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NVDA 2025-06-19

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NVDA

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Ways to profit from NVDA's volatility

financial report

----EPS data summary for NVDA as of 2025-06-19----:

Most recent EPS (Actual): 0.81

Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.7499

Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-05-28

Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-04-30

Historical EPS (last 8 quarters):

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-01-31 | 0.89 |

| 2024-10-31 | 0.81 |

| 2024-07-31 | 0.68 |

| 2024-04-30 | 0.612 |

| 2024-01-31 | 0.516 |

| 2023-10-31 | 0.402 |

| 2023-07-31 | 0.27 |

| 2023-04-30 | 0.109 |

Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.54

In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.

Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.89

Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.109

Upcoming earnings date: 2025-08-27

----Valuation data summary for NVDA as of 2025-06-19----:

Current P/E for NVDA: 46.93

Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['AMD', 'TXN', 'MSFT', 'QCOM', '6697.T', 'AVGO', 'AMZN', 'ADI', 'MRVL', 'TSLA', 'MU', 'GOOG', 'META', 'AAPL', 'GOOGL', 'INTC']

Average P/E for these peer companies: 35.19

1 year P/E range: 34.14 - 52.93

2 years P/E range: 34.14 - 88.95

5 years P/E range: 34.14 - 94.41

----Management Sentiment Summary for NVDA in 2025Q2 earnings call----:

The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:

The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.

The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.

0.5 is neutral.

| Title | Sentiment Score |

|--------|---------------|

| CFO | 0.58 |

| CEO | 0.84 |

technical report

----Stock performance for NVDA----:

NVDA performance in the past 5 days: 0.33%

NVDA performance in the past 30 days: 24.29%

NVDA performance in the past 90 days: 8.93%

NVDA performance in the past 200 days: 21.91%

----Sector peers performance for NVDA----:

AMD performance in the past 5 days: 7.0%

AMD performance in the past 30 days: 26.34%

AMD performance in the past 90 days: 14.76%

AMD performance in the past 200 days: -14.65%

TXN performance in the past 5 days: -0.66%

TXN performance in the past 30 days: 20.37%

TXN performance in the past 90 days: 10.94%

TXN performance in the past 200 days: -5.36%

MSFT performance in the past 5 days: 0.29%

MSFT performance in the past 30 days: 11.02%

MSFT performance in the past 90 days: 16.95%

MSFT performance in the past 200 days: 15.8%

QCOM performance in the past 5 days: -3.19%

QCOM performance in the past 30 days: 7.11%

QCOM performance in the past 90 days: -9.32%

QCOM performance in the past 200 days: -10.44%

6697.T: Error retrieving data (Insufficient stock quote data for 6697.T.)

