MSFT 2025-06-11
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symbol
MSFT
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financial report
EPS data summary for MSFT as of 2025-06-11:
Most recent EPS (Actual): 3.46
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 3.22
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-04-30
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31
Historical EPS (last 8 quarters): [3.23, 3.3, 2.95, 2.94, 2.93, 2.99, 2.69, 2.45]
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.94
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.3
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.45
Valuation data summary for MSFT as of 2025-06-11:
Current P/E for MSFT: 36.8
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['ORCL', 'AMZN', 'RBRK', 'META', 'FTNT', 'NVDA', 'AAPL', 'CRWD', 'GOOGL', 'AMD', 'ZS', 'PANW', 'CRM', 'CVLT', 'GEN', 'TSLA', 'GOOG', 'NOW']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 62.19
Historical low P/E for MSFT: 24.53
Historical high P/E for MSFT: 38.38
Sector peers performance for MSFT in the past 200 days:
ORCL: 29.66%
AMZN: 22.79%
RBRK: 151.42%
META: 33.67%
FTNT: 35.93%
NVDA: 11.71%
AAPL: -10.24%
CRWD: 75.04%
GOOGL: 8.68%
AMD: -20.84%
ZS: 50.09%
PANW: 11.67%
CRM: 2.07%
CVLT: 22.96%
GEN: 16.7%
TSLA: 51.48%
GOOG: 8.28%
NOW: 22.46%
Management Sentiment Summary for MSFT in 2025Q2 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CEO | 0.67 |
| CFO | 0.64 |
technical report
Technical Summary for MSFT as of 2025-06-11:
MACD values for MSFT in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-10 | -0.88 | 13.02 | 13.90 |
| 2025-06-09 | -0.80 | 13.32 | 14.12 |
| 2025-06-06 | -0.99 | 13.33 | 14.32 |
| 2025-06-05 | -1.18 | 13.39 | 14.57 |
| 2025-06-04 | -1.33 | 13.54 | 14.87 |
| 2025-06-03 | -1.27 | 13.93 | 15.20 |
| 2025-06-02 | -1.21 | 14.31 | 15.52 |
| 2025-05-30 | -1.13 | 14.69 | 15.82 |
| 2025-05-29 | -0.98 | 15.12 | 16.10 |
| 2025-05-28 | -0.72 | 15.63 | 16.35 |
EMA values for MSFT with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-10 | 434.39 |
| 2025-06-09 | 432.89 |
| 2025-06-06 | 431.27 |
| 2025-06-05 | 429.67 |
| 2025-06-04 | 428.12 |
| 2025-06-03 | 426.66 |
| 2025-06-02 | 425.18 |
| 2025-05-30 | 423.68 |
| 2025-05-29 | 422.18 |
| 2025-05-28 | 420.69 |
RSI values for MSFT in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-10 | 73.18 |
| 2025-06-09 | 76.02 |
| 2025-06-06 | 74.85 |
| 2025-06-05 | 73.47 |
| 2025-06-04 | 71.43 |
| 2025-06-03 | 70.93 |
| 2025-06-02 | 70.41 |
| 2025-05-30 | 69.59 |
| 2025-05-29 | 68.74 |
| 2025-05-28 | 68.10 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for MSFT over the last 20 days:
Latest MFI: 70.67
Typical Price Money Flow Positive Flow Negative Flow Money Flow Ratio MFI
Date
2025-05-13 00:00:00-04:00 447.568350 1.057103e+10 1.057103e+10 0.000000e+00 2.582943 72.089981
2025-05-14 00:00:00-04:00 450.832332 8.972826e+09 8.972826e+09 0.000000e+00 2.759168 73.398370
2025-05-15 00:00:00-04:00 453.250000 9.968010e+09 9.968010e+09 0.000000e+00 3.521780 77.884813
2025-05-16 00:00:00-04:00 452.453328 1.079092e+10 0.000000e+00 1.079092e+10 3.286172 76.669159
2025-05-19 00:00:00-04:00 456.419993 9.738405e+09 9.738405e+09 0.000000e+00 4.181233 80.699573
2025-05-20 00:00:00-04:00 456.943339 7.056028e+09 7.056028e+09 0.000000e+00 4.180204 80.695742
2025-05-21 00:00:00-04:00 454.053335 8.725498e+09 0.000000e+00 8.725498e+09 3.240884 76.420009
2025-05-22 00:00:00-04:00 456.336660 8.225742e+09 8.225742e+09 0.000000e+00 3.234761 76.385919
2025-05-23 00:00:00-04:00 450.926666 7.613220e+09 0.000000e+00 7.613220e+09 2.649156 72.596404
2025-05-27 00:00:00-04:00 459.253337 9.632517e+09 9.632517e+09 0.000000e+00 2.707259 73.025895
2025-05-28 00:00:00-04:00 458.936656 7.841529e+09 0.000000e+00 7.841529e+09 2.273520 69.451844
2025-05-29 00:00:00-04:00 458.569997 6.408424e+09 0.000000e+00 6.408424e+09 2.600729 72.227844
