AVGO 2025-12-15
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for AVGO as of 2025-12-15
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.95
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.87
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-12-11
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-10-31
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.35
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.69
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.096
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-03-04
Valuation Data Summary for AVGO as of 2025-12-15
Current P/E for AVGO: 55.2
1 year P/E range: 32.6 - 55.2
2 years P/E range: 27.59 - 55.2
5 years P/E range: 11.94 - 55.2
Management Sentiment Summary for AVGO in 2025Q4 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| Head of Investor Relations | 0.45 |
| President and CEO | 0.42 |
Insider transactions in the last 90 days:
On 2025-12-09, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 320.3K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $398.14 and $407.01.
The insiders have 374.1M shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-18, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 800 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $331.14 and $331.14.
The insiders have 21.4K shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-16, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 800 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $350.15 and $350.15.
The insiders have 22.2K shares left in the company.
On 2025-09-26, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 368.8K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $334.59 and $339.38.
The insiders have 227.6M shares left in the company.
On 2025-09-25, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 100K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $339.218 and $340.264.
The insiders have 1.5M shares left in the company.
On 2025-09-18, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 27.2K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $343.133 and $365.15.
The insiders have 8.1M shares left in the company.
On 2025-09-18, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 6.4K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $343.926 and $365.325.
The insiders have 530.2K shares left in the company.
On 2025-09-18, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 12.3K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $343.679 and $363.63.
The insiders have 6M shares left in the company.
On 2025-09-17, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at AVGO.
Total of 800 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $360 and $360.
The insiders have 23K shares left in the company.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for AVGO
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 345.78
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 329.06
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 370.65
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 337.8
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 340.98
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 315.06
Price Range for AVGO
AVGO current price: $339.81
5-Day Range: $337.52 - $414.61
50-Day Range: $324.05 - $414.61
200-Day Range: $137.54 - $414.61
Technical Indicators Summary for AVGO as of 2025-12-15
MACD values for AVGO in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | -0.45 | 10.18 | 10.63 |
| 2025-12-11 | 3.03 | 13.77 | 10.74 |
| 2025-12-10 | 3.44 | 13.43 | 9.99 |
| 2025-12-09 | 3.00 | 12.12 | 9.13 |
| 2025-12-08 | 2.58 | 10.96 | 8.38 |
| 2025-12-05 | 2.12 | 9.85 | 7.73 |
| 2025-12-04 | 2.19 | 9.39 | 7.20 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2.95 | 9.61 | 6.65 |
| 2025-12-02 | 3.87 | 9.78 | 5.92 |
| 2025-12-01 | 4.82 | 9.77 | 4.95 |
EMA values for AVGO with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 363.73 |
| 2025-12-11 | 363.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | 362.15 |
| 2025-12-09 | 360.08 |
| 2025-12-08 | 358.19 |
| 2025-12-05 | 356.44 |
| 2025-12-04 | 355.06 |
| 2025-12-03 | 354.00 |
| 2025-12-02 | 352.91 |
| 2025-12-01 | 351.74 |
EMA values for AVGO with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 298.24 |
| 2025-12-11 | 297.62 |
| 2025-12-10 | 296.53 |
| 2025-12-09 | 295.36 |
| 2025-12-08 | 294.24 |
| 2025-12-05 | 293.17 |
| 2025-12-04 | 292.19 |
| 2025-12-03 | 291.30 |
| 2025-12-02 | 290.40 |
| 2025-12-01 | 289.49 |
RSI values for AVGO in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 44.10 |
| 2025-12-11 | 64.05 |
| 2025-12-10 | 68.12 |
| 2025-12-09 | 66.10 |
| 2025-12-08 | 64.47 |
| 2025-12-05 | 60.81 |
| 2025-12-04 | 57.36 |
| 2025-12-03 | 57.20 |
| 2025-12-02 | 57.66 |
| 2025-12-01 | 59.75 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for AVGO over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 35.34
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | 35.34 | 0.55 | 346.44 |
| 2025-12-12 | 39.08 | 0.64 | 365.69 |
| 2025-12-11 | 55.98 | 1.27 | 403.29 |
| 2025-12-10 | 72.42 | 2.63 | 409.05 |
| 2025-12-09 | 72.38 | 2.62 | 402.91 |
| 2025-12-08 | 74.46 | 2.92 | 401.93 |
| 2025-12-05 | 63.51 | 1.74 | 389.64 |
| 2025-12-04 | 63.74 | 1.76 | 380.48 |
| 2025-12-03 | 64.33 | 1.80 | 377.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | 64.74 | 1.84 | 384.95 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for AVGO, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 339.81
Latest SMA: 376.71
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 326.39
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 427.02
ADX for AVGO, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 31.1
Volume and volume ratio for AVGO:
Last 30 days average volume: 27.6M
Today's volume: 65.7M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 2.38
No VWAP data for AVGO.
