MSFT 2025-11-11
Symbol
MSFT
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for MSFT as of 2025-11-11----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 3.72
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 3.66
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-29
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.18
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.65
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.93
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-01-27
----Valuation Data Summary for MSFT as of 2025-11-11----
Current P/E for MSFT: 36.6
1 year P/E range: 29.17 - 36.6
2 years P/E range: 29.17 - 37.5
5 years P/E range: 24.97 - 37.5
----Management Sentiment Summary for MSFT in 2025Q3 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CEO | 0.70 |
| CFO | 0.66 |
----Insider transactions in the last 90 days----
On 2025-11-04, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at MSFT.
Total of 38500.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $518.4907 and $519.2096.
The insiders have 931282.5266 shares left in the company.
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for MSFT----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 510.5
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 493.25
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 507.84
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 498.8
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 501.22
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 488.83
----Price Range for MSFT----
MSFT current price: $504.65
5-Day Range: $493.25 - $514.83
50-Day Range: $492.37 - $553.72
200-Day Range: $343.59 - $554.54
----Technical Indicators Summary for MSFT as of 2025-11-11----
MACD values for MSFT in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-11-10 | -3.23 | -2.99 | 0.24 |
| 2025-11-07 | -3.64 | -2.59 | 1.04 |
| 2025-11-06 | -3.06 | -1.11 | 1.95 |
| 2025-11-05 | -1.95 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
| 2025-11-04 | -1.07 | 2.13 | 3.21 |
| 2025-11-03 | -0.36 | 3.11 | 3.48 |
| 2025-10-31 | 0.48 | 4.04 | 3.57 |
| 2025-10-30 | 1.64 | 5.09 | 3.45 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2.51 | 5.55 | 3.04 |
| 2025-10-28 | 2.03 | 4.44 | 2.41 |
EMA values for MSFT with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-11-10 | 513.67 |
| 2025-11-07 | 513.98 |
| 2025-11-06 | 514.68 |
| 2025-11-05 | 515.40 |
| 2025-11-04 | 515.74 |
| 2025-11-03 | 515.79 |
| 2025-10-31 | 515.74 |
| 2025-10-30 | 515.66 |
| 2025-10-29 | 515.25 |
| 2025-10-28 | 514.17 |
EMA values for MSFT with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-11-10 | 479.14 |
| 2025-11-07 | 478.87 |
| 2025-11-06 | 478.69 |
| 2025-11-05 | 478.51 |
| 2025-11-04 | 478.22 |
| 2025-11-03 | 477.86 |
| 2025-10-31 | 477.46 |
| 2025-10-30 | 477.06 |
| 2025-10-29 | 476.57 |
| 2025-10-28 | 475.91 |
RSI values for MSFT in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-11-10 | 42.74 |
| 2025-11-07 | 33.96 |
| 2025-11-06 | 34.11 |
| 2025-11-05 | 39.92 |
| 2025-11-04 | 44.99 |
| 2025-11-03 | 47.08 |
| 2025-10-31 | 47.68 |
| 2025-10-30 | 54.14 |
| 2025-10-29 | 72.22 |
| 2025-10-28 | 72.96 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for MSFT over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 10.82
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-11-11 | 10.82 | 0.12 | 504.52 |
| 2025-11-10 | 19.93 | 0.25 | 503.88 |
| 2025-11-07 | 18.17 | 0.22 | 496.48 |
| 2025-11-06 | 24.42 | 0.32 | 499.54 |
| 2025-11-05 | 25.57 | 0.34 | 509.52 |
| 2025-11-04 | 33.37 | 0.50 | 512.57 |
| 2025-11-03 | 40.24 | 0.67 | 518.86 |
| 2025-10-31 | 47.54 | 0.91 | 520.74 |
| 2025-10-30 | 50.56 | 1.02 | 527.62 |
| 2025-10-29 | 57.15 | 1.33 | 541.52 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for MSFT, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 504.77
