other_invest.

COST 2025-11-03

Created on

Symbol

COST

Financial Report

----Earnings Data Summary for COST as of 2025-11-03----

Most recent EPS (Actual): 5.87

Most recent EPS (Consensus): 5.82

Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-09-25

Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-08-31

Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 4.23

In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.

Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 5.29

Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.58

Upcoming earnings date: 2025-12-10

----Valuation Data Summary for COST as of 2025-11-03----

Current P/E for COST: 50

1 year P/E range: 51.0 - 58.51

2 years P/E range: 39.29 - 58.51

5 years P/E range: 31.44 - 58.51

Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['LULU', 'BURL', 'WMT', 'AMZN', 'ROST', 'CASY', 'BJ', 'HD', 'TGT', 'AAPL', 'PSMT', 'DG', 'DLTR', 'ULTA']

Average P/E for these peer companies: 25.73

----Management Sentiment Summary for COST in 2025Q3 earnings call----:

The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:

The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.

The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.

0.5 is neutral.

| Title | Sentiment Score |

|--------|---------------|

| CFO | 0.30 |

| COO | 0.47 |

Technical Report

----Price Distribution for COST----

25th percentile in the past 20 days: 917.54

Lowest price in the past 20 days: 902.6

Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 918.9

Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 909.68

Price below mean by one standard deviation: 910.44

Price below mean by two standard deviations: 898.76

----Price Range for COST----

COST current price: $911.45

5-Day Range: $908.02 - $931.88

50-Day Range: $902.01 - $979.61

200-Day Range: $868.14 - $1073.82

----Technical Indicators Summary for COST as of 2025-11-03----

MACD values for COST in the past 14 days:

| Date | histogram | macd | signal |

|--------|---------|--------|--------|

| 2025-10-31 | -1.82 | -5.45 | -3.63 |

| 2025-10-30 | -1.21 | -4.39 | -3.18 |

| 2025-10-29 | -0.99 | -3.86 | -2.88 |

| 2025-10-28 | 0.28 | -2.35 | -2.63 |

| 2025-10-27 | 1.13 | -1.57 | -2.70 |

| 2025-10-24 | 1.85 | -1.13 | -2.98 |

| 2025-10-23 | 2.66 | -0.79 | -3.44 |

| 2025-10-22 | 2.76 | -1.35 | -4.11 |

| 2025-10-21 | 2.48 | -2.32 | -4.80 |

| 2025-10-20 | 2.63 | -2.79 | -5.42 |

EMA values for COST with a window of 50 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-10-31 | 939.61 |

| 2025-10-30 | 940.76 |

| 2025-10-29 | 941.60 |

| 2025-10-28 | 942.79 |

| 2025-10-27 | 943.55 |

| 2025-10-24 | 944.11 |

| 2025-10-23 | 944.59 |

| 2025-10-22 | 944.70 |

| 2025-10-21 | 944.70 |

| 2025-10-20 | 944.99 |

EMA values for COST with a window of 200 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-10-31 | 948.21 |

| 2025-10-30 | 948.58 |

| 2025-10-29 | 948.87 |

| 2025-10-28 | 949.23 |

| 2025-10-27 | 949.48 |

| 2025-10-24 | 949.68 |

| 2025-10-23 | 949.86 |

| 2025-10-22 | 949.94 |

| 2025-10-21 | 949.99 |

| 2025-10-20 | 950.11 |

RSI values for COST in the past 14 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-10-31 | 40.03 |

| 2025-10-30 | 43.47 |

| 2025-10-29 | 39.16 |

| 2025-10-28 | 43.86 |

| 2025-10-27 | 46.37 |

| 2025-10-24 | 47.38 |

| 2025-10-23 | 51.93 |

| 2025-10-22 | 53.19 |

| 2025-10-21 | 50.13 |

| 2025-10-20 | 49.53 |

Money Flow Index (MFI) for COST over the last 10 trading days:

Latest MFI: 39.13

| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |

|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|

| 2025-10-31 | 39.13 | 0.64 | 913.71 |

| 2025-10-30 | 38.94 | 0.64 | 917.85 |

| 2025-10-29 | 26.03 | 0.35 | 913.87 |

| 2025-10-28 | 36.58 | 0.58 | 925.03 |

| 2025-10-27 | 46.44 | 0.87 | 929.39 |

| 2025-10-24 | 45.97 | 0.85 | 935.10 |

| 2025-10-23 | 42.81 | 0.75 | 940.67 |

| 2025-10-22 | 55.49 | 1.25 | 943.39 |

| 2025-10-21 | 55.36 | 1.24 | 938.62 |

| 2025-10-20 | 57.32 | 1.34 | 935.80 |

Bollinger lower and higher band for COST, calculated for the past 20 days

Number of Standard Deviations: 2

Latest Close: 911.45

Latest SMA: 930.15

Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 904.11

Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 956.19

ADX for COST, calculated for the past 14 days

ADX: 19.2

Volume and volume ratio for COST:

Last 30 days average volume: 2551088.9

Today's volume: 2456261.0

Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.96

Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 930.27

Support levels for COST (last 200 trading days):

Last Low: 903.29 on 2025-09-29 (UTC)

