NVDA 2025-12-30
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for NVDA as of 2025-12-30
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.30
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.24
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-19
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-10-31
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.72
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.05
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.402
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-24
Valuation Data Summary for NVDA as of 2025-12-30
Current P/E for NVDA: 50.09
1 year P/E range: 34.17 - 50.35
2 years P/E range: 34.17 - 53.2
5 years P/E range: 34.17 - 90.62
Management Sentiment Summary for NVDA in 2025Q4 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CFO | 0.53 |
| CEO | 0.78 |
Insider transactions for NVDA in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | -247.1K | $180.15 | Sell | 9.8M |
| 2025-12-15 | -250K | $177.33 | Sell | 6.9M |
| 2025-12-12 | -120.3K | $177.96 | Sell | 28.9M |
| 2025-12-11 | -80K | $178.9 | Sell | 7.6M |
| 2025-12-10 | -80K | $183.52 | Sell | 6.4M |
Technical Report
Price Distribution for NVDA
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 179.12
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 170.31
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 179.1
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 173.67
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 174.34
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 169.34
Price Range for NVDA
NVDA current price: $188.22
5-Day Range: $182.35 - $192.69
50-Day Range: $169.54 - $212.18
200-Day Range: $86.60 - $212.18
Technical Indicators Summary for NVDA as of 2025-12-30
MACD values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | 0.33 | -1.31 | 1.64 |
| 2025-12-24 | -0.37 | -1.72 | 1.35 |
| 2025-12-23 | -1.07 | -2.06 | 0.99 |
| 2025-12-22 | -2.00 | -2.31 | 0.30 |
| 2025-12-19 | -2.60 | -2.38 | -0.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | -3.05 | -2.33 | -0.72 |
| 2025-12-17 | -2.89 | -2.15 | -0.74 |
| 2025-12-16 | -2.31 | -1.96 | -0.35 |
| 2025-12-15 | -2.23 | -1.88 | -0.35 |
| 2025-12-12 | -1.95 | -1.79 | -0.16 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | 183.24 |
| 2025-12-24 | 182.94 |
| 2025-12-23 | 182.71 |
| 2025-12-22 | 182.45 |
| 2025-12-19 | 182.39 |
| 2025-12-18 | 182.45 |
| 2025-12-17 | 182.79 |
| 2025-12-16 | 183.27 |
| 2025-12-15 | 183.50 |
| 2025-12-12 | 183.80 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | 165.39 |
| 2025-12-24 | 165.14 |
| 2025-12-23 | 164.90 |
| 2025-12-22 | 164.66 |
| 2025-12-19 | 164.46 |
| 2025-12-18 | 164.30 |
| 2025-12-17 | 164.20 |
| 2025-12-16 | 164.13 |
| 2025-12-15 | 163.99 |
| 2025-12-12 | 163.87 |
RSI values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | 58.67 |
| 2025-12-24 | 56.88 |
| 2025-12-23 | 57.61 |
| 2025-12-22 | 52.42 |
| 2025-12-19 | 49.62 |
| 2025-12-18 | 41.52 |
| 2025-12-17 | 37.14 |
| 2025-12-16 | 43.56 |
| 2025-12-15 | 41.58 |
| 2025-12-12 | 39.84 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for NVDA over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 70.05
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | 187.63 | 2.34 | 70.05 |
| 2025-12-26 | 190.41 | 2.03 | 66.99 |
| 2025-12-24 | 188.04 | 1.35 | 57.42 |
| 2025-12-23 | 187.15 | 1.03 | 50.78 |
| 2025-12-22 | 183.40 | 0.72 | 41.85 |
| 2025-12-19 | 179.59 | 0.79 | 44.23 |
| 2025-12-18 | 174.04 | 0.63 | 38.54 |
| 2025-12-17 | 172.46 | 0.63 | 38.53 |
| 2025-12-16 | 177.04 | 0.66 | 39.62 |
| 2025-12-15 | 176.58 | 0.69 | 40.97 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for NVDA, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 188.22
Latest SMA: 181.87
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 171.28
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 192.46
ADX for NVDA, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 4.52
Volume and volume ratio for NVDA:
Last 30 days average volume: 193.5M
Today's volume: 120M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.62
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 181.64
Support levels for NVDA (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 140.85 on 2025-06-13 (UTC)
Last High: 212.19 on 2025-10-29 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 182.56, 38.2%: 164.22, 50.0%: 149.4, 61.8%: 134.59, 78.6%: 113.49
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for NVDA in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | 264.3M | 171.4M | 1.54 |
| 2025-11-28 | 232.9M | 241.7M | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | 237.2M | 193.7M | 1.22 |
| 2025-10-31 | 238.6M | 176.4M | 1.35 |
| 2025-10-15 | 211M | 171.7M | 1.23 |
| 2025-09-30 | 226.8M | 194.7M | 1.16 |
| 2025-09-15 | 217.5M | 172.3M | 1.26 |
| 2025-08-29 | 196.7M | 192.6M | 1.02 |
| 2025-08-15 | 205.2M | 151.2M | 1.36 |
| 2025-07-31 | 192.1M | 156.2M | 1.23 |
Option Chain
Monthly options:
NVDA 185 put expires on 2026-01-30
iv: 0.3414, delta: -0.4123, gamma: 0.0205, theta: -0.1069, vega: 0.2162 ask price: 6.05, bid price: 5.95
