at 270 and 265 puts indicates these are key support levels watched by options traders.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Given rich valuation and weakening momentum, wait for a pullback to $260–$266 (near 50-day EMA, Bollinger lower band, and Fibonacci 23.6% support).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $285 (4–7% gain from entry) if resistance at $288 is tested.
- Long-term: Hold above $290 only if earnings (Jan 28) beat and guidance is strong.
- Time Horizon: 1–3 months, pending Q1 2026 earnings report (Jan 28).
Final Notes:
- Upside Catalysts: Strong Q1 earnings, new AI/product announcements, or a market rally.
- Downside Risks: High P/E compression, insider selling, or broader market correction due to macro headwinds.
- Risk Management: Use tight stop-losses (e.g., 5% below entry) if buying, or consider selling covered calls if holding shares. Given mixed signals, neutral is appropriate until a clearer trend emerges or valuation becomes more attractive.