COIN 2026-01-29
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for COIN as of 2026-01-29
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.50
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.18
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): -0.01 - 5.14
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.71
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 3 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-05
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-12
Valuation Data Summary for COIN as of 2026-01-29
Current P/E for COIN: 28.89
1 year P/E range: 28.89 - 35.25
2 years P/E range: 28.89 - 915.37
5 years P/E range: -27.64 - 915.37
Management Sentiment Summary for COIN in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| Vice President of Investor Relations | 0.33 |
| President and COO | 0.60 |
| Co-Founder and CEO | 0.68 |
| CFO | 0.59 |
Insider transactions for COIN in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | -9.4K | $250.04 | Sell | 145.4K |
| 2026-01-14 | -2.8K | $260.09 | Sell | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | -41.4K | $248.99 | Sell | 19.5K |
| 2026-01-02 | -10K | $234.37 | Sell | 2.3M |
| 2025-12-22 | -40K | $250.15 | Sell | 64.6K |
| 2025-12-18 | -1.4K | $252.82 | Sell | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | -7.4K | $266.85 | Sell | 244K |
Technical Report
Price Range for COIN
COIN current price: $199.18
5-Day Range: $194.22 - $222.75
50-Day Range: $194.22 - $284.74
200-Day Range: $168.50 - $444.65
Price Distribution for COIN in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 221.59
Lowest price: 194.22
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 222.4
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 210.89
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 213.16
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 197.35
Technical Indicators Summary for COIN as of 2026-01-29
MACD values for COIN in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | -11.21 | -8.82 | -2.39 |
| 2026-01-27 | -10.51 | -8.22 | -2.29 |
| 2026-01-26 | -9.62 | -7.65 | -1.96 |
| 2026-01-23 | -8.60 | -7.16 | -1.44 |
| 2026-01-22 | -7.53 | -6.80 | -0.72 |
| 2026-01-21 | -6.68 | -6.62 | -0.06 |
| 2026-01-20 | -5.89 | -6.61 | 0.72 |
| 2026-01-16 | -4.87 | -6.79 | 1.91 |
| 2026-01-15 | -4.87 | -7.26 | 2.39 |
| 2026-01-14 | -4.61 | -7.86 | 3.25 |
EMA values for COIN with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 252.54 |
| 2026-01-27 | 254.30 |
| 2026-01-26 | 256.07 |
| 2026-01-23 | 257.81 |
| 2026-01-22 | 259.48 |
| 2026-01-21 | 260.96 |
| 2026-01-20 | 262.35 |
| 2026-01-16 | 263.76 |
| 2026-01-15 | 264.69 |
| 2026-01-14 | 265.72 |
EMA values for COIN with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 277.66 |
| 2026-01-27 | 278.34 |
| 2026-01-26 | 279.02 |
| 2026-01-23 | 279.68 |
| 2026-01-22 | 280.31 |
| 2026-01-21 | 280.88 |
| 2026-01-20 | 281.43 |
| 2026-01-16 | 281.97 |
| 2026-01-15 | 282.38 |
| 2026-01-14 | 282.81 |
RSI values for COIN in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 30.37 |
| 2026-01-27 | 30.93 |
| 2026-01-26 | 31.97 |
| 2026-01-23 | 33.34 |
| 2026-01-22 | 35.89 |
| 2026-01-21 | 37.52 |
| 2026-01-20 | 37.86 |
| 2026-01-16 | 44.01 |
| 2026-01-15 | 42.80 |
| 2026-01-14 | 52.00 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for COIN over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 0.0
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | 200.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | 210.21 | 0.15 | 13.16 |
| 2026-01-27 | 210.72 | 0.31 | 23.48 |
| 2026-01-26 | 213.34 | 0.44 | 30.39 |
| 2026-01-23 | 218.47 | 0.42 | 29.76 |
| 2026-01-22 | 225.64 | 0.66 | 39.61 |
| 2026-01-21 | 226.93 | 0.64 | 39.16 |
| 2026-01-20 | 229.53 | 0.63 | 38.69 |
| 2026-01-16 | 240.16 | 1.08 | 52.03 |
| 2026-01-15 | 242.64 | 1.54 | 60.58 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for COIN, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 199.18
Latest SMA: 233.0
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 199.47
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 266.54
ADX for COIN, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 57.21
Volume and volume ratio for COIN:
Last 30 days average volume: 8.4M
Today's volume: 14.6M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.73
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 233.71
Support levels for COIN (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 194.21 on 2026-01-29 (UTC)
Last High: 444.64 on 2025-07-18 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 373.36, 38.2%: 329.26, 50.0%: 293.61, 61.8%: 257.97, 78.6%: 207.22
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for COIN in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | 16.8M | 9M | 1.87 |
| 2025-12-31 | 17.3M | 6.9M | 2.51 |
| 2025-12-15 | 16M | 8.3M | 1.94 |
| 2025-11-28 | 16.7M | 11.5M | 1.45 |
| 2025-11-14 | 15.6M | 9.8M | 1.59 |
| 2025-10-31 | 13.4M | 9.1M | 1.48 |
| 2025-10-15 | 13M | 10.4M | 1.26 |
