NVDA 2026-01-20
Symbol
NVDA
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for NVDA as of 2026-01-21
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.30
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.24
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 0.402 - 1.05
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.72
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-19
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-10-31
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-25
Valuation Data Summary for NVDA as of 2026-01-21
Current P/E for NVDA: 50.09
1 year P/E range: 34.17 - 50.35
2 years P/E range: 34.17 - 53.2
5 years P/E range: 34.17 - 90.62
Management Sentiment Summary for NVDA in 2025Q4 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CFO | 0.53 |
| CEO | 0.78 |
Insider transactions for NVDA in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|--------|-------------------|-----------------|----------------|----------------|
| 2026-01-13 | -47.6K | $184.92 | Sell | 8.6M |
| 2026-01-07 | -200K | $187.82 | Sell | 11.6M |
| 2026-01-02 | -80K | $189.85 | Sell | 1.8M |
| 2025-12-19 | -247.1K | $180.15 | Sell | 9.8M |
| 2025-12-15 | -250K | $177.33 | Sell | 6.9M |
| 2025-12-12 | -69.8K | $177.85 | Sell | 11.6M |
| 2025-12-11 | -80K | $178.9 | Sell | 7.6M |
| 2025-12-10 | -80K | $183.52 | Sell | 6.4M |
Technical Report
Price Range for NVDA
NVDA current price: $179.92
5-Day Range: $179.27 - $190.44
50-Day Range: $169.54 - $199.93
200-Day Range: $86.60 - $212.18
Price Distribution for NVDA in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 184.92
Lowest price: 176.34
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 183.02
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 180.8
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 181.40
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 178.32
Technical Indicators Summary for NVDA as of 2026-01-21
MACD values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|--------|--------|--------|---------|
| 2026-01-16 | 0.59 | 0.72 | -0.12 |
| 2026-01-15 | 0.60 | 0.75 | -0.15 |
| 2026-01-14 | 0.51 | 0.78 | -0.27 |
| 2026-01-13 | 0.79 | 0.85 | -0.06 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.00 |
| 2026-01-09 | 1.04 | 0.86 | 0.18 |
| 2026-01-08 | 1.25 | 0.82 | 0.43 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1.49 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| 2026-01-06 | 1.35 | 0.52 | 0.83 |
| 2026-01-05 | 1.34 | 0.31 | 1.03 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2026-01-16 | 184.62 |
| 2026-01-15 | 184.56 |
| 2026-01-14 | 184.45 |
| 2026-01-13 | 184.51 |
| 2026-01-12 | 184.45 |
| 2026-01-09 | 184.43 |
| 2026-01-08 | 184.42 |
| 2026-01-07 | 184.39 |
| 2026-01-06 | 184.20 |
| 2026-01-05 | 184.08 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2026-01-16 | 168.23 |
| 2026-01-15 | 168.05 |
| 2026-01-14 | 167.86 |
| 2026-01-13 | 167.70 |
| 2026-01-12 | 167.52 |
| 2026-01-09 | 167.35 |
| 2026-01-08 | 167.17 |
| 2026-01-07 | 166.99 |
| 2026-01-06 | 166.77 |
| 2026-01-05 | 166.56 |
RSI values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2026-01-16 | 51.70 |
| 2026-01-15 | 53.09 |
| 2026-01-14 | 46.75 |
| 2026-01-13 | 51.13 |
| 2026-01-12 | 49.71 |
| 2026-01-09 | 49.58 |
| 2026-01-08 | 49.84 |
| 2026-01-07 | 56.01 |
| 2026-01-06 | 53.56 |
| 2026-01-05 | 54.90 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for NVDA over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 40.98
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|--------|-------------|----------------|--------|
| 2026-01-20 | 180.49 | 0.69 | 40.98 |
| 2026-01-16 | 187.58 | 0.65 | 39.44 |
| 2026-01-15 | 187.69 | 0.98 | 49.60 |
| 2026-01-14 | 182.80 | 0.88 | 46.79 |
| 2026-01-13 | 185.77 | 1.23 | 55.22 |
| 2026-01-12 | 185.03 | 0.84 | 45.70 |
| 2026-01-09 | 184.96 | 0.85 | 45.91 |
| 2026-01-08 | 186.10 | 1.12 | 52.77 |
| 2026-01-07 | 189.01 | 1.88 | 65.22 |
| 2026-01-06 | 188.74 | 1.82 | 64.49 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for NVDA, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 179.81
Latest SMA: 186.27
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 180.67
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 191.87
ADX for NVDA, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 11.31
Volume and volume ratio for NVDA:
Last 30 days average volume: 162.4M
Today's volume: 127.1M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.78
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 186.88
Support levels for NVDA (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 157.34 on 2025-07-07 (UTC)
Last High: 212.19 on 2025-10-29 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 182.56, 38.2%: 164.22, 50.0%: 149.4, 61.8%: 134.59, 78.6%: 113.49