AVGO performance in the past 5 days: -1.88%

AVGO performance in the past 30 days: 22.68%

AVGO performance in the past 90 days: 7.22%

AVGO performance in the past 200 days: 55.71%

AMZN performance in the past 5 days: -0.34%

AMZN performance in the past 30 days: 12.62%

AMZN performance in the past 90 days: -8.84%

AMZN performance in the past 200 days: 19.06%

ADI performance in the past 5 days: -1.06%

ADI performance in the past 30 days: 15.43%

ADI performance in the past 90 days: 13.1%

ADI performance in the past 200 days: -0.53%

MRVL performance in the past 5 days: 7.62%

MRVL performance in the past 30 days: 33.1%

MRVL performance in the past 90 days: -33.48%

MRVL performance in the past 200 days: -1.45%

TSLA performance in the past 5 days: 0.92%

TSLA performance in the past 30 days: 16.59%

TSLA performance in the past 90 days: -8.18%

TSLA performance in the past 200 days: 50.41%

MU performance in the past 5 days: 4.85%

MU performance in the past 30 days: 47.45%

MU performance in the past 90 days: 27.15%

MU performance in the past 200 days: 27.05%

GOOG performance in the past 5 days: -1.69%

GOOG performance in the past 30 days: 14.0%

GOOG performance in the past 90 days: -7.34%

GOOG performance in the past 200 days: 5.88%

META performance in the past 5 days: 0.42%

META performance in the past 30 days: 16.67%

META performance in the past 90 days: -2.85%

META performance in the past 200 days: 33.92%

AAPL performance in the past 5 days: -1.32%

AAPL performance in the past 30 days: 0.3%

AAPL performance in the past 90 days: -13.53%

AAPL performance in the past 200 days: -13.86%

GOOGL performance in the past 5 days: -1.35%

GOOGL performance in the past 30 days: 14.63%

GOOGL performance in the past 90 days: -6.83%

GOOGL performance in the past 200 days: 6.6%

INTC performance in the past 5 days: 3.47%

INTC performance in the past 30 days: 5.81%

INTC performance in the past 90 days: 8.7%

INTC performance in the past 200 days: -2.5%

----Mag 7 performance as a reference----:

GOOG performance in the past 5 days: -1.69%

GOOG performance in the past 30 days: 14.0%

GOOG performance in the past 90 days: -7.34%

GOOG performance in the past 200 days: 5.88%

GOOGL performance in the past 5 days: -1.35%

GOOGL performance in the past 30 days: 14.63%

GOOGL performance in the past 90 days: -6.83%

GOOGL performance in the past 200 days: 6.6%

AMZN performance in the past 5 days: -0.34%

AMZN performance in the past 30 days: 12.62%

AMZN performance in the past 90 days: -8.84%

AMZN performance in the past 200 days: 19.06%

AAPL performance in the past 5 days: -1.32%

AAPL performance in the past 30 days: 0.3%

AAPL performance in the past 90 days: -13.53%

AAPL performance in the past 200 days: -13.86%

MSFT performance in the past 5 days: 0.29%

MSFT performance in the past 30 days: 11.02%

MSFT performance in the past 90 days: 16.95%

MSFT performance in the past 200 days: 15.8%

META performance in the past 5 days: 0.42%

META performance in the past 30 days: 16.67%

META performance in the past 90 days: -2.85%

META performance in the past 200 days: 33.92%

NVDA performance in the past 5 days: 0.33%

NVDA performance in the past 30 days: 24.29%

NVDA performance in the past 90 days: 8.93%

NVDA performance in the past 200 days: 21.91%

TSLA performance in the past 5 days: 0.92%

TSLA performance in the past 30 days: 16.59%

TSLA performance in the past 90 days: -8.18%

TSLA performance in the past 200 days: 50.41%

Technical Summary for NVDA as of 2025-06-19:

MACD values for NVDA in the past 14 days:

| Date | histogram | macd | signal |

|--------|---------|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-18 | -0.42 | 5.39 | 5.81 |

| 2025-06-17 | -0.42 | 5.49 | 5.92 |

| 2025-06-16 | -0.34 | 5.68 | 6.02 |

| 2025-06-13 | -0.32 | 5.78 | 6.11 |

| 2025-06-12 | -0.08 | 6.11 | 6.19 |

| 2025-06-11 | -0.08 | 6.12 | 6.21 |

| 2025-06-10 | 0.05 | 6.27 | 6.23 |

| 2025-06-09 | 0.05 | 6.26 | 6.22 |

| 2025-06-06 | 0.08 | 6.29 | 6.21 |

| 2025-06-05 | 0.14 | 6.33 | 6.18 |

EMA values for NVDA with a window of 50 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-18 | 130.57 |

| 2025-06-17 | 129.96 |

| 2025-06-16 | 129.38 |

| 2025-06-13 | 128.76 |

| 2025-06-12 | 128.22 |

| 2025-06-11 | 127.53 |

| 2025-06-10 | 126.91 |

| 2025-06-09 | 126.21 |

| 2025-06-06 | 125.54 |

| 2025-06-05 | 124.88 |

EMA values for NVDA with a window of 200 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-18 | 122.56 |

