NVDA 2025-06-27
Symbol
NVDA
User Message
I am thinking about selling cash secured puts expiring on Jan 16 2026.
Current premium is 5.75 per share
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for NVDA as of 2025-06-27----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 0.81
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.75
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-05-28
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-04-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.54
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.89
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.109
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-08-27
----Valuation Data Summary for NVDA as of 2025-06-27----
Current P/E for NVDA: 50.01
1 year P/E range: 34.14 - 52.93
2 years P/E range: 34.14 - 88.95
5 years P/E range: 34.14 - 94.41
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['MU', 'META', 'AMD', 'QCOM', 'AAPL', 'GOOG', 'GOOGL', 'TXN', 'ADI', 'MRVL', 'TSLA', '6697.T', 'MSFT', 'AMZN', 'INTC', 'AVGO']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 36.21
----Management Sentiment Summary for NVDA in 2025Q2 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CFO | 0.58 |
| CEO | 0.84 |
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for NVDA----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 141.59
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 132.91
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 140.85
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 135.39
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 137.24
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 132.7
----Technical Indicators Summary for NVDA as of 2025-06-27----
MACD values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-26 | 0.32 | 5.79 | 5.48 |
| 2025-06-25 | 0.02 | 5.41 | 5.40 |
| 2025-06-24 | -0.47 | 4.92 | 5.39 |
| 2025-06-23 | -0.64 | 4.87 | 5.51 |
| 2025-06-20 | -0.56 | 5.12 | 5.67 |
| 2025-06-18 | -0.42 | 5.39 | 5.81 |
| 2025-06-17 | -0.42 | 5.49 | 5.92 |
| 2025-06-16 | -0.34 | 5.68 | 6.02 |
| 2025-06-13 | -0.32 | 5.78 | 6.11 |
| 2025-06-12 | -0.08 | 6.11 | 6.19 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-26 | 133.96 |
| 2025-06-25 | 133.11 |
| 2025-06-24 | 132.24 |
| 2025-06-23 | 131.60 |
| 2025-06-20 | 131.09 |
| 2025-06-18 | 130.57 |
| 2025-06-17 | 129.96 |
| 2025-06-16 | 129.38 |
| 2025-06-13 | 128.75 |
| 2025-06-12 | 128.22 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-26 | 123.83 |
| 2025-06-25 | 123.52 |
| 2025-06-24 | 123.21 |
| 2025-06-23 | 122.96 |
| 2025-06-20 | 122.75 |
| 2025-06-18 | 122.54 |
| 2025-06-17 | 122.31 |
| 2025-06-16 | 122.09 |
| 2025-06-13 | 121.86 |
| 2025-06-12 | 121.66 |
RSI values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-26 | 74.63 |
| 2025-06-25 | 74.05 |
| 2025-06-24 | 67.91 |
| 2025-06-23 | 63.21 |
| 2025-06-20 | 62.77 |
| 2025-06-18 | 66.49 |
| 2025-06-17 | 64.88 |
| 2025-06-16 | 66.11 |
| 2025-06-13 | 62.99 |
| 2025-06-12 | 69.63 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for NVDA over the last 20 days:
Latest MFI: 64.81
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-06-26 | 64.81 | 1.84 | 155.25 |
| 2025-06-25 | 65.44 | 1.89 | 152.67 |
| 2025-06-24 | 64.54 | 1.82 | 147.12 |
| 2025-06-23 | 59.92 | 1.50 | 143.66 |
| 2025-06-20 | 59.64 | 1.48 | 144.23 |
| 2025-06-18 | 59.54 | 1.47 | 144.75 |
| 2025-06-17 | 55.68 | 1.26 | 144.37 |
| 2025-06-16 | 55.11 | 1.23 | 144.69 |
| 2025-06-13 | 55.42 | 1.24 | 142.13 |
| 2025-06-12 | 60.12 | 1.51 | 143.95 |
| 2025-06-11 | 61.06 | 1.57 | 143.23 |
| 2025-06-10 | 66.05 | 1.95 | 143.25 |
| 2025-06-09 | 66.32 | 1.97 | 143.18 |
| 2025-06-06 | 63.22 | 1.72 | 142.16 |
| 2025-06-05 | 63.31 | 1.73 | 140.93 |
| 2025-06-04 | 68.11 | 2.14 | 141.27 |
| 2025-06-03 | 64.86 | 1.85 | 140.38 |
| 2025-06-02 | 61.31 | 1.58 | 136.96 |
| 2025-05-30 | 60.96 | 1.56 | 135.88 |
| 2025-05-29 | 67.66 | 2.09 | 140.19 |
| 2025-05-28 | 64.41 | 1.81 | 135.61 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for NVDA, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 155.02
Latest SMA: 143.62
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 134.1
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 153.14
Volume and volume ratio for NVDA:
Last 30 days average volume: 210266046.67
Today's volume: 197458900
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.94
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 143.11
Support levels for NVDA in the last 200 days:
Last Low: 86.61 on 2025-04-07
Last High: 156.72 on 2025-06-26
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 140.17, 38.2%: 129.94, 50.0%: 121.67, 61.8%: 113.39, 78.6%: 101.62
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.
