MCD 2025-11-03
Symbol
MCD
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for MCD as of 2025-11-03----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 3.19
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 3.15
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-08-06
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-06-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.95
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 4 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.19
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.67
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-11-05
----Valuation Data Summary for MCD as of 2025-11-03----
Current P/E for MCD: 25.57
1 year P/E range: 24.48 - 26.18
2 years P/E range: 20.96 - 26.18
5 years P/E range: 20.96 - 26.43
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['CAVA', 'PEP', 'YUMC', 'SBUX', 'TXRH', 'TSLA', 'BROS', 'WEN', 'DPZ', 'QSR', 'CMG', 'DRI', 'WING', 'DASH', 'YUM', 'PZZA', 'ARMK']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 51.89
----Management Sentiment Summary for MCD in 2025Q2 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CEO | 0.52 |
| CFO | 0.45 |
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for MCD----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 298.07
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 292.04
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 300.1
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 294.91
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 295.30
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 289.76
----Price Range for MCD----
MCD current price: $298.43
5-Day Range: $297.00 - $310.58
50-Day Range: $292.04 - $319.43
200-Day Range: $271.85 - $322.65
----Technical Indicators Summary for MCD as of 2025-11-03----
MACD values for MCD in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-31 | -0.44 | -0.05 | 0.39 |
| 2025-10-30 | 0.01 | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| 2025-10-29 | 0.32 | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.78 | 1.20 | 0.42 |
| 2025-10-27 | 1.04 | 1.26 | 0.22 |
| 2025-10-24 | 0.99 | 0.95 | -0.04 |
| 2025-10-23 | 1.26 | 0.97 | -0.29 |
| 2025-10-22 | 1.47 | 0.87 | -0.60 |
| 2025-10-21 | 1.37 | 0.40 | -0.97 |
| 2025-10-20 | 1.38 | 0.06 | -1.31 |
EMA values for MCD with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-31 | 304.28 |
| 2025-10-30 | 304.52 |
| 2025-10-29 | 304.60 |
| 2025-10-28 | 304.69 |
| 2025-10-27 | 304.63 |
| 2025-10-24 | 304.41 |
| 2025-10-23 | 304.35 |
| 2025-10-22 | 304.24 |
| 2025-10-21 | 304.00 |
| 2025-10-20 | 303.86 |
EMA values for MCD with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-31 | 302.18 |
| 2025-10-30 | 302.22 |
| 2025-10-29 | 302.21 |
| 2025-10-28 | 302.21 |
| 2025-10-27 | 302.17 |
| 2025-10-24 | 302.09 |
| 2025-10-23 | 302.05 |
| 2025-10-22 | 302.00 |
| 2025-10-21 | 301.92 |
| 2025-10-20 | 301.87 |
RSI values for MCD in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-31 | 40.44 |
| 2025-10-30 | 46.31 |
| 2025-10-29 | 46.16 |
| 2025-10-28 | 52.87 |
| 2025-10-27 | 60.08 |
| 2025-10-24 | 53.15 |
| 2025-10-23 | 55.66 |
| 2025-10-22 | 63.05 |
| 2025-10-21 | 58.80 |
| 2025-10-20 | 59.50 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for MCD over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 29.31
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-10-31 | 29.31 | 0.41 | 298.71 |
| 2025-10-30 | 40.10 | 0.67 | 302.31 |
| 2025-10-29 | 41.98 | 0.72 | 302.78 |
| 2025-10-28 | 52.89 | 1.12 | 307.77 |
| 2025-10-27 | 64.10 | 1.79 | 308.48 |
| 2025-10-24 | 65.74 | 1.92 | 306.17 |
| 2025-10-23 | 75.69 | 3.11 | 308.39 |
| 2025-10-22 | 74.04 | 2.85 | 310.01 |
| 2025-10-21 | 64.78 | 1.84 | 307.47 |
| 2025-10-20 | 55.62 | 1.25 | 307.44 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for MCD, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 298.43
Latest SMA: 302.93
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 292.33
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 313.53
ADX for MCD, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 0.73
Volume and volume ratio for MCD:
Last 30 days average volume: 2732373.03
Today's volume: 3582719.0
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.31
No VWAP data for MCD.