| 2025-06-17 | 122.32 |

| 2025-06-16 | 122.11 |

| 2025-06-13 | 121.88 |

| 2025-06-12 | 121.68 |

| 2025-06-11 | 121.44 |

| 2025-06-10 | 121.23 |

| 2025-06-09 | 121.00 |

| 2025-06-06 | 120.78 |

| 2025-06-05 | 120.57 |

RSI values for NVDA in the past 14 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-18 | 66.20 |

| 2025-06-17 | 64.58 |

| 2025-06-16 | 65.81 |

| 2025-06-13 | 62.67 |

| 2025-06-12 | 69.26 |

| 2025-06-11 | 66.94 |

| 2025-06-10 | 69.47 |

| 2025-06-09 | 68.16 |

| 2025-06-06 | 67.26 |

| 2025-06-05 | 65.55 |

Money Flow Index (MFI) for NVDA over the last 20 days:

Latest MFI: 59.53

| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |

|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|

| 2025-06-18 | 59.53 | 1.47 | 144.75 |

| 2025-06-17 | 55.68 | 1.26 | 144.37 |

| 2025-06-16 | 55.11 | 1.23 | 144.69 |

| 2025-06-13 | 55.42 | 1.24 | 142.13 |

| 2025-06-12 | 60.12 | 1.51 | 143.95 |

| 2025-06-11 | 61.06 | 1.57 | 143.23 |

| 2025-06-10 | 66.05 | 1.95 | 143.25 |

| 2025-06-09 | 66.32 | 1.97 | 143.18 |

| 2025-06-06 | 63.22 | 1.72 | 142.16 |

| 2025-06-05 | 63.31 | 1.73 | 140.93 |

| 2025-06-04 | 68.11 | 2.14 | 141.27 |

| 2025-06-03 | 64.86 | 1.85 | 140.38 |

| 2025-06-02 | 61.31 | 1.58 | 136.96 |

| 2025-05-30 | 60.96 | 1.56 | 135.88 |

| 2025-05-29 | 67.66 | 2.09 | 140.19 |

| 2025-05-28 | 61.40 | 1.59 | 135.61 |

| 2025-05-27 | 59.71 | 1.48 | 134.81 |

| 2025-05-23 | 55.05 | 1.22 | 131.03 |

| 2025-05-22 | 60.24 | 1.51 | 132.87 |

| 2025-05-21 | 64.96 | 1.85 | 133.25 |

| 2025-05-20 | 69.86 | 2.32 | 133.85 |

Bollinger lower and higher band for NVDA, calculated for the past 20 days

Number of Standard Deviations: 2

Latest Close: 145.48

Latest SMA: 139.67

Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 130.4

Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 148.93

Volume and volume ratio for NVDA:

Last 30 days average volume: 211656766.67

Today's volume: 161039800

Volume Ratio: 0.76

Support levels for NVDA in the last 200 days:

Last Low: 86.61 on 2025-04-07

Last High: 146.18 on 2025-06-16

Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 132.12, 38.2%: 123.43, 50.0%: 116.4, 61.8%: 109.37, 78.6%: 99.36

Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.

Short interest data for NVDA in the past 5 months:

| Report Date | avg_daily_volume | days_to_cover | short_interest |

|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|

| 2025-05-30 | 242510788 | 1.00 | 229342403 |

| 2025-05-15 | 209670213 | 1.16 | 243993623 |

| 2025-04-30 | 253395526 | 1.00 | 249766546 |

| 2025-04-15 | 384463053 | 1.00 | 262957336 |

| 2025-03-31 | 253171367 | 1.00 | 234404715 |

| 2025-03-14 | 335729552 | 1.00 | 258072746 |

| 2025-02-28 | 269883275 | 1.00 | 241358114 |

| 2025-02-14 | 230785762 | 1.05 | 241662760 |

| 2025-01-31 | 350554229 | 1.00 | 271436938 |

| 2025-01-15 | 228358034 | 1.26 | 287064263 |

Close Price: 145.48

news report

News and sentiment report for NVDA as of 2025-06-19:

There are 1074 articles found for NVDA for the last 30 days.

