AMZN 2026-01-21
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for AMZN as of 2026-01-21
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.95
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.54
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 0.94 - 1.86
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.34
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-30
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-01-29
Valuation Data Summary for AMZN as of 2026-01-21
Current P/E for AMZN: 31.38
1 year P/E range: 31.38 - 40.02
2 years P/E range: 31.38 - 52.39
5 years P/E range: 31.38 - 113.66
Management Sentiment Summary for AMZN in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| Vice President of Investor Relations | 0.10 |
| CFO | 0.80 |
| CEO | 0.71 |
Insider transactions for AMZN in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | -2.5K | $233.22 | Sell | 505.9K |
| 2025-11-24 | -13.6K | $222.49 | Sell | 41.2K |
| 2025-11-21 | -54.3K | $216.83 | Sell | 13.3M |
| 2025-11-20 | -1.2K | $226.61 | Sell | 26.1K |
| 2025-11-17 | -4.8K | $232.71 | Sell | 2M |
Technical Report
Price Range for AMZN
AMZN current price: $231.0
5-Day Range: $229.34 - $247.66
50-Day Range: $215.18 - $251.75
200-Day Range: $161.38 - $258.60
Price Distribution for AMZN in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 231.8
Lowest price: 224.7
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 230.77
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 226.71
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 227.21
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 221.07
Technical Indicators Summary for AMZN as of 2026-01-21
MACD values for AMZN in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 3.02 | 2.80 | 0.22 |
| 2026-01-15 | 3.23 | 2.75 | 0.48 |
| 2026-01-14 | 3.54 | 2.63 | 0.92 |
| 2026-01-13 | 4.05 | 2.40 | 1.65 |
| 2026-01-12 | 4.02 | 1.99 | 2.04 |
| 2026-01-09 | 3.54 | 1.48 | 2.06 |
| 2026-01-08 | 2.78 | 0.96 | 1.82 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 1.38 |
| 2026-01-06 | 1.20 | 0.16 | 1.03 |
| 2026-01-05 | 0.36 | -0.10 | 0.46 |
EMA values for AMZN with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 233.20 |
| 2026-01-15 | 232.96 |
| 2026-01-14 | 232.74 |
| 2026-01-13 | 232.58 |
| 2026-01-12 | 232.17 |
| 2026-01-09 | 231.59 |
| 2026-01-08 | 230.95 |
| 2026-01-07 | 230.32 |
| 2026-01-06 | 229.86 |
| 2026-01-05 | 229.41 |
EMA values for AMZN with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 222.72 |
| 2026-01-15 | 222.56 |
| 2026-01-14 | 222.40 |
| 2026-01-13 | 222.26 |
| 2026-01-12 | 222.05 |
| 2026-01-09 | 221.81 |
| 2026-01-08 | 221.55 |
| 2026-01-07 | 221.30 |
| 2026-01-06 | 221.10 |
| 2026-01-05 | 220.90 |
RSI values for AMZN in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 54.98 |
| 2026-01-15 | 53.84 |
| 2026-01-14 | 52.01 |
| 2026-01-13 | 60.71 |
| 2026-01-12 | 67.53 |
| 2026-01-09 | 69.22 |
| 2026-01-08 | 68.34 |
| 2026-01-07 | 64.19 |
| 2026-01-06 | 63.60 |
| 2026-01-05 | 54.99 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for AMZN over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 59.42
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | 231.81 | 1.46 | 59.42 |
| 2026-01-16 | 238.37 | 2.38 | 70.44 |
| 2026-01-15 | 238.49 | 2.32 | 69.86 |
| 2026-01-14 | 238.05 | 1.68 | 62.70 |
| 2026-01-13 | 243.50 | 2.49 | 71.35 |
| 2026-01-12 | 247.12 | 3.03 | 75.18 |
| 2026-01-09 | 245.83 | 2.79 | 73.65 |
| 2026-01-08 | 244.86 | 2.53 | 71.66 |
| 2026-01-07 | 242.12 | 2.40 | 70.56 |
| 2026-01-06 | 238.73 | 2.27 | 69.38 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for AMZN, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 231.0
Latest SMA: 235.9
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 222.85
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 248.95
ADX for AMZN, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 19.38
Volume and volume ratio for AMZN:
Last 30 days average volume: 38M
Today's volume: 47.8M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.26
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 236.15
Support levels for AMZN (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 211.03 on 2025-10-17 (UTC)
Last High: 258.6 on 2025-11-03 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 235.66, 38.2%: 221.46, 50.0%: 209.99, 61.8%: 198.52, 78.6%: 182.19
Resonance Supports: 50.0%: 209.99
Short interest data for AMZN in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 73.4M | 33.7M | 2.18 |
| 2025-12-15 | 76.1M | 37.1M | 2.05 |
| 2025-11-28 | 73.3M | 49.3M | 1.49 |
| 2025-11-14 | 70.6M | 44.7M | 1.58 |
| 2025-10-31 | 70.1M | 57.6M | 1.22 |
| 2025-10-15 | 74.5M | 45M | 1.65 |
| 2025-09-30 | 77M | 51.4M | 1.50 |
| 2025-09-15 | 69.9M | 39.2M | 1.78 |
| 2025-08-29 | 68.6M | 28.9M | 2.37 |
| 2025-08-15 | 75.7M | 52.8M | 1.43 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-20:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 | 0.43 | -0.38 | 0.01 | -0.17 | 0.26 | 8.20 | 8.05 |
