GOOG 2025-12-11
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for GOOG as of 2025-12-11
Most recent EPS (Actual): 3.09
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 2.33
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-28
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.04
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.81
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.55
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-02
Valuation Data Summary for GOOG as of 2025-12-11
Current P/E for GOOG: 23.57
1 year P/E range: 17.35 - 23.84
2 years P/E range: 17.35 - 26.15
5 years P/E range: 17.35 - 26.15
Management Sentiment Summary for GOOG in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CEO | 0.64 |
| CFO | 0.50 |
Insider transactions in the last 90 days:
On 2025-12-05, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at GOOG.
Total of 32.5K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $315.16 and $321.77.
The insiders have 18.3M shares left in the company.
On 2025-12-02, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at GOOG.
Total of 954 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $317 and $317.
The insiders have 11.7K shares left in the company.
On 2025-12-02, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at GOOG.
Total of 102 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $317.66 and $317.66.
The insiders have 18.1K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-21, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at GOOG.
Total of 32.5K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $287.88 and $303.58.
The insiders have 32.5M shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-18, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at GOOG.
Total of 2.8K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $285.14 and $293.6.
The insiders have 87.9K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-17, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at GOOG.
Total of 600 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $278.87 and $283.05.
The insiders have 57.2K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-07, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at GOOG.
Total of 32.5K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $278.52 and $286.03.
The insiders have 18.8M shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-04, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at GOOG.
Total of 954 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $282.33 and $282.33.
The insiders have 14.5K shares left in the company.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for GOOG
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 292.05
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 271.23
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 309.2
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 284.04
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 287.55
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 271.32
Price Range for GOOG
GOOG current price: $315.5
5-Day Range: $311.91 - $323.62
50-Day Range: $236.53 - $328.46
200-Day Range: $142.27 - $328.46
Technical Indicators Summary for GOOG as of 2025-12-11
MACD values for GOOG in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | -0.73 | 12.06 | 12.79 |
| 2025-12-09 | -0.61 | 12.36 | 12.97 |
| 2025-12-08 | -0.22 | 12.90 | 13.12 |
| 2025-12-05 | 0.56 | 13.73 | 13.17 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0.78 | 13.82 | 13.03 |
| 2025-12-03 | 1.27 | 14.11 | 12.84 |
| 2025-12-02 | 1.52 | 14.04 | 12.52 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2.08 | 14.22 | 12.14 |
| 2025-11-28 | 2.71 | 14.34 | 11.62 |
| 2025-11-26 | 2.82 | 13.76 | 10.94 |
EMA values for GOOG with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | 284.39 |
| 2025-12-09 | 282.89 |
| 2025-12-08 | 281.47 |
| 2025-12-05 | 280.12 |
| 2025-12-04 | 278.41 |
| 2025-12-03 | 276.78 |
| 2025-12-02 | 274.99 |
| 2025-12-01 | 273.31 |
| 2025-11-28 | 271.61 |
| 2025-11-26 | 269.63 |
EMA values for GOOG with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | 227.67 |
| 2025-12-09 | 226.73 |
| 2025-12-08 | 225.81 |
| 2025-12-05 | 224.92 |
| 2025-12-04 | 223.95 |
| 2025-12-03 | 223.00 |
| 2025-12-02 | 222.02 |
| 2025-12-01 | 221.07 |
| 2025-11-28 | 220.13 |
| 2025-11-26 | 219.12 |
RSI values for GOOG in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | 66.25 |
| 2025-12-09 | 64.46 |
| 2025-12-08 | 62.58 |
| 2025-12-05 | 70.58 |
| 2025-12-04 | 68.78 |
| 2025-12-03 | 71.21 |
| 2025-12-02 | 69.13 |
| 2025-12-01 | 68.71 |
| 2025-11-28 | 73.80 |
| 2025-11-26 | 73.96 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for GOOG over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 74.09
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | 74.09 | 2.86 | 318.31 |
| 2025-12-10 | 65.21 | 1.87 | 319.42 |
| 2025-12-09 | 69.08 | 2.23 | 316.36 |
| 2025-12-08 | 73.28 | 2.74 | 315.86 |
| 2025-12-05 | 81.72 | 4.47 | 321.97 |
| 2025-12-04 | 82.62 | 4.75 | 319.03 |
| 2025-12-03 | 83.55 | 5.08 | 318.98 |
| 2025-12-02 | 75.68 | 3.11 | 316.28 |
| 2025-12-01 | 76.12 | 3.19 | 316.24 |
| 2025-11-28 | 78.88 | 3.74 | 321.31 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for GOOG, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 316.5
Latest SMA: 307.69
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 275.06
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 340.32
ADX for GOOG, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 50.18
Volume and volume ratio for GOOG:
Last 30 days average volume: 26.4M
Today's volume: 2.4M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.09
No VWAP data for GOOG.