Support levels for AVGO (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 234.9 on 2025-05-30 (UTC)
Last High: 414.61 on 2025-12-10 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 349.35, 38.2%: 308.98, 50.0%: 276.36, 61.8%: 243.73, 78.6%: 197.27
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for AVGO in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | 26.3M | 2.14 | 56.4M |
| 2025-11-14 | 18.5M | 2.95 | 54.5M |
| 2025-10-31 | 19.3M | 2.83 | 54.7M |
| 2025-10-15 | 22.8M | 2.31 | 52.6M |
| 2025-09-30 | 25.4M | 2.14 | 54.3M |
| 2025-09-15 | 34.9M | 1.43 | 49.7M |
| 2025-08-29 | 18.3M | 2.16 | 39.6M |
| 2025-08-15 | 17.1M | 2.54 | 43.3M |
| 2025-07-31 | 17.1M | 2.55 | 43.5M |
| 2025-07-15 | 16.9M | 2.81 | 47.5M |
Option Chain
Monthly options:
AVGO 330 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.412, delta: -0.3826, gamma: 0.0092, theta: -0.2318, vega: 0.3825 ask price: 12.15, bid price: 11.55
AVGO 320 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.4252, delta: -0.2954, gamma: 0.0081, theta: -0.2188, vega: 0.3461 ask price: 8.7, bid price: 8.3
AVGO 310 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.4345, delta: -0.2189, gamma: 0.0068, theta: -0.1928, vega: 0.296 ask price: 5.95, bid price: 5.7
AVGO 300 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.4479, delta: -0.1578, gamma: 0.0054, theta: -0.1633, vega: 0.2417 ask price: 4.0, bid price: 3.9
AVGO 290 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.4645, delta: -0.1114, gamma: 0.0041, theta: -0.1339, vega: 0.1902 ask price: 2.8, bid price: 2.53
AVGO 280 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.4852, delta: -0.0782, gamma: 0.003, theta: -0.1081, vega: 0.1465 ask price: 1.9, bid price: 1.74
AVGO 270 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.5027, delta: -0.0529, gamma: 0.0021, theta: -0.0829, vega: 0.1081 ask price: 1.22, bid price: 1.16
AVGO 260 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.5244, delta: -0.0359, gamma: 0.0015, theta: -0.0636, vega: 0.0792 ask price: 0.83, bid price: 0.76
Weekly options:
AVGO 330 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4058, delta: -0.3385, gamma: 0.0153, theta: -0.3842, vega: 0.215 ask price: 5.7, bid price: 5.45
AVGO 320 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4271, delta: -0.2077, gamma: 0.0114, theta: -0.3192, vega: 0.1683 ask price: 3.1, bid price: 3.0
AVGO 310 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4527, delta: -0.1197, gamma: 0.0075, theta: -0.2371, vega: 0.1174 ask price: 1.68, bid price: 1.56
AVGO 300 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.474, delta: -0.0635, gamma: 0.0045, theta: -0.1555, vega: 0.0732 ask price: 0.82, bid price: 0.77
AVGO 290 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.5001, delta: -0.0328, gamma: 0.0025, theta: -0.0967, vega: 0.0431 ask price: 0.42, bid price: 0.36
AVGO 280 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.5239, delta: -0.0159, gamma: 0.0013, theta: -0.0551, vega: 0.0234 ask price: 0.2, bid price: 0.16
AVGO 270 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.5392, delta: -0.0066, gamma: 0.0006, theta: -0.0264, vega: 0.0109 ask price: 0.11, bid price: 0.03
AVGO 260 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.5733, delta: -0.0033, gamma: 0.0003, theta: -0.0152, vega: 0.0059 ask price: 0.06, bid price: 0.01
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral (with a bias toward cautious monitoring for a potential "Buy" on further weakness)
Reasoning:
-
Financial: AVGO presents a mixed financial picture. The company is delivering strong operational performance, beating earnings estimates consistently (no misses in 8 quarters) and showing significant growth (EPS of $1.95 vs. $1.35 historical average). Management sentiment in the recent call was slightly negative (CEO/IR scores of 0.42/0.45), which may hint at caution about the near-term outlook. The primary concern is valuation. With a P/E of 55.2, the stock is at the absolute top of its 1, 2, and 5-year ranges, indicating it is priced for near-perfect execution. This makes it highly vulnerable to any disappointment. Furthermore, persistent insider selling over the last 90 days, including a large 320K share sale in December, is a notable red flag that suggests insiders may believe the stock is fully valued or wish to diversify.
