MSFT 2026-02-22
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for MSFT as of 2026-02-22
Most recent EPS (Actual): 5.16
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 3.91
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 2.93 - 3.72
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.27
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2026-01-28
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-12-31
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-04-28
Valuation Data Summary for MSFT as of 2026-02-22
Current P/E for MSFT: 30.42
1 year P/E range: 29.05 - 36.45
2 years P/E range: 29.05 - 37.34
5 years P/E range: 24.87 - 37.34
Management Sentiment Summary for MSFT in 2025Q4 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CFO | 0.58 |
| CEO | 0.67 |
Insider transactions for MSFT in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 | 5K | $397.35 | Purchase | 83.9K |
Technical Report
Price Range for MSFT
MSFT current price: $397.23
5-Day Range: $393.63 - $404.62
50-Day Range: $391.43 - $491.00
200-Day Range: $391.43 - $552.24
Price Distribution for MSFT in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 399.84
Lowest price: 391.43
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 407.63
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: None
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 388.09
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 360.55
Technical Indicators Summary for MSFT as of 2026-02-22
MACD values for MSFT in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | -17.77 | -17.63 | -0.14 |
| 2026-02-19 | -18.18 | -17.59 | -0.59 |
| 2026-02-18 | -18.57 | -17.45 | -1.12 |
| 2026-02-17 | -18.90 | -17.17 | -1.74 |
| 2026-02-13 | -18.78 | -16.73 | -2.04 |
| 2026-02-12 | -18.80 | -16.22 | -2.58 |
| 2026-02-11 | -18.60 | -15.58 | -3.03 |
| 2026-02-10 | -18.34 | -14.82 | -3.52 |
| 2026-02-09 | -18.65 | -13.94 | -4.71 |
| 2026-02-06 | -18.80 | -12.76 | -6.04 |
EMA values for MSFT with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | 445.33 |
| 2026-02-19 | 447.30 |
| 2026-02-18 | 449.29 |
| 2026-02-17 | 451.32 |
| 2026-02-13 | 453.54 |
| 2026-02-12 | 455.67 |
| 2026-02-11 | 457.87 |
| 2026-02-10 | 460.05 |
| 2026-02-09 | 461.96 |
| 2026-02-06 | 463.94 |
EMA values for MSFT with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | 468.91 |
| 2026-02-19 | 469.63 |
| 2026-02-18 | 470.34 |
| 2026-02-17 | 471.06 |
| 2026-02-13 | 471.80 |
| 2026-02-12 | 472.51 |
| 2026-02-11 | 473.22 |
| 2026-02-10 | 473.91 |
| 2026-02-09 | 474.52 |
| 2026-02-06 | 475.13 |
RSI values for MSFT in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | 31.99 |
| 2026-02-19 | 32.45 |
| 2026-02-18 | 32.86 |
| 2026-02-17 | 30.92 |
| 2026-02-13 | 32.33 |
| 2026-02-12 | 32.49 |
| 2026-02-11 | 33.24 |
| 2026-02-10 | 35.94 |
| 2026-02-09 | 36.04 |
| 2026-02-06 | 29.07 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for MSFT over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 51.82
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | 397.50 | 1.08 | 51.82 |
| 2026-02-19 | 399.85 | 0.92 | 47.79 |
| 2026-02-18 | 399.49 | 1.00 | 50.01 |
| 2026-02-17 | 397.30 | 0.69 | 40.85 |
| 2026-02-13 | 401.64 | 0.66 | 39.75 |
| 2026-02-12 | 402.02 | 0.60 | 37.51 |
| 2026-02-11 | 407.28 | 0.46 | 31.50 |
| 2026-02-10 | 416.55 | 0.63 | 38.66 |
| 2026-02-09 | 409.79 | 0.60 | 37.47 |
| 2026-02-06 | 398.62 | 0.57 | 36.17 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for MSFT, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 397.23
Latest SMA: 421.62
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 362.75
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 480.48
ADX for MSFT, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 32.23
Volume and volume ratio for MSFT:
Last 30 days average volume: 39.3M
Volume ratio and Price spread in the past 14 days:
| Date | Volume | Volume Ratio | Price Spread (High - Low) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | 34M | 0.87 | 4.96 |
| 2026-02-21 | 28.2M | 0.72 | 7.76 |
| 2026-02-20 | 23.2M | 0.59 | 6.24 |
| 2026-02-19 | 32.1M | 0.82 | 6.00 |
| 2026-02-18 | 34.1M | 0.87 | 7.49 |
| 2026-02-17 | 40.8M | 1.04 | 8.19 |
| 2026-02-16 | 42.5M | 1.08 | 15.45 |
| 2026-02-15 | 44.9M | 1.14 | 10.98 |
| 2026-02-14 | 45.5M | 1.16 | 14.02 |
| 2026-02-13 | 53.5M | 1.36 | 8.87 |
| 2026-02-12 | 66.3M | 1.69 | 15.98 |
| 2026-02-11 | 45M | 1.15 | 10.56 |
| 2026-02-10 | 61.4M | 1.56 | 13.49 |
| 2026-02-09 | 42.2M | 1.07 | 8.49 |
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 422.26
Support levels for MSFT (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 392.32 on 2026-02-05 (UTC)
Last High: 555.45 on 2025-07-31 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 505.73, 38.2%: 474.98, 50.0%: 450.12, 61.8%: 425.26, 78.6%: 389.87
Resonance Supports: 78.6%: 389.87
Short interest data for MSFT in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | 58.4M | 43.5M | 1.34 |
| 2026-01-15 | 54.7M | 23.7M | 2.31 |
| 2025-12-31 | 52.9M | 20.8M | 2.54 |
| 2025-12-15 | 66.7M | 23.8M | 2.80 |
| 2025-11-28 | 61.9M | 26M | 2.38 |
| 2025-11-14 | 48.6M | 24M | 2.02 |
| 2025-10-31 | 52.5M | 22.6M | 2.32 |
| 2025-10-15 | 52.3M | 17.6M | 2.98 |
| 2025-09-30 | 54.9M | 20.8M | 2.65 |
| 2025-09-15 | 65.2M | 19.3M | 3.39 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy Reasoning:
- Financial: Strong earnings beat (EPS $5.16 vs $3.91 consensus), no misses in last 8 quarters, positive insider buying, and P/E of 30.42 near the lower end of its 1-year range (29.05–36.45). Management sentiment is positive (CFO 0.58, CEO 0.67).
- Technical: Stock is trading near key support levels ($389.87 Fibonacci, recent low $392.32) and is oversold (RSI ~32). MACD histogram shows slowing bearish momentum, but price remains below 50-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating a downtrend. Bollinger lower band at $362.75 provides additional downside cushion.
- News: Overall positive sentiment with AI investments ($50B in Global South by 2030), Azure growth (39% YoY), and strategic partnerships. No negative articles found.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $390–$398 (near support).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $445 (12% gain from $397) near 50-day EMA.
- Long-term: $475 (19% gain) near 200-day EMA or 38.2% Fibonacci level.
- Time Horizon: 2–3 months, with upcoming earnings on April 28, 2026 as a catalyst.
Final Notes: Set a stop loss below support at $385 (≈3% risk) to limit downside. A break below $389.87 could lead to further decline toward $360. Monitor volume and MACD for confirmation of reversal.