DUOL 2025-10-20
Symbol
DUOL
User Message
Look for opportunities of selling cash secured puts or covered calls.
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for DUOL as of 2025-10-21----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 0.91
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.58
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-08-06
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-06-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.47
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.2618
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.06
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-11-05
----Valuation Data Summary for DUOL as of 2025-10-21----
Current P/E for DUOL: 129.84
1 year P/E range: 113.69 - 156.42
2 years P/E range: -614.33 - 667.21
5 years P/E range: -614.33 - 667.21
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['PRDO', 'STRA', 'COUR', 'GHC', 'LOPE', 'UTI', 'LAUR', 'ATGE', 'LRN', 'BFAM']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 15.97
----Management Sentiment Summary for DUOL in 2025Q2 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CEO | 0.51 |
| CFO | 0.28 |
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for DUOL----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 315.01
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 293.03
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 309.79
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 299.0
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 300.12
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 287.51
----Price Range for DUOL----
DUOL current price: $315.52
5-Day Range: $304.23 - $344.00
50-Day Range: $256.63 - $373.50
200-Day Range: $256.63 - $544.93
----Technical Indicators Summary for DUOL as of 2025-10-21----
MACD values for DUOL in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-17 | 1.07 | 5.85 | 4.78 |
| 2025-10-16 | 2.14 | 6.65 | 4.51 |
| 2025-10-15 | 2.92 | 6.90 | 3.98 |
| 2025-10-14 | 2.80 | 6.04 | 3.25 |
| 2025-10-13 | 3.18 | 5.73 | 2.55 |
| 2025-10-10 | 3.76 | 5.51 | 1.75 |
| 2025-10-09 | 4.85 | 5.66 | 0.81 |
| 2025-10-08 | 4.93 | 4.53 | -0.40 |
| 2025-10-07 | 3.63 | 2.00 | -1.64 |
| 2025-10-06 | 4.05 | 1.51 | -2.54 |
EMA values for DUOL with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-17 | 326.77 |
| 2025-10-16 | 326.88 |
| 2025-10-15 | 326.73 |
| 2025-10-14 | 326.14 |
| 2025-10-13 | 325.88 |
| 2025-10-10 | 325.71 |
| 2025-10-09 | 325.74 |
| 2025-10-08 | 325.27 |
| 2025-10-07 | 324.38 |
| 2025-10-06 | 324.56 |
EMA values for DUOL with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-17 | 345.74 |
| 2025-10-16 | 345.95 |
| 2025-10-15 | 346.11 |
| 2025-10-14 | 346.16 |
| 2025-10-13 | 346.30 |
| 2025-10-10 | 346.46 |
| 2025-10-09 | 346.67 |
| 2025-10-08 | 346.77 |
| 2025-10-07 | 346.76 |
| 2025-10-06 | 347.03 |
RSI values for DUOL in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-17 | 51.22 |
| 2025-10-16 | 54.02 |
| 2025-10-15 | 58.83 |
| 2025-10-14 | 55.89 |
| 2025-10-13 | 54.98 |
| 2025-10-10 | 53.25 |
| 2025-10-09 | 58.32 |
| 2025-10-08 | 62.92 |
| 2025-10-07 | 53.75 |
| 2025-10-06 | 53.90 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for DUOL over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 42.37
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-10-20 | 42.37 | 0.74 | 316.16 |
| 2025-10-17 | 39.96 | 0.67 | 326.77 |
| 2025-10-16 | 49.64 | 0.99 | 331.34 |
| 2025-10-15 | 63.82 | 1.76 | 339.47 |
| 2025-10-14 | 50.77 | 1.03 | 329.74 |
| 2025-10-13 | 41.49 | 0.71 | 328.21 |
| 2025-10-10 | 50.54 | 1.02 | 331.90 |
| 2025-10-09 | 58.91 | 1.43 | 340.80 |
| 2025-10-08 | 59.53 | 1.47 | 339.29 |
| 2025-10-07 | 58.43 | 1.41 | 319.18 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for DUOL, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 315.73
Latest SMA: 322.71
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 297.48
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 347.95
ADX for DUOL, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 17.17
Volume and volume ratio for DUOL:
Last 30 days average volume: 1663068.63
Today's volume: 956980.0
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.58
No VWAP data for DUOL.
Support levels for DUOL (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 256.63 on 2025-09-09 (UTC)
Last High: 353.0 on 2025-10-09 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 330.26, 38.2%: 316.19, 50.0%: 304.82, 61.8%: 293.44, 78.6%: 277.25
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Current Price: 315.73
Short interest data for DUOL in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-09-30 | 1707483 | 2.21 | 3768549 |
| 2025-09-15 | 2231264 | 1.55 | 3451571 |
| 2025-08-29 | 1731918 | 1.91 | 3308303 |
| 2025-08-15 | 2628717 | 1.15 | 3022873 |
| 2025-07-31 | 952104 | 2.58 | 2453625 |
| 2025-07-15 | 832667 | 2.91 | 2423692 |
| 2025-06-30 | 1095309 | 2.10 | 2296712 |
| 2025-06-13 | 789916 | 2.35 | 1852681 |
| 2025-05-30 | 667935 | 2.15 | 1434085 |
| 2025-05-15 | 1224366 | 1.00 | 1186232 |
News Report
----News and sentiment report for DUOL as of 2025-10-21----
There are 36 articles found for DUOL for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
PRDO: 2 articles found.