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for NVDA in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|-----------|--------------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-12-31 | 256.8M | 154.6M | 1.66 |
| 2025-12-15 | 264.3M | 171.4M | 1.54 |
| 2025-11-28 | 232.9M | 241.7M | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | 237.2M | 193.7M | 1.22 |
| 2025-10-31 | 238.6M | 176.4M | 1.35 |
| 2025-10-15 | 211M | 171.7M | 1.23 |
| 2025-09-30 | 226.8M | 194.7M | 1.16 |
| 2025-09-15 | 217.5M | 172.3M | 1.26 |
| 2025-08-29 | 196.7M | 192.6M | 1.02 |
| 2025-08-15 | 205.2M | 151.2M | 1.36 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-20:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|------------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|---------|---------|
| 175 | 0.41 | -0.37 | 0.02 | -0.12 | 0.20 | 5.95 | 5.90 |
| 170 | 0.42 | -0.29 | 0.02 | -0.12 | 0.18 | 4.30 | 4.25 |
| 165 | 0.43 | -0.22 | 0.01 | -0.10 | 0.15 | 3.05 | 3.00 |
| 160 | 0.45 | -0.16 | 0.01 | -0.09 | 0.13 | 2.10 | 2.08 |
| 155 | 0.46 | -0.11 | 0.01 | -0.07 | 0.10 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| 150 | 0.48 | -0.08 | 0.01 | -0.06 | 0.08 | 0.96 | 0.95 |
| 145 | 0.50 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.06 | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| 140 | 0.52 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.04 | 0.47 | 0.45 |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-06:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|------------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|---------|---------|
| 175 | 0.43 | -0.36 | 0.02 | -0.18 | 0.15 | 4.35 | 4.30 |
| 170 | 0.45 | -0.26 | 0.02 | -0.16 | 0.13 | 2.87 | 2.85 |
| 165 | 0.47 | -0.18 | 0.01 | -0.14 | 0.10 | 1.83 | 1.81 |
| 160 | 0.48 | -0.12 | 0.01 | -0.11 | 0.08 | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| 155 | 0.50 | -0.07 | 0.01 | -0.08 | 0.05 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| 150 | 0.53 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.04 | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| 145 | 0.56 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.03 | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| 140 | 0.59 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.02 | 0.19 | 0.18 |
News Report
----News and sentiment report for NVDA as of 2026-01-21----
There are 507 articles found for NVDA for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
MU: 10485 articles found.
META: 14186 articles found.
AMD: 6708 articles found.
QCOM: 54 articles found.
AAPL: 346 articles found.
GOOG: 120 articles found.
GOOGL: 205 articles found.
TXN: 18 articles found.
ADI: 392 articles found.
MRVL: 320 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 NVDA news articles:
Title: Nvidia's Gain, Your Loss: Micron Confirms 100% Sell-Through to AI Leaders
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2026-01-20T17:17:20Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Nvidia is identified as one of the primary AI leaders receiving all of Micron's available memory chip capacity, demonstrating strong demand for its products and critical importance in the AI infrastructure ecosystem.
Title: Super Micro: Is It Ready to Fly as Short Squeeze Season Heats Up?
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2026-01-20T15:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: TSMC is the primary manufacturer for NVIDIA's Blackwell chips, and the raised CapEx guidance indicates strong demand for these advanced processors used in AI servers.
Title: The Overlooked AI Chip Stock That Could Outperform Nvidia in 2026
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2026-01-20T15:13:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: While Nvidia remains the dominant AI chip leader with its GPUs, the article suggests Micron may outperform it in 2026 due to current market dynamics favoring memory suppliers. Nvidia is mentioned as context rather than as an investment opportunity.
Title: 8 Stocks That Could Stay Resilient as Trump’s Tariff Threats Rattle Markets
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2026-01-20T14:03:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Listed as a major stock with price data (-3.31%), but not specifically analyzed. Article mentions weakening investor confidence in AI theme, which could negatively impact NVIDIA, but no direct recommendation provided.
Title: Super Micro Computer: 2 Analysts Turn Sour After 40% Fall—Can It Recover?
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2026-01-20T14:02:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned as a key supplier to Super Micro with strong competitive advantages. While NVIDIA's Blackwell servers are driving SMCI's growth, NVIDIA's pricing power is putting significant strain on SMCI's margins, indicating a neutral stance from the perspective of this article's focus on SMCI's challenges.
