COIN 2025-12-15
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for COIN as of 2025-12-15
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.50
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.18
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-05
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.71
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 3 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 5.14
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): -0.01
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-12
Valuation Data Summary for COIN as of 2025-12-15
Current P/E for COIN: 28.89
1 year P/E range: 28.89 - 35.25
2 years P/E range: 28.89 - 915.37
5 years P/E range: -27.64 - 915.37
Management Sentiment Summary for COIN in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| Vice President of Investor Relations | 0.33 |
| Co-Founder and CEO | 0.68 |
| CFO | 0.59 |
| President and COO | 0.60 |
Insider transactions in the last 90 days:
On 2025-12-10, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 2.8K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $280.2666 and $280.2666.
The insiders have 0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-12-10, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 40K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $271.5749 and $276.069.
The insiders have 96.9K shares left in the company.
On 2025-12-10, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 40K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $255.4664 and $259.1459.
The insiders have 78.8K shares left in the company.
On 2025-12-08, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 4.1K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $273.9933 and $274.3838.
The insiders have 715 shares left in the company.
On 2025-12-03, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 10K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $253.268 and $265.6267.
The insiders have 2.6M shares left in the company.
On 2025-12-02, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 1.4K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $272.8438 and $273.58.
The insiders have 809 shares left in the company.
On 2025-12-01, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 976 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $260.0012 and $260.0012.
The insiders have 74.8K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-26, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 5.9K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $244.4669 and $257.30.
The insiders have 39.6K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-26, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 1.8K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $244.49 and $244.49.
The insiders have 0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-26, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at COIN.
Total of 12K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $241.5799 and $250.6466.
The insiders have 814K shares left in the company.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for COIN
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 256.96
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 231.17
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 252.2
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 243.01
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 244.43
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 232.27
Price Range for COIN
COIN current price: $250.42
5-Day Range: $246.80 - $284.74
50-Day Range: $231.17 - $402.16
200-Day Range: $142.58 - $444.65
Technical Indicators Summary for COIN as of 2025-12-15
MACD values for COIN in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 3.35 | -8.70 | -12.05 |
| 2025-12-11 | 3.84 | -9.05 | -12.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | 4.32 | -9.52 | -13.84 |
| 2025-12-09 | 4.32 | -10.60 | -14.92 |
| 2025-12-08 | 3.95 | -12.05 | -16.00 |
| 2025-12-05 | 3.57 | -13.42 | -16.99 |
| 2025-12-04 | 3.38 | -14.51 | -17.88 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2.60 | -16.12 | -18.73 |
| 2025-12-02 | 1.13 | -18.25 | -19.38 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.36 | -19.30 | -19.66 |
EMA values for COIN with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 294.38 |
| 2025-12-11 | 295.48 |
| 2025-12-10 | 296.56 |
| 2025-12-09 | 297.44 |
| 2025-12-08 | 298.26 |
| 2025-12-05 | 299.24 |
| 2025-12-04 | 300.45 |
| 2025-12-03 | 301.52 |
| 2025-12-02 | 302.53 |
| 2025-12-01 | 304.13 |
EMA values for COIN with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 292.14 |
| 2025-12-11 | 292.39 |
| 2025-12-10 | 292.63 |
| 2025-12-09 | 292.80 |
| 2025-12-08 | 292.96 |
| 2025-12-05 | 293.15 |
| 2025-12-04 | 293.38 |
| 2025-12-03 | 293.58 |
| 2025-12-02 | 293.75 |
| 2025-12-01 | 294.05 |
RSI values for COIN in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 43.48 |
| 2025-12-11 | 44.13 |
| 2025-12-10 | 46.66 |
| 2025-12-09 | 47.61 |
| 2025-12-08 | 46.20 |
| 2025-12-05 | 44.22 |
| 2025-12-04 | 45.73 |
| 2025-12-03 | 46.71 |
| 2025-12-02 | 41.12 |
| 2025-12-01 | 39.65 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for COIN over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 59.51
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | 59.51 | 1.47 | 255.27 |
| 2025-12-12 | 58.50 | 1.41 | 269.61 |
| 2025-12-11 | 58.97 | 1.44 | 266.30 |
| 2025-12-10 | 69.23 | 2.25 | 275.10 |
| 2025-12-09 | 68.46 | 2.17 | 276.31 |
| 2025-12-08 | 68.94 | 2.22 | 273.45 |
| 2025-12-05 | 58.55 | 1.41 | 269.60 |
| 2025-12-04 | 54.38 | 1.19 | 276.52 |
| 2025-12-03 | 44.88 | 0.81 | 272.88 |
| 2025-12-02 | 35.30 | 0.55 | 266.34 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for COIN, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 250.42
Latest SMA: 263.34
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 240.62
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 286.06
ADX for COIN, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 8.68
