Backtest AMD 2025-04-04
messages
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symbol
AMD
message
Trump started a tariff war
financial report
----EPS data summary for AMD as of 2025-04-04----:
Most recent EPS (Actual): 0.96
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.94
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-05-06
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31
Historical EPS (last 8 quarters):
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2024-12-31 | 1.09 |
| 2024-09-30 | 0.92 |
| 2024-06-30 | 0.69 |
| 2024-03-31 | 0.62 |
| 2023-12-31 | 0.77 |
| 2023-09-30 | 0.7 |
| 2023-06-30 | 0.58 |
| 2023-03-31 | 0.6 |
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.75
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.09
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.58
----Valuation data summary for AMD as of 2025-04-04----:
Current P/E for AMD: 28.07
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: None
Average P/E for these peer companies: None
Historical low P/E for AMD: 16.81
Historical high P/E for AMD: 68.67
----Sector peers performance for AMD in the past 200 days----:
MU: -14.41%
6697.T: 121.57%
AVGO: -5.26%
GOOGL: -4.42%
INTC: 7.27%
ADI: -18.29%
MRVL: -24.09%
MSFT: -13.15%
QCOM: -15.43%
TSLA: 17.86%
GOOG: -3.78%
NVDA: -12.81%
TXN: -16.11%
META: -0.14%
----Management Sentiment Summary for AMD in 2025Q2 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
No data available
technical report
Technical Summary for AMD as of 2025-04-04:
MACD values for AMD in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-04-04 | -1.55 | -2.81 | -1.27 |
| 2025-04-03 | -0.64 | -1.52 | -0.88 |
| 2025-04-02 | 0.05 | -0.67 | -0.72 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.22 | -0.51 | -0.73 |
| 2025-03-31 | 0.51 | -0.28 | -0.78 |
| 2025-03-28 | 0.94 | 0.03 | -0.91 |
| 2025-03-27 | 1.51 | 0.37 | -1.14 |
| 2025-03-26 | 1.97 | 0.44 | -1.52 |
| 2025-03-25 | 2.19 | 0.18 | -2.01 |
| 2025-03-24 | 1.92 | -0.64 | -2.56 |
EMA values for AMD with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-04-04 | 107.92 |
| 2025-04-03 | 108.83 |
| 2025-04-02 | 109.44 |
| 2025-04-01 | 109.71 |
| 2025-03-31 | 109.99 |
| 2025-03-28 | 110.29 |
| 2025-03-27 | 110.57 |
| 2025-03-26 | 110.73 |
| 2025-03-25 | 110.76 |
| 2025-03-24 | 110.59 |
RSI values for AMD in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-04-04 | 27.60 |
| 2025-04-03 | 33.97 |
| 2025-04-02 | 44.95 |
| 2025-04-01 | 44.62 |
| 2025-03-31 | 44.55 |
| 2025-03-28 | 45.17 |
| 2025-03-27 | 49.74 |
| 2025-03-26 | 55.07 |
| 2025-03-25 | 63.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | 62.21 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for AMD over the last 20 days:
Latest MFI: 44.37
| Date | MFI | Money Flow | Money Flow Ratio | Negative Flow | Positive Flow | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------|----------------|-------------|-------------|-------------|
| 2025-04-03 | 44.37 | 4826685164.73 | 0.80 | 4826685164.73 | 0.00 | 95.63 |
| 2025-04-02 | 45.65 | 2134226872.05 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 2134226872.05 | 102.64 |
| 2025-04-01 | 46.19 | 2403600583.18 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 2403600583.18 | 102.18 |
| 2025-03-31 | 48.48 | 3131387575.61 | 0.94 | 3131387575.61 | 0.00 | 101.45 |
| 2025-03-28 | 47.98 | 3233361306.53 | 0.92 | 3233361306.53 | 0.00 | 104.07 |
| 2025-03-27 | 47.13 | 3493894991.35 | 0.89 | 3493894991.35 | 0.00 | 106.61 |
| 2025-03-26 | 46.30 | 4443960216.72 | 0.86 | 4443960216.72 | 0.00 | 111.59 |
| 2025-03-25 | 47.18 | 3319390412.88 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 3319390412.88 | 114.16 |
| 2025-03-24 | 42.15 | 6011643372.87 | 0.73 | 0.00 | 6011643372.87 | 112.70 |
| 2025-03-21 | 37.00 | 3261602563.15 | 0.59 | 3261602563.15 | 0.00 | 106.01 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for AMD, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 93.8
Latest SMA: 103.62
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 92.76
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 114.49