Title: Uber CEO Warns The 'Biggest Factor' In AV Growth Is Affordability, As Significant Scaling Could Take 10-20 Years
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2026-01-20T13:43:59Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Nvidia's Alpamayo AI platform announcement in January 2026 was positively received by the market and Uber's stock, indicating its relevance in addressing autonomous vehicle technology concerns and supporting the development of safer, more capable AVs.
Title: I Predicted AI Stocks Would Power Stock Market Gains in 2025, and They Did. Here's What May Happen Next in 2026. (And It May Surprise You.)
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2026-01-20T13:10:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Mentioned as an AI stock that extended multi-year increases in 2025 and is positioned as a strong player likely to benefit from the predicted shift toward only the strongest AI companies in 2026.
Title: YieldMax® ETFs Announces Distributions on MSST, NVIT, and TEST
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2026-01-20T11:55:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: NVIT ETF announced a weekly distribution of $0.2389 with notably high 93.32% ROC, indicating most of the distribution is return of capital rather than earnings. This suggests limited underlying asset appreciation, warranting neutral sentiment.
Title: 5 Tangible Risks That Can Upend Nvidia's Parabolic Climb in 2026
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2026-01-20T09:06:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: The article outlines five significant risks threatening Nvidia's growth trajectory, including AI bubble potential, internal competition from major customers developing cheaper alternatives, China trade limitations, rapid GPU depreciation from aggressive innovation cycles, and overvaluation concerns relative to historical precedent.
Title: Billionaires Buy 2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Up 830% and 1,180% Since 2023
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2026-01-20T08:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Strong competitive moat through full-stack strategy combining GPUs, CPUs, networking, and CUDA software tools. Projected 67% annual earnings growth through 2027 with valuation at 46x earnings considered cheap. Wall Street median target of $250 implies 33% upside. Multiple billionaire fund managers maintain it as their largest holding.
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 5 articles with positive sentiment, and
1 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy (on weakness)
Reasoning:
-
Financial: NVDA demonstrates strong earnings momentum with a recent EPS beat (1.30 vs. 1.24 consensus) and a perfect record of meeting or exceeding estimates over the last 8 quarters. The P/E of 50.09 is elevated but sits at the lower end of its 1-year range (34.17-50.35) and is well below its 5-year peak of 90.62, suggesting the valuation premium is supported by growth. Management sentiment is positive (CEO at 0.78). However, significant insider selling over the past 90 days (~1.05M shares net sold) is a notable red flag, indicating executives may view the stock as fairly valued or overvalued near-term.
-
Technical: The stock is in a short-term downtrend, trading at $179.92, below its 50-day EMA ($184.62) and near the 20-day Bollinger Lower Band ($180.67). Momentum is weak (MACD histogram negative for 5 days, RSI neutral at ~51.7, MFI oversold at 40.98). Key support levels are the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement at $164.22 and the rising 200-day EMA at $168.23. The volume ratio of 0.78 indicates lack of aggressive buying. The price is consolidating after a major rally, presenting a potential entry point on a pullback to stronger support.
-
News & Macro: News sentiment is net positive (5 positive, 1 negative articles), highlighting NVDA's dominant position in AI infrastructure, strong demand from partners like Micron, and long-term growth prospects. Risks include potential AI bubble, competition, and China trade limitations. Macro environment shows late-cycle expansion with elevated market valuations (Buffett Indicator 226.3%), sticky inflation, and a cautious Fed. This suggests overall market risk is elevated, which could pressure high-multiple stocks like NVDA in a broad correction.
-
Option Chain: Put options for February expiration show heightened interest at the $175 and $170 strikes, with implied volatility around 41-45%. The delta of -0.37 for the $175 put implies a ~37% probability of closing below $175 by Feb 20. Option markets are pricing in moderate downside protection demand, aligning with the technical support zones.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $168 - $172. This range encompasses the 200-day EMA (~$168.23), Fibonacci 38.2% support ($164.22) with a buffer, and aligns with the $170 strike put interest. Avoid chasing above $180 until the downtrend is broken.
-
Profit Targets:
-
Short-term (2-4 months): $199 - $212 (11-25% gain) – previous resistance near the 50-day high and all-time high.
-
Long-term (6-12+ months): Hold for growth, reassess after earnings and AI demand trajectory.
- Time Horizon: Medium-term (3-6 months), pending upcoming earnings on Feb 25, 2026, which will provide a fundamental catalyst.
Final Notes:
-
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss at $159 (just below the $164.22 Fibonacci support), limiting downside to ~5-7% from the entry zone.
-
Risk: High insider selling and macro overvaluation are significant headwinds. Only enter on a pullback to improve risk/reward.
-
Opportunity: NVDA's structural AI leadership and earnings growth justify long-term holdings, but patience for a better entry is crucial given the technical breakdown and insider behavior.