AMZN 2025-12-15
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for AMZN as of 2025-12-15
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.95
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.54
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-30
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.34
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.86
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.94
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-04
Valuation Data Summary for AMZN as of 2025-12-15
Current P/E for AMZN: 31.38
1 year P/E range: 31.38 - 40.02
2 years P/E range: 31.38 - 52.39
5 years P/E range: 31.38 - 113.66
Management Sentiment Summary for AMZN in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| Vice President of Investor Relations | 0.10 |
| CEO | 0.71 |
| CFO | 0.80 |
Insider transactions in the last 90 days:
On 2025-12-03, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AMZN.
Total of 2.5K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $233.22 and $233.22.
The insiders have 505.9K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-25, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AMZN.
Total of 19.9K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $215.8187 and $219.4646.
The insiders have 11.1M shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-25, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AMZN.
Total of 17.8K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $215.8299 and $219.4837.
The insiders have 53.3K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-25, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AMZN.
Total of 20.7K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $215.8618 and $222.49.
The insiders have 323.5K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-25, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AMZN.
Total of 6.8K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $216.0524 and $217.5167.
The insiders have 1.5M shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-25, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AMZN.
Total of 2.7K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $216.0663 and $217.57.
The insiders have 360.5K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-24, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AMZN.
Total of 1.2K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $226.61 and $226.61.
The insiders have 26.1K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-18, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AMZN.
Total of 4.8K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $231.6303 and $234.38.
The insiders have 2M shares left in the company.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for AMZN
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 225.32
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 215.18
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 223.8
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 218.52
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 220.69
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 215.66
Price Range for AMZN
AMZN current price: $222.54
5-Day Range: $221.88 - $232.42
50-Day Range: $211.03 - $258.60
200-Day Range: $161.38 - $258.60
Technical Indicators Summary for AMZN as of 2025-12-15
MACD values for AMZN in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | -0.32 | -0.74 | -0.43 |
| 2025-12-11 | -0.11 | -0.46 | -0.35 |
| 2025-12-10 | -0.19 | -0.51 | -0.32 |
| 2025-12-09 | -0.45 | -0.72 | -0.27 |
| 2025-12-08 | -0.42 | -0.58 | -0.16 |
| 2025-12-05 | -0.23 | -0.29 | -0.05 |
| 2025-12-04 | -0.19 | -0.18 | 0.00 |
| 2025-12-03 | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 |
| 2025-12-02 | -0.17 | -0.10 | 0.06 |
| 2025-12-01 | -0.54 | -0.44 | 0.10 |
EMA values for AMZN with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 229.64 |
| 2025-12-11 | 229.78 |
| 2025-12-10 | 229.76 |
| 2025-12-09 | 229.68 |
| 2025-12-08 | 229.75 |
| 2025-12-05 | 229.86 |
| 2025-12-04 | 229.88 |
| 2025-12-03 | 229.91 |
| 2025-12-02 | 229.81 |
| 2025-12-01 | 229.62 |
EMA values for AMZN with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 219.71 |
| 2025-12-11 | 219.64 |
| 2025-12-10 | 219.54 |
| 2025-12-09 | 219.41 |
| 2025-12-08 | 219.33 |
| 2025-12-05 | 219.25 |
| 2025-12-04 | 219.15 |
| 2025-12-03 | 219.05 |
| 2025-12-02 | 218.92 |
| 2025-12-01 | 218.76 |
RSI values for AMZN in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 44.81 |
| 2025-12-11 | 49.53 |
| 2025-12-10 | 51.38 |
| 2025-12-09 | 46.63 |
| 2025-12-08 | 45.30 |
| 2025-12-05 | 48.15 |
| 2025-12-04 | 47.66 |
| 2025-12-03 | 51.12 |
| 2025-12-02 | 53.37 |
| 2025-12-01 | 52.86 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for AMZN over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 23.2
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | 23.20 | 0.30 | 223.99 |
| 2025-12-12 | 35.21 | 0.54 | 227.13 |
| 2025-12-11 | 42.48 | 0.74 | 230.36 |
| 2025-12-10 | 51.88 | 1.08 | 230.89 |
