msft.

MSFT 2025-06-11

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symbol

MSFT

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financial report

EPS data summary for MSFT as of 2025-06-11:

Most recent EPS (Actual): 3.46

Most recent EPS (Consensus): 3.22

Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-04-30

Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31

Historical EPS (last 8 quarters): [3.23, 3.3, 2.95, 2.94, 2.93, 2.99, 2.69, 2.45]

Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.94

In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.

Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.3

Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.45

Valuation data summary for MSFT as of 2025-06-11:

Current P/E for MSFT: 36.8

Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['ORCL', 'AMZN', 'RBRK', 'META', 'FTNT', 'NVDA', 'AAPL', 'CRWD', 'GOOGL', 'AMD', 'ZS', 'PANW', 'CRM', 'CVLT', 'GEN', 'TSLA', 'GOOG', 'NOW']

Average P/E for these peer companies: 62.19

Historical low P/E for MSFT: 24.53

Historical high P/E for MSFT: 38.38

Sector peers performance for MSFT in the past 200 days:

ORCL: 29.66%

AMZN: 22.79%

RBRK: 151.42%

META: 33.67%

FTNT: 35.93%

NVDA: 11.71%

AAPL: -10.24%

CRWD: 75.04%

GOOGL: 8.68%

AMD: -20.84%

ZS: 50.09%

PANW: 11.67%

CRM: 2.07%

CVLT: 22.96%

GEN: 16.7%

TSLA: 51.48%

GOOG: 8.28%

NOW: 22.46%

Management Sentiment Summary for MSFT in 2025Q2 earnings call:

The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:

The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.

The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.

0.5 is neutral.

| Title | Sentiment Score |

|--------|---------------|

| CEO | 0.67 |

| CFO | 0.64 |

technical report

Technical Summary for MSFT as of 2025-06-11:

MACD values for MSFT in the past 14 days:

| Date | histogram | macd | signal |

|--------|---------|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-10 | -0.88 | 13.02 | 13.90 |

| 2025-06-09 | -0.80 | 13.32 | 14.12 |

| 2025-06-06 | -0.99 | 13.33 | 14.32 |

| 2025-06-05 | -1.18 | 13.39 | 14.57 |

| 2025-06-04 | -1.33 | 13.54 | 14.87 |

| 2025-06-03 | -1.27 | 13.93 | 15.20 |

| 2025-06-02 | -1.21 | 14.31 | 15.52 |

| 2025-05-30 | -1.13 | 14.69 | 15.82 |

| 2025-05-29 | -0.98 | 15.12 | 16.10 |

| 2025-05-28 | -0.72 | 15.63 | 16.35 |

EMA values for MSFT with a window of 50 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-10 | 434.39 |

| 2025-06-09 | 432.89 |

| 2025-06-06 | 431.27 |

| 2025-06-05 | 429.67 |

| 2025-06-04 | 428.12 |

| 2025-06-03 | 426.66 |

| 2025-06-02 | 425.18 |

| 2025-05-30 | 423.68 |

| 2025-05-29 | 422.18 |

| 2025-05-28 | 420.69 |

RSI values for MSFT in the past 14 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-10 | 73.18 |

| 2025-06-09 | 76.02 |

| 2025-06-06 | 74.85 |

| 2025-06-05 | 73.47 |

| 2025-06-04 | 71.43 |

| 2025-06-03 | 70.93 |

| 2025-06-02 | 70.41 |

| 2025-05-30 | 69.59 |

| 2025-05-29 | 68.74 |

| 2025-05-28 | 68.10 |

Money Flow Index (MFI) for MSFT over the last 20 days:

Latest MFI: 70.67

Typical Price Money Flow Positive Flow Negative Flow Money Flow Ratio MFI

Date

2025-05-13 00:00:00-04:00 447.568350 1.057103e+10 1.057103e+10 0.000000e+00 2.582943 72.089981

2025-05-14 00:00:00-04:00 450.832332 8.972826e+09 8.972826e+09 0.000000e+00 2.759168 73.398370

2025-05-15 00:00:00-04:00 453.250000 9.968010e+09 9.968010e+09 0.000000e+00 3.521780 77.884813

2025-05-16 00:00:00-04:00 452.453328 1.079092e+10 0.000000e+00 1.079092e+10 3.286172 76.669159

2025-05-19 00:00:00-04:00 456.419993 9.738405e+09 9.738405e+09 0.000000e+00 4.181233 80.699573

2025-05-20 00:00:00-04:00 456.943339 7.056028e+09 7.056028e+09 0.000000e+00 4.180204 80.695742

2025-05-21 00:00:00-04:00 454.053335 8.725498e+09 0.000000e+00 8.725498e+09 3.240884 76.420009

2025-05-22 00:00:00-04:00 456.336660 8.225742e+09 8.225742e+09 0.000000e+00 3.234761 76.385919

2025-05-23 00:00:00-04:00 450.926666 7.613220e+09 0.000000e+00 7.613220e+09 2.649156 72.596404

2025-05-27 00:00:00-04:00 459.253337 9.632517e+09 9.632517e+09 0.000000e+00 2.707259 73.025895