Latest SMA: 516.98
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 492.62
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 541.35
ADX for MSFT, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 12.12
Volume and volume ratio for MSFT:
Last 30 days average volume: 20492613.87
Today's volume: 2446279.0
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.12
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 517.3
Support levels for MSFT (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 384.44 on 2025-04-30 (UTC)
Last High: 555.45 on 2025-07-31 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 505.73, 38.2%: 474.98, 50.0%: 450.12, 61.8%: 425.26, 78.6%: 389.87
Resonance Supports: 78.6%: 389.87
Short interest data for MSFT in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-10-15 | 17554205 | 2.98 | 52344880 |
| 2025-09-30 | 20756767 | 2.65 | 54926474 |
| 2025-09-15 | 19272786 | 3.39 | 65238937 |
| 2025-08-29 | 22262516 | 2.63 | 58491994 |
| 2025-08-15 | 20769063 | 2.71 | 56182641 |
| 2025-07-31 | 20009152 | 2.63 | 52644614 |
| 2025-07-15 | 15338949 | 3.51 | 53792695 |
| 2025-06-30 | 23339673 | 2.44 | 56857827 |
| 2025-06-13 | 16464878 | 3.11 | 51170267 |
| 2025-05-30 | 19992106 | 2.91 | 58182215 |
Option Chain
----Put Option Chain for MSFT----
Monthly options:
MSFT 490 put expires on 2025-12-12
iv: 0.225, delta: -0.2976, gamma: 0.0105, theta: -0.1678, vega: 0.5094
ask price: 6.55, bid price: 6.35
MSFT 480 put expires on 2025-12-12
iv: 0.2332, delta: -0.2066, gamma: 0.0083, theta: -0.1461, vega: 0.4197
ask price: 4.2, bid price: 4.05
MSFT 470 put expires on 2025-12-12
iv: 0.2436, delta: -0.1397, gamma: 0.0062, theta: -0.1205, vega: 0.3268
ask price: 2.68, bid price: 2.58
MSFT 460 put expires on 2025-12-12
iv: 0.2572, delta: -0.094, gamma: 0.0044, theta: -0.097, vega: 0.2466
ask price: 1.75, bid price: 1.68
MSFT 450 put expires on 2025-12-12
iv: 0.2729, delta: -0.0641, gamma: 0.0031, theta: -0.0775, vega: 0.1844
ask price: 1.19, bid price: 1.12
MSFT 440 put expires on 2025-12-12
iv: 0.2904, delta: -0.0445, gamma: 0.0022, theta: -0.0622, vega: 0.1382
ask price: 0.83, bid price: 0.78
MSFT 430 put expires on 2025-12-12
iv: 0.3096, delta: -0.0319, gamma: 0.0016, theta: -0.0507, vega: 0.1051
ask price: 0.61, bid price: 0.56
MSFT 420 put expires on 2025-12-12
iv: 0.3297, delta: -0.0232, gamma: 0.0011, theta: -0.0416, vega: 0.0807
ask price: 0.46, bid price: 0.41
Weekly options:
MSFT 490 put expires on 2025-11-21
iv: 0.2386, delta: -0.2151, gamma: 0.0147, theta: -0.279, vega: 0.2441
ask price: 2.52, bid price: 2.46
MSFT 480 put expires on 2025-11-21
iv: 0.254, delta: -0.1086, gamma: 0.0088, theta: -0.1915, vega: 0.1556
ask price: 1.15, bid price: 1.11
MSFT 470 put expires on 2025-11-21
iv: 0.2771, delta: -0.0555, gamma: 0.0048, theta: -0.1264, vega: 0.0935
ask price: 0.57, bid price: 0.54
MSFT 460 put expires on 2025-11-21
iv: 0.3062, delta: -0.0307, gamma: 0.0027, theta: -0.0868, vega: 0.0578
ask price: 0.32, bid price: 0.3
MSFT 450 put expires on 2025-11-21
iv: 0.3395, delta: -0.0186, gamma: 0.0016, theta: -0.0633, vega: 0.0379
ask price: 0.2, bid price: 0.19
MSFT 440 put expires on 2025-11-21
iv: 0.3774, delta: -0.0125, gamma: 0.001, theta: -0.0504, vega: 0.0271
ask price: 0.15, bid price: 0.13
MSFT 430 put expires on 2025-11-21
iv: 0.4136, delta: -0.0085, gamma: 0.0007, theta: -0.0395, vega: 0.0193
ask price: 0.11, bid price: 0.09
MSFT 420 put expires on 2025-11-21
iv: 0.4474, delta: -0.0057, gamma: 0.0004, theta: -0.0301, vega: 0.0136
ask price: 0.08, bid price: 0.06
News Report
----News and sentiment report for MSFT as of 2025-11-11----
There are 507 articles found for MSFT for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
GEN: 17184 articles found.
PATH: 19874 articles found.
CRM: 1606 articles found.