Volume and volume ratio for AMD:
Last 30 days average volume: 34909850.0
Today's volume: 50472500
Volume Ratio: 1.45
Support levels for AMD in the last 200 days:
Last Low: 93.64 on 2025-04-03
Last High: 99.45 on 2025-04-03
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 98.08, 38.2%: 97.23, 50.0%: 96.54, 61.8%: 95.86, 78.6%: 94.88
Resonance Supports: 61.8%: 95.86, 78.6%: 94.88
Short interest data for AMD in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | avg_daily_volume | days_to_cover | short_interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-03-31 | 34155414 | 1.35 | 46106164 |
| 2025-03-14 | 34151730 | 1.64 | 55850273 |
| 2025-02-28 | 35237402 | 1.61 | 56779479 |
| 2025-02-14 | 47701092 | 1.11 | 52797087 |
| 2025-01-31 | 36329131 | 1.32 | 47802951 |
| 2025-01-15 | 41770258 | 1.41 | 58914070 |
| 2024-12-31 | 38587213 | 1.54 | 59401477 |
| 2024-12-13 | 38658641 | 1.34 | 51636463 |
Current VIX: 30.02, VIX percentile: 98.84%
Current UVXY: 30.88, UVXY percentile in the past 90 days: 100.0%
Close Price: 93.80
news report
News and sentiment report for AMD as of 2025-04-04:
No news found for AMD from news api from the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
MU: 0 articles found.
6697.T: 0 articles found.
AVGO: 0 articles found.
GOOGL: 0 articles found.
INTC: 0 articles found.
ADI: 0 articles found.
MRVL: 0 articles found.
MSFT: 0 articles found.
QCOM: 0 articles found.
TSLA: 0 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 AMD news articles:
Title: 1 Prediction From Nvidia That Should Excite AMD Investors
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-04-04T11:15:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article suggests that AMD is well-positioned to benefit from the projected growth in data center infrastructure spending, with its data center revenue potentially approaching $25 billion over the next four years. Additionally, the article notes that AMD's stock is currently trading at a relatively low valuation, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
Title: Stock Market Sell-Off: The 9 Best Stocks to Buy Now in April (2025)
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-04-03T14:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The Motley Fool has positions in Advanced Micro Devices, indicating they believe the company has potential for growth or positive performance.
Title: Down 28%, Should You Buy the Dip on Nvidia?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-04-02T10:45:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Advanced Micro Devices is mentioned as a rival chipmaker to Nvidia, but the article does not provide a clear sentiment on the company.
Title: Good News for AMD Stock Investors
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-04-02T09:15:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article provides an overview of Advanced Micro Devices' business, highlighting its dedication to making the world smarter, happier, and richer, as well as its reach to millions of people through various services and offerings. This positive sentiment is based on the company's mission and its ability to impact a large audience.
URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/04/02/good-news-for-amd-stock-investors/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: AI-IoT Chipset Industry Insights and Forecast 2025-2035 - Expanding Applications Across Various Sectors Coupled With Strategic Startup Funding and Continuous Technological Advancements Drive Opportunities
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-04-02T08:48:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article highlights AMD as a key player in the AI-IoT chipset market, indicating its strong position and potential for growth.
Title: Why Intel Stock Sank Today
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-04-01T22:20:30Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Advanced Micro Devices was mentioned as one of Intel's AI chip-design rivals that the company is trying to catch up to.
URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/04/01/why-intel-stock-sank-today/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: 9 Amazing Tech Stocks Smart Investors Should Not Ignore
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-03-31T17:34:54Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: The article mentions Advanced Micro Devices as one of the stocks held by the author, but does not provide any specific analysis or recommendation for the stock.
Title: AMD Completes Acquisition of ZT Systems
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-03-31T12:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article highlights the benefits of the acquisition for AMD, including enabling new AI solutions and accelerating the deployment of AMD-powered AI infrastructure. This suggests the acquisition is a positive strategic move for the company.
URL: https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/03/g44560117/amd-completes-acquisition-of-zt-systems
Title: Is Artificial Intelligence (AI) GPU Giant Nvidia Poised to Be a Victim of Its Own Success?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-03-31T08:51:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: The article mentions that Advanced Micro Devices is ramping up production of its Instinct series AI-accelerating chips, which could pose a challenge to Nvidia's near-monopoly in the AI-data center market.
Title: A Market Downturn Creates a Perfect Entry Point for This Promising AI Player
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-03-30T11:15:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: The article mentions AMD as a competitor to Nvidia in the AI chip market, noting that it is investing heavily to catch up in chip performance. However, the article does not provide a clear sentiment on AMD's prospects.
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 5 articles with positive sentiment, and
0 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
final report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
Financial:
-
EPS Performance: AMD has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past 8 quarters, with the latest EPS (0.96) exceeding consensus (0.94). Historical EPS growth is strong, averaging 0.75 over the last 8 quarters.
-
Valuation: Current P/E (28.07) is below the historical high (68.67) but above the low (16.81), suggesting moderate valuation. No direct peer comparison is available, but sector peers like NVDA and INTC show mixed performance.
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Debt & Profitability: No debt data provided, but earnings stability suggests solid financial health.
Technical:
-
Trend & Momentum:
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MACD: Negative but showing signs of slowing bearish momentum (histogram improving from -1.55 to -0.64).
-
RSI (27.6): Oversold, indicating potential for a rebound.
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Bollinger Bands: Price (93.8) is near the lower band (92.76), a typical bounce zone.
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EMA (50-day): Current price is below the 50-day EMA (107.92), signaling short-term weakness but potential mean reversion.
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Support Levels: Strong support at 93.64 (recent low) and Fibonacci 78.6% (94.88).
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Volume: Elevated volume (1.45x 30-day avg) suggests capitulation, often preceding reversals.
News:
-
Sentiment: 5/10 articles are positive, highlighting AMD’s AI/data center growth and undervaluation. No negative news.
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Catalysts: Recent acquisition of ZT Systems (AI infrastructure expansion) and sector-wide AI demand growth.
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Macro Risk: Trump’s tariff war could impact semiconductor supply chains, but AMD’s diversified manufacturing may mitigate this.
Additional Context:
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VIX (30.02, 98.84% percentile): High market volatility suggests cautious entry but also potential for oversold bounce.
-
Short Interest (1.35 days to cover): Low short interest reduces squeeze risk.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
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Capital Allocation: Allocate no more than 5-7% of total capital to this trade.
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Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $93.50–$94.50 (near Bollinger lower band and recent support).
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Stop-Loss: Exit if price falls below $90.00 (~4% risk per share).
-
Profit Targets:
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Short-term (2-4 weeks): $100.00 (6.5% gain) – Resistance near 50-day EMA.
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Long-term (6+ months): $110.00 (17% gain) – Prior consolidation zone.
- Time Horizon: Short-to-medium term, pending earnings on May 6.
Final Notes:
-
Watch for:
-
Earnings volatility (May 6 report could drive moves).
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Tariff war developments (monitor for sector-wide selloffs).
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Alternative Play: If AMD breaks below $90, reassess for a deeper pullback to $85 (next support).
Summary: AMD is oversold with strong fundamentals and positive sentiment. A risk-managed buy near support offers favorable asymmetry.