Volume and volume ratio for COIN:
Last 30 days average volume: 9.9M
Today's volume: 10.9M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.1
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 263.76
Support levels for COIN (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 231.17 on 2025-11-21 (UTC)
Last High: 444.64 on 2025-07-18 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 373.36, 38.2%: 329.26, 50.0%: 293.61, 61.8%: 257.97, 78.6%: 207.22
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for COIN in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | 11.5M | 1.45 | 16.7M |
| 2025-11-14 | 9.8M | 1.59 | 15.6M |
| 2025-10-31 | 9.1M | 1.48 | 13.4M |
| 2025-10-15 | 10.4M | 1.26 | 13M |
| 2025-09-30 | 9.3M | 1.44 | 13.4M |
| 2025-09-15 | 7.8M | 1.76 | 13.8M |
| 2025-08-29 | 8.1M | 1.47 | 11.9M |
| 2025-08-15 | 14.3M | 1.00 | 12.5M |
| 2025-07-31 | 13.6M | 1.00 | 10.3M |
| 2025-07-15 | 12.6M | 1.05 | 13.2M |
Option Chain
Monthly options:
COIN 245 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. COIN 240 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.5658, delta: -0.3625, gamma: 0.0089, theta: -0.2351, vega: 0.2778 ask price: 11.65, bid price: 11.2
COIN 235 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. COIN 230 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.5728, delta: -0.2741, gamma: 0.0079, theta: -0.213, vega: 0.2468 ask price: 7.95, bid price: 7.7
COIN 225 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. COIN 220 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.5872, delta: -0.1989, gamma: 0.0064, theta: -0.184, vega: 0.2067 ask price: 5.35, bid price: 5.15
COIN 215 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. COIN 210 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.6046, delta: -0.1387, gamma: 0.0049, theta: -0.1508, vega: 0.1638 ask price: 3.7, bid price: 3.15
Weekly options:
COIN 245 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.5584, delta: -0.391, gamma: 0.0158, theta: -0.4125, vega: 0.1668 ask price: 7.2, bid price: 6.95
COIN 240 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.5672, delta: -0.3144, gamma: 0.0144, theta: -0.3888, vega: 0.1542 ask price: 5.4, bid price: 5.15
COIN 235 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.5842, delta: -0.2483, gamma: 0.0125, theta: -0.3584, vega: 0.1375 ask price: 4.1, bid price: 3.8
COIN 230 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.597, delta: -0.1908, gamma: 0.0105, theta: -0.3155, vega: 0.1182 ask price: 2.93, bid price: 2.8
COIN 225 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.6097, delta: -0.1431, gamma: 0.0085, theta: -0.268, vega: 0.0981 ask price: 2.1, bid price: 1.97
COIN 220 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.6522, delta: -0.1145, gamma: 0.0068, theta: -0.2461, vega: 0.0841 ask price: 1.92, bid price: 1.4
COIN 215 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.6484, delta: -0.0788, gamma: 0.0052, theta: -0.186, vega: 0.0638 ask price: 1.19, bid price: 0.91
COIN 210 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.6624, delta: -0.0559, gamma: 0.0039, theta: -0.1458, vega: 0.0489 ask price: 0.8, bid price: 0.63
Final Report
Recommendation: Sell
Reasoning:
-
Financial:
- Earnings & Valuation: Recent EPS of $1.50 beat consensus ($1.18), but the 8-quarter average EPS ($1.71) is higher, indicating a potential peak. The P/E of 28.9 is elevated relative to historical lows, though down from extremes.
- Management Sentiment: Mixed—CEO and COO are positive (scores 0.68, 0.60), but VP of IR is notably negative (0.33), suggesting internal caution.
- Insider Activity: Heavy selling over the past 90 days (~112K shares sold), often a bearish signal, especially as some insiders reduced holdings to zero.
-
Technical:
- Trend & Momentum: Price ($250.42) is below all key EMAs (50-day EMA ~$294, 200-day EMA ~$292), confirming a strong downtrend. MACD histogram is positive but rising from deeply negative levels, indicating weak momentum recovery. RSI (43.48) is neutral but has been declining.
- Support/Resistance: Current price is near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ($257.97) but below the 20-day SMA ($263.34). Strong support lies at the recent low of $231.17.
- Volume & Short Interest: Volume is slightly above average (ratio 1.1), but short interest has risen (16.7M shares, up from 10.3M in July), reflecting growing bearish sentiment.
-
News:
- Sentiment is mixed but leans negative (4 negative vs. 3 positive articles). Recent headlines highlight a 34% price drop in November, exposure to crypto volatility, and high-risk leverage offerings. Positive news (platform expansions) is outweighed by broader market concerns.
- Macro Context: Elevated inflation (CPI 324.4), restrictive Fed policy (3.9% rate), and high equity valuations (Buffett Indicator 226.3%) create a risky environment for speculative assets like crypto stocks.
-
Option Chain:
- Put options show elevated implied volatility (IV 56–66%), indicating high expected price swings. The concentration of put open interest at strikes $240–$245 suggests these are near-term support targets.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Not applicable for a sell recommendation. For existing holders, consider exiting on any bounce toward $260–$265 (near 50-day EMA).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term downside target: $231 (recent low).
- Secondary target: $220 (next Fibonacci level).
- Stop-Loss: If shorting, set a stop above $265 (above recent resistance).
- Time Horizon: 2–6 weeks, aligning with upcoming earnings (Feb 12, 2026) and crypto market volatility.
Final Notes:
- COIN is highly correlated to Bitcoin volatility. Any crypto market sell-off could accelerate declines.
- The stock is in a technical downtrend with weak fundamentals and negative insider signals. Avoid new longs until price stabilizes above key moving averages ($290+).
- Monitor Fed policy and crypto regulatory news for catalysts.