AVGO 2026-01-25
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for AVGO as of 2026-01-25
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.95
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.87
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 1.096 - 1.69
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.35
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-12-11
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-10-31
Upcoming earnings date: []
Valuation Data Summary for AVGO as of 2026-01-25
Current P/E for AVGO: 55.1
1 year P/E range: 32.54 - 55.1
2 years P/E range: 27.53 - 55.1
5 years P/E range: 11.91 - 55.1
Management Sentiment Summary for AVGO in 2025Q4 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| President and CEO | 0.42 |
| Head of Investor Relations | 0.45 |
Insider transactions for AVGO in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | -100K | $347.24 | Sell | 878.1K |
| 2025-12-31 | -30K | $347.82 | Sell | 584.5K |
| 2025-12-26 | -25.9K | $352.07 | Sell | 240.6K |
| 2025-12-23 | -100K | $345.65 | Sell | 6.6M |
| 2025-12-18 | -129K | $326.03 | Sell | 632.2K |
| 2025-12-17 | -43.9K | $327.66 | Sell | 11.9M |
| 2025-12-16 | -3.6K | $340.94 | Sell | 2.7M |
Technical Report
Price Range for AVGO
AVGO current price: $320.05
5-Day Range: $314.11 - $354.51
50-Day Range: $314.11 - $413.82
200-Day Range: $152.18 - $413.82
Price Distribution for AVGO in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 338.07
Lowest price: 314.11
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 333.5
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 324.89
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 328.45
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 318.84
Technical Indicators Summary for AVGO as of 2026-01-25
MACD values for AVGO in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | -7.55 | -5.70 | -1.85 |
| 2026-01-22 | -6.46 | -5.24 | -1.22 |
| 2026-01-21 | -5.53 | -4.93 | -0.60 |
| 2026-01-20 | -4.61 | -4.78 | 0.18 |
| 2026-01-16 | -3.74 | -4.83 | 1.08 |
| 2026-01-15 | -4.53 | -5.10 | 0.57 |
| 2026-01-14 | -4.59 | -5.24 | 0.65 |
| 2026-01-13 | -4.28 | -5.40 | 1.12 |
| 2026-01-12 | -5.32 | -5.68 | 0.36 |
| 2026-01-09 | -6.32 | -5.78 | -0.55 |
EMA values for AVGO with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | 348.48 |
| 2026-01-22 | 349.64 |
| 2026-01-21 | 350.63 |
| 2026-01-20 | 351.52 |
| 2026-01-16 | 352.29 |
| 2026-01-15 | 352.32 |
| 2026-01-14 | 352.70 |
| 2026-01-13 | 353.22 |
| 2026-01-12 | 353.16 |
| 2026-01-09 | 353.20 |
EMA values for AVGO with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | 308.48 |
| 2026-01-22 | 308.36 |
| 2026-01-21 | 308.19 |
| 2026-01-20 | 307.98 |
| 2026-01-16 | 307.73 |
| 2026-01-15 | 307.29 |
| 2026-01-14 | 306.93 |
| 2026-01-13 | 306.60 |
| 2026-01-12 | 306.12 |
| 2026-01-09 | 305.66 |
RSI values for AVGO in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | 36.59 |
| 2026-01-22 | 38.74 |
| 2026-01-21 | 40.06 |
| 2026-01-20 | 41.58 |
| 2026-01-16 | 50.51 |
| 2026-01-15 | 45.57 |
| 2026-01-14 | 43.69 |
| 2026-01-13 | 51.45 |
| 2026-01-12 | 50.11 |
| 2026-01-09 | 45.93 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for AVGO over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 44.85
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | 318.72 | 0.81 | 44.85 |
| 2026-01-22 | 329.12 | 0.84 | 45.59 |
| 2026-01-21 | 329.60 | 0.86 | 46.14 |
| 2026-01-20 | 336.60 | 0.88 | 46.80 |
| 2026-01-16 | 350.09 | 0.88 | 46.87 |
| 2026-01-15 | 344.79 | 0.84 | 45.58 |
| 2026-01-14 | 341.67 | 0.60 | 37.46 |
| 2026-01-13 | 355.00 | 0.89 | 47.23 |
| 2026-01-12 | 349.02 | 0.62 | 38.19 |
| 2026-01-09 | 341.95 | 0.58 | 36.53 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for AVGO, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 320.05
Latest SMA: 342.59
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 323.05
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 362.14
ADX for AVGO, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 42.89
Volume and volume ratio for AVGO:
Last 30 days average volume: 37.1M
Today's volume: 30.3M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.82
No VWAP data for AVGO.