2025-05-30 00:00:00-04:00 459.193329 1.596638e+10 1.596638e+10 0.000000e+00 2.430907 70.853192
2025-06-02 00:00:00-04:00 460.323334 7.653566e+09 7.653566e+09 0.000000e+00 2.326599 69.939268
2025-06-03 00:00:00-04:00 462.656667 7.283974e+09 7.283974e+09 0.000000e+00 2.299548 69.692819
2025-06-04 00:00:00-04:00 464.193329 6.574231e+09 6.574231e+09 0.000000e+00 2.749222 73.327797
2025-06-05 00:00:00-04:00 467.119995 9.403920e+09 9.403920e+09 0.000000e+00 2.734826 73.224994
2025-06-06 00:00:00-04:00 470.833333 7.196970e+09 7.196970e+09 0.000000e+00 2.670344 72.754596
2025-06-09 00:00:00-04:00 471.599996 7.767205e+09 7.767205e+09 0.000000e+00 3.290845 76.694568
2025-06-10 00:00:00-04:00 470.226664 7.223387e+09 0.000000e+00 7.223387e+09 2.592656 72.165439
2025-06-11 00:00:00-04:00 473.092896 1.684412e+09 1.684412e+09 0.000000e+00 2.409815 70.672895
Bollinger lower and higher band for MSFT, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 474.67
Latest SMA: 460.82
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 446.22
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 475.42
Volume and volume ratio for MSFT:
Last 30 days average volume: 21024884.17
Today's volume: 3561325
Volume Ratio: 0.17
Support levels for MSFT in the last 30 days:
Last Low: 383.74 on 2025-04-30
Last High: 474.92 on 2025-06-11
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 444.06, 38.2%: 424.97, 50.0%: 409.54, 61.8%: 394.11, 78.6%: 372.14
Resonance Supports: 61.8%: 394.11
Short interest data for MSFT in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | avg_daily_volume | days_to_cover | short_interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-05-30 | 19992106 | 2.91 | 58182215 |
| 2025-05-15 | 24840919 | 2.30 | 57074580 |
| 2025-04-30 | 21114042 | 2.38 | 50313676 |
| 2025-04-15 | 31488151 | 1.63 | 51249494 |
| 2025-03-31 | 21853977 | 2.30 | 50168012 |
| 2025-03-14 | 24626872 | 2.61 | 64256703 |
| 2025-02-28 | 24885730 | 2.67 | 66334396 |
| 2025-02-14 | 20467216 | 2.62 | 53633341 |
| 2025-01-31 | 27073172 | 2.31 | 62492832 |
| 2025-01-15 | 17806051 | 3.47 | 61735926 |
Current VIX: 16.51, VIX percentile: 0.0%
Close Price: 474.69
news report
News and sentiment report for MSFT as of 2025-06-11:
There are 608 articles found for MSFT for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
ORCL: 58 articles found.
AMZN: 1220 articles found.
RBRK: 33 articles found.
META: 18783 articles found.
FTNT: 39 articles found.
NVDA: 1103 articles found.
AAPL: 901 articles found.
CRWD: 130 articles found.
GOOGL: 259 articles found.
AMD: 7977 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 MSFT news articles:
Title: Nvidia Stock Investors Got Amazing News From OpenAI
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-11T10:31:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The Motley Fool recommends certain options for Microsoft, suggesting a positive outlook on the company.
Title: If I Could Own Only 1 Quantum Computing Stock, This Would Be It
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-11T09:32:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The author views Microsoft as a mature company that can compete in the AI arms race and invest heavily in quantum computing research.
Title: Can This Unstoppable Stock Join Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Tesla in the $1 Trillion Club?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-11T08:33:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Microsoft is one of the six most valuable companies, indicating its strong performance and influence in the technology industry.
Title: 3 Under-the-Radar AI Stocks That Could Help Make You a Fortune
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-11T08:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article notes that Microsoft is a great long-term AI play, having acquired a stake in OpenAI (the creator of ChatGPT) and integrating its AI tools into its own cloud services.