Support levels for MCD (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 283.47 on 2025-06-26 (UTC)
Last High: 326.32 on 2025-03-10 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 314.57, 38.2%: 307.3, 50.0%: 301.42, 61.8%: 295.55, 78.6%: 287.19
Resonance Supports: 78.6%: 287.19
Short interest data for MCD in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-10-15 | 2985734 | 2.45 | 7318888 |
| 2025-09-30 | 3293714 | 2.21 | 7275707 |
| 2025-09-15 | 2894663 | 2.84 | 8234303 |
| 2025-08-29 | 3007721 | 2.51 | 7557351 |
| 2025-08-15 | 3836974 | 2.12 | 8136863 |
| 2025-07-31 | 3174075 | 2.49 | 7917973 |
| 2025-07-15 | 3915327 | 2.26 | 8833050 |
| 2025-06-30 | 5024360 | 1.68 | 8451722 |
| 2025-06-13 | 3120606 | 2.50 | 7789172 |
| 2025-05-30 | 2592613 | 3.53 | 9155753 |
Option Chain
----Put Option Chain for MCD----
Monthly options:
MCD 295 put expires on 2025-12-05
iv: 0.2463, delta: -0.4054, gamma: 0.0178, theta: -0.1178, vega: 0.3425
ask price: 7.0, bid price: 6.2
MCD 290 put expires on 2025-12-05
iv: 0.249, delta: -0.3194, gamma: 0.0162, theta: -0.1119, vega: 0.3157
ask price: 5.05, bid price: 4.45
MCD 285 put expires on 2025-12-05
iv: 0.2533, delta: -0.2436, gamma: 0.014, theta: -0.1012, vega: 0.2769
ask price: 3.65, bid price: 3.05
MCD 280 put expires on 2025-12-05
iv: 0.2589, delta: -0.1809, gamma: 0.0115, theta: -0.0879, vega: 0.2325
ask price: 2.57, bid price: 2.09
MCD 275 put expires on 2025-12-05
iv: 0.265, delta: -0.1308, gamma: 0.0091, theta: -0.0733, vega: 0.1877
ask price: 1.8, bid price: 1.38
MCD 270 put expires on 2025-12-05
iv: 0.2719, delta: -0.0928, gamma: 0.0069, theta: -0.0592, vega: 0.1467
ask price: 1.29, bid price: 0.86
MCD 265 put expires on 2025-12-05
iv: 0.2998, delta: -0.0779, gamma: 0.0055, theta: -0.0577, vega: 0.1287
ask price: 1.77, bid price: 0.16
MCD 260 put expires on 2025-12-05
iv: 0.299, delta: -0.0507, gamma: 0.0039, theta: -0.0413, vega: 0.0921
ask price: 0.85, bid price: 0.31
Weekly options:
MCD 295 put expires on 2025-11-14
iv: 0.3008, delta: -0.3953, gamma: 0.0247, theta: -0.2593, vega: 0.1995
ask price: 4.65, bid price: 4.35
MCD 290 put expires on 2025-11-14
iv: 0.301, delta: -0.2768, gamma: 0.0215, theta: -0.2278, vega: 0.1734
ask price: 2.81, bid price: 2.66
MCD 285 put expires on 2025-11-14
iv: 0.3097, delta: -0.1839, gamma: 0.0166, theta: -0.1877, vega: 0.1377
ask price: 1.73, bid price: 1.57
MCD 280 put expires on 2025-11-14
iv: 0.3232, delta: -0.1188, gamma: 0.0119, theta: -0.1471, vega: 0.1029
ask price: 1.15, bid price: 0.85
MCD 275 put expires on 2025-11-14
iv: 0.3475, delta: -0.0806, gamma: 0.0083, theta: -0.1196, vega: 0.0774
ask price: 0.89, bid price: 0.46
MCD 270 put expires on 2025-11-14
iv: 0.3699, delta: -0.0541, gamma: 0.0057, theta: -0.0939, vega: 0.0569
ask price: 0.6, bid price: 0.3
MCD 265 put expires on 2025-11-14
iv: None, delta: N/A, gamma: N/A, theta: N/A, vega: N/A
ask price: 0.75, bid price: 0.0
MCD 260 put expires on 2025-11-14
iv: 0.43, delta: -0.0289, gamma: 0.003, theta: -0.0659, vega: 0.0342
ask price: 0.48, bid price: 0.03
News Report
----News and sentiment report for MCD as of 2025-11-03----
There are 120 articles found for MCD for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
CAVA: 328 articles found.
PEP: 1815 articles found.
YUMC: 4 articles found.
SBUX: 63 articles found.
TXRH: 5 articles found.
TSLA: 607 articles found.
BROS: 5469 articles found.
WEN: 1883 articles found.
DPZ: 45 articles found.
