IBM 2025-10-22
Symbol
IBM
User Message
Look for opportunities of selling cash secured puts or covered calls.
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for IBM as of 2025-10-22----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 0.00
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 2.45
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-22
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.6
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.92
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.6
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-10-22
----Valuation Data Summary for IBM as of 2025-10-22----
Current P/E for IBM: 45.42
1 year P/E range: 20.89 - 27.1
2 years P/E range: 14.05 - 27.1
5 years P/E range: 11.53 - 27.1
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['DOX', 'INTC', 'BBAI', 'DXC', 'CTSH', 'GDYN', 'GOOGL', 'MSFT', 'AMZN', 'ORCL', 'META', 'NVDA', 'ASGN', 'EPAM', 'KD', 'GOOG', 'TSLA', 'IT']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 34.33
----Management Sentiment Summary for IBM in 2025Q3 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for IBM----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 279.3
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 267.3
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 277.0
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 272.55
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 273.53
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 267.31
----Price Range for IBM----
IBM current price: $282.05
5-Day Range: $275.35 - $285.50
50-Day Range: $233.36 - $301.04
200-Day Range: $210.36 - $301.04
----Technical Indicators Summary for IBM as of 2025-10-22----
MACD values for IBM in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-21 | -1.44 | 4.27 | 5.70 |
| 2025-10-20 | -1.55 | 4.51 | 6.06 |
| 2025-10-17 | -1.86 | 4.60 | 6.45 |
| 2025-10-16 | -2.04 | 4.88 | 6.92 |
| 2025-10-15 | -1.72 | 5.71 | 7.43 |
| 2025-10-14 | -1.66 | 6.20 | 7.86 |
| 2025-10-13 | -1.07 | 7.20 | 8.27 |
| 2025-10-10 | -0.27 | 8.27 | 8.54 |
| 2025-10-09 | 0.84 | 9.45 | 8.60 |
| 2025-10-08 | 1.36 | 9.76 | 8.39 |
EMA values for IBM with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-21 | 271.08 |
| 2025-10-20 | 270.63 |
| 2025-10-17 | 270.10 |
| 2025-10-16 | 269.64 |
| 2025-10-15 | 269.38 |
| 2025-10-14 | 268.92 |
| 2025-10-13 | 268.62 |
| 2025-10-10 | 268.27 |
| 2025-10-09 | 267.88 |
| 2025-10-08 | 267.05 |
EMA values for IBM with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-21 | 254.37 |
| 2025-10-20 | 254.10 |
| 2025-10-17 | 253.80 |
| 2025-10-16 | 253.52 |
| 2025-10-15 | 253.30 |
| 2025-10-14 | 253.02 |
| 2025-10-13 | 252.79 |
| 2025-10-10 | 252.54 |
| 2025-10-09 | 252.29 |
| 2025-10-08 | 251.93 |
RSI values for IBM in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-21 | 56.24 |
| 2025-10-20 | 58.21 |
| 2025-10-17 | 56.09 |
| 2025-10-16 | 50.91 |
| 2025-10-15 | 56.48 |
| 2025-10-14 | 51.76 |
| 2025-10-13 | 53.00 |
| 2025-10-10 | 53.67 |
| 2025-10-09 | 67.41 |
| 2025-10-08 | 69.36 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for IBM over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 29.31
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-10-21 | 29.31 | 0.41 | 282.99 |
| 2025-10-20 | 43.90 | 0.78 | 283.37 |
| 2025-10-17 | 36.51 | 0.58 | 280.01 |
| 2025-10-16 | 35.38 | 0.55 | 278.04 |
| 2025-10-15 | 43.32 | 0.76 | 281.07 |
| 2025-10-14 | 44.67 | 0.81 | 275.41 |
| 2025-10-13 | 54.21 | 1.18 | 278.10 |
| 2025-10-10 | 52.33 | 1.10 | 281.90 |
| 2025-10-09 | 64.58 | 1.82 | 287.23 |
| 2025-10-08 | 76.44 | 3.24 | 290.04 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for IBM, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 282.05
Latest SMA: 282.63
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 270.49
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 294.78
ADX for IBM, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 6.53
Volume and volume ratio for IBM:
Last 30 days average volume: 4926948.13
Today's volume: 4080981.0
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.83
No VWAP data for IBM.
