BRK-B 2026-01-12
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for BRK-B as of 2026-01-12
Most recent EPS (Actual): 6.26
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 5.70
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-01
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 5.49
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 3 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 8.6
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.92
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-20
Valuation Data Summary for BRK-B as of 2026-01-12
Current P/E for BRK-B: 19.16
1 year P/E range: 19.16 - 24.75
2 years P/E range: 19.16 - 24.75
5 years P/E range: 19.0 - 29.19
Management Sentiment Summary for BRK-B in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Insider transactions for BRK-B in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | -401.5K | $135.36 | Sell | 31.8M |
Technical Report
Price Distribution for BRK-B
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 498.46
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 491.83
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 495.55
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 493.09
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 493.86
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 490.82
Price Range for BRK-B
BRK-B current price: $499.1
5-Day Range: $493.09 - $504.08
50-Day Range: $473.15 - $516.85
200-Day Range: $455.19 - $542.07
Technical Indicators Summary for BRK.B as of 2026-01-12
MACD values for BRK.B in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | -0.41 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| 2026-01-08 | -0.41 | -0.09 | -0.32 |
| 2026-01-07 | -0.48 | -0.01 | -0.47 |
| 2026-01-06 | -0.19 | 0.11 | -0.29 |
| 2026-01-05 | -0.11 | 0.18 | -0.29 |
| 2026-01-02 | 0.05 | 0.25 | -0.20 |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.12 |
| 2025-12-30 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.02 |
| 2025-12-29 | 0.03 | 0.27 | -0.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | -0.05 | 0.33 | -0.38 |
EMA values for BRK.B with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | 498.92 |
| 2026-01-08 | 498.91 |
| 2026-01-07 | 498.88 |
| 2026-01-06 | 498.99 |
| 2026-01-05 | 498.99 |
| 2026-01-02 | 499.01 |
| 2025-12-31 | 499.09 |
| 2025-12-30 | 498.95 |
| 2025-12-29 | 498.76 |
| 2025-12-26 | 498.66 |
EMA values for BRK.B with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | 491.05 |
| 2026-01-08 | 490.97 |
| 2026-01-07 | 490.88 |
| 2026-01-06 | 490.83 |
| 2026-01-05 | 490.75 |
| 2026-01-02 | 490.67 |
| 2025-12-31 | 490.61 |
| 2025-12-30 | 490.49 |
| 2025-12-29 | 490.36 |
| 2025-12-26 | 490.25 |
RSI values for BRK.B in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | 49.09 |
| 2026-01-08 | 49.88 |
| 2026-01-07 | 45.42 |
| 2026-01-06 | 48.65 |
| 2026-01-05 | 48.03 |
| 2026-01-02 | 46.12 |
| 2025-12-31 | 52.30 |
| 2025-12-30 | 53.52 |
| 2025-12-29 | 50.85 |
| 2025-12-26 | 47.99 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for BRK.B over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 48.82
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | 498.60 | 0.95 | 48.82 |
| 2026-01-08 | 499.32 | 1.27 | 56.00 |
| 2026-01-07 | 496.12 | 1.21 | 54.65 |
| 2026-01-06 | 498.59 | 1.98 | 66.43 |
| 2026-01-05 | 498.83 | 1.06 | 51.40 |
| 2026-01-02 | 497.21 | 0.99 | 49.83 |
| 2025-12-31 | 503.67 | 1.58 | 61.31 |
| 2025-12-30 | 503.05 | 1.11 | 52.59 |
| 2025-12-29 | 499.92 | 1.22 | 54.91 |
| 2025-12-26 | 498.90 | 1.27 | 55.88 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for BRK.B, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 499.1
Latest SMA: 500.04
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 493.99
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 506.08
ADX for BRK.B, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 7.46
Volume and volume ratio for BRK.B:
Last 30 days average volume: 4.3M
Today's volume: 3.4M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.79
No VWAP data for BRK.B.