QSR: 113 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 MCD news articles:
Title: Dividend Stocks That Can Help You Become a Millionaire
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-03T00:35:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Global franchise model, 49-year dividend growth streak, steady revenue from royalties and global expansion potential
Title: How Domino's Pizza Earned a Place in Berkshire Hathaway's Portfolio
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-02T11:15:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Used as a historical reference point for successful long-term dividend growth investments
Title: 3 Stocks With Big Dividend Hikes—And Bigger Momentum
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-10-29T20:27:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Delivered solid but unexceptional 8.6% total return, increased quarterly dividend by 5%, maintained 49-year streak of consecutive dividend increases
URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/3-stocks-with-big-dividend-hikesand-bigger-momentum-200669326
Title: United States Foodservice Market Forecast Report 2025: A $1.97 Trillion Market by 2033, Driven by Rising Online Ordering, Convenience Trends, and Growth of QSRs and Upscale Dining Establishments
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-10-28T11:00:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Highlighted as a key industry player in the fast-growing foodservice market with strong market positioning
Title: How I'd Invest My First $1,000 in Stocks (and Why Buffett Would Approve)
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-28T07:15:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Reliable dividend, global market dominance, unique real estate business model with franchising strategy
Title: 3 Spectacular Stocks You Can Buy and Hold Forever
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-26T10:28:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned in the article but no specific investment rationale was provided
Title: 1 Growth Stock Down 65% to Buy Right Now
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-19T12:33:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Cutting ad budgets due to tariff concerns, which negatively impacts digital advertising partners
Title: This Stock Is on Track to Become the Next Dividend King
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-19T09:20:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The company has a consistent dividend growth history, generates strong free cash flow, owns significant real estate, has a resilient franchise model, and is on track to achieve Dividend King status with a 2.3% dividend yield
Title: Billionaire Bill Ackman Has 21% of His Hedge Fund's $13.7 Billion Portfolio Invested in Just 1 Stock
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-16T08:15:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned as an example of a restaurant chain using Uber's platform, with no specific performance details provided
Title: 3 Dividend Stocks That Are Crushing Inflation
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-09T20:36:57Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Increased dividends by 41.6%, consistently raised dividends for 49 years, planning significant restaurant expansion, and showing strong global sales growth
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 6 articles with positive sentiment, and
1 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
-
Financial: MCD shows solid fundamentals with recent EPS of $3.19 beating consensus ($3.15), and a historical average EPS of $2.95. However, it has missed earnings estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters, indicating some volatility. The P/E of 25.57 is near its 1-year high but significantly below the peer average of 51.89, suggesting relative undervaluation. Management sentiment is neutral to slightly negative (CEO: 0.52, CFO: 0.45), which may reflect caution ahead of the upcoming earnings on 2025-11-05.
-
Technical: The stock is trading at $298.43, near the lower end of its recent ranges (5-day: $297-$310.50; 50-day: $292.04-$319.43). Key support levels include the Bollinger lower band at $292.33, the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $295.55, and the 50-day low of $292.04. The RSI (40.44) and MFI (29.31) indicate oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram turned negative recently (-0.44), signaling short-term bearish momentum. Volume is elevated (ratio 1.31), suggesting increased interest at current levels.
-
News: Sentiment is predominantly positive (6 out of 10 articles), highlighting MCD's dividend growth streak (49 years), global expansion potential, and resilience. Negative news is limited, focusing on ad budget cuts due to tariffs, but this is not a core risk to MCD's business model.
-
Option Chain: Put options show higher implied volatilities for weekly expirations (e.g., 30.08% for the $295 put expiring 2025-11-14), indicating elevated near-term uncertainty. The concentration of put open interest at strikes like $295 and $290 aligns with key technical supports, reinforcing these as critical levels.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $292-$295 (near the Bollinger lower band, 61.8% Fibonacci level, and 50-day low). This range minimizes downside risk by aligning with strong support.
-
Profit Targets:
-
Short-term: $310 (4-5% gain, near the 5-day high and 38.2% Fibonacci level).
-
Long-term: $319 (7% gain, testing the 50-day high) if earnings on 2025-11-05 are positive.
-
Stop-Loss: Set at $289 (below the 200-day EMA and Bollinger lower band) to limit losses to ~2-3%.
-
Time Horizon: 2-4 weeks, leveraging potential earnings catalyst and oversold bounce.
Final Notes: MCD is a high-quality dividend stock with attractive risk/reward near support. The upcoming earnings report on 2025-11-05 adds volatility but could serve as a positive catalyst if results beat expectations. Use the current dip as a buying opportunity, but manage risk with a tight stop-loss.