DUOL 2026-03-15
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for DUOL as of 2026-03-15
Most recent EPS (Actual): 5.95
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.76
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 0.06 - 1.2618
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.57
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-05
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-04-29
Valuation Data Summary for DUOL as of 2026-03-15
Current P/E for DUOL: 38.09
1 year P/E range: 38.09 - 156.42
2 years P/E range: 38.09 - 667.21
5 years P/E range: -614.33 - 667.21
Management Sentiment Summary for DUOL in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CFO | 0.39 |
| CEO | 0.52 |
Insider transactions for DUOL in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | 5K | $99.76 | Purchase | 9.6K |
| 2026-02-18 | -9.4K | $113.47 | Sell | 721.1K |
| 2026-02-17 | -5.5K | $110.06 | Sell | 309.6K |
Technical Report
Price Range for DUOL
DUOL current price: $98.39
5-Day Range: $93.93 - $104.38
50-Day Range: $91.99 - $192.92
200-Day Range: $91.99 - $540.30
Price Distribution for DUOL in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 100.02
Lowest price: 91.99
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 98.15
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 94.29
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 94.57
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 87.75
Technical Indicators Summary for DUOL as of 2026-03-15
MACD values for DUOL in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | -9.26 | -10.34 | 1.08 |
| 2026-03-12 | -9.74 | -10.61 | 0.88 |
| 2026-03-11 | -9.84 | -10.83 | 0.99 |
| 2026-03-10 | -10.24 | -11.08 | 0.84 |
| 2026-03-09 | -10.22 | -11.29 | 1.07 |
| 2026-03-06 | -10.58 | -11.56 | 0.98 |
| 2026-03-05 | -11.03 | -11.80 | 0.77 |
| 2026-03-04 | -11.42 | -11.99 | 0.57 |
| 2026-03-03 | -11.20 | -12.14 | 0.94 |
| 2026-03-02 | -11.31 | -12.37 | 1.06 |
EMA values for DUOL with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | 129.86 |
| 2026-03-12 | 131.14 |
| 2026-03-11 | 132.62 |
| 2026-03-10 | 134.00 |
| 2026-03-09 | 135.58 |
| 2026-03-06 | 137.02 |
| 2026-03-05 | 138.45 |
| 2026-03-04 | 139.96 |
| 2026-03-03 | 141.74 |
| 2026-03-02 | 143.38 |
EMA values for DUOL with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | 226.85 |
| 2026-03-12 | 228.14 |
| 2026-03-11 | 229.48 |
| 2026-03-10 | 230.79 |
| 2026-03-09 | 232.15 |
| 2026-03-06 | 233.48 |
| 2026-03-05 | 234.80 |
| 2026-03-04 | 236.14 |
| 2026-03-03 | 237.54 |
| 2026-03-02 | 238.91 |
RSI values for DUOL in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | 37.56 |
| 2026-03-12 | 33.22 |
| 2026-03-11 | 35.81 |
| 2026-03-10 | 31.15 |
| 2026-03-09 | 34.51 |
| 2026-03-06 | 35.52 |
| 2026-03-05 | 35.08 |
| 2026-03-04 | 28.53 |
| 2026-03-03 | 31.52 |
| 2026-03-02 | 30.54 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for DUOL over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 65.2
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | 96.92 | 1.87 | 65.20 |
| 2026-03-12 | 95.99 | 0.57 | 36.17 |
| 2026-03-11 | 97.80 | 0.94 | 48.51 |
| 2026-03-10 | 97.30 | 0.95 | 48.81 |
| 2026-03-09 | 101.13 | 1.14 | 53.25 |
| 2026-03-06 | 100.98 | 0.93 | 48.17 |
| 2026-03-05 | 101.27 | 1.08 | 52.02 |
| 2026-03-04 | 99.17 | 0.85 | 46.03 |
| 2026-03-03 | 100.28 | 1.10 | 52.46 |
| 2026-03-02 | 98.67 | 0.88 | 46.87 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for DUOL, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 98.39
Latest SMA: 104.83
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 90.85
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 118.81
ADX for DUOL, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 22.12
Volume and volume ratio for DUOL:
Last 30 days average volume: 3.6M
Volume ratio and Price spread in the past 14 days:
| Date | Volume | Volume Ratio | Price Spread (High - Low) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 2.4M | 0.67 | 4.51 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2.2M | 0.61 | 4.97 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2.1M | 0.59 | 3.38 |
| 2026-03-12 | 2.9M | 0.83 | 6.81 |
| 2026-03-11 | 3M | 0.86 | 5.79 |
| 2026-03-10 | 2M | 0.57 | 3.18 |
| 2026-03-09 | 4.6M | 1.29 | 5.96 |
| 2026-03-08 | 3.4M | 0.96 | 9.45 |
| 2026-03-07 | 3.1M | 0.88 | 6.64 |
| 2026-03-06 | 4.2M | 1.17 | 6.60 |
| 2026-03-05 | 20.1M | 5.66 | 9.46 |
| 2026-03-04 | 8M | 2.26 | 7.65 |
| 2026-03-03 | 2.2M | 0.61 | 4.11 |
| 2026-03-02 | 1.8M | 0.51 | 5.09 |
No VWAP data for DUOL.