Title: Want to Invest in Quantum Computing? 3 Stocks That Are Great Buys Right Now.
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-10T09:20:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article states that Microsoft's prominence, deep pockets, and accomplishments in quantum computing ensure it will be a player in this field. It also mentions that Microsoft could benefit by creating and selling quantum computing technology, as well as by deploying it throughout its existing businesses.
Title: 3 Monster Stocks -- including Nvidia -- to Hold for the Next 10 Years
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-10T08:15:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article praises Microsoft's diverse and growing business segments, steady growth, and attractive valuation, making it a stock worth holding for the long term.
Title: Prediction: This New ETF Could Be the Best Way to Invest in the AI Revolution
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-10T00:10:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Microsoft is one of the top three holdings in the Dan IVES Wedbush AI Revolution ETF, indicating the article views the company as well-positioned to benefit from the AI revolution.
Title: Stock Buybacks Are Quietly Powering Wall Street's 2025 Rally
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-06-09T20:30:57Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Microsoft is one of the four hyperscalers projected to spend $333 billion on AI-related investments this year, which could limit the headroom for buybacks going forward.
Title: Sprouting Gear Inc. Founder Paul Pluss Announces Report on: "The Unintended Consequences of the AI Race on the Livestock Industry"
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-06-09T17:59:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: The article suggests that the water usage by data centers operated by companies like Microsoft is a threat to the livestock industry, which is already facing water shortages and declining herd sizes.
Title: Will the Magnificent 7 Stocks Heat Up This Summer?
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-06-09T10:46:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Microsoft's valuation is also in a fairly reasonable range, trading at 36 times earnings, down from 38 a year ago.
URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/will-the-magnificent-7-stocks-heat-up-this-summer-200661898
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 9 articles with positive sentiment, and
1 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
final report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
Financial:
-
Strong Earnings Growth: MSFT's most recent EPS of 3.46 beat consensus (3.22), continuing a trend of consistent earnings growth (historical avg. EPS: 2.94). The company has not missed earnings estimates in the past 8 quarters.
-
Valuation: P/E of 36.8 is below the sector peer average (62.19) and near its historical high (38.38), suggesting MSFT is fairly valued relative to peers but slightly expensive on an absolute basis.
-
Management Sentiment: CEO and CFO sentiment is moderately positive (0.67 and 0.64, respectively), indicating confidence in execution.
Technical:
-
Overbought Conditions: RSI (73.18) and MFI (70.67) suggest the stock is overbought in the short term, increasing near-term downside risk.
-
MACD Bearish Divergence: The MACD histogram has been negative for 10 consecutive days, signaling weakening momentum.
-
Bollinger Bands: Price (~474.67) is near the upper band (475.42), indicating potential resistance.
-
Volume: Today's volume is significantly lower (0.17x 30-day avg), suggesting lack of strong buying interest at current levels.
-
Support Levels: Key Fibonacci support at 394.11 (61.8%) and recent low at 383.74 provide downside buffers.
News:
-
Overwhelmingly Positive Sentiment: 9 out of 10 recent articles highlight MSFT's leadership in AI, quantum computing, and long-term growth potential.
-
Negative Risk: One article raises concerns about data center water usage, but this is not a material financial risk in the near term.
Additional Context:
-
Peer Performance: MSFT has underperformed some peers (e.g., RBRK +151%, CRWD +75%) but remains a stable mega-cap pick.
-
VIX: Low VIX (16.51) suggests muted market-wide volatility, reducing systemic risk.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
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Capital Allocation: Allocate no more than 5-7% of total capital to this position.
-
Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $450–460 (near 50-day EMA at ~434 and Fibonacci 38.2% level at 424.97). Wait for a pullback to avoid overbought conditions.
-
Stop-Loss: Exit if price falls below $430 (~7% below entry), aligning with the 50-day EMA and recent support.
-
Profit Targets:
-
Short-term: $490 (8-10% gain, near upper Bollinger band extension).
-
Long-term: Hold for AI/quantum computing catalysts, targeting $550+ (20% upside) over 12–18 months.
- Time Horizon: 3–6 months (medium-term), pending Q3 earnings and AI adoption updates.
Final Notes:
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Caution: Near-term technicals suggest a pullback is likely. Avoid chasing the current price.
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Catalysts to Watch: AI integration progress, quantum computing developments, and next earnings report (late July 2025).
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Alternative: Consider dollar-cost averaging into the position if the stock declines toward $450.
This strategy balances MSFT's strong fundamentals with technical overbought risks, ensuring disciplined risk management.