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DUOL 2026-01-29

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Financial Report

Earnings Data Summary for DUOL as of 2026-01-29

Most recent EPS (Actual): 5.95

Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.76

Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 0.06 - 1.2618

Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.57

In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.

Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-05

Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30

Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-26

Valuation Data Summary for DUOL as of 2026-01-29

Current P/E for DUOL: 38.09

1 year P/E range: 38.09 - 156.42

2 years P/E range: 38.09 - 667.21

5 years P/E range: -614.33 - 667.21

Management Sentiment Summary for DUOL in 2025Q3 earnings call:

The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:

The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.

TitleSentiment Score
CFO0.39
CEO0.52

Insider transactions for DUOL in the last 90 days:

Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.

DateTotal Amount TradedAvg. Traded PriceTransaction TypeRemaining Shares
2025-11-19-10K$172.74Sell32.5K
2025-11-18-7K$175.79Sell882.6K
2025-11-17-8.1K$177.95Sell310.9K

Technical Report

Price Range for DUOL

DUOL current price: $139.47

5-Day Range: $137.00 - $161.28

50-Day Range: $137.00 - $213.37

200-Day Range: $137.00 - $544.93

Price Distribution for DUOL in the past 20 days

25th percentile: 149.77

Lowest price: 137.0

Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 153.85

Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 144.2

Price below mean by one standard deviation: 144.41

Price below mean by two standard deviations: 130.49

Technical Indicators Summary for DUOL as of 2026-01-29

MACD values for DUOL in the past 14 days:

Datemacdsignalhistogram
2026-01-28-11.05-10.47-0.57
2026-01-27-10.77-10.33-0.44
2026-01-26-10.59-10.22-0.38
2026-01-23-10.77-10.12-0.65
2026-01-22-11.30-9.96-1.33
2026-01-21-11.57-9.63-1.94
2026-01-20-11.04-9.14-1.90
2026-01-16-10.39-8.67-1.72
2026-01-15-9.57-8.24-1.33
2026-01-14-8.82-7.91-0.91

EMA values for DUOL with a window of 50 days:

DateValue
2026-01-28185.11
2026-01-27186.84
2026-01-26188.50
2026-01-23190.01
2026-01-22191.40
2026-01-21192.94
2026-01-20194.82
2026-01-16196.71
2026-01-15198.61
2026-01-14200.41

EMA values for DUOL with a window of 200 days:

DateValue
2026-01-28269.11
2026-01-27270.38
2026-01-26271.63
2026-01-23272.84
2026-01-22274.01
2026-01-21275.22
2026-01-20276.51
2026-01-16277.80
2026-01-15279.08
2026-01-14280.34

RSI values for DUOL in the past 14 days:

DateValue
2026-01-2829.37
2026-01-2731.03
2026-01-2634.02
2026-01-2336.66
2026-01-2234.22
2026-01-2126.22
2026-01-2027.00
2026-01-1627.69
2026-01-1529.56
2026-01-1430.40

Money Flow Index (MFI) for DUOL over the last 10 trading days:

Latest MFI: 19.33

DateTypical PriceMoney Flow RatioMFI
2026-01-29139.880.2419.33
2026-01-28144.430.2419.12
2026-01-27147.430.4530.97
2026-01-26151.990.3727.24
2026-01-23157.030.4832.56
2026-01-22152.970.3224.30
2026-01-21146.200.2016.35
2026-01-20149.850.2016.78
2026-01-16150.800.3525.79
2026-01-15157.220.4932.96

Bollinger lower and higher band for DUOL, calculated for the past 20 days

Number of Standard Deviations: 2

Latest Close: 139.47

Latest SMA: 160.81

Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 132.73

Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 188.9

ADX for DUOL, calculated for the past 14 days

ADX: 60.21

Volume and volume ratio for DUOL:

Last 30 days average volume: 1.8M

Today's volume: 2.5M

Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.39

No VWAP data for DUOL.