| 2025-12-09 | 51.89 | 1.08 | 227.20 |
| 2025-12-08 | 61.83 | 1.62 | 228.00 |
| 2025-12-05 | 57.34 | 1.34 | 229.77 |
| 2025-12-04 | 55.35 | 1.24 | 229.80 |
| 2025-12-03 | 54.05 | 1.18 | 232.12 |
| 2025-12-02 | 51.35 | 1.06 | 235.65 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for AMZN, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 222.54
Latest SMA: 227.96
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 218.34
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 237.58
ADX for AMZN, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 17.11
Volume and volume ratio for AMZN:
Last 30 days average volume: 43.9M
Today's volume: 47.2M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.08
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 228.34
Support levels for AMZN (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 201.7 on 2025-05-30 (UTC)
Last High: 258.6 on 2025-11-03 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 235.66, 38.2%: 221.46, 50.0%: 209.99, 61.8%: 198.52, 78.6%: 182.19
Resonance Supports: 61.8%: 198.52
Short interest data for AMZN in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | 49.3M | 1.49 | 73.3M |
| 2025-11-14 | 44.7M | 1.58 | 70.6M |
| 2025-10-31 | 57.6M | 1.22 | 70.1M |
| 2025-10-15 | 45M | 1.65 | 74.5M |
| 2025-09-30 | 51.4M | 1.50 | 77M |
| 2025-09-15 | 39.2M | 1.78 | 69.9M |
| 2025-08-29 | 28.9M | 2.37 | 68.6M |
| 2025-08-15 | 52.8M | 1.43 | 75.7M |
| 2025-07-31 | 40M | 1.59 | 63.6M |
| 2025-07-15 | 36.8M | 1.71 | 62.8M |
Option Chain
Monthly options:
AMZN 220 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.2763, delta: -0.4075, gamma: 0.0213, theta: -0.1006, vega: 0.256 ask price: 5.7, bid price: 5.5
AMZN 215 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.2826, delta: -0.3067, gamma: 0.0188, theta: -0.0949, vega: 0.2316 ask price: 3.9, bid price: 3.75
AMZN 210 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.2916, delta: -0.2221, gamma: 0.0155, theta: -0.0841, vega: 0.1964 ask price: 2.61, bid price: 2.52
AMZN 205 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.3028, delta: -0.1565, gamma: 0.012, theta: -0.0711, vega: 0.1582 ask price: 1.73, bid price: 1.68
AMZN 200 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.3185, delta: -0.1102, gamma: 0.009, theta: -0.0592, vega: 0.1242 ask price: 1.2, bid price: 1.13
AMZN 195 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.3357, delta: -0.0775, gamma: 0.0066, theta: -0.0484, vega: 0.0957 ask price: 0.82, bid price: 0.79
AMZN 190 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.357, delta: -0.056, gamma: 0.0048, theta: -0.0402, vega: 0.0744 ask price: 0.6, bid price: 0.57
AMZN 185 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.3822, delta: -0.0421, gamma: 0.0036, theta: -0.0344, vega: 0.0592 ask price: 0.47, bid price: 0.43
Weekly options:
AMZN 220 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2726, delta: -0.3775, gamma: 0.036, theta: -0.1732, vega: 0.147 ask price: 2.91, bid price: 2.77
AMZN 215 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.283, delta: -0.2206, gamma: 0.0271, theta: -0.1423, vega: 0.1147 ask price: 1.46, bid price: 1.38
AMZN 210 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2998, delta: -0.1186, gamma: 0.0171, theta: -0.1017, vega: 0.0767 ask price: 0.71, bid price: 0.67
AMZN 205 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3284, delta: -0.066, gamma: 0.0101, theta: -0.0725, vega: 0.0496 ask price: 0.39, bid price: 0.36
AMZN 200 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3656, delta: -0.0402, gamma: 0.0061, theta: -0.0547, vega: 0.0335 ask price: 0.25, bid price: 0.22
AMZN 195 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4016, delta: -0.025, gamma: 0.0038, theta: -0.0406, vega: 0.0226 ask price: 0.16, bid price: 0.14
AMZN 190 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4418, delta: -0.0167, gamma: 0.0024, theta: -0.0318, vega: 0.016 ask price: 0.11, bid price: 0.1
AMZN 185 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4818, delta: -0.0114, gamma: 0.0016, theta: -0.025, vega: 0.0116 ask price: 0.08, bid price: 0.07
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral (with a cautious bias toward Buy on a pullback)
Reasoning:
-
Financial: AMZN's financials are fundamentally strong. The company delivered a significant earnings beat (EPS of $1.95 vs. $1.54 consensus), continuing a trend of no earnings misses over the last 8 quarters. The historical average EPS is rising. Management sentiment from the CEO and CFO in the recent earnings call was notably positive (scores of 0.71 and 0.80). However, the current P/E of 31.38, while at the low end of its 1-year range, remains elevated by historical standards. A significant red flag is the consistent and substantial insider selling over the last 90 days, totaling over 70K shares across multiple executives. While they retain large positions, this activity suggests insiders may view the stock as fairly or fully valued in the near term.
