GOOG 2025-06-21
Symbol
GOOG
User Message
GOOG down 3% in the past 5 days
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for GOOG as of 2025-06-21----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 2.27
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 2.01
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-04-24
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31
Historical EPS (last 8 quarters):
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2024-12-31 | 2.15 |
| 2024-09-30 | 2.12 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1.89 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1.89 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1.64 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1.55 |
| 2023-06-30 | 1.44 |
| 2023-03-31 | 1.17 |
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.73
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.15
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.17
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-07-21
----Valuation Data Summary for GOOG as of 2025-06-21----
Current P/E for GOOG: 18.7
1 year P/E range: 18.51 - 26.34
2 years P/E range: 18.51 - 26.34
5 years P/E range: 18.51 - 27.35
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['ZI', 'PINS', 'NFLX', 'SHOP', 'GRND', 'RDDT', 'DJT', 'SNAP', 'RUM', 'MTCH', 'AMZN', 'TSLA', 'MSFT', 'GOOGL', 'META', 'AAPL', 'NVDA']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 35.73
----Management Sentiment Summary for GOOG in 2025Q2 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Technical Report
----Stock performance for GOOG----
GOOG performance in the past 5 days: -4.63%
GOOG performance in the past 30 days: 7.82%
GOOG performance in the past 90 days: -10.13%
GOOG performance in the past 200 days: 6.26%
----Sector peers performance for GOOG----
ZI performance in the past 5 days: 1.45%
ZI performance in the past 30 days: 6.06%
ZI performance in the past 90 days: -4.11%
ZI performance in the past 200 days: -1.21%
PINS performance in the past 5 days: 1.12%
PINS performance in the past 30 days: 22.83%
PINS performance in the past 90 days: -13.52%
PINS performance in the past 200 days: 9.29%
NFLX performance in the past 5 days: 1.59%
NFLX performance in the past 30 days: 7.6%
NFLX performance in the past 90 days: 22.15%
NFLX performance in the past 200 days: 82.34%
SHOP performance in the past 5 days: 1.01%
SHOP performance in the past 30 days: 13.19%
SHOP performance in the past 90 days: -13.91%
SHOP performance in the past 200 days: 49.31%
GRND performance in the past 5 days: -1.83%
GRND performance in the past 30 days: -7.61%
GRND performance in the past 90 days: 25.5%
GRND performance in the past 200 days: 91.12%
RDDT performance in the past 5 days: 17.74%
RDDT performance in the past 30 days: 29.05%
RDDT performance in the past 90 days: -34.9%
RDDT performance in the past 200 days: 141.87%
DJT performance in the past 5 days: -8.66%
DJT performance in the past 30 days: -29.08%
DJT performance in the past 90 days: -41.23%
DJT performance in the past 200 days: -1.38%
SNAP performance in the past 5 days: 0.88%
SNAP performance in the past 30 days: -2.55%
SNAP performance in the past 90 days: -26.31%
SNAP performance in the past 200 days: -9.59%
RUM performance in the past 5 days: -1.27%
RUM performance in the past 30 days: 9.77%
RUM performance in the past 90 days: -23.55%
RUM performance in the past 200 days: 55.56%
MTCH performance in the past 5 days: 1.29%
MTCH performance in the past 30 days: 11.36%
MTCH performance in the past 90 days: -9.3%
MTCH performance in the past 200 days: -15.97%
AMZN performance in the past 5 days: -1.14%
AMZN performance in the past 30 days: 9.17%
AMZN performance in the past 90 days: -9.91%
AMZN performance in the past 200 days: 18.97%
TSLA performance in the past 5 days: -0.97%
TSLA performance in the past 30 days: 13.11%
TSLA performance in the past 90 days: -1.93%
TSLA performance in the past 200 days: 52.97%