PANW: 29 articles found.
AMD: 7529 articles found.
GTLB: 5 articles found.
NOW: 203141 articles found.
RBRK: 4 articles found.
NVDA: 928 articles found.
FTNT: 66 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 MSFT news articles:
Title: Meta's AI Chief Scientist To Reportedly Depart, Launch Own Startup Amid Zuckerberg's AI Push
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-11-11T13:06:53Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Referenced as an AI leader without detailed performance discussion
Title: Granite Investment Partners Nearly Liquidates $22 Million Wingstop (NASDAQ: WING) Stake: Should Investors Sell Too?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-11T01:19:14Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Top holding in Granite Investment Partners' portfolio, representing 4.26% of assets under management
Title: JAG Capital Exits Its Position in CyberArk (CYBR), Selling 49,000 Shares Worth $20 Million
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-11T00:04:01Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Second-largest holding at $61.59 million, representing 6.74% of assets under management
Title: 2 Top Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-10T12:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Strong financial performance with 18% revenue growth, 40% Azure revenue growth, innovative cloud computing services, consistent dividend increases, and a robust economic moat
Title: If You'd Invested $500 in D-Wave Quantum Stock 1 Year Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-10T12:20:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Mentioned as a stable, established tech company with proven track record
Title: Could Buying Advanced Micro Devices Stock Today Set You Up for Life?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-10T11:26:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned as a hyperscaler using AMD chips, but no specific performance details discussed
Title: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg Just Delivered Fantastic News for Nvidia Investors
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-10T11:15:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned as one of Nvidia's cloud hyperscaler customers, but no specific insights provided about their performance
Title: The $1 Billion Company That Controls What AI Giants Can't Buy
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-11-10T09:12:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Seeking AI infrastructure solutions, signed $9.7 billion deal with infrastructure provider
Title: Consumer Tech News (Nov 3-7): Trump Blocks Nvidia Blackwell AI Chip Exports, China Bans Foreign AI Chips In Data Centers & More
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-11-09T22:00:36Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Approved to ship AI chips to UAE and signed strategic partnership with OpenAI
Title: Artificial General Intelligence Is Coming: 1 Unstoppable Vanguard ETF to Buy Now
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-09T15:03:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Third-largest ETF holding with over 13% portfolio weight and actively discussing AGI development
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 6 articles with positive sentiment, and
0 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
-
Financial: MSFT demonstrates strong financial health with consistent earnings beats (0 misses in last 8 quarters) and positive management sentiment (CEO: 0.70, CFO: 0.66). The current P/E of 36.6 is near the 2-year high, suggesting premium valuation, but justified by steady EPS growth (historical average: 3.18, recent: 3.72). Insider selling (38.5k shares) is notable but represents a small portion of total holdings (~4%), reducing concern.
-
Technical: The stock is in a short-term downtrend, trading below key EMAs (50-day EMA: 513.67 vs. current: $504.65), with bearish MACD momentum. However, it's approaching oversold conditions (RSI: 42.74, near 30-50 neutral zone) and is close to Fibonacci support at 505.73. The Money Flow Index (10.82) indicates extreme selling pressure, potentially signaling a reversal. Volume is low (ratio: 0.12), suggesting lack of conviction in the downtrend.
-
News: Positive sentiment dominates (6/10 articles), highlighting AI partnerships (OpenAI, UAE), cloud growth (Azure +40%), and dividend stability. No negative news found, reinforcing the company's strong market position.
-
Option Chain: Put options show elevated IV for lower strikes (e.g., 420 put IV: 0.4474), indicating higher perceived downside risk. However, the 490-500 strike puts have moderate IV, suggesting these levels may act as support.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $500-505 (near Fibonacci 23.6% support at 505.73 and recent lows around $500).
-
Profit Targets:
-
Short-term: $525 (4-5% gain, near 50-day EMA resistance)
-
Long-term: $550+ (if bullish trend resumes, aligning with all-time highs)
-
Stop-Loss: $488 (below the 200-day EMA and Bollinger Lower Band, limiting downside to ~3%).
-
Time Horizon: 2-6 months, leveraging upcoming earnings on 2026-01-27 as a potential catalyst.
Final Notes: While technicals indicate short-term weakness, MSFT's strong fundamentals, oversold conditions, and positive news support a buying opportunity at current levels. Risk is managed by buying near support with a tight stop-loss. Monitor for a break below $488, which could signal further downside to $470-480.