Support levels for DUOL (last 30 trading days):
Last Low: 91.99 on 2026-02-27 (UTC)
Last High: 105.4 on 2026-03-04 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 102.24, 38.2%: 100.28, 50.0%: 98.69, 61.8%: 97.11, 78.6%: 94.86
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for DUOL in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | 8.6M | 4.3M | 1.98 |
| 2026-02-13 | 8.7M | 3.1M | 2.77 |
| 2026-01-30 | 6.9M | 2M | 3.43 |
| 2026-01-15 | 7.4M | 2.1M | 3.55 |
| 2025-12-31 | 6.4M | 1.2M | 5.35 |
| 2025-12-15 | 5M | 1.6M | 3.10 |
| 2025-11-28 | 5.4M | 1.9M | 2.79 |
| 2025-11-14 | 5.4M | 3.5M | 1.54 |
| 2025-10-31 | 4.6M | 1.2M | 3.89 |
| 2025-10-15 | 3.9M | 1.2M | 3.11 |
News Report
----News and sentiment report for DUOL as of 2026-03-15---- There are 22 articles found for DUOL for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison: ATGE: 0 articles found. LOPE: 128 articles found. CNGO: 0 articles found. GHC: 27 articles found. LAUR: 41 articles found. LRN: 7 articles found. BFAM: 2 articles found. PRDO: 1 articles found. STRA: 300 articles found. UTI: 380 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 DUOL news articles:
Title: Could Buying the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF in 2026 Make You a Millionaire? Publisher: The Motley Fool Published: 2026-03-14T15:30:00Z Sentiment: positive Reasoning: Showcased as a growth story with 39% revenue growth and quadrupled earnings, leveraging AI for language education. URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/03/14/buying-vanguard-total-stock-market-millionaire/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: 1 Glorious Growth Stock, Down 81%, You Might Regret Not Buying on the Dip in March Publisher: The Motley Fool Published: 2026-03-11T15:02:00Z Sentiment: positive Reasoning: Despite the 82% stock decline, the author presents a bullish case based on strong fundamentals (52.7M DAUs, 30% YoY growth, record $1.04B revenue), successful AI integration driving subscriptions, capital-light business model with room for growth investment, and attractive valuation metrics (P/E of 12.1, P/S of 4.8) at historic lows. The strategic pivot toward user growth is viewed as a long-term positive despite near-term earnings pressure. URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/03/11/1-growth-stock-down-81-regret-not-buying-dip-march/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: Gilder Gagnon Howe Dumps 66,000 Duolingo Shares Worth $15.7 Million Publisher: The Motley Fool Published: 2026-03-06T21:31:10Z Sentiment: negative Reasoning: Stock has lost 73.84% of its value over the past year and declined over 80% from its mid-2025 peak of $545. Institutional investor is reducing position, signaling lack of confidence. Company faces uncertainty from AI impact on software sector and has shifted focus away from monetization. URL: https://www.fool.com/coverage/filings/2026/03/06/gilder-gagnon-howe-dumps-66000-duol-shares-worth-15-7-million/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: Why Duolingo Stock Fell 24% in February Publisher: The Motley Fool Published: 2026-03-03T22:16:22Z Sentiment: negative Reasoning: Stock fell 24% in February due to sequential decline in monthly active users (135.3M to 133.1M), missed Q1 revenue guidance ($288.5M vs. consensus $291.2M), missed full-year guidance ($1.2-1.22B vs. estimate $1.26B), and concerns about AI disruption from tools like Claude competing with language learning apps. URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/03/03/why-duolingo-stock-fell-24-in-february/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: Duolingo's Freemium Model Faces Its Biggest Test Yet Publisher: The Motley Fool Published: 2026-03-01T18:23:00Z Sentiment: neutral Reasoning: The article presents a balanced assessment of Duolingo at an inflection point. While the company has successfully built a massive user base and proven the freemium model works, it now faces execution risks around maintaining retention while increasing ARPU through premium tiers. The sentiment is neither bullish nor bearish, but rather cautiously evaluative of whether the company can sustain its business model at scale. URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/03/01/duolingos-freemium-model-faces-its-biggest-test/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: Why Duolingo Stock Plunged Today Publisher: The Motley Fool Published: 2026-02-27T21:03:44Z Sentiment: negative Reasoning: Stock plunged 15% despite strong Q4 earnings beat (35% revenue growth, $0.92 EPS vs. $0.32 prior year, 30% DAU growth). Negative sentiment driven by below-consensus revenue guidance and management's admission