MSFT performance in the past 5 days: 0.51%
MSFT performance in the past 30 days: 9.15%
MSFT performance in the past 90 days: 16.48%
MSFT performance in the past 200 days: 17.28%
GOOGL performance in the past 5 days: -4.6%
GOOGL performance in the past 30 days: 8.14%
GOOGL performance in the past 90 days: -9.87%
GOOGL performance in the past 200 days: 6.41%
META performance in the past 5 days: 0.0%
META performance in the past 30 days: 14.19%
META performance in the past 90 days: -5.05%
META performance in the past 200 days: 33.79%
AAPL performance in the past 5 days: 2.32%
AAPL performance in the past 30 days: 1.91%
AAPL performance in the past 90 days: -13.48%
AAPL performance in the past 200 days: -9.46%
NVDA performance in the past 5 days: 1.32%
NVDA performance in the past 30 days: 22.57%
NVDA performance in the past 90 days: 8.34%
NVDA performance in the past 200 days: 33.24%
----Mag 7 performance as a reference----
GOOG performance in the past 5 days: -4.63%
GOOG performance in the past 30 days: 7.82%
GOOG performance in the past 90 days: -10.13%
GOOG performance in the past 200 days: 6.26%
GOOGL performance in the past 5 days: -4.6%
GOOGL performance in the past 30 days: 8.14%
GOOGL performance in the past 90 days: -9.87%
GOOGL performance in the past 200 days: 6.41%
AMZN performance in the past 5 days: -1.14%
AMZN performance in the past 30 days: 9.17%
AMZN performance in the past 90 days: -9.91%
AMZN performance in the past 200 days: 18.97%
AAPL performance in the past 5 days: 2.32%
AAPL performance in the past 30 days: 1.91%
AAPL performance in the past 90 days: -13.48%
AAPL performance in the past 200 days: -9.46%
MSFT performance in the past 5 days: 0.51%
MSFT performance in the past 30 days: 9.15%
MSFT performance in the past 90 days: 16.48%
MSFT performance in the past 200 days: 17.28%
META performance in the past 5 days: 0.0%
META performance in the past 30 days: 14.19%
META performance in the past 90 days: -5.05%
META performance in the past 200 days: 33.79%
NVDA performance in the past 5 days: 1.32%
NVDA performance in the past 30 days: 22.57%
NVDA performance in the past 90 days: 8.34%
NVDA performance in the past 200 days: 33.24%
TSLA performance in the past 5 days: -0.97%
TSLA performance in the past 30 days: 13.11%
TSLA performance in the past 90 days: -1.93%
TSLA performance in the past 200 days: 52.97%
----Technical Indicators Summary for GOOG as of 2025-06-21----
MACD values for GOOG in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-18 | -0.16 | 3.10 | 3.26 |
| 2025-06-17 | 0.16 | 3.46 | 3.30 |
| 2025-06-16 | 0.29 | 3.55 | 3.26 |
| 2025-06-13 | 0.34 | 3.53 | 3.19 |
| 2025-06-12 | 0.57 | 3.67 | 3.10 |
| 2025-06-11 | 0.72 | 3.68 | 2.96 |
| 2025-06-10 | 0.67 | 3.45 | 2.78 |
| 2025-06-09 | 0.38 | 2.99 | 2.61 |
| 2025-06-06 | 0.09 | 2.60 | 2.52 |
| 2025-06-05 | -0.15 | 2.34 | 2.49 |
EMA values for GOOG with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-18 | 169.74 |
| 2025-06-17 | 169.56 |
| 2025-06-16 | 169.25 |
| 2025-06-13 | 168.90 |
| 2025-06-12 | 168.61 |
| 2025-06-11 | 168.27 |
| 2025-06-10 | 167.84 |
| 2025-06-09 | 167.34 |
| 2025-06-06 | 166.92 |
| 2025-06-05 | 166.60 |
EMA values for GOOG with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-18 | 170.64 |
| 2025-06-17 | 170.60 |
| 2025-06-16 | 170.53 |
| 2025-06-13 | 170.46 |
| 2025-06-12 | 170.41 |
| 2025-06-11 | 170.34 |
| 2025-06-10 | 170.26 |
| 2025-06-09 | 170.16 |
| 2025-06-06 | 170.08 |
| 2025-06-05 | 170.03 |
RSI values for GOOG in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-18 | 53.77 |
| 2025-06-17 | 60.00 |
| 2025-06-16 | 61.45 |
| 2025-06-13 | 58.77 |
| 2025-06-12 | 60.85 |
| 2025-06-11 | 64.37 |
| 2025-06-10 | 66.77 |
| 2025-06-09 | 64.36 |
| 2025-06-06 | 61.40 |
| 2025-06-05 | 54.82 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for GOOG over the last 20 days:
Latest MFI: 44.2
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-06-20 | 44.20 | 0.79 | 169.79 |