NVDA 180 put expires on 2026-01-30
iv: 0.3524, delta: -0.3154, gamma: 0.0182, theta: -0.1023, vega: 0.1975 ask price: 4.25, bid price: 4.2
NVDA 175 put expires on 2026-01-30
iv: 0.3641, delta: -0.2328, gamma: 0.0151, theta: -0.0919, vega: 0.1698 ask price: 2.92, bid price: 2.88
NVDA 170 put expires on 2026-01-30
iv: 0.3769, delta: -0.1664, gamma: 0.0119, theta: -0.0783, vega: 0.1386 ask price: 1.97, bid price: 1.93
NVDA 165 put expires on 2026-01-30
iv: 0.3902, delta: -0.1155, gamma: 0.009, theta: -0.0636, vega: 0.1082 ask price: 1.3, bid price: 1.27
NVDA 160 put expires on 2026-01-30
iv: 0.4076, delta: -0.0798, gamma: 0.0066, theta: -0.0509, vega: 0.0824 ask price: 0.87, bid price: 0.85
NVDA 155 put expires on 2026-01-30
iv: 0.427, delta: -0.0549, gamma: 0.0047, theta: -0.0401, vega: 0.0617 ask price: 0.59, bid price: 0.57
NVDA 150 put expires on 2026-01-30
iv: 0.4514, delta: -0.0387, gamma: 0.0033, theta: -0.0321, vega: 0.0466 ask price: 0.42, bid price: 0.4
Weekly options:
NVDA 185 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3094, delta: -0.3786, gamma: 0.0377, theta: -0.1667, vega: 0.1239 ask price: 2.75, bid price: 2.72
NVDA 180 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3298, delta: -0.2201, gamma: 0.0276, theta: -0.1403, vega: 0.0965 ask price: 1.41, bid price: 1.38
NVDA 175 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3541, delta: -0.1187, gamma: 0.0172, theta: -0.1017, vega: 0.0647 ask price: 0.7, bid price: 0.68
NVDA 170 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.3872, delta: -0.0646, gamma: 0.01, theta: -0.0711, vega: 0.0411 ask price: 0.37, bid price: 0.36
NVDA 165 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.4263, delta: -0.0369, gamma: 0.0058, theta: -0.0502, vega: 0.0263 ask price: 0.22, bid price: 0.2
NVDA 160 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.4775, delta: -0.0241, gamma: 0.0036, theta: -0.0396, vega: 0.0185 ask price: 0.15, bid price: 0.14
NVDA 155 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.5301, delta: -0.0165, gamma: 0.0024, theta: -0.0319, vega: 0.0134 ask price: 0.11, bid price: 0.1
NVDA 150 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.5801, delta: -0.0112, gamma: 0.0016, theta: -0.0251, vega: 0.0096 ask price: 0.08, bid price: 0.07
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
-
Financial: NVDA shows strong earnings momentum, beating consensus EPS ($1.30 vs. $1.24) and maintaining an 8-quarter streak of no misses. Historical EPS has risen steadily (average $0.72, recent high $1.30), reflecting robust growth. However, valuation is elevated with a P/E of 50.09, near the 1-year high (50.35). Management sentiment is positive (CEO score 0.78), but insider selling over the past 90 days (~$777K net sales) signals caution among executives.
-
Technical: The stock is trading at $188.22, above key moving averages (50-day EMA ~$183.24, 200-day EMA ~$165.39), indicating an uptrend. RSI (58.67) and MFI (70.05) suggest neutral-to-slightly-overbought conditions but not extreme. Support levels are strong near $174–$179 (Bollinger lower band $171.28, 20-day low $170.31). MACD has turned positive (0.33), signaling improving momentum. Volume is below average (ratio 0.62), indicating lack of conviction in recent moves.
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News: Sentiment is broadly positive (4 positive vs. 1 negative articles), highlighting NVDA’s dominant AI position, record revenue, and a $500B order backlog. However, profit-taking in AI stocks and a slight pullback in NVDA’s price reflect near-term caution. Macro conditions show sticky inflation and high equity valuations (Buffett Indicator 222%), suggesting market-wide risk but no imminent recession (yield curve positive).
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Option Chain: Implied volatilities are moderate (~30–45% for monthly puts), with put skew increasing at lower strikes (e.g., 150 put IV 45.1%), indicating higher perceived downside risk. The 185–180 put strikes (delta -0.31 to -0.41) align with near-term support and could serve as hedges or entry indicators.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $179–$182 (near the 50-day EMA, Bollinger lower band, and 20-day low). This aligns with technical support and reduces exposure to current overbought conditions.
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $198–$205 (5–9% gain, near prior resistance at $212.18).
- Long-term: Hold through Q4 earnings (Feb 2026) if growth narrative remains intact.
- Time Horizon: 3–6 months, leveraging upcoming earnings (Feb 2026) as a catalyst.
Final Notes:
- Risks: High valuation, insider selling, and macro headwinds (inflation, elevated market valuations) could limit upside.
- Opportunities: AI demand tailwinds, strong backlog, and positive earnings trends support long-term growth. Use pullbacks to build positions, and consider protective puts (e.g., 175 strike) for downside protection.
- Watch: Monitor volume on price advances (confirmation of breakout) and any shifts in Fed policy or inflation data.