Support levels for GOOG (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 163.33 on 2025-06-23 (UTC)
Last High: 328.67 on 2025-11-25 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 284.77, 38.2%: 257.61, 50.0%: 235.67, 61.8%: 213.72, 78.6%: 182.47
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for GOOG in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | 37.1M | 1.12 | 41.7M |
| 2025-11-14 | 18.8M | 1.88 | 35.3M |
| 2025-10-31 | 23M | 1.72 | 39.5M |
| 2025-10-15 | 18M | 1.99 | 35.8M |
| 2025-09-30 | 21.9M | 1.61 | 35.3M |
| 2025-09-15 | 28.9M | 1.37 | 39.6M |
| 2025-08-29 | 18.4M | 1.69 | 31.1M |
| 2025-08-15 | 19.2M | 2.09 | 40.2M |
| 2025-07-31 | 27.4M | 1.24 | 34.1M |
| 2025-07-15 | 22.6M | 1.50 | 33.8M |
Option Chain
Monthly options:
GOOG 310 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.2961, delta: -0.383, gamma: 0.0145, theta: -0.1602, vega: 0.3397 ask price: 7.5, bid price: 7.3
GOOG 300 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3059, delta: -0.2514, gamma: 0.0117, theta: -0.141, vega: 0.2837 ask price: 4.35, bid price: 4.2
GOOG 290 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3182, delta: -0.1528, gamma: 0.0083, theta: -0.11, vega: 0.21 ask price: 2.39, bid price: 2.3
GOOG 280 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3364, delta: -0.0895, gamma: 0.0054, theta: -0.0804, vega: 0.1439 ask price: 1.32, bid price: 1.26
GOOG 270 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3598, delta: -0.0521, gamma: 0.0033, theta: -0.0571, vega: 0.0949 ask price: 0.76, bid price: 0.7
GOOG 260 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3867, delta: -0.0312, gamma: 0.002, theta: -0.0407, vega: 0.0626 ask price: 0.46, bid price: 0.41
GOOG 250 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.4142, delta: -0.0186, gamma: 0.0012, theta: -0.0283, vega: 0.0406 ask price: 0.28, bid price: 0.24
GOOG 240 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.4404, delta: -0.0108, gamma: 0.0007, theta: -0.0188, vega: 0.0253 ask price: 0.17, bid price: 0.13
Weekly options:
GOOG 310 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.2946, delta: -0.3544, gamma: 0.0197, theta: -0.222, vega: 0.2383 ask price: 4.75, bid price: 4.6
GOOG 300 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3089, delta: -0.1889, gamma: 0.0137, theta: -0.1719, vega: 0.1732 ask price: 2.15, bid price: 2.08
GOOG 290 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3331, delta: -0.0928, gamma: 0.0078, theta: -0.115, vega: 0.1064 ask price: 0.97, bid price: 0.93
GOOG 280 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3663, delta: -0.0462, gamma: 0.0041, theta: -0.0742, vega: 0.062 ask price: 0.48, bid price: 0.44
GOOG 270 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4053, delta: -0.0244, gamma: 0.0022, theta: -0.0487, vega: 0.0366 ask price: 0.26, bid price: 0.23
GOOG 260 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4428, delta: -0.0128, gamma: 0.0012, theta: -0.0308, vega: 0.0211 ask price: 0.14, bid price: 0.12
GOOG 250 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4802, delta: -0.0068, gamma: 0.0006, theta: -0.0192, vega: 0.0121 ask price: 0.08, bid price: 0.06
GOOG 240 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.5206, delta: -0.0038, gamma: 0.0003, theta: -0.0124, vega: 0.0072 ask price: 0.05, bid price: 0.03
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial:
- Earnings Strength: GOOG's most recent EPS of $3.09 significantly beat consensus ($2.33), continuing a trend of zero misses over the past 8 quarters. The historical average EPS ($2.04) is well below the latest figure, indicating strong recent performance.