| 2025-06-18 | 53.63 | 1.16 | 174.88 |
| 2025-06-17 | 53.69 | 1.16 | 177.29 |
| 2025-06-16 | 53.43 | 1.15 | 177.34 |
| 2025-06-13 | 54.88 | 1.22 | 175.93 |
| 2025-06-12 | 58.87 | 1.43 | 177.07 |
| 2025-06-11 | 63.04 | 1.71 | 179.51 |
| 2025-06-10 | 66.83 | 2.01 | 179.64 |
| 2025-06-09 | 66.54 | 1.99 | 177.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | 62.89 | 1.69 | 174.14 |
| 2025-06-05 | 57.54 | 1.36 | 170.30 |
| 2025-06-04 | 49.06 | 0.96 | 168.72 |
| 2025-06-03 | 46.70 | 0.88 | 167.86 |
| 2025-06-02 | 49.97 | 1.00 | 169.82 |
| 2025-05-30 | 53.44 | 1.15 | 171.40 |
| 2025-05-29 | 58.52 | 1.41 | 173.17 |
| 2025-05-28 | 58.75 | 1.42 | 174.08 |
| 2025-05-27 | 55.22 | 1.23 | 172.95 |
| 2025-05-23 | 51.26 | 1.05 | 169.81 |
| 2025-05-22 | 56.44 | 1.30 | 173.79 |
| 2025-05-21 | 52.59 | 1.11 | 169.62 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for GOOG, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 167.73
Latest SMA: 173.54
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 165.92
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 181.16
Volume and volume ratio for GOOG:
Last 30 days average volume: 27860983.33
Today's volume: 55126600
Volume Ratio: 1.98
Support levels for GOOG in the last 200 days:
Last Low: 142.49 on 2025-04-07
Last High: 182.45 on 2025-06-10
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 173.02, 38.2%: 167.18, 50.0%: 162.47, 61.8%: 157.75, 78.6%: 151.04
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.
Short interest data for GOOG in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-05-30 | 31296888 | 1.02 | 31955063 |
| 2025-05-15 | 28525674 | 1.28 | 36570404 |
| 2025-04-30 | 20874245 | 1.92 | 40112579 |
| 2025-04-15 | 29496689 | 1.36 | 40047658 |
| 2025-03-31 | 23640465 | 1.63 | 38529868 |
| 2025-03-14 | 21343753 | 2.08 | 44488045 |
| 2025-02-28 | 20200498 | 1.92 | 38855537 |
| 2025-02-14 | 20913221 | 2.09 | 43612089 |
| 2025-01-31 | 16515607 | 2.66 | 43984363 |
| 2025-01-15 | 15719973 | 2.74 | 43085284 |
Close Price as of 2025-06-21: 167.73
Economics Report
----Economics Summary as of 2025-06-21----
----FED Data for Producer Price Index----
Latest Value: 259.03 on 2025-05-01
A 1.46% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A 2.11% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 37.34% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for Federal Funds Effective Rate----
Latest Value: 4.33 on 2025-05-01
A -18.76% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A -14.43% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 8560.0% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for M2 Money Stock----
Latest Value: 21862.5 on 2025-04-01
A 4.44% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-04-01
A 5.46% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-04-01
A 28.56% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-04-01
----FED Data for CPI, US City Average----
Latest Value: 320.58 on 2025-05-01
A 2.38% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A 5.69% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 25.32% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for Unemployment Rate----
Latest Value: 4.2 on 2025-05-01
A 5.0% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A 16.67% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A -68.18% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis----
Latest Value: 4.38 on 2025-06-18
A -1.79% change compared to 1 year ago on 2025-06-02
A -1.57% change compared to 2 years ago on 2025-05-15
A 0.69% change compared to 5 years ago on 2025-03-26
----FED Data for Inflation, consumer prices for the United States----
Latest Value: 2.95 on 2024-01-01
----FED Data for M1 Money Stock----
Latest Value: 18668.0 on 2025-04-01
A 3.86% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-04-01
A 0.28% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-04-01
A 288.57% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-04-01
