LULU 2025-09-12
Symbol
LULU
User Message
Analyze selling cash secured puts
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for LULU as of 2025-09-12----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 3.10
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 2.89
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-09-04
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-07-31
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.48
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 6.14
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.53
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-12-03
----Valuation Data Summary for LULU as of 2025-09-12----
Current P/E for LULU: 11.01
1 year P/E range: 14.04 - 28.65
2 years P/E range: 14.04 - 37.67
5 years P/E range: 14.04 - 66.48
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['GIL.TO', 'GOOS.TO', 'UAA', 'GIII', 'CROX', 'OXM', 'NKE', 'PTON', 'PVH', 'CASY', 'CUPA.CN', 'AVGO', 'UNI.TO', 'RH']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 26.29
----Management Sentiment Summary for LULU in 2025Q3 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for LULU----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 168.03
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 160.92
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 195.2
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 164.38
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 171.12
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 154.18
----Price Range for LULU----
LULU current price: $161.14
5-Day Range: $160.92 - $169.61
50-Day Range: $160.92 - $249.97
200-Day Range: $160.92 - $423.32
----Technical Indicators Summary for LULU as of 2025-09-12----
MACD values for LULU in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-09-11 | -3.24 | -10.88 | -7.64 |
| 2025-09-10 | -3.30 | -10.13 | -6.83 |
| 2025-09-09 | -2.84 | -8.85 | -6.00 |
| 2025-09-08 | -1.96 | -7.26 | -5.29 |
| 2025-09-05 | -0.56 | -5.37 | -4.80 |
| 2025-09-04 | 1.81 | -2.85 | -4.66 |
| 2025-09-03 | 1.63 | -3.49 | -5.12 |
| 2025-09-02 | 2.03 | -3.49 | -5.52 |
| 2025-08-29 | 2.43 | -3.61 | -6.03 |
| 2025-08-28 | 2.73 | -3.91 | -6.64 |
EMA values for LULU with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-09-11 | 207.99 |
| 2025-09-10 | 209.71 |
| 2025-09-09 | 211.58 |
| 2025-09-08 | 213.46 |
| 2025-09-05 | 215.31 |
| 2025-09-04 | 217.25 |
| 2025-09-03 | 217.70 |
| 2025-09-02 | 218.48 |
| 2025-08-29 | 219.23 |
| 2025-08-28 | 219.92 |
EMA values for LULU with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-09-11 | 269.72 |
| 2025-09-10 | 270.76 |
| 2025-09-09 | 271.84 |
| 2025-09-08 | 272.90 |
| 2025-09-05 | 273.96 |
| 2025-09-04 | 275.02 |
| 2025-09-03 | 275.72 |
| 2025-09-02 | 276.49 |
| 2025-08-29 | 277.26 |
| 2025-08-28 | 278.01 |
RSI values for LULU in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-09-11 | 28.91 |
| 2025-09-10 | 26.95 |
| 2025-09-09 | 27.62 |
| 2025-09-08 | 28.51 |
| 2025-09-05 | 28.25 |
| 2025-09-04 | 50.58 |
| 2025-09-03 | 42.20 |
| 2025-09-02 | 43.73 |
| 2025-08-29 | 45.54 |
| 2025-08-28 | 48.24 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for LULU over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 28.39
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-09-12 | 28.39 | 0.40 | 162.68 |
| 2025-09-11 | 27.96 | 0.39 | 165.90 |
| 2025-09-10 | 26.34 | 0.36 | 164.82 |
| 2025-09-09 | 27.03 | 0.37 | 166.41 |
| 2025-09-08 | 28.42 | 0.40 | 166.84 |
| 2025-09-05 | 36.60 | 0.58 | 169.32 |
| 2025-09-04 | 59.89 | 1.49 | 203.47 |
| 2025-09-03 | 35.29 | 0.55 | 199.72 |
| 2025-09-02 | 22.60 | 0.29 | 199.02 |
| 2025-08-29 | 37.07 | 0.59 | 202.90 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for LULU, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 161.18
Latest SMA: 190.94
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 156.09
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 225.79
ADX for LULU, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 65.98
Volume and volume ratio for LULU:
Last 30 days average volume: 5642803.23
Today's volume: 1874917.0
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.33
No VWAP data for LULU.
Support levels for LULU (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 160.92 on 2025-09-12 (UTC)
Last High: 165.93 on 2025-09-12 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 164.75, 38.2%: 164.02, 50.0%: 163.43, 61.8%: 162.83, 78.6%: 161.99
Resonance Supports: 23.6%: 164.75, 38.2%: 164.02, 50.0%: 163.43, 61.8%: 162.83, 78.6%: 161.99
Current Price: 161.18
Short interest data for LULU in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-08-29 | 3269459 | 2.00 | 6541774 |
| 2025-08-15 | 3489507 | 2.01 | 7029210 |
| 2025-07-31 | 3001033 | 1.99 | 5977964 |
| 2025-07-15 | 3183801 | 1.48 | 4701429 |
| 2025-06-30 | 3975680 | 1.28 | 5101123 |
| 2025-06-13 | 5091945 | 1.05 | 5330604 |
| 2025-05-30 | 1919149 | 2.52 | 4840728 |
| 2025-05-15 | 1505730 | 3.95 | 5940230 |
| 2025-04-30 | 1637949 | 3.94 | 6454605 |
| 2025-04-15 | 3996269 | 1.54 | 6173388 |
News Report
----News and sentiment report for LULU as of 2025-09-12----
There are 705 articles found for LULU for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
GIL.TO: 0 articles found.