that aggressive monetization efforts reduced platform engagement. However, the author views this as a knee-jerk reaction and buying opportunity, suggesting the pivot to user growth prioritization could yield better long-term results. URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/02/27/why-duolingo-stock-plunged-today/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: DUOL INVESTIGATION ALERT: Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Investigates Claims on Behalf of Investors of Duolingo Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc. Published: 2026-02-27T17:58:00Z Sentiment: negative Reasoning: Significant 22% stock price decline following disappointing earnings guidance, lower-than-expected EBITDA projections, slowest user growth in four years, and announcement of reduced near-term profitability despite long-term growth ambitions. URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/02/27/3246712/683/en/DUOL-INVESTIGATION-ALERT-Faruqi-Faruqi-LLP-Investigates-Claims-on-Behalf-of-Investors-of-Duolingo.html
Title: 10 Popular Stocks: Massive Opportunity or Huge Trap? Publisher: The Motley Fool Published: 2026-02-27T14:08:49Z Sentiment: neutral Reasoning: Part of the analyzed stocks with no specific bullish or bearish indication in the text URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/02/27/10-popular-stocks-massive-opportunity-or-huge-trap/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: Why Is Duolingo Stock Sinking Friday? Publisher: Benzinga Published: 2026-02-27T11:08:10Z Sentiment: negative Reasoning: Stock declined 23.88% in premarket trading following earnings. While the company achieved strong operational metrics (50M+ DAUs, $1B+ bookings), management's decision to prioritize free user experience over near-term financial growth disappointed investors. Multiple analyst downgrades, including Morgan Stanley's significant price target reduction from $245 to $100, and 2026 guidance below consensus expectations all contributed to the negative sentiment. URL: https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/26/02/50921552/why-is-duolingo-stock-sinking-friday?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&utm_medium=rss_feed_free&utm_content=taxonomy_rss&utm_campaign=channel
Title: Duolingo Stock Fell 24% in January and Has Kept Plunging in February Publisher: The Motley Fool Published: 2026-02-25T13:25:00Z Sentiment: negative Reasoning: Stock has declined 38% year-to-date due to disappointing forward guidance, deceleration in daily active user growth, plans to reduce near-term monetization, and increased investment spending that will pressure earnings. Additionally, broader SaaS sector concerns about AI disruption are weighing on the stock. URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/02/25/duolingo-stock-fell-24-in-january-and-has-kept-plu/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Out of the total 10 articles, There are 2 articles with positive sentiment, and 6 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
- Financial: Strong recent EPS beat (5.95 vs. consensus 0.76), but historical EPS range suggests variability. Current P/E of 38.09 is at the low end of the 1-year range (38.09-156.42), indicating potential undervaluation. However, insider net selling and mixed management sentiment (CFO negative, CEO slightly positive) pose risks.
- Technical: Price ($98.39) is near key support levels (last low $91.99, Fibonacci 50% at $98.69). RSI values (28-37) signal oversold conditions, while MACD histogram is positive, suggesting budding bullish momentum. However, 50-day and 200-day EMAs are well above current price, confirming a downtrend. MFI of 65.2 indicates buying pressure.
- News: Negative sentiment dominates (6 out of 10 articles) due to missed guidance, user growth deceleration, and AI disruption fears. Positive articles highlight strong fundamentals, growth potential, and attractive valuation after an 81% decline. Upcoming earnings on April 29, 2026, is a key catalyst.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $92-98 (near support at $91.99 or Fibonacci 50% level $98.69).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $105 (∼7% gain from $98), based on recent high of $105.4.
- Long-term: $130 (∼32% gain), if growth resumes and technical resistance breaks.
- Time Horizon: Short to medium term (weeks to months), aligned with earnings catalyst.
Final Notes: Set stop-loss at 5-10% below entry (e.g., below $88). Monitor earnings report and user metrics for confirmation of turnaround. High short interest could fuel a squeeze on positive news, but be wary of ongoing volatility from AI competition and sector headwinds.