----FED Data for Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks----
Latest Value: 3.05 on 2025-01-01
A 80.47% change compared to 1 year ago on 2022-01-01
A 20.08% change compared to 2 years ago on 2019-01-01
----FED Data for Federal Debt, Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product----
Latest Value: 120.81 on 2025-01-01
A 0.2% change compared to 1 year ago on 2022-01-01
A 15.78% change compared to 2 years ago on 2019-01-01
----FED Data for Labor Force Participation Rate----
Latest Value: 62.4 on 2025-05-01
A -0.32% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A -0.32% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 2.63% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----FED Data for Personal Savings Rate----
Latest Value: 4.9 on 2025-04-01
A -3.92% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-04-01
A -2.0% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-04-01
A -84.69% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-04-01
----FED Data for All Employees, Total Nonfarm Payrolls----
Latest Value: 159561.0 on 2025-05-01
A 1.1% change compared to 1 year ago on 2024-05-01
A 2.54% change compared to 2 years ago on 2023-05-01
A 19.93% change compared to 5 years ago on 2020-05-01
----Mag 7 performance as a reference----
GOOG performance in the past 5 days: -4.63%
GOOG performance in the past 30 days: 7.82%
GOOG performance in the past 90 days: -10.13%
GOOG performance in the past 200 days: 6.26%
GOOGL performance in the past 5 days: -4.6%
GOOGL performance in the past 30 days: 8.14%
GOOGL performance in the past 90 days: -9.87%
GOOGL performance in the past 200 days: 6.41%
AMZN performance in the past 5 days: -1.14%
AMZN performance in the past 30 days: 9.17%
AMZN performance in the past 90 days: -9.91%
AMZN performance in the past 200 days: 18.97%
AAPL performance in the past 5 days: 2.32%
AAPL performance in the past 30 days: 1.91%
AAPL performance in the past 90 days: -13.48%
AAPL performance in the past 200 days: -9.46%
MSFT performance in the past 5 days: 0.51%
MSFT performance in the past 30 days: 9.15%
MSFT performance in the past 90 days: 16.48%
MSFT performance in the past 200 days: 17.28%
META performance in the past 5 days: 0.0%
META performance in the past 30 days: 14.19%
META performance in the past 90 days: -5.05%
META performance in the past 200 days: 33.79%
NVDA performance in the past 5 days: 1.32%
NVDA performance in the past 30 days: 22.57%
NVDA performance in the past 90 days: 8.34%
NVDA performance in the past 200 days: 33.24%
TSLA performance in the past 5 days: -0.97%
TSLA performance in the past 30 days: 13.11%
TSLA performance in the past 90 days: -1.93%
TSLA performance in the past 200 days: 52.97%
Mag 7 earning dates:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| GOOG | 2025-07-21 |
| GOOGL | 2025-07-21 |
| AMZN | 2025-07-30 |
| AAPL | 2025-07-30 |
| MSFT | 2025-07-28 |
| META | 2025-07-29 |
| NVDA | 2025-08-27 |
| TSLA | 2025-07-21 |
Next FOMC meeting date: 2025-07-29
Hedging Tools
----Hedging Tools----
----VIX Summary as of 2025-06-21----
Current VIX: 20.62, VIX percentile in the past 252 days: 69.01%
Z-score (5 days): 0.24
Z-score (20 days): 1.26
VIX9D: 18.32
VIX9D > VIX: False
---VIXY Performance Summary----
Current VIXY: 52.16, VIXY percentile in the past 90 days: 44.26%
5D % Change: -3.07
5D Volatility (%): 5.53
RSI (14): 48.45
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.6
---UVXY Performance Summary----
Current UVXY: 22.1, UVXY percentile in the past 90 days: 34.43%
5D % Change: -4.82
5D Volatility (%): 8.08
RSI (14): 47.99
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.76
----SQQQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.31
5D Volatility (%): 2.8
RSI (14): 42.65
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.93
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----PSQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.17
