NVDA 2026-02-05
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for NVDA as of 2026-02-05
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.30
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.24
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 0.402 - 1.05
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.72
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-19
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-10-31
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-25
Valuation Data Summary for NVDA as of 2026-02-05
Current P/E for NVDA: 50.09
1 year P/E range: 34.17 - 50.35
2 years P/E range: 34.17 - 53.2
5 years P/E range: 34.17 - 90.62
Management Sentiment Summary for NVDA in 2025Q4 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CFO | 0.53 |
| CEO | 0.78 |
Insider transactions for NVDA in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | -200K | $180.04 | Sell | 3.6M |
| 2026-01-13 | -47.6K | $184.92 | Sell | 8.6M |
| 2026-01-07 | -200K | $187.82 | Sell | 11.6M |
| 2026-01-02 | -80K | $189.85 | Sell | 1.8M |
| 2025-12-19 | -247.1K | $180.15 | Sell | 9.8M |
| 2025-12-15 | -250K | $177.33 | Sell | 6.9M |
Technical Report
Price Range for NVDA
NVDA current price: $171.88
5-Day Range: $171.03 - $194.49
50-Day Range: $169.54 - $194.49
200-Day Range: $97.26 - $212.18
Price Distribution for NVDA in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 183.28
Lowest price: 171.03
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 180.8
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 176.23
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 177.50
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 172.26
Technical Indicators Summary for NVDA as of 2026-02-05
MACD values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | -0.49 | 0.55 | -1.04 |
| 2026-02-03 | 0.53 | 0.81 | -0.28 |
| 2026-02-02 | 1.21 | 0.88 | 0.33 |
| 2026-01-30 | 1.52 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| 2026-01-29 | 1.33 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| 2026-01-28 | 0.92 | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| 2026-01-27 | 0.50 | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| 2026-01-26 | 0.25 | 0.27 | -0.02 |
| 2026-01-23 | 0.14 | 0.27 | -0.13 |
| 2026-01-22 | -0.12 | 0.31 | -0.43 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | 184.87 |
| 2026-02-03 | 185.30 |
| 2026-02-02 | 185.50 |
| 2026-01-30 | 185.50 |
| 2026-01-29 | 185.27 |
| 2026-01-28 | 184.98 |
| 2026-01-27 | 184.71 |
| 2026-01-26 | 184.55 |
| 2026-01-23 | 184.47 |
| 2026-01-22 | 184.34 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | 170.22 |
| 2026-02-03 | 170.18 |
| 2026-02-02 | 170.08 |
| 2026-01-30 | 169.92 |
| 2026-01-29 | 169.71 |
| 2026-01-28 | 169.48 |
| 2026-01-27 | 169.26 |
| 2026-01-26 | 169.06 |
| 2026-01-23 | 168.89 |
| 2026-01-22 | 168.70 |
RSI values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | 36.37 |
| 2026-02-03 | 42.44 |
| 2026-02-02 | 48.93 |
| 2026-01-30 | 57.49 |
| 2026-01-29 | 59.92 |
| 2026-01-28 | 58.76 |
| 2026-01-27 | 55.09 |
| 2026-01-26 | 52.41 |
| 2026-01-23 | 54.17 |
| 2026-01-22 | 50.53 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for NVDA over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 37.31
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | 173.24 | 0.60 | 37.31 |
| 2026-02-04 | 175.23 | 0.89 | 47.06 |
| 2026-02-03 | 180.95 | 1.44 | 59.08 |
| 2026-02-02 | 186.93 | 1.41 | 58.47 |
| 2026-01-30 | 191.70 | 1.36 | 57.67 |
| 2026-01-29 | 190.68 | 1.40 | 58.25 |
| 2026-01-28 | 191.24 | 1.43 | 58.92 |
| 2026-01-27 | 188.07 | 1.44 | 59.09 |
| 2026-01-26 | 187.19 | 1.43 | 58.90 |
| 2026-01-23 | 188.03 | 1.42 | 58.72 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for NVDA, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 171.88
Latest SMA: 184.66
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 174.12