Peer news results as a comparison:

AMD: 8012 articles found.

TXN: 25 articles found.

MSFT: 574 articles found.

QCOM: 113 articles found.

6697.T: 1 articles found.

AVGO: 176 articles found.

AMZN: 1260 articles found.

ADI: 679 articles found.

MRVL: 72 articles found.

TSLA: 657 articles found.

Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 NVDA news articles:

Title: Momo Buys On Fed Hopium But Prudent Investors Wait For Dot Plot, Trump Gambit Increases Risk

Publisher: Benzinga

Published: 2025-06-18T15:20:58Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article states that in the early trade, money flows are positive in NVDA.

URL: https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/06/45999285/momo-buys-on-fed-hopium-but-prudent-investors-wait-for-dot-plot-trump-gambit-increases-risk

Title: Want Exposure to AI, Quantum Computing, and Robotics? This Vanguard ETF Has It All.

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-18T11:30:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article mentions Nvidia as one of the top holdings in the Vanguard Information Technology ETF, indicating its importance in the tech sector.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/18/want-exposure-to-ai-quantum-computing-and-robotics/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: History Says Now Is an Excellent Time to Buy Nvidia Stock

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-18T09:15:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article highlights Nvidia's strong performance and growth potential, driven by the AI arms race and the company's expansion into new markets like Europe. Despite a recent headwind, Nvidia is still expected to post impressive growth, making it a positive investment opportunity.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/18/history-says-now-is-an-excellent-time-to-buy-nvidi/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Could Buying AI Beneficiary CoreWeave Stock Set You Up for Life?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-18T09:10:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article notes that CoreWeave's decision to use Nvidia's graphic processing units (GPUs) has allowed the company to take advantage of the growing computing demand from AI companies, suggesting a positive sentiment towards Nvidia.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/18/buy-ai-beneficiary-coreweave-stock-set-up-life/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: This AI Stock Is Up 268% This Year and Crushing Nvidia's Returns (Hint: It's Not Palantir)

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-18T08:15:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: The article mentions that Nvidia's stock is flat year-to-date, while CoreWeave has outperformed it. However, the article does not provide a strong opinion on Nvidia's performance or prospects.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/18/this-ai-stock-is-up-268-this-year-and-crushing-nvi/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: The Best Trillion-Dollar Stock to Buy Right Now? Wall Street Has a Clear Answer for Investors.

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-18T08:12:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Nvidia is seen as the best trillion-dollar stock to buy right now, with a median target price implying 21% upside. The company is the market leader in data center GPUs and well-positioned to benefit from the growing AI market, despite facing some headwinds related to export restrictions.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/18/best-trillion-dollar-stock-to-buy-now-wall-street/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Should You Buy Nvidia While It's Below $150?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-18T00:10:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Nvidia's stock has rebounded and the company's focus on the AI market has been a winning bet, with strong growth in data center revenue. While challenges remain, the company's position in the AI infrastructure buildout suggests continued growth potential.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/17/should-you-buy-nvidia-while-its-below-150/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: New Catalysts to Drive NVIDIA’s Stock Price Even Higher

Publisher: Investing.com

Published: 2025-06-17T11:27:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article highlights several catalysts that are expected to drive NVIDIA's stock price higher, including strong earnings expectations, new deals and projects, and the company's investments in AI and robotics, which are seen as key growth areas.

URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/new-catalysts-to-drive-nvidias-stock-price-even-higher-200662345

Title: Prediction: Here's How Trump's Trade War Could Play Out for Nvidia Over the Next 3 Years

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-17T10:15:00Z

Sentiment: negative

Reasoning: The article suggests that the trade war with China could have a negative impact on Nvidia's business, with restrictions on Chinese AI models and export limits on GPUs potentially reducing demand and sales. While Nvidia's efforts to increase manufacturing capabilities in the U.S. could help mitigate the effects, this may also lead to higher manufacturing costs.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/17/prediction-trump-trade-war-nvidia-nvda-stock/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Better High-Growth AI Buy: Nvidia vs. CoreWeave

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-06-17T00:15:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article highlights Nvidia's strong market position, innovative capabilities, and significant revenue growth, making it a compelling AI investment.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/16/better-high-growth-ai-buy-nvidia-vs-coreweave/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Out of the total 10 articles,

There are 8 articles with positive sentiment, and

1 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.

today

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final report

Recommendation: Buy

Reasoning:

Financial:

  • Strong Earnings Growth: NVDA has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the past 8 quarters, with EPS growing from $0.109 (Q2 2023) to $0.81 (Q1 2025). The most recent EPS ($0.81) exceeded consensus ($0.7499), reinforcing strong execution.

  • High Valuation (P/E 46.93): While NVDA trades at a premium to peers (avg. P/E 35.19), its growth trajectory justifies some premium. However, caution is warranted given the elevated multiple.

  • Upcoming Catalyst (Earnings on 2025-08-27): Potential for volatility around earnings; sentiment is positive (CEO sentiment score: 0.84).

Technical:

  • Bullish Momentum: NVDA is up 24.29% in 30 days, outperforming most peers (AMD +26.34%, MRVL +33.1%).

  • RSI (66.20): Approaching overbought territory (70+), suggesting a near-term pullback may be due.

  • MACD Negative Histogram: Recent MACD histogram values are negative (-0.42), indicating weakening momentum.

  • Bollinger Bands: Price ($145.48) is near the upper band ($148.93), signaling potential resistance.

  • Support Levels: Key Fibonacci support at $132.12 (23.6%), with stronger support at $123.43 (38.2%).

News:

  • Positive Sentiment (8/10 articles): NVDA is viewed favorably due to AI leadership, data center growth, and new market expansions.

  • Risks: Trade war concerns (China export restrictions) and valuation sensitivity.


Strategy to Minimize Risk:

1. Capital Allocation:

  • Allocate no more than 5-7% of total capital to NVDA due to elevated volatility.

2. Entry Points:

  • Ideal Buy Zone: $132–$138 (near 23.6% Fib support & 50-day EMA ~$130.57).

  • Aggressive Entry: If NVDA breaks above $148.93 (Bollinger upper band) with volume confirmation.

3. Stop-Loss:

  • Conservative: $128 (7-8% below entry).

  • Aggressive: $123 (38.2% Fib level, ~12% downside).

4. Hedging Measures:

  • Protective Puts: Buy $130 puts (expiring post-earnings) to hedge downside.

  • Pair Trade: Short INTC or QCOM (weaker peers) to offset NVDA’s tech exposure.

  • VIX Hedge: If VIX < 15, consider long volatility via VIX calls.

5. Profit Targets:

  • Short-term (1-3 months): $155–160 (7-10% upside).

  • Long-term (6+ months): $180+ if AI demand accelerates (20%+ upside).

6. Time Horizon:

  • Short-term traders: Take profits before earnings (August 27).

  • Long-term investors: Hold through 2025, but monitor trade war risks.


Final Notes:

  • Watch for RSI >70: If NVDA becomes overbought, expect a pullback.

  • Earnings Volatility: August earnings could drive sharp moves; reduce exposure pre-event.

  • Sector Rotation Risk: If tech weakens (e.g., Fed hawkishness), NVDA may correct.

Bottom Line: NVDA is a Buy on dips with tight risk controls. Its AI dominance supports growth, but high valuation demands disciplined entry/exit.