STRA: 495 articles found.
COUR: 2313 articles found.
GHC: 21 articles found.
LOPE: 189 articles found.
UTI: 409 articles found.
LAUR: 51 articles found.
ATGE: 9 articles found.
LRN: 34 articles found.
BFAM: 6 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 DUOL news articles:
Title: AI Magazine Highlights How Virtual Assistants Are Driving Business Efficiency and Workforce Change
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-10-16T15:00:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Embracing AI-first strategy to accelerate content creation, dramatically reducing course development time
Title: I Update My Buy/Hold/Sell Rating on Duolingo Stock
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-13T09:09:51Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Recommended by The Motley Fool, suggesting potential investment value
Title: Investors Fear a Bubble, but These Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Could Still Be Bargains
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-09T08:28:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Successfully using AI to enhance product features, strong subscription revenue growth (46% year-over-year), expanding user monetization
Title: Why Figma's Stock Lost 26% Last Month
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-02T20:35:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned as a client of Figma's design platform with no specific performance details
URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/10/02/why-figma-stock-lost-26-last-month/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: 3 Growth Stocks Down 40% to Buy Right Now
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-09-29T10:37:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Strong revenue growth of over 40% annually, profitable performance, and innovative AI-enhanced learning platform
Title: 2 Falling Knives That Might Be Worth Catching
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-09-18T17:12:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Stock has been cut in half since June due to fears about slowing engagement and AI competition. However, analysts like KeyCorp and Zacks Research remain bullish, seeing potential growth drivers and an attractive risk/reward profile.
URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/2-falling-knives-that-might-be-worth-catching-200667150
Title: AI Needs Babysitters, and These Stocks Are Cashing In
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-09-17T11:27:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Despite AI translation fears, company remains relevant by leveraging human translators' expertise
Title: INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Duolingo, Inc. - DUOL
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-09-10T18:51:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Stock price dropped 6.48% after report of slowing user growth, and law firm is investigating potential securities fraud or unlawful business practices
Title: Game-based Learning Company Evaluation Report 2025 | Duolingo, Kahoot!, and Skillsoft Lead with AI Personalization, Interactive Platforms, and Corporate Training Innovation
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-09-08T08:58:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Pioneering language education with AI-driven personalization, diverse subject offerings, and innovative mobile learning platform
Title: Motley Fool Interview With Stride CEO James Rhyu: Disrupting K-12 and Beyond
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-09-03T18:30:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Briefly referenced in discussion about AI's potential in education, with no specific company performance details provided
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 6 articles with positive sentiment, and
1 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial: DUOL shows strong earnings performance with recent EPS of $0.91 beating consensus of $0.58, and no earnings misses in the past 8 quarters. However, the stock trades at an extremely high P/E of 129.84 compared to sector peers' average of 15.97, indicating significant overvaluation. Management sentiment is mixed with CFO sentiment notably negative at 0.28. Upcoming earnings on November 5 creates near-term uncertainty.
-
Technical: The stock is trading near the lower end of its recent range ($315.52 vs 20-day low of $293.03). Technical indicators show mixed signals - MACD histogram is positive but declining, RSI at 51.22 suggests neutral momentum, and MFI at 42.37 indicates some selling pressure. The stock is trading below both 50-day EMA ($326.77) and 200-day EMA ($345.74), indicating bearish intermediate and long-term trends. Volume is below average at 0.58 ratio.
-
News: Overall sentiment is positive with 6 out of 10 articles bullish, highlighting AI integration and growth potential. However, one significant negative article mentions a law firm investigation into securities fraud claims following a 6.48% price drop on slowing user growth concerns.
-
Additional Context: For cash-secured puts and covered calls, the elevated valuation and technical weakness create headwinds for premium selling strategies.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price for Cash-Secured Puts: Ideal sell zone: $290-300 (near 20-day low and Bollinger lower band)
-
Stop-Loss: Not applicable for premium selling strategies, but avoid positions if stock breaks below $287 (2 standard deviations below mean)
-
Profit Targets:
-
Cash-Secured Puts: 30-45 days to expiration, strike prices $290-300
-
Covered Calls: Only if already long, sell calls at $330-340 resistance levels
- Time Horizon: 30-45 days, through earnings announcement
Final Notes: Exercise caution given the high valuation and upcoming earnings. The stock appears to be in a technical downtrend with the 50-day EMA below the 200-day EMA. Premiums may be attractive due to earnings volatility, but risk of assignment on puts or having shares called away on calls is elevated. Consider waiting until after earnings for clearer direction.