goog.

GOOG 2025-06-30

Created on

Symbol

GOOG

User Message

I bought GOOG at 166 per share

Financial Report

----Earnings Data Summary for GOOG as of 2025-06-30----

Most recent EPS (Actual): 2.27

Most recent EPS (Consensus): 2.01

Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-04-24

Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31

Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.73

In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.

Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.15

Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.17

Upcoming earnings date: 2025-07-29

----Valuation Data Summary for GOOG as of 2025-06-30----

Current P/E for GOOG: 19.92

1 year P/E range: 18.51 - 26.34

2 years P/E range: 18.51 - 26.34

5 years P/E range: 18.51 - 27.35

Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['GOOGL', 'TSLA', 'MSFT', 'ZI', 'NVDA', 'PINS', 'META', 'MTCH', 'RUM', 'AMZN', 'NFLX', 'AAPL', 'SHOP', 'GRND', 'SNAP', 'RDDT']

Average P/E for these peer companies: 38.43

----Management Sentiment Summary for GOOG in 2025Q2 earnings call----:

The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:

The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.

The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.

0.5 is neutral.

No data available

Technical Report

----Price Distribution for GOOG----

25th percentile in the past 20 days: 169.5

Lowest price in the past 20 days: 163.33

Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 170.86

Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 166.91

Price below mean by one standard deviation: 167.03

Price below mean by two standard deviations: 162.79999999999998

----Technical Indicators Summary for GOOG as of 2025-06-30----

MACD values for GOOG in the past 14 days:

| Date | histogram | macd | signal |

|--------|---------|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-27 | -0.38 | 1.39 | 1.77 |

| 2025-06-26 | -0.87 | 0.99 | 1.86 |

| 2025-06-25 | -1.23 | 0.85 | 2.08 |

| 2025-06-24 | -1.43 | 0.96 | 2.39 |

| 2025-06-23 | -1.27 | 1.47 | 2.75 |

| 2025-06-20 | -0.78 | 2.28 | 3.06 |

| 2025-06-18 | -0.16 | 3.10 | 3.26 |

| 2025-06-17 | 0.16 | 3.46 | 3.30 |

| 2025-06-16 | 0.29 | 3.55 | 3.26 |

| 2025-06-13 | 0.34 | 3.53 | 3.19 |

EMA values for GOOG with a window of 50 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-27 | 170.05 |

| 2025-06-26 | 169.72 |

| 2025-06-25 | 169.53 |

| 2025-06-24 | 169.45 |

| 2025-06-23 | 169.52 |

| 2025-06-20 | 169.66 |

| 2025-06-18 | 169.74 |

| 2025-06-17 | 169.56 |

| 2025-06-16 | 169.25 |

| 2025-06-13 | 168.90 |

EMA values for GOOG with a window of 200 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-27 | 170.65 |

| 2025-06-26 | 170.58 |

| 2025-06-25 | 170.54 |

| 2025-06-24 | 170.53 |

| 2025-06-23 | 170.56 |

| 2025-06-20 | 170.60 |

| 2025-06-18 | 170.63 |

| 2025-06-17 | 170.60 |

| 2025-06-16 | 170.53 |

| 2025-06-13 | 170.46 |

RSI values for GOOG in the past 14 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-27 | 59.63 |

| 2025-06-26 | 54.93 |

| 2025-06-25 | 50.86 |

| 2025-06-24 | 44.98 |

| 2025-06-23 | 42.01 |

| 2025-06-20 | 44.22 |

| 2025-06-18 | 53.73 |

| 2025-06-17 | 59.96 |

| 2025-06-16 | 61.41 |

| 2025-06-13 | 58.73 |

Money Flow Index (MFI) for GOOG over the last 20 days:

Latest MFI: 50.39

| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |

|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|

| 2025-06-27 | 50.39 | 1.02 | 176.61 |

| 2025-06-26 | 41.11 | 0.70 | 173.31 |

| 2025-06-25 | 41.13 | 0.70 | 171.14 |

| 2025-06-24 | 41.24 | 0.70 | 167.97 |

| 2025-06-23 | 36.28 | 0.57 | 165.94 |

| 2025-06-20 | 44.18 | 0.79 | 169.79 |

| 2025-06-18 | 53.63 | 1.16 | 174.88 |

| 2025-06-17 | 53.69 | 1.16 | 177.29 |

| 2025-06-16 | 53.43 | 1.15 | 177.34 |

| 2025-06-13 | 54.88 | 1.22 | 175.93 |

| 2025-06-12 | 58.87 | 1.43 | 177.07 |

| 2025-06-11 | 63.04 | 1.71 | 179.51 |

| 2025-06-10 | 66.83 | 2.01 | 179.64 |

| 2025-06-09 | 66.54 | 1.99 | 177.07 |

| 2025-06-06 | 62.89 | 1.69 | 174.14 |

| 2025-06-05 | 57.54 | 1.36 | 170.30 |

| 2025-06-04 | 49.06 | 0.96 | 168.72 |

| 2025-06-03 | 46.70 | 0.88 | 167.86 |

| 2025-06-02 | 49.97 | 1.00 | 169.82 |

| 2025-05-30 | 53.44 | 1.15 | 171.40 |

| 2025-05-29 | 56.96 | 1.32 | 173.17 |

Bollinger lower and higher band for GOOG, calculated for the past 20 days

Number of Standard Deviations: 2

Latest Close: 178.27

Latest SMA: 173.4

Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 164.55

Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 182.25

Volume and volume ratio for GOOG:

Last 30 days average volume: 29134936.67

Today's volume: 73977100

Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 2.54

No VWAP data for GOOG.