| 220 | 0.43 | -0.31 | 0.01 | -0.16 | 0.24 | 6.40 | 6.25 |
| 215 | 0.44 | -0.25 | 0.01 | -0.15 | 0.22 | 4.90 | 4.75 |
| 210 | 0.45 | -0.20 | 0.01 | -0.13 | 0.19 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| 205 | 0.45 | -0.16 | 0.01 | -0.11 | 0.16 | 2.73 | 2.58 |
| 200 | 0.46 | -0.12 | 0.01 | -0.10 | 0.14 | 2.03 | 1.95 |
| 195 | 0.48 | -0.09 | 0.01 | -0.08 | 0.11 | 1.51 | 1.45 |
| 190 | 0.49 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.09 | 1.13 | 1.06 |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-06:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 | 0.51 | -0.37 | 0.01 | -0.27 | 0.19 | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| 220 | 0.52 | -0.30 | 0.01 | -0.26 | 0.17 | 5.30 | 5.05 |
| 215 | 0.52 | -0.23 | 0.01 | -0.23 | 0.15 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| 210 | 0.53 | -0.18 | 0.01 | -0.20 | 0.13 | 2.79 | 2.63 |
| 205 | 0.54 | -0.13 | 0.01 | -0.17 | 0.11 | 1.99 | 1.84 |
| 200 | 0.56 | -0.10 | 0.01 | -0.14 | 0.09 | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| 195 | 0.57 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.07 | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| 190 | 0.59 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.05 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
-
Financial: Amazon delivered a strong earnings beat (EPS $1.95 vs. $1.54 consensus), continuing a flawless 8-quarter streak of not missing estimates. The current P/E of 31.38 is at the low end of its 1-year range (31.38–40.02) and significantly compressed from its 5-year historical highs, suggesting reasonable relative valuation. Management sentiment from the latest earnings call was positive (CFO 0.80, CEO 0.71). However, consistent insider selling over the past 90 days (net ~76K shares sold) is a notable cautionary signal, potentially indicating that executives view the stock as fairly valued.
-
Technical: The stock is currently trading at $231.0, below its 50-day EMA (~233.20) but above its rising 200-day EMA (~222.72), placing it in a near-term pullback within a longer-term uptrend. Momentum indicators are neutral: RSI at 54.98 and MFI at 59.42 suggest no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. The price is near the lower Bollinger Band (222.85) and key Fibonacci support at 221.46 (38.2% level), providing a technical cushion. Volume is elevated today (1.26x 30-day average), indicating heightened interest. The MACD histogram has turned positive but is declining, suggesting slowing upward momentum.
-
News: Sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with 7 out of 10 recent articles bullish. Key themes highlight Amazon’s dominant position in e-commerce and cloud computing (AWS), accelerating advertising growth, and significant AI-driven efficiency and revenue opportunities. No negative articles were identified.
-
Option Chain: Implied volatilities for monthly (43–49%) and weekly (51–59%) put options are elevated, reflecting expected near-term volatility, likely due to the upcoming earnings report on January 29. The 225 and 220 put strikes provide insight into near-term support levels, with deltas of -0.38 and -0.31 respectively.
-
Macro Context: The broader environment is characterized by a late-cycle expansion with high aggregate equity valuations (Buffett Indicator at 223.5%). However, supportive factors include a positively sloped yield curve (10y-2y spread +0.7%), declining Fed rates, and ample liquidity, which historically mitigate near-term recession risks and provide a floor for quality growth stocks.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $228–$231. This range is near current levels and above the strong confluence of support at the 200-day EMA (~222.72), the Bollinger lower band (~222.85), and the 38.2% Fibonacci level (221.46).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term (2–4 weeks): $240–$245 (4–6% gain), targeting a move back toward the 50-day EMA and the middle of the recent range.
- Medium-term (3–6 months): $250–$258 (8–12% gain), aligning with prior highs and the upper Bollinger Band, contingent on strong Q4 earnings and guidance.
- Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss at $219 (approx. 5% below entry), just below the key technical support cluster at $221–223.
- Time Horizon: Medium-term (3–6 months), with a tactical entry ahead of earnings. Be prepared for potential volatility post-earnings on Jan 29.
Final Notes:
- Upcoming Catalyst: Q4 earnings report on January 29, 2026. This event carries binary risk; consider reducing position size or using options for hedging if entering immediately before.
- Primary Risks: Persistent insider selling, high overall market valuation increasing correlation risk, and any earnings miss or weak guidance later this month.
- The recommendation balances strong company fundamentals and positive sentiment against technical pullback and elevated near-term event risk. A disciplined entry near support with defined exit parameters manages downside exposure.