5D Volatility (%): 0.96
RSI (14): 44.21
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.95
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----QID Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.21
5D Volatility (%): 1.9
RSI (14): 43.25
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.94
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----SH Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.29
5D Volatility (%): 0.74
RSI (14): 45.21
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.81
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----SDS Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.5
5D Volatility (%): 1.47
RSI (14): 44.4
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 1.0
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----SPXU Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.74
5D Volatility (%): 2.23
RSI (14): 43.72
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.97
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----DOG Performance Summary----
5D % Change: 0.07
5D Volatility (%): 0.89
RSI (14): 52.98
Above 5-day MA: True
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.82
5D Correlation with ^DJI: -1.0
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
Financial:
-
Earnings Strength: GOOG has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the past 8 quarters, with the latest EPS of 2.27 (vs. consensus 2.01).
-
Valuation: Current P/E (18.7) is below the peer average (35.73), suggesting undervaluation relative to sector peers.
-
Growth Trend: EPS has been steadily increasing, with a historical average of 1.73 and recent quarters showing strong performance.
-
Upcoming Catalyst: Next earnings report on July 21, 2025—could provide a positive surprise given historical trends.
Technical:
-
Recent Pullback: Down 4.63% in 5 days, but still up 7.82% in 30 days, suggesting a short-term correction in an uptrend.
-
Support Levels:
-
Fibonacci 38.2% support at $167.18 (close to current price of $167.73).
-
Bollinger Lower Band at $165.92—potential downside cushion.
-
Momentum Indicators:
-
RSI (53.77)—neutral, not overbought or oversold.
-
MACD histogram turning negative but still above signal line—watch for reversal.
-
Volume Spike (1.98x avg)—indicates strong interest at current levels.
News:
-
Positive Sentiment (8/10 articles): Focus on AI, cloud growth (Google Cloud fastest-growing), and Waymo expansion.
-
Catalysts: AI integration, autonomous driving progress, and cloud partnerships (e.g., IGM Financial).
Additional Context:
-
Economic Backdrop: Stable inflation (2.95%), low unemployment (4.2%), and Fed rate cuts (FFR down 18.76% YoY) support tech growth.
-
Peer Comparison: Underperforming NVDA (+22.57% in 30d) but better than AAPL (-9.46% in 200d).
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Capital Allocation:
-
60% at current price ($167.73)—near Fibonacci support.
-
40% at $165.92 (Bollinger Lower Band)—if further dip occurs.
- Entry Price:
- Ideal buy zone: $165.92–$167.73 (support confluence).
- Stop-Loss:
- $162.47 (50% Fibonacci level, -3.1% from entry)—strict risk control.
- Hedging Measures:
-
Protective Puts: Buy $160 puts (July expiry) to limit downside.
-
Inverse ETF Hedge: Allocate 10% to SQQQ (high correlation to tech).
-
VIX Hedge: VIX at 20.62 (69th percentile)—no urgent need for volatility hedge.
- Profit Targets:
-
Short-term: $173.02 (23.6% Fib, +3.1%)—pre-earnings run-up.
-
Long-term: $182.45 (recent high, +8.8%)—post-earnings breakout.
- Time Horizon:
- 3–6 weeks (earnings catalyst on July 21).
Final Notes:
-
Watch for earnings volatility—consider trimming before July 21 if profit targets hit.
-
Monitor MACD reversal—if histogram turns positive, confirms bullish momentum.
-
Peer momentum: NVDA/MSFT strength could lift GOOG.
Conclusion: GOOG is a Buy with controlled risk—undervalued, strong earnings, and positive catalysts. Use tiered entry and hedging to manage downside.