- Valuation: Current P/E of 23.57 is near the top of its 1-year range (17.35–23.84), suggesting the stock is fully valued relative to recent history.
- Management Sentiment: CEO sentiment is moderately positive (0.64), but CFO sentiment is neutral (0.50), indicating cautious optimism.
- Insider Activity: Consistent insider selling over the past 90 days (notably large blocks of 32.5K shares) may signal that insiders view the stock as fairly valued or overvalued at current levels.
-
Technical:
- Price Action: Current price ($315.5) is near the top of the 5-day range ($311.91–$323.62) and approaching the 50-day high ($328.46). The stock is trading above both the 50-day EMA (~$284) and 200-day EMA (~$228), indicating a strong uptrend.
- Momentum Indicators: RSI (66.25) is approaching overbought territory (>70). MACD histogram has turned negative in recent days (-0.73), suggesting weakening bullish momentum. ADX (50.18) signals a strong trend, but the negative MACD histogram hints at a potential near-term pullback.
- Support/Resistance: Key support lies at the 50-day EMA (~$284) and the Bollinger lower band (~$275). Resistance is at the recent high (~$328.46).
- Volume: Today's volume is extremely low (0.09x 30-day average), indicating lack of conviction at current levels.
-
News:
- Sentiment: News sentiment is predominantly positive (5 positive, 1 negative out of 10 articles), highlighting GOOG's AI advancements, cloud growth, and market dominance.
- Macro Context: The broader economy shows late-cycle characteristics (elevated valuations, cooling labor market, sticky inflation). The Buffett Indicator (223.3%) signals extreme market valuation risk, which could limit upside for high-P/E stocks like GOOG.
-
Option Chain:
- Implied Volatility (IV): IV for puts increases as strikes decrease (e.g., 29.6% for 310 put, 44.0% for 240 put), reflecting higher perceived downside risk.
- Greeks: Delta for near-the-money puts (e.g., 310 put: -0.383) indicates moderate sensitivity to price declines. Elevated vega values suggest options are sensitive to volatility changes, which may rise around earnings (Feb 2, 2026).
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $290–$300. This aligns with:
- The 50-day EMA (~$284) and Bollinger lower band (~$275) as strong support.
- The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (~$257.61) and 50-day range low ($236.53) as deeper fallback supports.
- Option chain strikes (300 put, 290 put) where IV is moderate, providing cheaper hedging opportunities.
-
Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $328 (4–8% gain from $315.5) if the stock breaks above recent resistance.
- Long-term: Hold for AI/cloud growth, but reassess after Q4 earnings (Feb 2, 2026).
-
Time Horizon: 3–6 months, pending Q4 earnings and macro developments.
Final Notes:
- Upside Catalysts: Strong Q4 earnings, AI product announcements, or a broader market rally.
- Downside Risks: Overbought technicals, insider selling, macro valuation concerns, and potential earnings disappointment.
- Risk Management: Use put options (e.g., 290–300 strike) to hedge against declines. A break below $275 (Bollinger lower band) would invalidate the bullish thesis and warrant a reassessment.
Overall: GOOG is a high-quality company with strong fundamentals and positive sentiment, but technical overbought conditions, insider selling, and elevated valuation warrant caution. Wait for a pullback to the $290–$300 range for a better risk/reward entry.