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 195.2
ADX for NVDA, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 46.67
Volume and volume ratio for NVDA:
Last 30 days average volume: 159.8M
Today's volume: 206.4M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.29
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 185.5
Support levels for NVDA (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 164.07 on 2025-09-05 (UTC)
Last High: 212.19 on 2025-10-29 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 182.56, 38.2%: 164.22, 50.0%: 149.4, 61.8%: 134.59, 78.6%: 113.49
Resonance Supports: 38.2%: 164.22
Short interest data for NVDA in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | 261.8M | 161M | 1.63 |
| 2025-12-31 | 256.8M | 154.6M | 1.66 |
| 2025-12-15 | 264.3M | 171.4M | 1.54 |
| 2025-11-28 | 232.9M | 241.7M | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | 237.2M | 193.7M | 1.22 |
| 2025-10-31 | 238.6M | 176.4M | 1.35 |
| 2025-10-15 | 211M | 171.7M | 1.23 |
| 2025-09-30 | 226.8M | 194.7M | 1.16 |
| 2025-09-15 | 217.5M | 172.3M | 1.26 |
| 2025-08-29 | 196.7M | 192.6M | 1.02 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-03-06:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0.52 | -0.37 | 0.02 | -0.16 | 0.18 | 7.15 | 7.00 |
| 160 | 0.54 | -0.30 | 0.01 | -0.15 | 0.17 | 5.45 | 5.35 |
| 155 | 0.56 | -0.24 | 0.01 | -0.14 | 0.15 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| 150 | 0.57 | -0.18 | 0.01 | -0.12 | 0.13 | 3.05 | 2.96 |
| 145 | 0.59 | -0.14 | 0.01 | -0.11 | 0.11 | 2.20 | 2.16 |
| 140 | 0.61 | -0.10 | 0.01 | -0.09 | 0.09 | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| 135 | 0.63 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.07 | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| 130 | 0.65 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.05 | 0.81 | 0.79 |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-20:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0.49 | -0.34 | 0.02 | -0.20 | 0.13 | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| 160 | 0.53 | -0.25 | 0.02 | -0.19 | 0.11 | 2.92 | 2.86 |
| 155 | 0.56 | -0.18 | 0.01 | -0.16 | 0.09 | 1.97 | 1.94 |
| 150 | 0.59 | -0.12 | 0.01 | -0.14 | 0.07 | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| 145 | 0.62 | -0.09 | 0.01 | -0.11 | 0.05 | 0.90 | 0.87 |
| 140 | 0.65 | -0.06 | 0.01 | -0.09 | 0.04 | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| 135 | 0.69 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.03 | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| 130 | 0.73 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.02 | 0.29 | 0.27 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
- Financial: Strong earnings with recent EPS beat (1.30 vs. 1.24 consensus) and no misses in past 8 quarters, but P/E of 50.09 is near 1-year high, indicating rich valuation. Insider selling over 90 days raises caution.
- Technical: Oversold conditions with RSI at 36.37, MFI at 37.31, and price below Bollinger lower band ($174.12), suggesting potential bounce. MACD is bearish, and price below 50-day EMA ($184.87) shows short-term weakness, but support at $164 (Fibonacci 38.2%) provides a floor.
- News: Mixed sentiment; positive on AI leadership and collaborations, but negative on potential gaming GPU launch cancellation and regulatory delays.
- Option Chain: Elevated implied volatilities (0.49-0.73) for puts indicate market fear, which could be exploited for options strategies.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $165-$170 (near support and oversold levels).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $185 (7-8% gain)
- Long-term: $200+ if growth resumes
- Time Horizon: Weeks to months, with upcoming earnings on Feb 25 as a catalyst.
Final Notes: Monitor support at $164 closely; consider stop-loss at $160 to limit downside. High volatility expected—use dollar-cost averaging or options for defined risk.