LULU 2026-01-28
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for LULU as of 2026-01-28
Most recent EPS (Actual): 2.59
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 2.92
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 2.53 - 6.14
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.53
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-12-11
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-10-31
Upcoming earnings date: None
Valuation Data Summary for LULU as of 2026-01-28
Current P/E for LULU: 11.64
1 year P/E range: 11.64 - 28.65
2 years P/E range: 11.64 - 37.67
5 years P/E range: 11.64 - 66.48
Management Sentiment Summary for LULU in 2025Q4 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Insider transactions for LULU in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | -2.7K | $211.37 | Sell | 25.6K |
| 2025-12-16 | -13.5K | $204.0 | Sell | 22.2K |
Technical Report
Price Range for LULU
LULU current price: $180.35
5-Day Range: $179.20 - $196.28
50-Day Range: $160.97 - $225.98
200-Day Range: $159.25 - $340.25
Price Distribution for LULU in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 192.36
Lowest price: 179.2
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 200.45
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 189.16
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 189.62
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 179.54
Technical Indicators Summary for LULU as of 2026-01-28
MACD values for LULU in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | -2.41 | 0.64 | -3.05 |
| 2026-01-26 | -1.57 | 1.40 | -2.97 |
| 2026-01-23 | -1.12 | 2.14 | -3.26 |
| 2026-01-22 | -0.36 | 2.96 | -3.32 |
| 2026-01-21 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -3.54 |
| 2026-01-20 | 1.51 | 4.67 | -3.16 |
| 2026-01-16 | 3.21 | 5.46 | -2.25 |
| 2026-01-15 | 4.00 | 6.02 | -2.02 |
| 2026-01-14 | 4.63 | 6.53 | -1.90 |
| 2026-01-13 | 5.56 | 7.01 | -1.45 |
EMA values for LULU with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | 195.81 |
| 2026-01-26 | 196.20 |
| 2026-01-23 | 196.34 |
| 2026-01-22 | 196.55 |
| 2026-01-21 | 196.63 |
| 2026-01-20 | 196.91 |
| 2026-01-16 | 197.24 |
| 2026-01-15 | 197.05 |
| 2026-01-14 | 196.72 |
| 2026-01-13 | 196.46 |
EMA values for LULU with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | 219.70 |
| 2026-01-26 | 220.03 |
| 2026-01-23 | 220.30 |
| 2026-01-22 | 220.60 |
| 2026-01-21 | 220.86 |
| 2026-01-20 | 221.17 |
| 2026-01-16 | 221.50 |
| 2026-01-15 | 221.69 |
| 2026-01-14 | 221.86 |
| 2026-01-13 | 222.05 |
RSI values for LULU in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | 38.30 |
| 2026-01-26 | 43.11 |
| 2026-01-23 | 41.27 |
| 2026-01-22 | 44.03 |
| 2026-01-21 | 38.94 |
| 2026-01-20 | 37.76 |
| 2026-01-16 | 48.25 |
| 2026-01-15 | 51.42 |
| 2026-01-14 | 49.59 |
| 2026-01-13 | 59.34 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for LULU over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 14.73
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 182.35 | 0.17 | 14.73 |
| 2026-01-27 | 188.35 | 0.33 | 24.62 |
| 2026-01-26 | 192.56 | 0.63 | 38.61 |
| 2026-01-23 | 192.32 | 0.39 | 27.98 |
| 2026-01-22 | 193.94 | 0.56 | 35.73 |
| 2026-01-21 | 190.01 | 0.41 | 29.23 |
| 2026-01-20 | 192.87 | 0.61 | 38.06 |
| 2026-01-16 | 202.81 | 0.96 | 48.91 |
| 2026-01-15 | 203.95 | 1.40 | 58.42 |
| 2026-01-14 | 206.77 | 1.45 | 59.17 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for LULU, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 180.35
Latest SMA: 202.01
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 180.78
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 223.24
ADX for LULU, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 76.41
Volume and volume ratio for LULU:
Last 30 days average volume: 3.9M
Today's volume: 2.9M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.74
No VWAP data for LULU.