Short interest data for NVDA in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-06-13 | 182114203 | 1.14 | 206798022 |
| 2025-05-30 | 242510788 | 1.00 | 229342403 |
| 2025-05-15 | 209670213 | 1.16 | 243993623 |
| 2025-04-30 | 253395526 | 1.00 | 249766546 |
| 2025-04-15 | 384463053 | 1.00 | 262957336 |
| 2025-03-31 | 253171367 | 1.00 | 234404715 |
| 2025-03-14 | 335729552 | 1.00 | 258072746 |
| 2025-02-28 | 269883275 | 1.00 | 241358114 |
| 2025-02-14 | 230785762 | 1.05 | 241662760 |
| 2025-01-31 | 350554229 | 1.00 | 271436938 |
Economics Report
Summary: Time to Be Cautiously Greedy
The current macroeconomic landscape suggests a mixed but leaning-positive outlook, warranting cautious optimism ("greedy" in selective areas) rather than outright fear. Here’s why:
-
Soft Landing Potential: The Fed’s anticipated rate cuts (likely Q4 2025) and cooling inflation could stabilize markets, historically a bullish signal. Past soft landings (e.g., mid-1990s) saw equities rally as growth normalized without recession.
-
Valuation Opportunities: Slower growth may create pockets of undervaluation, especially in sectors less sensitive to rates (e.g., healthcare, staples) or beneficiaries of structural trends (AI, green energy).
-
Historical Precedent: Markets often bottom before economic troughs. With inflation decelerating and policy easing ahead, early positioning in quality assets could pay off.
Risks to Monitor:
-
Tariffs/Geopolitics: Trade tensions could reignite inflation, delaying Fed cuts.
-
Consumer Weakness: Rising delinquencies may pressure earnings in discretionary sectors.
-
Global Spillovers: Emerging market stress or geopolitical shocks could derail sentiment.
Action: Favor defensive growth (tech, utilities) and dividend payers, but keep dry powder for volatility. Avoid overexposure to rate-sensitive cyclicals until the Fed’s path clarifies.
Bottom Line: Not time for outright fear, but selective greed with hedges.
News Report
----News and sentiment report for NVDA as of 2025-06-27----
There are 1072 articles found for NVDA for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
MU: 10560 articles found.
META: 22506 articles found.
AMD: 7406 articles found.
QCOM: 116 articles found.
AAPL: 795 articles found.
GOOG: 91 articles found.
GOOGL: 356 articles found.
TXN: 35 articles found.
ADI: 778 articles found.
MRVL: 132 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 NVDA news articles:
Title: These 3 Tech Stocks Are Unstoppable Monsters
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-26T16:34:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Dominates AI GPU market with 92% market share, continues to expand AI infrastructure, has strong earnings growth projections, and is developing ecosystem for future AI applications
Title: Nvidia's New High Shows More Room For AI Trade, Buying On Trump's Move To Make Powell Miserable
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-06-26T16:19:38Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Stock broke out above resistance zone, made new highs, and the article suggests AI trade has potential through 2030
Title: Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade.
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-26T15:05:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Dominates AI chip market with 92% market share, expected 29% annual earnings growth, and significant opportunities in data centers and robotics
Title: Analysts Supercharge AMD Stock Ahead of Q2 AI Catalyst
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-06-26T12:24:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned as current market leader in AI GPUs, but AMD is expected to close technological gap by 2026
URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/analysts-supercharge-amd-stock-ahead-of-q2-ai-catalyst-200662826
Title: S&P 500 Bulls Eye 6,200 as Tech Strength, Rising Rate-Cut Bets Drive Momentum
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-06-26T11:15:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Continues to be the 'poster child of AI exuberance', surged in pre-market trading, central to the current market rally
Title: 5 Leading Tech Stocks to Buy in 2025
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-26T10:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Dominates GPU market with 92% market share, critical AI infrastructure provider with advanced CUDA software platform
Title: Is Nvidia a No-Brainer Bargain Buy Right Now?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-26T10:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article highlights Nvidia's exceptional performance in the AI market, with triple-digit revenue growth, high profit margins, consistent innovation, and strong potential in the expanding trillion-dollar AI market. The author considers the stock a 'no-brainer buy' with significant growth prospects.
