META 2026-01-29
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for META as of 2026-01-29
Most recent EPS (Actual): 8.88
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 8.18
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 4.71 - 8.02
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 6.26
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2026-01-28
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-12-31
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-04-28
Valuation Data Summary for META as of 2026-01-29
Current P/E for META: 22.42
1 year P/E range: 22.42 - 26.52
2 years P/E range: 22.42 - 27.73
5 years P/E range: 12.91 - 32.59
Management Sentiment Summary for META in 2025Q4 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Insider transactions for META in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | -517 | $665.0 | Sell | 10.1K |
| 2026-01-20 | -517 | $608.35 | Sell | 10.6K |
| 2026-01-15 | -580 | $618.28 | Sell | 5.6K |
| 2026-01-12 | -517 | $653.0 | Sell | 11.2K |
| 2026-01-05 | -517 | $650.41 | Sell | 11.7K |
| 2025-12-30 | -519 | $658.69 | Sell | 28.7K |
| 2025-12-29 | -517 | $658.14 | Sell | 12.2K |
| 2025-12-23 | -519 | $659.38 | Sell | 29.2K |
| 2025-12-22 | -517 | $661.11 | Sell | 12.7K |
| 2025-12-16 | -519 | $643.23 | Sell | 29.7K |
Technical Report
Price Range for META
META current price: $738.31
5-Day Range: $644.45 - $744.00
50-Day Range: $580.78 - $744.00
200-Day Range: $478.72 - $795.06
Price Distribution for META in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 628.52
Lowest price: 600.0
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 635.72
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 614.23
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 614.67
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 588.53
Technical Indicators Summary for META as of 2026-01-29
MACD values for META in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 2.08 | -2.88 | 4.96 |
| 2026-01-27 | 0.35 | -4.12 | 4.47 |
| 2026-01-26 | -2.30 | -5.24 | 2.94 |
| 2026-01-23 | -5.59 | -5.97 | 0.39 |
| 2026-01-22 | -8.32 | -6.07 | -2.25 |
| 2026-01-21 | -10.55 | -5.51 | -5.04 |
| 2026-01-20 | -9.71 | -4.25 | -5.46 |
| 2026-01-16 | -7.60 | -2.88 | -4.71 |
| 2026-01-15 | -6.44 | -1.71 | -4.73 |
| 2026-01-14 | -4.92 | -0.52 | -4.39 |
EMA values for META with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 653.30 |
| 2026-01-27 | 652.67 |
| 2026-01-26 | 651.85 |
| 2026-01-23 | 651.01 |
| 2026-01-22 | 650.69 |
| 2026-01-21 | 650.82 |
| 2026-01-20 | 652.36 |
| 2026-01-16 | 654.33 |
| 2026-01-15 | 655.72 |
| 2026-01-14 | 657.15 |
EMA values for META with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 663.95 |
| 2026-01-27 | 663.90 |
| 2026-01-26 | 663.81 |
| 2026-01-23 | 663.72 |
| 2026-01-22 | 663.77 |
| 2026-01-21 | 663.93 |
| 2026-01-20 | 664.44 |
| 2026-01-16 | 665.05 |
| 2026-01-15 | 665.50 |
| 2026-01-14 | 665.95 |
RSI values for META in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 58.63 |
| 2026-01-27 | 60.61 |
| 2026-01-26 | 60.44 |
| 2026-01-23 | 56.34 |
| 2026-01-22 | 52.61 |
| 2026-01-21 | 37.05 |
| 2026-01-20 | 31.75 |
| 2026-01-16 | 37.03 |
| 2026-01-15 | 37.23 |
| 2026-01-14 | 34.12 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for META over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 81.95
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | 731.62 | 4.54 | 81.95 |
| 2026-01-28 | 670.84 | 2.11 | 67.88 |
| 2026-01-27 | 671.48 | 2.52 | 71.61 |
| 2026-01-26 | 669.64 | 1.69 | 62.85 |
| 2026-01-23 | 656.56 | 1.61 | 61.64 |
| 2026-01-22 | 644.92 | 1.03 | 50.77 |
| 2026-01-21 | 610.44 | 0.63 | 38.63 |
| 2026-01-20 | 605.17 | 0.60 | 37.57 |
| 2026-01-16 | 623.14 | 0.89 | 47.15 |
| 2026-01-15 | 619.73 | 0.56 | 35.80 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for META, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 738.31
Latest SMA: 649.16
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 590.42
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 707.9
ADX for META, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 47.69
Volume and volume ratio for META:
Last 30 days average volume: 16.8M
Today's volume: 59.9M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 3.57
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 649.67
Support levels for META (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 581.25 on 2025-11-19 (UTC)
Last High: 796.25 on 2025-08-15 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 721.57, 38.2%: 675.37, 50.0%: 638.02, 61.8%: 600.68, 78.6%: 547.52
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for META in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | 32.6M | 13.3M | 2.44 |
| 2025-12-31 | 33.1M | 14.7M | 2.26 |
| 2025-12-15 | 32M | 15.4M | 2.08 |
| 2025-11-28 | 32.4M | 20.1M | 1.61 |
| 2025-11-14 | 30.2M | 23M | 1.31 |
| 2025-10-31 | 27.9M | 21.6M | 1.29 |
| 2025-10-15 | 24.5M | 13.6M | 1.81 |
| 2025-09-30 | 23.8M | 12M | 1.98 |