Support levels for IBM (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 214.5 on 2025-04-07 (UTC)
Last High: 301.04 on 2025-10-07 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 278.02, 38.2%: 263.79, 50.0%: 252.28, 61.8%: 240.77, 78.6%: 224.38
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Current Price: 282.05
Short interest data for IBM in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-09-30 | 6149545 | 2.63 | 16197030 |
| 2025-09-15 | 4263980 | 3.43 | 14626762 |
| 2025-08-29 | 3465140 | 4.12 | 14280231 |
| 2025-08-15 | 6391450 | 2.31 | 14734621 |
| 2025-07-31 | 6440468 | 2.42 | 15617770 |
| 2025-07-15 | 3176956 | 5.69 | 18084576 |
| 2025-06-30 | 4051253 | 4.76 | 19277789 |
| 2025-06-13 | 3388340 | 5.59 | 18926450 |
| 2025-05-30 | 3658938 | 5.40 | 19775134 |
| 2025-05-15 | 3779512 | 5.64 | 21305645 |
News Report
----News and sentiment report for IBM as of 2025-10-22----
There are 2071 articles found for IBM for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
DOX: 155 articles found.
INTC: 268 articles found.
BBAI: 42 articles found.
DXC: 116 articles found.
CTSH: 17 articles found.
GDYN: 12 articles found.
GOOGL: 461 articles found.
MSFT: 508 articles found.
AMZN: 2492 articles found.
ORCL: 298 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 IBM news articles:
Title: BizClik Releases October 2025 Sustainability Portfolio Editions
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-10-21T15:00:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned in company spotlights with no specific details about sustainability initiatives
Title: 5 Top Stocks to Buy in October
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-21T12:15:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Strong AI strategy with $7.5 billion in generative AI-related business, expected revenue growth, and enterprise-focused AI solutions
URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/10/21/5-top-stocks-to-buy-in-october/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: Insurance Analytics Market to Reach USD 54.47 Billion by 2033 Driven by AI and Big Data Integration | SNS Insider
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-10-20T14:00:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Mentioned as a key player in the growing insurance analytics market with strong potential for technological innovation
Title: Is It Too Late to Buy Rigetti Computing Stock?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-20T09:15:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Noted as a significant quantum computing competitor with substantial resources
Title: Security-First Networking Delivers 60% Cost Savings, New Analysis Reveals
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-10-17T13:00:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Referenced for their Cost of a Data Breach Report, providing statistical context for the article's analysis without direct commentary on the company itself
Title: AFCEA International’s Newly Elected Committee Members in 2025
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-10-16T18:50:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Single representative (Charles Robinson) in Cyber Committee, standard industry participation
Title: Material Informatics Market Size to Cross USD 1,903.75 Mn by 2034
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-10-16T14:00:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Listed as a key company in the market with potential for growth in AI and materials research
Title: IBM Rolls Out Three New AI Agents On Oracle Platform
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-10-16T11:25:51Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Expanding AI capabilities, forming strategic partnerships, and introducing innovative technology solutions
Title: Big Banks Are Leaning Into Quantum Computing Stocks -- Should Investors Follow?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-16T08:37:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Financially stable, decades of quantum computing experience, lower investment risk
Title: What Is One of the Best Quantum Computing Stocks for the Next 10 Years?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-15T18:30:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article highlights IBM's strategic progress in quantum computing, with clear technological milestones, potential market growth, and successful collaborations like the HSBC bond trading project
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 6 articles with positive sentiment, and
0 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial: IBM's current P/E of 45.42 is significantly elevated compared to its historical range (20.89-27.1 over the past year) and peer average of 34.33. The most recent EPS of 0.00 missing the consensus of 2.45 is concerning, though historical earnings have been relatively stable with no misses in the past 8 quarters. The high P/E suggests the stock may be overvalued relative to its earnings performance.
-
Technical: The stock is trading near the upper end of its recent range ($282.05 vs 5-day range $275.35-$285.50). Technical indicators show mixed signals - MACD is positive but declining, RSI at 56.24 is neutral, and MFI at 29.31 suggests potential oversold conditions. The stock is above both 50-day EMA (271.08) and 200-day EMA (254.37), indicating an overall uptrend, but recent momentum appears to be weakening.
-
News: Sentiment is predominantly positive with 6 out of 10 articles bullish, focusing on IBM's AI strategy, quantum computing leadership, and new product launches. The high volume of articles (2071 in 30 days) indicates significant market attention.
-
Additional Context: For cash-secured puts and covered calls, the current elevated valuation and mixed technical signals create uncertainty about optimal positioning.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price for Cash-Secured Puts: Ideal sell zone: $270-275 (near 50-day EMA and Bollinger lower band)
-
Stop-Loss: Not applicable for premium-selling strategies, but monitor for fundamental deterioration
-
Profit Targets:
-
Cash-secured puts: 30-45 days out, strike prices $270-275
-
Covered calls: Only if already long, consider $290-295 strikes for November expiration
- Time Horizon: 30-45 days until next earnings clarity
Final Notes: Given the elevated P/E and recent earnings miss, caution is warranted. The stock appears fully valued at current levels. For option selling strategies, wait for a pullback to more attractive entry points around $270-275 where downside protection is better. The positive news sentiment around AI and quantum computing provides fundamental support, but the valuation disconnect suggests limited upside in the near term.