Support levels for GOOG in the last 200 days:

Last Low: 142.49 on 2025-04-07

Last High: 182.45 on 2025-06-10

Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 173.02, 38.2%: 167.18, 50.0%: 162.47, 61.8%: 157.75, 78.6%: 151.04

Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.

Short interest data for GOOG in the past 5 months:

| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |

|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|

| 2025-06-13 | 22376579 | 1.48 | 33031167 |

| 2025-05-30 | 31296888 | 1.02 | 31955063 |

| 2025-05-15 | 28525674 | 1.28 | 36570404 |

| 2025-04-30 | 20874245 | 1.92 | 40112579 |

| 2025-04-15 | 29496689 | 1.36 | 40047658 |

| 2025-03-31 | 23640465 | 1.63 | 38529868 |

| 2025-03-14 | 21343753 | 2.08 | 44488045 |

| 2025-02-28 | 20200498 | 1.92 | 38855537 |

| 2025-02-14 | 20913221 | 2.09 | 43612089 |

| 2025-01-31 | 16515607 | 2.66 | 43984363 |

Economics Report

Summary: Time to Be Cautiously Greedy

The current macroeconomic landscape suggests a mixed but leaning-positive outlook, warranting cautious optimism ("greedy" in selective areas) rather than outright fear. Here’s why:

  1. Soft Landing Potential: The Fed’s anticipated rate cuts (likely Q4 2025) and cooling inflation could stabilize markets, historically a bullish signal. Past soft landings (e.g., mid-1990s) saw equities rally as growth normalized without recession.

  2. Valuation Opportunities: Slower growth may create pockets of undervaluation, especially in sectors less sensitive to rates (e.g., healthcare, staples) or beneficiaries of structural trends (AI, green energy).

  3. Historical Precedent: Markets often bottom before economic troughs. With inflation decelerating and policy easing ahead, early positioning in quality assets could pay off.

Risks to Monitor:

  • Tariffs/Geopolitics: Trade tensions could reignite inflation, delaying Fed cuts.

  • Consumer Weakness: Rising delinquencies may pressure earnings in discretionary sectors.

  • Global Spillovers: Emerging market stress or geopolitical shocks could derail sentiment.

Action: Favor defensive growth (tech, utilities) and dividend payers, but keep dry powder for volatility. Avoid overexposure to rate-sensitive cyclicals until the Fed’s path clarifies.

Bottom Line: Not time for outright fear, but selective greed with hedges.

News Report

----News and sentiment report for GOOG as of 2025-06-30----

There are 83 articles found for GOOG for the last 30 days.

Peer news results as a comparison:

GOOGL: 436 articles found.

TSLA: 707 articles found.

MSFT: 579 articles found.

ZI: 2242 articles found.

NVDA: 1031 articles found.

PINS: 995 articles found.

META: 22615 articles found.

MTCH: 11 articles found.

RUM: 1831 articles found.

AMZN: 1160 articles found.

Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 GOOG news articles:

Title: Where Will Nvidia Be in the Next 3 Years?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-29T22:30:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Developing custom chips, part of the competitive landscape in AI infrastructure

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/29/where-will-nvidia-be-in-the-next-3-years/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: This Home Run Growth Stock Is Too Good to Ignore

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-29T16:33:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Mentioned as a competitor in cloud infrastructure space

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2025/06/29/this-home-run-growth-stock-is-too-good-to-ignore/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: 10 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Companies to Buy Now and Hold Forever

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-29T10:30:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Developed Gemini AI, integrates AI across Google Search, Android, and Google Cloud

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/29/10-artificial-intelligence-ai-companies-to-buy-now/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Down 30%, Should You Buy the Dip on IonQ?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-29T10:30:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Announced advanced quantum chip (Willow), sparking industry interest in quantum computing

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/29/down-30-should-you-buy-the-dip-on-ionq/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Tesla Stock Investors Just Got Bad News From Wall Street, but There's a Silver Lining

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-29T07:30:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Mentioned as a competitor in autonomous vehicle technology with Waymo, no direct performance commentary

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/29/tesla-stock-investors-got-bad-news-wall-street/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Down 48%, Should You Buy the Dip on Rigetti Computing?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-28T17:11:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Recognized for quantum computing achievements but mentioned as a direct competitor to Rigetti