Support levels for BRK.B (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 455.18 on 2025-08-04 (UTC)
Last High: 542.07 on 2025-05-02 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 518.25, 38.2%: 503.52, 50.0%: 491.61, 61.8%: 479.7, 78.6%: 462.75
Resonance Supports: 78.6%: 462.75
Short interest data for BRK.B in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | 12.4M | 4.4M | 2.83 |
| 2025-11-28 | 13M | 5.6M | 2.32 |
| 2025-11-14 | 12.5M | 5.8M | 2.16 |
| 2025-10-31 | 12M | 4.5M | 2.63 |
| 2025-10-15 | 11.1M | 3.6M | 3.06 |
| 2025-09-30 | 12.5M | 4.3M | 2.89 |
| 2025-09-15 | 12.5M | 4M | 3.11 |
| 2025-08-29 | 13.1M | 4.6M | 2.83 |
| 2025-08-15 | 13.1M | 5.3M | 2.48 |
| 2025-07-31 | 11.7M | 4.3M | 2.70 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-13:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 480 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 470 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 460 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 450 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 440 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 430 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 420 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-01-23:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 480 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 470 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 460 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 450 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 440 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 430 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 420 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral (with a slight bias toward cautious accumulation on weakness)
Reasoning:
-
Financial: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) presents a mixed financial picture. The most recent EPS of $6.26 beat consensus ($5.70), and the historical average EPS is $5.49, indicating stable profitability. However, the company has missed earnings estimates 3 times in the last 8 quarters, showing some inconsistency. The current P/E of 19.16 is at the absolute bottom of its 1-year and 2-year ranges (19.16-24.75) and near the bottom of its 5-year range (19.0-29.19), suggesting the stock is relatively cheap on a historical basis. A significant insider sale of $401.5K in late October is a minor red flag but not alarming given the size of the company. The upcoming earnings date (Feb 20, 2026) is a near-term catalyst.
-
Technical: The stock is in a consolidation phase. The current price ($499.1) is trading just below its 50-day EMA (~$498.92) and above its rising 200-day EMA (~$491.05), indicating a neutral to slightly bullish long-term trend but short-term indecision. Key support levels are clustered between $493.09 (recent low) and $491.83 (20-day low), with stronger support at the 200-day EMA. Resistance is near the recent high of $504.08. Momentum indicators are weak: the MACD is negative and below its signal line, the RSI is neutral at ~49, and the ADX is very low at 7.46, indicating a lack of a strong trend. Volume is below average (Volume Ratio 0.79), suggesting a lack of conviction in the current price move. The stock is trading within the Bollinger Bands ($493.99 - $506.08), near the middle.
-
News & Macro: News sentiment is overwhelmingly positive (7 out of 10 articles), focusing on the company's fortress balance sheet ($381B cash), strong historical performance, and capable new leadership under Greg Abel. The primary concern highlighted is Warren Buffett's bearish actions (building cash, halting buybacks), which some interpret as a signal of overvaluation in the broader market. The macro report paints a picture of a late-cycle economy with high valuations (Buffett Indicator at 224%), a cooling labor market, and a cautious Fed. This environment favors large, financially robust companies like Berkshire but also suggests limited near-term upside for the overall market.
-
Option Chain: The provided option chain data is incomplete ("None" for all fields), making it impossible to gauge market expectations for volatility (IV) or the cost of downside protection. This lack of data is a minor negative as it reduces the tools available for risk management.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $491 - $495. This range aligns with the cluster of technical support (20-day low, price below mean by 1 STD, 200-day EMA) and would provide a better margin of safety. A break above $504.50 (resistance) on above-average volume could be used as a confirmation signal for a more aggressive entry, targeting a move toward the 50-day high (~$516.85).
-
Profit Targets:
- Short-term (1-3 months): $510 - $516 (2-3.5% gain from the lower entry zone, representing a test of the upper Bollinger Band and the 50-day range high).
- Long-term (6-12 months): A move toward the 5-year P/E average would imply significant upside, but this is contingent on a successful leadership transition and deployment of the massive cash hoard. A more conservative long-term target would be the top of the 2-year P/E range, implying a price in the mid-$500s.
-
Stop-Loss: A close below $488 (just below the key support cluster and the 200-day EMA) would invalidate the bullish structure and suggest a test of stronger support near $480.
-
Time Horizon: Medium-Term (3-6 months), aligned with the post-earnings period and the market's assessment of the new leadership. This is not a short-term trade given the low ADX and lack of strong momentum.
Final Notes: BRK-B is a high-quality company trading at a reasonable valuation relative to its own history. The primary risks are macroeconomic (high market valuations, potential slowdown) and idiosyncratic (proving the "Buffett premium" without Buffett). The technical setup is neutral, offering no compelling immediate entry. The recommendation is to wait for a better price within the identified support zone or for a clear technical breakout. Investors with a long-term horizon could begin a small position at current levels and average down if the stock dips toward support. The enormous cash pile acts as a powerful downside buffer and a source of future optionality, making severe underperformance less likely.