2025-05-28 00:00:00-04:00 458.936656 7.841529e+09 0.000000e+00 7.841529e+09 2.273520 69.451844

2025-05-29 00:00:00-04:00 458.569997 6.408424e+09 0.000000e+00 6.408424e+09 2.600729 72.227844

2025-05-30 00:00:00-04:00 459.193329 1.596638e+10 1.596638e+10 0.000000e+00 2.430907 70.853192

2025-06-02 00:00:00-04:00 460.323334 7.653566e+09 7.653566e+09 0.000000e+00 2.326599 69.939268

2025-06-03 00:00:00-04:00 462.656667 7.283974e+09 7.283974e+09 0.000000e+00 2.299548 69.692819

2025-06-04 00:00:00-04:00 464.193329 6.574231e+09 6.574231e+09 0.000000e+00 2.749222 73.327797

2025-06-05 00:00:00-04:00 467.119995 9.403920e+09 9.403920e+09 0.000000e+00 2.734826 73.224994

2025-06-06 00:00:00-04:00 470.833333 7.196970e+09 7.196970e+09 0.000000e+00 2.670344 72.754596

2025-06-09 00:00:00-04:00 471.599996 7.767205e+09 7.767205e+09 0.000000e+00 3.290845 76.694568

2025-06-10 00:00:00-04:00 470.226664 7.223387e+09 0.000000e+00 7.223387e+09 2.592656 72.165439

2025-06-11 00:00:00-04:00 473.092896 1.684412e+09 1.684412e+09 0.000000e+00 2.409815 70.672895

Bollinger lower and higher band for MSFT, calculated for the past 20 days

Number of Standard Deviations: 2

Latest Close: 474.67

Latest SMA: 460.82

Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 446.22

Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 475.42

Volume and volume ratio for MSFT:

Last 30 days average volume: 21024884.17

Today's volume: 3561325

Volume Ratio: 0.17

Support levels for MSFT in the last 30 days:

Last Low: 383.74 on 2025-04-30

Last High: 474.92 on 2025-06-11

Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 444.06, 38.2%: 424.97, 50.0%: 409.54, 61.8%: 394.11, 78.6%: 372.14

Resonance Supports: 61.8%: 394.11

Short interest data for MSFT in the past 5 months:

| Report Date | avg_daily_volume | days_to_cover | short_interest |

|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|

| 2025-05-30 | 19992106 | 2.91 | 58182215 |

| 2025-05-15 | 24840919 | 2.30 | 57074580 |

| 2025-04-30 | 21114042 | 2.38 | 50313676 |

| 2025-04-15 | 31488151 | 1.63 | 51249494 |

| 2025-03-31 | 21853977 | 2.30 | 50168012 |

| 2025-03-14 | 24626872 | 2.61 | 64256703 |

| 2025-02-28 | 24885730 | 2.67 | 66334396 |

| 2025-02-14 | 20467216 | 2.62 | 53633341 |

| 2025-01-31 | 27073172 | 2.31 | 62492832 |

| 2025-01-15 | 17806051 | 3.47 | 61735926 |

Current VIX: 16.51, VIX percentile: 0.0%

Close Price: 474.69

news report

News and sentiment report for MSFT as of 2025-06-11:

There are 608 articles found for MSFT for the last 30 days.

Peer news results as a comparison:

ORCL: 58 articles found.

AMZN: 1220 articles found.

RBRK: 33 articles found.

META: 18783 articles found.

FTNT: 39 articles found.

NVDA: 1103 articles found.

AAPL: 901 articles found.

CRWD: 130 articles found.

GOOGL: 259 articles found.

AMD: 7977 articles found.

Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 MSFT news articles:

Title: Nvidia Stock Investors Got Amazing News From OpenAI

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-11T10:31:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The Motley Fool recommends certain options for Microsoft, suggesting a positive outlook on the company.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/11/nvidia-stock-investors-get-amazing-news-from-opena/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: If I Could Own Only 1 Quantum Computing Stock, This Would Be It

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-11T09:32:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The author views Microsoft as a mature company that can compete in the AI arms race and invest heavily in quantum computing research.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/11/if-i-could-own-only-1-quantum-computing-stock-this/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Can This Unstoppable Stock Join Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Tesla in the $1 Trillion Club?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-11T08:33:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Microsoft is one of the six most valuable companies, indicating its strong performance and influence in the technology industry.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/11/unstoppable-stock-apple-nvidia-tesla-trillion/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: 3 Under-the-Radar AI Stocks That Could Help Make You a Fortune

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-11T08:30:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article notes that Microsoft is a great long-term AI play, having acquired a stake in OpenAI (the creator of ChatGPT) and integrating its AI tools into its own cloud services.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/11/under-the-radar-ai-stocks--help-make-fortune/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Want to Invest in Quantum Computing? 3 Stocks That Are Great Buys Right Now.