Support levels for DUOL (last 200 trading days):

Last Low: 136.99 on 2026-01-29 (UTC)

Last High: 143.17 on 2026-01-29 (UTC)

Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 141.71, 38.2%: 140.81, 50.0%: 140.08, 61.8%: 139.35, 78.6%: 138.31

Resonance Supports: 38.2%: 140.81, 50.0%: 140.08, 61.8%: 139.35, 78.6%: 138.31

Short interest data for DUOL in the past 5 months:

Report DateShort InterestAvg Daily VolumeDays to Cover
2026-01-157.4M2.1M3.55
2025-12-316.4M1.2M5.35
2025-12-155M1.6M3.10
2025-11-285.4M1.9M2.79
2025-11-145.4M3.5M1.54
2025-10-314.6M1.2M3.89
2025-10-153.9M1.2M3.11
2025-09-303.8M1.7M2.21
2025-09-153.5M2.2M1.55
2025-08-293.3M1.7M1.91

Option Chain

Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-27:

Strike PriceIVDeltaGammaThetaVegaAsk PriceBid Price
138NoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNone
137NoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNone
136NoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNone
1350.85-0.400.01-0.210.1512.309.40
134NoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNone
133NoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNone
132NoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNone
131NoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNone

Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-13:

Strike PriceIVDeltaGammaThetaVegaAsk PriceBid Price
1380.63-0.440.02-0.230.117.405.30
1370.63-0.420.02-0.230.116.405.40
1360.63-0.400.02-0.220.116.004.80
1350.64-0.380.02-0.220.115.604.70
1340.63-0.350.02-0.220.105.303.90
1330.63-0.330.02-0.210.104.703.60
1320.60-0.300.02-0.190.104.202.80
1310.63-0.290.02-0.200.104.202.85

Final Report

Recommendation: Neutral

Reasoning:

  • Financial: The most recent EPS of 5.95 dramatically exceeded consensus (0.76), indicating a strong quarter. However, this appears to be an outlier compared to the historical average EPS of 0.57, raising questions about sustainability. The current P/E of 38.09 is high but sits at the very bottom of its 1-year and 5-year ranges, suggesting a significant de-rating has already occurred. Management sentiment is lukewarm (CFO slightly negative, CEO neutral). A significant red flag is consistent insider selling over the last 90 days at prices between $173-$178, well above the current level.
  • Technical: The stock is in a powerful and established downtrend. Price ($139.47) is deeply below both the 50-day EMA (~$185) and 200-day EMA (~$269). The MACD is negative and bearish, RSI is near oversold (29.37), and the Money Flow Index is extremely low (19.33), confirming intense selling pressure. The ADX of 60.21 indicates a very strong trend. Support is being tested at the recent low of ~$137. The high volume and elevated short interest (7.4M shares, 3.55 days to cover) add to the downward pressure but also create a potential for a sharp reversal (short squeeze) on any positive catalyst.
  • News: News sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with multiple articles framing the steep price decline as a buying opportunity. They highlight strong underlying fundamentals: robust user growth, expanding product lines, solid free cash flow, and attractive valuation multiples post-selloff. This creates a stark divergence between positive fundamental commentary and negative price action.
  • Option Chain: The high implied volatility (IV ~0.63-0.85 for puts) reflects significant uncertainty and fear priced into the options market. This makes long options (both puts and calls) expensive. The put options show significant negative theta, indicating rapid time decay for option buyers, which is a headwind for positioning.

Strategy to Minimize Risk:

  1. Entry Price: Given the strong downtrend and oversold conditions, a prudent strategy is to wait for a confirmed reversal signal rather than trying to catch the falling knife. A potential buy zone would be on a daily close above $145 (breaking the immediate down-sloping structure) or a successful retest and bounce from the critical $137 support. For aggressive, risk-tolerant investors, a small pilot position could be initiated near $137-139.
  2. Profit Targets:
    • Short-term (Tactical Bounce): $155 - $165 (11-18% gain, targeting a move toward the lower Bollinger Band or previous minor resistance).
    • Medium-term (Trend Reversal): $185 - $195 (33-40% gain, targeting a test of the declining 50-day EMA).
  3. Stop-Loss: $135 (just below the recent and 200-day low of $137). A break below this level would invalidate the idea of support holding and likely lead to further declines.
  4. Time Horizon: Short-to-medium term (2-8 weeks). The upcoming earnings date (Feb 26) is a major catalyst that will likely determine the next sustained direction.

Final Notes: DUOL presents a classic "falling knife" scenario with compelling long-term fundamentals clashing against severe technical damage and negative momentum. The high short interest and positive news sentiment provide fuel for a potential sharp rally, but the dominant trend is undeniably down. The Neutral rating reflects high risk and an unclear immediate reward. The optimal risk-managed approach is to wait for a technical confirmation of a bottom (e.g., bullish reversal candle, break above a down trendline, RSI divergence) before considering a long position. Aggressive traders might consider selling out-of-the-money cash-secured puts to generate income while expressing a willingness to buy at a lower price.