-
Technical: The technical picture is mixed and suggests a stock in consolidation or a mild downtrend from recent highs. The current price of $222.54 is below the key 50-day EMA (~$229.64) and the 30-day VWAP ($228.34), indicating near-term weakness. The MACD histogram is negative and declining, signaling bearish momentum. The RSI at 44.81 is neutral but leaning toward oversold. Critically, the Money Flow Index (MFI) has plunged to 23.2, a deeply oversold level that often precedes a technical bounce, as it indicates intense selling pressure may be exhausting. The stock is trading just above its 20-day Bollinger Lower Band ($218.34) and the 200-day EMA ($219.71), which converge to form a strong support zone between ~$218 and ~$220. The 50-day range low is $211.03.
-
News: News sentiment is neutral to slightly positive. Articles highlight AMZN's dominant position in e-commerce and cloud computing, its AI initiatives, and its inclusion in "buy" lists for long-term investors. There is no significant negative company-specific news. The broader macroeconomic context, as detailed in the SPY report, describes a late-cycle expansion with high valuations (Buffett Indicator at 226.3%), sticky inflation, and a cautious Fed. This suggests a challenging environment for broad market multiple expansion, which could limit AMZN's upside in the near term.
-
Option Chain: The option market reflects moderate uncertainty. Implied Volatility (IV) for at-the-money puts is in the high 20% range (27-28%), which is elevated but not extreme. The put skew (IV increasing for lower strikes) is normal. The delta for the $220 put (-0.41) and $215 put (-0.31) indicates the market assigns a reasonable probability of the stock testing these levels in the near future. These strikes align with key technical support levels.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price: The ideal, lower-risk buy zone is $215.00 - $219.00. This range encompasses:
- The strong technical support cluster (200-day EMA ~$219.71, Bollinger Lower Band ~$218.34, Fibonacci 38.2% level at $221.46).
- The 50-day range low ($211.03) provides a worst-case backstop.
- Corresponds with key put strike prices ($215, $220) where option buyers see value.
-
Profit Targets:
- Short-term (1-3 months): Initial target at $235 - $240. This is the area of the 50-day EMA, the 20-day SMA (~$227.96), and the recent consolidation zone. A move above $240 would target the 50-day high near $258.
- Long-term (6-12+ months): Hold for fundamental growth, targeting new highs above $258 as earnings continue to grow.
-
Time Horizon: Weeks to Months. The next major catalyst is the earnings report on 2026-02-04. A strategy could be to establish a position on weakness before this event, anticipating a potential positive reaction if trends continue.
Final Notes:
- Warning: The confluence of heavy insider selling, a high absolute P/E ratio, and a fragile macroeconomic backdrop (high market valuations, cooling growth) presents notable risks. Do not chase the stock above $225.
- Opportunity: The deeply oversold MFI (23.2) and the proximity to major moving average support present a compelling setup for a tactical bounce or a higher-probability entry for long-term investors. A break and close below the $215 support level would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest a test of the $205-$210 zone.
- Action: Wait for a pullback into the $215-$219 support zone before considering a new long position. Existing holders should hold, as the long-term fundamentals remain intact, but set a stop-loss just below $215 (e.g., $214) to manage downside risk.