| 2025-09-30 | 13.4M | 9.3M | 1.44 |
| 2025-09-15 | 13.8M | 7.8M | 1.76 |
| 2025-08-29 | 11.9M | 8.1M | 1.47 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-27:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 | 0.61 | -0.42 | 0.01 | -0.22 | 0.22 | 11.65 | 11.30 |
| 190 | 0.61 | -0.36 | 0.01 | -0.21 | 0.21 | 9.45 | 9.05 |
| 185 | 0.61 | -0.30 | 0.01 | -0.20 | 0.20 | 7.55 | 6.90 |
| 180 | 0.62 | -0.25 | 0.01 | -0.18 | 0.18 | 6.00 | 5.30 |
| 175 | 0.62 | -0.20 | 0.01 | -0.16 | 0.16 | 4.75 | 3.85 |
| 170 | 0.63 | -0.16 | 0.01 | -0.15 | 0.14 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| 165 | 0.68 | -0.14 | 0.01 | -0.14 | 0.12 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| 160 | 0.66 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.10 | 2.68 | 1.11 |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-13:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 | 0.69 | -0.42 | 0.01 | -0.35 | 0.16 | 9.25 | 8.85 |
| 190 | 0.70 | -0.35 | 0.01 | -0.34 | 0.15 | 7.30 | 6.80 |
| 185 | 0.70 | -0.28 | 0.01 | -0.31 | 0.14 | 5.50 | 5.05 |
| 180 | 0.71 | -0.22 | 0.01 | -0.28 | 0.12 | 4.10 | 3.75 |
| 175 | 0.70 | -0.17 | 0.01 | -0.23 | 0.10 | 3.10 | 2.21 |
| 170 | 0.74 | -0.13 | 0.01 | -0.21 | 0.09 | 2.55 | 1.59 |
| 165 | 0.74 | -0.09 | 0.01 | -0.17 | 0.07 | 1.75 | 1.05 |
| 160 | 0.80 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.06 | 1.41 | 1.00 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial: Recent EPS of 1.50 beat consensus (1.18), and historical average EPS is 1.71, showing decent profitability. However, the company has missed estimates 3 out of the last 8 quarters, indicating some volatility. The P/E of 28.89 is reasonable within its 1-year range but elevated compared to broader market averages. Major red flag: Consistent and substantial insider selling over the past 90 days, with net sales totaling significant amounts, suggesting a lack of confidence from management in the near-term stock price appreciation.
-
Technical: The stock is in a strong downtrend, trading well below its 50-day EMA (252.54) and 200-day EMA (277.66). Key momentum indicators are bearish: MACD histogram is negative, RSI is near oversold (~30), and the Money Flow Index (MFI) has plummeted to 0.0, indicating intense selling pressure. The current price ($199.18) is slightly below the Bollinger Lower Band ($199.47), which can signal an oversold bounce, but the overall trend remains negative. Volume is high on down days, confirming selling interest. Key Fibonacci support at 207.22 (78.6%) has been breached, with the next significant support at the recent low of $194.22.
-
News: News sentiment is overwhelmingly positive (7 out of 10 articles), highlighting strong revenue growth, strategic acquisitions (Deribit), new product launches, and institutional adoption. This creates a fundamental bullish case and suggests the company is executing well on its long-term strategy. However, this positive narrative is currently being overshadowed by technical selling and insider liquidation.
-
Option Chain: Implied Volatility (IV) for puts is elevated (0.61-0.80), reflecting heightened fear and expectations of continued price movement, likely around the upcoming earnings date (Feb 12). The put options show significant open interest and pricing, with strikes at $195 and $190 acting as focal points for downside bets. This options activity corroborates the bearish near-term sentiment in the stock.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price: The stock is oversold, but catching a falling knife is risky. A more prudent approach would be to wait for a confirmed bullish reversal. An ideal, lower-risk entry would be on a close above the 5-day high of $222.75, signaling a potential short-term trend change. Alternatively, aggressive traders could consider a small position near the $194.22 recent low with a very tight stop, but this is high-risk.
-
Profit Targets:
- Short-term (Trade): $222 - $233 (previous resistance and near the 50-day EMA zone).
- Long-term (Investment): A sustained move above the 200-day EMA (~$278) would be needed to signal a true trend reversal for a long-term hold.
-
Time Horizon: Short-term (weeks) focused on a potential oversold bounce or reaction to the Feb 12 earnings. A long-term investment thesis is supported by the news, but the technical picture must improve first.
Final Notes: The stark divergence between positive fundamental/news sentiment and bearish technical/insider activity creates a high-risk, unclear environment. The upcoming earnings report on February 12th is a major catalyst that could resolve this tension. A strong beat and optimistic guidance could trigger a sharp rally, while a miss or weak outlook could lead to a breakdown below $194. The Neutral rating reflects this binary setup—the risk/reward is not clearly favorable for initiating a new position until the post-earnings trend is established. Current holders should consider setting a stop-loss just below $194.