| 2025-09-15 | 26.3M | 10.1M | 2.61 |
| 2025-08-29 | 24.4M | 9.9M | 2.46 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-27:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720 | 0.27 | -0.40 | 0.01 | -0.35 | 0.80 | 17.05 | 16.70 |
| 710 | 0.28 | -0.34 | 0.01 | -0.34 | 0.75 | 13.50 | 13.25 |
| 700 | 0.29 | -0.28 | 0.01 | -0.32 | 0.69 | 10.70 | 10.45 |
| 690 | 0.30 | -0.23 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.62 | 8.45 | 8.20 |
| 680 | 0.31 | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.55 | 6.75 | 6.50 |
| 670 | 0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.24 | 0.47 | 5.15 | 5.00 |
| 660 | 0.32 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.41 | 4.05 | 3.90 |
| 650 | 0.33 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.35 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-13:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720 | 0.27 | -0.38 | 0.01 | -0.49 | 0.56 | 11.30 | 11.00 |
| 710 | 0.28 | -0.30 | 0.01 | -0.46 | 0.51 | 8.15 | 7.95 |
| 700 | 0.30 | -0.23 | 0.01 | -0.42 | 0.45 | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| 690 | 0.31 | -0.17 | 0.01 | -0.37 | 0.37 | 4.35 | 4.15 |
| 680 | 0.32 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 0.31 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| 670 | 0.33 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.27 | 0.25 | 2.28 | 2.19 |
| 660 | 0.35 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.20 | 1.70 | 1.61 |
| 650 | 0.37 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.16 | 1.29 | 1.22 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
-
Financial: META delivered a strong Q4 2025 earnings beat (EPS of $8.88 vs. $8.18 consensus), continuing a streak of 8 consecutive quarters without a miss. The current P/E of 22.42 is at the low end of its 1-year range and below its 5-year average, suggesting relative undervaluation given its growth profile. The primary financial concern is persistent and significant insider selling over the last 90 days, which warrants caution but may be offset by the fundamentally strong results and growth trajectory tied to AI investments.
-
Technical: The stock is in a powerful uptrend, trading near 5-day highs and well above its 50-day ($653) and 200-day ($664) EMAs. Key momentum indicators are positive: the MACD histogram has turned positive (4.96), signaling renewed bullish momentum, and the ADX of 47.69 confirms a very strong trend. The breakout above the Bollinger upper band ($707.9) and massive volume (59.9M vs. 16.8M average) validate institutional buying interest. However, the Money Flow Index (81.95) indicates the stock is heavily bought in the short term, suggesting a pullback to healthier levels is likely before the next leg up. Strong support exists at the Fibonacci 50% level ($638) and the 200-day EMA.
-
News: Sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with 7 out of 10 analyzed articles bullish. Catalysts include a well-received Q4 earnings report highlighting AI-driven profitability, strong forward revenue guidance, and multiple analyst price target upgrades. The market has reacted strongly, with the stock surging 7-10% on the news. The high news volume (17,367 articles) indicates significant market attention, which can sustain momentum but also increases volatility.
-
Option Chain: The put option chain shows open interest at strikes from $650 to $720, with moderate implied volatilities (27-37%). This suggests the options market is not pricing in extreme downside fear despite the recent rally. The delta values for out-of-the-money puts are not excessively high, indicating a balanced risk perception.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone on a pullback: $640 - $665. This range aligns with the Fibonacci 50% support ($638), the 200-day EMA (~$664), and the high-volume VWAP of the last 30 days ($649.67). Avoid chasing the current price near $738.
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term (2-4 weeks): $790 - $800 (7-10% gain from the upper entry range, targeting the August 2025 high).
- Long-term (6-12 months): $860+ (aligns with analyst "blue sky" scenarios, contingent on successful AI monetization).
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss at $580, just below the key November 2025 low and the Fibonacci 78.6% level.
- Time Horizon: Primarily a medium-term swing trade (weeks to months), but the strong fundamental growth story also supports a long-term hold for investors comfortable with volatility.
Final Notes: META presents a compelling buy-on-dips opportunity. The core financial engine is robust, and the AI investment thesis is gaining credibility with the market. The major near-term risk is a technical pullback after the explosive post-earnings move. Patient investors should wait for a retracement to the defined support zone ($640-$665) to establish a position, ensuring a better risk/reward setup. Monitor the upcoming earnings date (2026-04-28) as the next major catalyst.