META 2026-01-22
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for META as of 2026-01-22
Most recent EPS (Actual): 7.25
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 6.67
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 4.39 - 8.02
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 5.9
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-29
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-01-28
Valuation Data Summary for META as of 2026-01-22
Current P/E for META: 25.76
1 year P/E range: 22.44 - 26.52
2 years P/E range: 22.44 - 27.73
5 years P/E range: 12.91 - 32.59
Management Sentiment Summary for META in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Insider transactions for META in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | -517 | $608.35 | Sell | 10.6K |
| 2026-01-15 | -580 | $618.28 | Sell | 5.6K |
| 2026-01-12 | -517 | $653.0 | Sell | 11.2K |
| 2026-01-05 | -517 | $650.41 | Sell | 11.7K |
| 2025-12-30 | -519 | $658.69 | Sell | 28.7K |
| 2025-12-29 | -517 | $658.14 | Sell | 12.2K |
| 2025-12-23 | -519 | $659.38 | Sell | 29.2K |
| 2025-12-22 | -517 | $661.11 | Sell | 12.7K |
| 2025-12-16 | -519 | $643.23 | Sell | 29.7K |
| 2025-12-15 | -517 | $646.0 | Sell | 13.2K |
Technical Report
Price Range for META
META current price: $647.63
5-Day Range: $600.00 - $648.23
50-Day Range: $580.78 - $710.42
200-Day Range: $478.72 - $795.06
Price Distribution for META in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 628.52
Lowest price: 600.0
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 635.72
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 614.82
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 617.93
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 597.81
Technical Indicators Summary for META as of 2026-01-22
MACD values for META in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | -10.55 | -5.51 | -5.04 |
| 2026-01-20 | -9.71 | -4.25 | -5.46 |
| 2026-01-16 | -7.60 | -2.88 | -4.71 |
| 2026-01-15 | -6.44 | -1.71 | -4.73 |
| 2026-01-14 | -4.92 | -0.52 | -4.39 |
| 2026-01-13 | -2.37 | 0.58 | -2.94 |
| 2026-01-12 | -0.66 | 1.31 | -1.97 |
| 2026-01-09 | 0.41 | 1.81 | -1.39 |
| 2026-01-08 | 0.65 | 2.15 | -1.50 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1.66 | 2.53 | -0.87 |
EMA values for META with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | 650.82 |
| 2026-01-20 | 652.36 |
| 2026-01-16 | 654.33 |
| 2026-01-15 | 655.72 |
| 2026-01-14 | 657.15 |
| 2026-01-13 | 658.85 |
| 2026-01-12 | 659.98 |
| 2026-01-09 | 660.72 |
| 2026-01-08 | 661.03 |
| 2026-01-07 | 661.64 |
EMA values for META with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | 663.83 |
| 2026-01-20 | 664.34 |
| 2026-01-16 | 664.95 |
| 2026-01-15 | 665.40 |
| 2026-01-14 | 665.84 |
| 2026-01-13 | 666.35 |
| 2026-01-12 | 666.70 |
| 2026-01-09 | 666.95 |
| 2026-01-08 | 667.09 |
| 2026-01-07 | 667.30 |
RSI values for META in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | 37.02 |
| 2026-01-20 | 31.71 |
| 2026-01-16 | 36.99 |
| 2026-01-15 | 37.19 |
| 2026-01-14 | 34.07 |
| 2026-01-13 | 39.43 |
| 2026-01-12 | 43.91 |
| 2026-01-09 | 49.20 |
| 2026-01-08 | 45.34 |
| 2026-01-07 | 46.57 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for META over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 50.77
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | 644.92 | 1.03 | 50.77 |
| 2026-01-21 | 610.44 | 0.63 | 38.63 |
| 2026-01-20 | 605.17 | 0.60 | 37.57 |
| 2026-01-16 | 623.14 | 0.89 | 47.15 |
| 2026-01-15 | 619.73 | 0.56 | 35.80 |
| 2026-01-14 | 619.60 | 0.38 | 27.34 |
| 2026-01-13 | 632.49 | 0.57 | 36.16 |
| 2026-01-12 | 645.72 | 0.64 | 38.98 |
| 2026-01-09 | 650.29 | 0.71 | 41.68 |
| 2026-01-08 | 642.96 | 0.62 | 38.29 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for META, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 647.63
Latest SMA: 644.62
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 604.6
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 684.65
ADX for META, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 1.42
Volume and volume ratio for META:
Last 30 days average volume: 14.6M
Today's volume: 21.4M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.46
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 644.73
Support levels for META (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 581.25 on 2025-11-19 (UTC)
Last High: 796.25 on 2025-08-15 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 721.57, 38.2%: 675.37, 50.0%: 638.02, 61.8%: 600.68, 78.6%: 547.52
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for META in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 33.1M | 14.7M | 2.26 |