GOOS.TO: 0 articles found.
UAA: 45 articles found.
GIII: 16 articles found.
CROX: 20 articles found.
OXM: 20 articles found.
NKE: 46 articles found.
PTON: 20 articles found.
PVH: 98 articles found.
CASY: 30 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 LULU news articles:
Title: 5 Reasons Lululemon Stock Can Bounce Back
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-09-11T08:25:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Stock has declined significantly, but company demonstrates potential for recovery through international expansion, strategic product redesign, and historical ability to overcome challenges
Title: Altimetry’s Breakout 2025 Event Introduces New Stock Analysis Tool (by TradeInvestNow.com)
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-09-10T23:06:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Highlighted as an example of a company showing the market anomaly pattern
Title: Why Is Lululemon Stock Crashing, and Is It a Buying Opportunity?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-09-09T14:11:02Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The Motley Fool has positions in the company, suggesting a favorable view of its potential investment value
Title: Lululemon Stock: Too Cheap to Ignore?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-09-09T07:05:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Stock dropped 56% year-to-date, reduced full-year EPS guidance, declining U.S. comparable sales, facing challenges in product trends and consumer spending
Title: Lululemon Share Price Has Plenty of Room Left to Fall
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-09-08T16:43:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Weak Q2 performance with reduced growth guidance, potential tariff impacts, U.S. segment weakness, and institutional/short-seller selling pressure
URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/lululemon-share-price-has-plenty-of-room-left-to-fall-200666564
Title: Lululemon's Stock Continues to Be a Lemon. Can the Stock Rebound, or Should Investors Stay Away?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-09-08T07:32:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Stock price dropped 18.59%, but company shows potential with international growth, strong margins, and plans to address product innovation and design speed
Title: Figma And Lululemon Are Among Top 10 Large Cap Losers Last Week (September 1- September 5): Are The Others In Your Portfolio?
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-09-07T15:31:47Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Lost 17.99% after lowering fiscal year 2025 guidance and receiving multiple analyst downgrades
Title: Lululemon Stock Has Been Absolutely Demolished. Time to Buy?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-09-07T15:31:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Stock dropped 18.59% after quarterly results, reduced full-year revenue and earnings guidance, declining U.S. sales, and potential margin pressures from tariffs and inventory challenges
Title: Lululemon Stock Collapse Highlights Vulnerability to Policy Shocks
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-09-05T16:18:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Stock dropped 17.94%, reduced sales forecast, year-to-date returns down 46.11%, facing tariff pressures and competitive challenges in U.S. market
Title: Lululemon Shares Are Crashing as Tariffs Become a Major Problem
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-09-05T13:33:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Stock dropped 19.63% after reducing earnings forecast, facing $240 million in tariff costs, declining comparable sales in Americas segment, and product lifecycle challenges
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 2 articles with positive sentiment, and
6 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Strong Buy (for selling cash-secured puts)
Reasoning:
-
Financial: LULU presents a compelling value opportunity with a current P/E of 11.01, significantly below its historical range (14.04-66.48) and peer average of 26.29. The company has demonstrated earnings consistency, beating estimates in all of the last 8 quarters with a 7% beat in the most recent quarter (actual $3.10 vs. consensus $2.89). Despite recent guidance reductions, the fundamental valuation appears deeply discounted relative to historical norms and sector peers.
-
Technical: The stock is in extreme oversold territory with RSI at 28.91 and MFI at 28.39. Price has declined dramatically from its 200-day high of $423 to current $161, representing a 62% decline. The stock is trading near multi-year lows ($160.92) and below the Bollinger lower band ($156.09), indicating potential mean reversion opportunity. The MACD remains negative but shows signs of potential stabilization.
-
News: While recent news sentiment is predominantly negative (6 negative vs 2 positive articles), this creates a contrarian opportunity. The negative sentiment is primarily driven by tariff concerns and guidance reductions that appear largely priced into the current valuation. The positive articles highlight the company's strong international growth potential and historical ability to overcome challenges.
-
Additional Context: For selling cash-secured puts, the current environment of high volatility and depressed prices creates attractive premium opportunities while positioning for potential entry at even more favorable levels.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price for Put Selling: Sell cash-secured puts with strike prices between $150-155 (approximately 5-7% below current price)
-
Stop-Loss: No traditional stop-loss for put selling strategy (cash-secured nature provides downside protection)
-
Profit Targets:
-
Primary: Collect premium income (15-30% annualized return target)
-
Secondary: If assigned, acquire shares at discounted price for long-term recovery play
- Time Horizon: 30-45 days until next earnings (December 3, 2025), allowing capture of elevated premiums without excessive time risk
Final Notes: This strategy offers limited upside (premium collection) with defined maximum risk (purchase at strike price if assigned). The current extreme oversold conditions, historically low valuation, and high implied volatility create an ideal environment for premium selling. Monitor upcoming earnings (December 3rd) for potential catalyst that could drive price recovery. Consider rolling positions if challenged as expiration approaches.