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Technical: The technicals signal a sharp reversal from overbought conditions. The stock price ($339.81) has plunged from a recent high of $414.61 (12/10) and is now trading below its 50-day EMA ($363.73) and near the Bollinger Lower Band ($326.39). Momentum indicators have turned bearish: the MACD histogram has flipped negative (-0.45), the RSI has collapsed from overbought (>70) to neutral (44.1), and the MFI (35.34) indicates significant selling pressure. Volume on the down day was 2.38x the 30-day average, confirming the sell-off. The stock is testing key support levels (Fibonacci 23.6% at $349.35, recent low of $329.06). The ADX of 31.1 suggests a strong trend is in place, which is currently down.
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News: News sentiment is divided but tilting negative in the immediate term. While several articles highlight AVGO's fundamental strength in AI (28% revenue growth, booming accelerator business), the dominant narrative over the past week is the 11% stock sell-off driven by concerns over its high valuation and broader anxieties about the sustainability of AI spending. The market is punishing the stock despite strong earnings, a classic sign of "sell the news" after a major run-up. The macro report indicates a late-cycle economy with high market valuations (Buffett Indicator 226%), which adds systemic risk to all high-multiple stocks like AVGO.
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Option Chain: The option market reflects elevated fear and uncertainty. Implied Volatility (IV) for puts increases as strikes go lower (from ~41% at $330 to ~57% at $260 for weeklies), indicating traders are paying a premium for downside protection. The high delta on near-the-money puts (e.g., -0.34 for the $330 weekly put) shows these options are moving significantly with the stock price. This options structure supports the view that the market is pricing in continued volatility and potential further downside.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
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Entry Price: Do not buy here. The trend is decisively down. An ideal, lower-risk entry zone would be on a test of stronger support, between $315 - $330. This range encompasses the price "below mean by two standard deviations" ($315.06), the 38.2% Fibonacci level ($308.98), and aligns with key put strike prices ($320, $330). A confirmed bullish reversal (e.g., a strong bullish candle with high volume) in this zone would be a better signal.
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Profit Targets:
- Short-term (Trade): Initial target at the 50-day EMA, currently ~$365 (a ~7-10% gain from the lower entry zone). A more aggressive target would be a retest of the recent breakdown level near $390.
- Long-term (Hold): Dependent on earnings (next report 2026-03-04). A move back toward all-time highs (~$415) would require a resolution of valuation concerns and renewed AI optimism.
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Time Horizon: Short-to-Medium Term (Weeks to 3 Months). The next major catalyst is the Q1 earnings report on March 4, 2026. Any trade should be evaluated ahead of this event.
Final Notes: AVGO is a fundamentally strong company caught in a valuation-driven correction within a nervous macro environment. The combination of extreme valuation (P/E at 5-year high), intense insider selling, and a severe technical breakdown makes initiating a long position at the current price a high-risk proposition. The prudent strategy is to wait for the selling pressure to abate and for the stock to find firmer footing at a lower price point. A "Neutral" rating reflects the need to avoid catching a falling knife, while the analysis above provides a framework for a potential "Buy" if the risk/reward improves significantly. Key risk: Failure to hold the $315-$330 support zone could lead to a much deeper correction toward the 200-day EMA (~$298).