Title: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Is Selling Nvidia Stock!
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-26T10:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The author has a position in Nvidia and The Motley Fool recommends the stock, suggesting confidence in the company's potential
Title: CoreWeave vs. Circle Internet Group: What's the Best New Growth Stock to Buy?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-26T10:04:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Key technology partner for CoreWeave, driving AI chip development and computing infrastructure
Title: Prediction: 2 Stocks That Will Be Worth More Than Apple by 2030
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-26T09:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Surpassed Apple in market capitalization and showing significant growth potential
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 9 articles with positive sentiment, and
0 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Hedging Tools
----VIX Summary as of 2025-06-27----
Current VIX: 16.59, VIX percentile in the past 200 days: 30.0%
Z-score (5 days): -0.90
Z-score (20 days): -1.24
VIX9D: 13.49
VIX9D VIX: False
---UVXY Performance Summary----
Current UVXY: 18.87, UVXY percentile in the past 90 days: 0.0%
5D % Change: -14.62
5D Volatility (%): 3.92
RSI (14): 38.44
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.45
----SQQQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -10.7
5D Volatility (%): 2.09
RSI (14): 30.87
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.75
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----PSQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -3.68
5D Volatility (%): 0.71
RSI (14): 31.66
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.8
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----QID Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -7.23
5D Volatility (%): 1.39
RSI (14): 31.16
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.76
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----SH Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -2.87
5D Volatility (%): 0.57
RSI (14): 32.14
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.78
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----SDS Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -5.68
5D Volatility (%): 1.12
RSI (14): 31.22
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.77
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----SPXU Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -8.48
5D Volatility (%): 1.65
RSI (14): 31.19
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.97
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----DOG Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -2.71
5D Volatility (%): 0.53
RSI (14): 36.67
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.9
5D Correlation with ^DJI: -1.0
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral (Hold/Cautious Sell for CSPs)
Reasoning:
Financial:
-
Strong Earnings Growth: NVDA has consistently beaten earnings estimates (0 misses in last 8 quarters), with EPS trending upward (latest: 0.81 vs. 0.75 consensus).
-
High Valuation: P/E (50.01) is above peers’ average (36.21) and near the upper end of its 1-year range (34.14–52.93). This suggests limited upside unless earnings accelerate further.
-
Upcoming Catalyst: Next earnings on Aug 27, 2025—could drive volatility.
Technical:
-
Overbought Signals: RSI (74.63) and MFI (64.81) indicate near-term exhaustion. MACD histogram is positive but flattening, suggesting momentum may stall.
-
Price at Resistance: Stock is near all-time highs ($156.72) and above the upper Bollinger Band ($153.14), a typical reversal zone.
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Support Levels: Strong support at $140.17 (23.6% Fib) and $132.7 (2σ below mean).
News & Macro:
-
Overwhelmingly Positive Sentiment: 9/10 recent articles are bullish, highlighting AI dominance (92% GPU market share). However, this optimism may already be priced in.
-
Macro Caution: Fed rate cuts (expected Q4 2025) could support tech, but tariffs/geopolitics pose risks.
Additional Context (Cash-Secured Puts):
-
Premium: $5.75/share for Jan 2026 puts is attractive, but:
-
Stock is extended; a pullback to $140–$135 would improve put-selling odds.
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If assigned, cost basis would be $X - $5.75, but NVDA’s high valuation increases risk of holding long-term if markets correct.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
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Entry for CSPs: Wait for pullback to $140–$135 (near Fib/EMA support) before selling puts.
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Strike Selection: Consider strikes 10–15% below current price (e.g., $130–$125) for higher margin of safety.
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Stop-Loss (if selling now): Exit put position if NVDA breaks below $132.7 (2σ support).
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Profit Target: Close puts at 50–70% premium capture if NVDA stabilizes.
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Time Horizon: Jan 2026 expiry allows time for correction/recovery, but monitor Fed policy and earnings.
Final Notes:
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Short-Term Caution: NVDA is overbought; a dip to $140–$135 is likely before next leg up.
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Long-Term Bullish: AI leadership justifies holds, but CSPs today carry elevated assignment risk.
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Watch Earnings: Aug 27 report could reset expectations—avoid new positions until after.
Alternative: If bullish long-term, sell puts after a pullback or consider buying shares near $140 with a stop at $132.