Support levels for AVGO (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 269.58 on 2025-07-14 (UTC)
Last High: 414.61 on 2025-12-10 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 349.35, 38.2%: 308.98, 50.0%: 276.36, 61.8%: 243.73, 78.6%: 197.27
Resonance Supports: 50.0%: 276.36
Short interest data for AVGO in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 55.1M | 43.2M | 1.28 |
| 2025-12-15 | 69.8M | 36M | 1.94 |
| 2025-11-28 | 56.4M | 26.3M | 2.14 |
| 2025-11-14 | 54.5M | 18.5M | 2.95 |
| 2025-10-31 | 54.7M | 19.3M | 2.83 |
| 2025-10-15 | 52.6M | 22.8M | 2.31 |
| 2025-09-30 | 54.3M | 25.4M | 2.14 |
| 2025-09-15 | 49.7M | 34.9M | 1.43 |
| 2025-08-29 | 39.6M | 18.3M | 2.16 |
| 2025-08-15 | 43.3M | 17.1M | 2.54 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-27:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 | 0.46 | -0.38 | 0.01 | -0.24 | 0.37 | 12.95 | 12.60 |
| 300 | 0.47 | -0.30 | 0.01 | -0.23 | 0.33 | 9.40 | 9.05 |
| 290 | 0.48 | -0.23 | 0.01 | -0.20 | 0.29 | 6.70 | 6.35 |
| 280 | 0.50 | -0.17 | 0.01 | -0.17 | 0.24 | 4.65 | 4.35 |
| 270 | 0.51 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.19 | 3.15 | 2.97 |
| 260 | 0.53 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.15 | 2.19 | 1.99 |
| 250 | 0.55 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.11 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| 240 | 0.58 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.08 | 1.03 | 0.87 |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-06:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 | 0.51 | -0.36 | 0.01 | -0.45 | 0.22 | 7.60 | 7.40 |
| 300 | 0.54 | -0.24 | 0.01 | -0.40 | 0.18 | 4.75 | 4.60 |
| 290 | 0.56 | -0.16 | 0.01 | -0.32 | 0.14 | 2.86 | 2.78 |
| 280 | 0.59 | -0.10 | 0.01 | -0.24 | 0.10 | 1.68 | 1.61 |
| 270 | 0.61 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.07 | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| 260 | 0.64 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.04 | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| 250 | 0.67 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.03 | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| 240 | 0.71 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.02 | 0.18 | 0.13 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
- Financial: AVGO shows strong earnings momentum (EPS beat, 0 misses in 8 quarters) and robust AI-driven growth prospects (74% AI revenue growth, $162B backlog). However, the P/E of 55.1 is at the top of its historical range, suggesting stretched valuation. Insider selling over the past 90 days ($-411.4K net) signals caution among management.
- Technical: The stock is in a downtrend, trading below both 50-day EMA ($348.48) and 200-day EMA ($308.48). Current price ($320.05) is near the Bollinger lower band ($323.05) and recent low ($314.11), indicating oversold conditions. However, momentum indicators (MACD histogram negative, RSI 36.59, ADX 42.89) show bearish pressure. Key support lies at $276.36 (Fibonacci 50% level).
- News & Macro: News sentiment is highly positive (7/10 articles bullish), focusing on AI leadership and growth potential. However, macro conditions highlight late-cycle risks (elevated equity valuations, fragile consumer savings), which could pressure high-multiple stocks.
- Option Chain: Put options show elevated implied volatility (46%-71% for monthly/weekly puts), reflecting downside anxiety. The IV skew and put volumes suggest hedging against further declines, with strikes at $300-$310 attracting interest.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $276–$300 (near Fibonacci 50% support and recent consolidation levels). Avoid buying above $330 until technical improvement (e.g., break above 50-day EMA).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $340–$350 (6–8% gain) if momentum reverses.
- Long-term: $380+ (if AI growth narrative holds and macro stabilizes).
- Stop-Loss: Set at $314 (below recent low) for short-term trades, or $270 for longer-term entries.
- Time Horizon: 3–6 months, pending Q1 earnings catalyst (not yet announced) and macro clarity.
Final Notes:
- Risks: High valuation, insider selling, and technical downtrend outweigh positive news sentiment. Macro headwinds (SPY overvaluation, consumer fragility) could amplify downside.
- Opportunity: A pullback to $276–$300 would offer a better risk/reward entry to capitalize on AI growth. Consider selling cash-secured puts at $290–$300 strikes to generate income while awaiting entry.
- Monitor: Upcoming earnings date, volume on price rebounds, and insider transaction reversals.