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-10T09:20:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article states that Microsoft's prominence, deep pockets, and accomplishments in quantum computing ensure it will be a player in this field. It also mentions that Microsoft could benefit by creating and selling quantum computing technology, as well as by deploying it throughout its existing businesses.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/10/want-to-invest-in-quantum-computing-3-stocks-that/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: 3 Monster Stocks -- including Nvidia -- to Hold for the Next 10 Years

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-10T08:15:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article praises Microsoft's diverse and growing business segments, steady growth, and attractive valuation, making it a stock worth holding for the long term.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/10/monster-stocks-nvidia-to-hold-for-10-years/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Prediction: This New ETF Could Be the Best Way to Invest in the AI Revolution

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-10T00:10:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Microsoft is one of the top three holdings in the Dan IVES Wedbush AI Revolution ETF, indicating the article views the company as well-positioned to benefit from the AI revolution.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/09/prediction-this-new-etf-could-be-the-best-way-to-i/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Stock Buybacks Are Quietly Powering Wall Street's 2025 Rally

Publisher: Benzinga

Published: 2025-06-09T20:30:57Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Microsoft is one of the four hyperscalers projected to spend $333 billion on AI-related investments this year, which could limit the headroom for buybacks going forward.

URL: https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst-color/25/06/45848820/stock-buybacks-are-quietly-powering-wall-streets-2025-rally

Title: Sprouting Gear Inc. Founder Paul Pluss Announces Report on: "The Unintended Consequences of the AI Race on the Livestock Industry"

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2025-06-09T17:59:00Z

Sentiment: negative

Reasoning: The article suggests that the water usage by data centers operated by companies like Microsoft is a threat to the livestock industry, which is already facing water shortages and declining herd sizes.

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/06/09/3096122/0/en/Sprouting-Gear-Inc-Founder-Paul-Pluss-Announces-Report-on-The-Unintended-Consequences-of-the-AI-Race-on-the-Livestock-Industry.html

Title: Will the Magnificent 7 Stocks Heat Up This Summer?

Publisher: Investing.com

Published: 2025-06-09T10:46:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Microsoft's valuation is also in a fairly reasonable range, trading at 36 times earnings, down from 38 a year ago.

URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/will-the-magnificent-7-stocks-heat-up-this-summer-200661898

Out of the total 10 articles,

There are 9 articles with positive sentiment, and

1 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.

final report

Recommendation: Buy

Reasoning:

Financial:

  • Strong Earnings Growth: MSFT's most recent EPS of 3.46 beat consensus (3.22), continuing a trend of consistent earnings growth (historical avg. EPS: 2.94). The company has not missed earnings estimates in the past 8 quarters.

  • Valuation: P/E of 36.8 is below the sector peer average (62.19) and near its historical high (38.38), suggesting MSFT is fairly valued relative to peers but slightly expensive on an absolute basis.

  • Management Sentiment: CEO and CFO sentiment is moderately positive (0.67 and 0.64, respectively), indicating confidence in execution.

Technical:

  • Overbought Conditions: RSI (73.18) and MFI (70.67) suggest the stock is overbought in the short term, increasing near-term downside risk.

  • MACD Bearish Divergence: The MACD histogram has been negative for 10 consecutive days, signaling weakening momentum.

  • Bollinger Bands: Price (~474.67) is near the upper band (475.42), indicating potential resistance.

  • Volume: Today's volume is significantly lower (0.17x 30-day avg), suggesting lack of strong buying interest at current levels.

  • Support Levels: Key Fibonacci support at 394.11 (61.8%) and recent low at 383.74 provide downside buffers.

News:

  • Overwhelmingly Positive Sentiment: 9 out of 10 recent articles highlight MSFT's leadership in AI, quantum computing, and long-term growth potential.

  • Negative Risk: One article raises concerns about data center water usage, but this is not a material financial risk in the near term.

Additional Context:

  • Peer Performance: MSFT has underperformed some peers (e.g., RBRK +151%, CRWD +75%) but remains a stable mega-cap pick.

  • VIX: Low VIX (16.51) suggests muted market-wide volatility, reducing systemic risk.


Strategy to Minimize Risk:

  1. Capital Allocation: Allocate no more than 5-7% of total capital to this position.

  2. Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $450–460 (near 50-day EMA at ~434 and Fibonacci 38.2% level at 424.97). Wait for a pullback to avoid overbought conditions.

  3. Stop-Loss: Exit if price falls below $430 (~7% below entry), aligning with the 50-day EMA and recent support.

  4. Profit Targets:

  • Short-term: $490 (8-10% gain, near upper Bollinger band extension).

  • Long-term: Hold for AI/quantum computing catalysts, targeting $550+ (20% upside) over 12–18 months.

  1. Time Horizon: 3–6 months (medium-term), pending Q3 earnings and AI adoption updates.

Final Notes:

  • Caution: Near-term technicals suggest a pullback is likely. Avoid chasing the current price.

  • Catalysts to Watch: AI integration progress, quantum computing developments, and next earnings report (late July 2025).

  • Alternative: Consider dollar-cost averaging into the position if the stock declines toward $450.

This strategy balances MSFT's strong fundamentals with technical overbought risks, ensuring disciplined risk management.