Support levels for LULU (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 159.25 on 2025-09-15 (UTC)
Last High: 225.98 on 2025-12-18 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 210.23, 38.2%: 200.49, 50.0%: 192.62, 61.8%: 184.74, 78.6%: 173.53
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for LULU in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | 4.7M | 3.1M | 1.52 |
| 2025-12-31 | 6M | 5.1M | 1.18 |
| 2025-12-15 | 7.6M | 6M | 1.27 |
| 2025-11-28 | 7.6M | 3.3M | 2.30 |
| 2025-11-14 | 7M | 3.2M | 2.18 |
| 2025-10-31 | 7.3M | 4M | 1.82 |
| 2025-10-15 | 8M | 3.8M | 2.09 |
| 2025-09-30 | 8.6M | 5.4M | 1.60 |
| 2025-09-15 | 9M | 10.9M | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-29 | 6.5M | 3.3M | 2.00 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-27:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175 | 0.42 | -0.37 | 0.02 | -0.13 | 0.20 | 7.45 | 4.65 |
| 170 | 0.43 | -0.29 | 0.02 | -0.12 | 0.18 | 5.20 | 3.30 |
| 165 | 0.38 | -0.19 | 0.01 | -0.09 | 0.14 | 2.68 | 1.66 |
| 160 | 0.40 | -0.13 | 0.01 | -0.07 | 0.11 | 2.01 | 0.93 |
| 155 | 0.46 | -0.11 | 0.01 | -0.07 | 0.10 | 1.81 | 0.83 |
| 150 | 0.44 | -0.06 | 0.01 | -0.04 | 0.06 | 1.20 | 0.02 |
| 145 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 140 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-13:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175 | 0.39 | -0.34 | 0.03 | -0.16 | 0.14 | 3.90 | 2.96 |
| 170 | 0.40 | -0.23 | 0.02 | -0.14 | 0.11 | 2.49 | 1.68 |
| 165 | 0.47 | -0.17 | 0.01 | -0.14 | 0.10 | 2.45 | 0.96 |
| 160 | 0.43 | -0.08 | 0.01 | -0.07 | 0.06 | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| 155 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 150 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 145 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 140 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial: LULU recently missed earnings (EPS actual $2.59 vs. consensus $2.92), though it has a strong historical record of meeting estimates. The current P/E of 11.64 is at the absolute low of its 1‑, 2‑, and 5‑year ranges, suggesting significant undervaluation. However, insider sales over the last 90 days (~16k shares sold) signal lack of confidence from management.
-
Technical: The stock is in a strong downtrend, trading below its 50‑day EMA ($195.81) and 200‑day EMA ($219.70). Multiple indicators show oversold conditions: MFI at 14.73 (deeply oversold), price below the Bollinger lower band ($180.78), and RSI at 38.30 (approaching oversold). However, the MACD histogram remains negative, ADX is 76.41 (very strong trend), and volume is below average—indicating no clear reversal signal yet. Key support levels are $173.53 (Fibonacci 78.6%) and the prior low of $159.25.
-
News: Sentiment is mixed. Positive articles highlight strong international growth (China +46%) and attractive valuation. Negative pieces point to a proxy battle, quality‑control issues, tariff headwinds, and weak North American sales. The founder’s public criticism and board conflict add uncertainty.
-
Option Chain: Monthly put options show moderate to high implied volatility (0.38–0.46) for strikes near the current price, reflecting elevated downside fear. The $175 put has a delta of -0.37, implying a 37% probability of expiring in‑the‑money.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price: Wait for a confirmed reversal signal near strong support. Ideal buy zone: $173.50–$175.00 (Fibonacci 78.6% support) accompanied by a bullish candle pattern or RSI divergence. Alternatively, a break above the 50‑day EMA (~$196) could signal trend reversal.
-
Profit Targets:
- Short‑term (2‑4 weeks): $184.74 (61.8% Fibonacci) – ~5% gain from $175.
- Medium‑term (3‑6 months): $200.49 (38.2% Fibonacci) – ~14% gain from $175.
-
Stop‑Loss: Place a stop‑loss below $173 (e.g., $170) if buying near support, or below $159 if waiting for a deeper pullback.
-
Time Horizon: Short‑term trade if entering at support; longer‑term hold only if fundamentals improve and the technical downtrend breaks.
Final Notes: LULU appears oversold and undervalued, but the strong downtrend, internal strife, and lack of reversal confirmation advise caution. Avoid catching a falling knife—wait for either a bounce from support or a clear trend‑reversal signal before considering a buy. If the stock breaks below $159.25, further declines are likely.