Last High: 1067.08 on 2025-06-03 (UTC)

Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 1020.97, 38.2%: 992.45, 50.0%: 969.39, 61.8%: 946.34, 78.6%: 913.52

Resonance Supports: 78.6%: 913.52

Short interest data for COST in the past 5 months:

| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |

|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|

| 2025-10-15 | 2486342 | 2.79 | 6948318 |

| 2025-09-30 | 3008068 | 2.22 | 6685683 |

| 2025-09-15 | 1748092 | 3.74 | 6542302 |

| 2025-08-29 | 2335747 | 2.93 | 6839849 |

| 2025-08-15 | 2197705 | 2.69 | 5905078 |

| 2025-07-31 | 2116877 | 2.63 | 5570606 |

| 2025-07-15 | 1966880 | 2.47 | 4863899 |

| 2025-06-30 | 2125089 | 2.67 | 5679064 |

| 2025-06-13 | 2045161 | 2.51 | 5131365 |

| 2025-05-30 | 2158904 | 2.53 | 5463586 |

Option Chain

----Put Option Chain for COST----

Monthly options:

COST 900 put expires on 2025-12-05

iv: 0.2263, delta: -0.3791, gamma: 0.0062, theta: -0.3242, vega: 1.0291

ask price: 19.7, bid price: 13.85

COST 890 put expires on 2025-12-05

iv: 0.2275, delta: -0.3183, gamma: 0.0058, theta: -0.3098, vega: 0.9651

ask price: 15.9, bid price: 10.45

COST 880 put expires on 2025-12-05

iv: 0.2334, delta: -0.2657, gamma: 0.0052, theta: -0.2958, vega: 0.8871

ask price: 13.35, bid price: 7.8

COST 870 put expires on 2025-12-05

iv: 0.2344, delta: -0.2153, gamma: 0.0046, theta: -0.2673, vega: 0.791

ask price: 9.5, bid price: 6.6

COST 860 put expires on 2025-12-05

iv: 0.2297, delta: -0.1653, gamma: 0.004, theta: -0.2242, vega: 0.6723

ask price: 6.7, bid price: 4.55

COST 850 put expires on 2025-12-05

iv: 0.2403, delta: -0.1362, gamma: 0.0034, theta: -0.2077, vega: 0.5908

ask price: 5.55, bid price: 3.7

COST 840 put expires on 2025-12-05

iv: 0.2759, delta: -0.1334, gamma: 0.0029, theta: -0.2372, vega: 0.5824

ask price: 8.5, bid price: 1.9

COST 830 put expires on 2025-12-05

iv: 0.2415, delta: -0.077, gamma: 0.0022, theta: -0.1395, vega: 0.3907

ask price: 4.5, bid price: 0.16

Weekly options:

COST 900 put expires on 2025-11-14

iv: 0.2395, delta: -0.3417, gamma: 0.0097, theta: -0.5986, vega: 0.5822

ask price: 9.3, bid price: 8.4

COST 890 put expires on 2025-11-14

iv: 0.2452, delta: -0.254, gamma: 0.0082, theta: -0.5401, vega: 0.5082

ask price: 6.55, bid price: 5.55

COST 880 put expires on 2025-11-14

iv: 0.2485, delta: -0.18, gamma: 0.0067, theta: -0.4515, vega: 0.4161

ask price: 4.3, bid price: 3.55

COST 870 put expires on 2025-11-14

iv: 0.2656, delta: -0.134, gamma: 0.0051, theta: -0.3998, vega: 0.3426

ask price: 3.35, bid price: 2.46

COST 860 put expires on 2025-11-14

iv: 0.2715, delta: -0.0918, gamma: 0.0038, theta: -0.313, vega: 0.2613

ask price: 2.1, bid price: 1.65

COST 850 put expires on 2025-11-14

iv: 0.285, delta: -0.0661, gamma: 0.0028, theta: -0.2573, vega: 0.2038

ask price: 1.6, bid price: 1.07

COST 840 put expires on 2025-11-14

iv: 0.2976, delta: -0.0472, gamma: 0.0021, theta: -0.2064, vega: 0.1562

ask price: 1.17, bid price: 0.71

COST 830 put expires on 2025-11-14

iv: 0.3247, delta: -0.04, gamma: 0.0017, theta: -0.1978, vega: 0.1368

ask price: 1.5, bid price: 0.2

News Report

----News and sentiment report for COST as of 2025-11-03----

There are 42564 articles found for COST for the last 30 days.

Peer news results as a comparison:

LULU: 762 articles found.

BURL: 133 articles found.

WMT: 117 articles found.

AMZN: 2289 articles found.

ROST: 182 articles found.

CASY: 10 articles found.

BJ: 351 articles found.

HD: 6457 articles found.

TGT: 87 articles found.

AAPL: 639 articles found.

Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 COST news articles:

Title: 3 Stocks to Buy and Hold: The Long-Term Play for Your Portfolio

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-11-03T08:05:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Resilient business model with high membership renewal rates, strong fiscal 2025 results, growing net sales, and ability to adapt to consumer value-seeking behavior

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/11/03/3-stocks-to-buy-and-hold-the-long-term-play-for-yo/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Walmart Vs. Costco: Which Retail Stock Is The Better Buy

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-11-02T19:06:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Strong comparable sales growth (5.7% in Q4), good international expansion, but lower net income growth and higher P/E ratio compared to Walmart

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/11/02/walmart-vs-costco-which-retail-stock-is-the-better/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Where Will Costco Stock Be in 5 Years?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-11-02T09:35:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Strong membership growth (6.3% increase), consistent sales performance (8.1% sales increase), expanding digital services, loyal customer base, and reliable business model with potential for long-term value

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/11/02/where-will-costco-stock-be-in-5-years/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Microsoft Says Azure Recovery Underway After Major Outage; AWS Says Services Operating Normally (UPDATED)

Publisher: Benzinga

Published: 2025-10-29T21:19:14Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Mentioned as one of the services impacted by the cloud outage

URL: https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/10/48505839/amazon-aws-is-down-again-microsoft-azure-too?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

Title: Woojer Partners with Texas Logistic & Fulfillment Services to Power QC, Software Updates, and Nationwide Distribution to Best Buy, Costco, and Sam’s Club

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2025-10-28T21:54:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Mentioned as a retail partner without specific performance details

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/10/28/3176046/0/en/Woojer-Partners-with-Texas-Logistic-Fulfillment-Services-to-Power-QC-Software-Updates-and-Nationwide-Distribution-to-Best-Buy-Costco-and-Sam-s-Club.html

Title: From Grocery Giant To Produce Pauper: Can Sun Art Turn The Aisle?

Publisher: Benzinga

Published: 2025-10-28T12:43:49Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Established leader in warehouse membership retail in China

URL: https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/25/10/48459388/from-grocery-giant-to-produce-pauper-can-sun-art-turn-the-aisle?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel

Title: Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Costco vs. Agree

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-10-26T08:25:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Well-run company with strong historical performance, but expensive valuation and very low dividend yield, requiring belief in continued stock price appreciation

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/10/26/best-stock-to-buy-right-now-costco-vs-agree/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: This Washington-Based Company Could be a No-Brainer Buy for Long-Term Investors

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-10-24T16:23:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Strong global presence with 136.8 million cardholders, consistent revenue and earnings growth, global economic influence, and potential for continued long-term performance

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/10/24/this-washington-based-company-could-be-a-no-braine/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: Costco Stock Has Historically Produced Great Returns for Investors. But Can the Retail Giant Continue the Trend in 2026?

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-10-23T11:30:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: While the stock is currently flat and trading at a premium valuation, the company shows strong fundamentals with high membership renewal rates (89.8% worldwide), growing e-commerce presence, and potential for future growth. The neutral sentiment reflects both challenges and opportunities.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/10/23/costco-has-historically-produced-great-returns/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Title: If I Could Only Buy and Hold a Single Stock, This Would Be It

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2025-10-22T09:15:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: Used as an example of a blue-chip stock, not directly analyzed in the article

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/10/22/if-i-could-only-buy-and-hold-a-single-stock-this/?source=iedfolrf0000001

Out of the total 10 articles,

There are 4 articles with positive sentiment, and

0 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.

Final Report

Recommendation: Neutral

Reasoning:

  • Financial: COST shows strong earnings performance with recent EPS of $5.87 beating consensus of $5.82, and no earnings misses in the past 8 quarters. However, the current P/E of 50 is significantly higher than the peer average of 25.73, indicating overvaluation. Management sentiment from the CFO (0.30) and COO (0.47) is slightly negative to neutral, suggesting cautious outlook.

  • Technical: The stock is trading near the lower end of its ranges ($911.45 vs 50-day range $902-$980). Key technical indicators show weakness: MACD is negative, RSI at 40.03 indicates approaching oversold but not there yet, and MFI at 39.13 shows selling pressure. The price is below both 50-day EMA ($939.61) and 200-day EMA ($948.21), confirming bearish momentum. Support exists around $903-913 (Fibonacci 78.6% level and recent lows).

  • News: Sentiment is generally positive with 4 out of 10 articles bullish, highlighting strong membership growth and resilient business model. However, concerns about high valuation are frequently mentioned. The high volume of COST articles (42,564) compared to peers indicates significant market attention.

  • Option Chain: Put options show elevated implied volatility (22-33%), particularly for near-term expirations, suggesting increased hedging activity. The concentration of open interest around $900 strike indicates this as a key support level.

Strategy to Minimize Risk:

  1. Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $900-910 (near key support and recent lows)

  2. Profit Targets:

  • Short-term: $940-950 (3-4% gain, near 50-day EMA resistance)

  • Long-term: $980+ (if fundamentals improve and technicals reverse)

  1. Time Horizon: 2-4 weeks, aligning with next earnings date (Dec 10)

Final Notes: While COST has strong fundamentals, the current technical weakness and high valuation create near-term headwinds. The stock is in a "wait and see" pattern - better entry opportunities may emerge if it tests the $900 support level. Consider waiting for either a breakdown below $900 (for further downside) or a confirmed reversal above the 50-day EMA before establishing larger positions.