| 2025-12-15 | 32M | 15.4M | 2.08 |
| 2025-11-28 | 32.4M | 20.1M | 1.61 |
| 2025-11-14 | 30.2M | 23M | 1.31 |
| 2025-10-31 | 27.9M | 21.6M | 1.29 |
| 2025-10-15 | 24.5M | 13.6M | 1.81 |
| 2025-09-30 | 23.8M | 12M | 1.98 |
| 2025-09-15 | 26.3M | 10.1M | 2.61 |
| 2025-08-29 | 24.4M | 9.9M | 2.46 |
| 2025-08-15 | 27.7M | 11.3M | 2.45 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-20:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640 | 0.41 | -0.42 | 0.01 | -0.47 | 0.72 | 24.75 | 24.40 |
| 630 | 0.41 | -0.37 | 0.01 | -0.46 | 0.69 | 20.35 | 20.05 |
| 620 | 0.41 | -0.32 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.65 | 16.50 | 16.25 |
| 610 | 0.41 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.60 | 13.20 | 13.00 |
| 600 | 0.41 | -0.23 | 0.00 | -0.37 | 0.55 | 10.45 | 10.20 |
| 590 | 0.41 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.33 | 0.49 | 8.20 | 7.95 |
| 580 | 0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.43 | 6.35 | 6.15 |
| 570 | 0.42 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.37 | 4.90 | 4.70 |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-06:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640 | 0.49 | -0.42 | 0.01 | -0.80 | 0.51 | 20.95 | 20.70 |
| 630 | 0.49 | -0.36 | 0.01 | -0.77 | 0.49 | 16.65 | 16.40 |
| 620 | 0.48 | -0.30 | 0.01 | -0.72 | 0.46 | 12.95 | 12.70 |
| 610 | 0.48 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.65 | 0.41 | 9.90 | 9.65 |
| 600 | 0.49 | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.58 | 0.36 | 7.40 | 7.20 |
| 590 | 0.49 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.49 | 0.31 | 5.45 | 5.25 |
| 580 | 0.49 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.26 | 3.95 | 3.80 |
| 570 | 0.50 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.34 | 0.21 | 2.84 | 2.73 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
-
Financial: META’s earnings remain robust, with the most recent EPS of $7.25 beating consensus by a solid margin and no misses over the last eight quarters. The current P/E of 25.76 is within the upper part of its 1‑year range, but still below the 5‑year peak, suggesting room for expansion if growth accelerates. The consistent insider selling over the past 90 days is a cautionary signal, but it may reflect routine portfolio rebalancing rather than a fundamental concern.
-
Technical: The stock recently rebounded sharply from the $600 support level, breaking above the 5‑day high and approaching the 50‑day EMA (~$650.82). Momentum is improving: the MACD histogram is less negative, RSI (37.02) is neutral and rising, and the Money Flow Index (50.77) shows balanced buying/selling pressure. Volume spiked 46% above average on the up‑day, confirming institutional interest. Key support is firm at $600 (recent low, Bollinger lower band), with resistance near the 200‑day EMA (~$663.83). The elevated short interest (33.1M shares) could fuel a short squeeze if positive momentum continues.
-
News & Macro: Sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with multiple articles highlighting AI investments, attractive valuation discounts, and long‑term clean‑energy partnerships. The broader macro environment is late‑cycle with high equity valuations, but supportive Fed policy and a positively sloped yield curve reduce near‑term recession risk. For META, the upcoming earnings (2026‑01‑28) serve as a catalyst that could reaffirm its AI‑driven growth narrative.
-
Option Chain: Implied volatility for monthly puts (~41%) is moderate, not signaling extreme fear. The delta of the 640‑strike put is -0.42, indicating the market assigns a moderate probability of closing below $640 by February expiration. Option premiums are reasonable for hedging if desired.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $635–$645 (near current price and above the $600 support). A confirmed break above the 50‑day EMA (~$651) could serve as an additional entry signal.
- Profit Targets:
- Short‑term (2‑4 weeks): $680 (5% gain), near the 200‑day EMA and Bollinger upper band.
- Medium‑term (3‑6 months): $750 (16% gain) if the stock reclaims its prior uptrend.
- Stop‑Loss: $595 (just below the recent low and Bollinger lower band), limiting downside to ~8% from $647.63.
- Time Horizon: Weeks to months, with attention to the upcoming earnings report (2026‑01‑28) and any AI‑related announcements.
Final Notes: The combination of strong fundamentals, improving technicals, and positive news flow supports a tactical buy. However, be mindful of the elevated market‑wide valuations and the potential for volatility around earnings. The high short interest could amplify upward moves if positive catalysts emerge.