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/28/down-48-should-you-buy-the-dip-on-rigetti/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Why Are Tesla, Apple, and Alphabet Underperforming the "Magnificent Seven" and the S&P 500?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-28T10:15:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Mixed AI potential with Google Cloud and Gemini, but uncertainty around Google Search's future in AI-driven market

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/28/tesla-apple-alphabet-stocks-buy-magnificent-seven/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Tesla's Austin Robotaxi Boosts Musk's Net Worth. How Long Can It Last?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-28T06:23:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Already operating in six cities, providing 250,000 paid rides per week, demonstrating more advanced autonomous vehicle capabilities

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/28/teslas-austin-robotaxi-boosts-musks-net-worth-how/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Where Will Rigetti Computing Stock Be in 5 Years?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-27T21:15:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Significant R&D spending ($13.56 billion), potential to lead quantum computing research and development

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/27/where-will-rigetti-computing-stock-be-in-5-years/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Meet the Only "Magnificent Seven" Stock That Is Cheaper Than the S&P 500 (According to This Key Metric)

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-27T10:17:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Trading at a lower forward P/E ratio than S&P 500, making significant AI advancements with Gemini, and showing potential for steady earnings growth despite search market challenges

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/27/magnificent-seven-stock-sp-500-buy-alphabet/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Out of the total 10 articles,

There are 5 articles with positive sentiment, and

0 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.

Hedging Tools

----VIX Summary as of 2025-06-30----

Current VIX: 16.32, VIX percentile in the past 200 days: 26.5%

Z-score (5 days): -0.75

Z-score (20 days): -1.27

VIX9D: 12.81

VIX9D VIX: False

---UVXY Performance Summary----

Current UVXY: 18.91, UVXY percentile in the past 90 days: 1.67%

5D % Change: -12.45

5D Volatility (%): 3.56

RSI (14): 42.87

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 0.8

----SQQQ Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -8.74

5D Volatility (%): 1.42

RSI (14): 33.0

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 1.03

5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0

----PSQ Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -2.93

5D Volatility (%): 0.48

RSI (14): 33.87

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 0.9

5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0

----QID Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -5.86

5D Volatility (%): 0.95

RSI (14): 33.26

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 0.98

5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0

----SH Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -2.3

5D Volatility (%): 0.4

RSI (14): 34.38

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 1.21

5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0

----SDS Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -4.67

5D Volatility (%): 0.79

RSI (14): 33.54

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 1.1

5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0

----SPXU Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -6.76

5D Volatility (%): 1.16

RSI (14): 33.72

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 1.0

5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0

----DOG Performance Summary----

5D % Change: -2.71

5D Volatility (%): 0.46

RSI (14): 36.98

Above 5-day MA: False

Volume Spike Ratio: 1.41

5D Correlation with ^DJI: -1.0

Final Report

Recommendation: Buy

Reasoning:

  • Financial:

  • Earnings Strength: GOOG's most recent EPS of 2.27 beat consensus (2.01), continuing a trend of no misses in the last 8 quarters. Historical average EPS (1.73) and high (2.15) suggest consistent performance.

  • Valuation: Current P/E (19.92) is below the peer average (38.43) and near the lower end of its 5-year range (18.51–27.35), indicating relative undervaluation. Upcoming earnings on 2025-07-29 could be a catalyst.

  • Technical:

  • Trends: The stock is trading above its 50-day EMA (170.05) and 200-day EMA (170.65), signaling a bullish trend. However, MACD histogram is negative (-0.38), suggesting short-term consolidation.

  • Support/Resistance: Key support at Fibonacci 38.2% level (167.18) and Bollinger lower band (164.55). Recent low of 163.33 provides a strong floor.

  • Momentum: RSI (59.63) is neutral, while MFI (50.39) indicates balanced money flow. High volume (2.54x 30-day average) suggests institutional interest.

  • News and Macro Economics:

  • Sentiment: 5/10 recent articles were positive, highlighting AI advancements (Gemini, quantum computing) and undervaluation vs. peers.

  • Macro: Fed rate cuts (likely Q4 2025) and cooling inflation favor tech stocks. Caution advised around tariffs/geopolitics.

  • Additional Context: User’s cost basis ($166) is below current price ($178.27), providing a buffer.

Strategy to Minimize Risk:

  1. Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $167–$170 (near Fibonacci 38.2% support and EMA confluence).

  2. Stop-Loss: Exit if price closes below $163 (2% below recent low).

  3. Profit Targets:

  • Short-term: $182 (near Bollinger upper band; ~7% upside).

  • Long-term: $200 (12% upside, contingent on strong earnings).

  1. Time Horizon: 1–3 months (hold through earnings if entry is strong).

Final Notes:

  • Monitor earnings on 2025-07-29 for guidance updates.

  • Watch MACD for bullish crossover to confirm momentum shift.

  • Hedge with defensive sectors if macro risks escalate.

Rating justified by undervaluation, bullish trends, and positive catalysts, balanced with tight risk controls.