NFLX 2025-10-24
Symbol
NFLX
User Message
Look for opportunities of selling cash secured puts or covered calls.
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for NFLX as of 2025-10-24----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 5.87
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 6.97
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-21
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 4.93
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 1 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 7.19
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 2.11
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-01-19
----Valuation Data Summary for NFLX as of 2025-10-24----
Current P/E for NFLX: 46.61
1 year P/E range: 44.13 - 56.37
2 years P/E range: 40.03 - 56.37
5 years P/E range: 15.85 - 56.37
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['GOOGL', 'AAPL', 'BATRA', 'FWONA', 'AMZN', 'CMCSA', 'DIS', 'TKO', 'ROKU', 'MSGS', 'LYV', 'CNK', 'WMG', 'GOOG', 'WBD', 'TSLA', 'META']
Average P/E for these peer companies: 8.69
----Management Sentiment Summary for NFLX in 2025Q3 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for NFLX----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 1169.0
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 1099.73
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 1163.21
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 1134.0
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 1142.78
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 1107.10
----Price Range for NFLX----
NFLX current price: $1113.59
5-Day Range: $1099.73 - $1248.60
50-Day Range: $1099.73 - $1267.10
200-Day Range: $821.10 - $1341.15
----Technical Indicators Summary for NFLX as of 2025-10-24----
MACD values for NFLX in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-22 | -2.51 | -4.77 | -2.26 |
| 2025-10-21 | 4.78 | 3.14 | -1.64 |
| 2025-10-20 | 3.29 | 0.46 | -2.83 |
| 2025-10-17 | 0.98 | -2.68 | -3.65 |
| 2025-10-16 | 1.24 | -2.66 | -3.90 |
| 2025-10-15 | 3.22 | -0.98 | -4.21 |
| 2025-10-14 | 4.17 | -0.84 | -5.01 |
| 2025-10-13 | 4.18 | -1.87 | -6.06 |
| 2025-10-10 | 3.57 | -3.54 | -7.10 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2.27 | -5.72 | -7.99 |
EMA values for NFLX with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-22 | 1205.61 |
| 2025-10-21 | 1209.25 |
| 2025-10-20 | 1207.94 |
| 2025-10-17 | 1206.69 |
| 2025-10-16 | 1206.99 |
| 2025-10-15 | 1207.94 |
| 2025-10-14 | 1208.13 |
| 2025-10-13 | 1207.84 |
| 2025-10-10 | 1207.38 |
| 2025-10-09 | 1206.86 |
EMA values for NFLX with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-22 | 1106.06 |
| 2025-10-21 | 1105.95 |
| 2025-10-20 | 1104.59 |
| 2025-10-17 | 1103.25 |
| 2025-10-16 | 1102.28 |
| 2025-10-15 | 1101.46 |
| 2025-10-14 | 1100.44 |
| 2025-10-13 | 1099.29 |
| 2025-10-10 | 1098.08 |
| 2025-10-09 | 1096.86 |
RSI values for NFLX in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-22 | 34.87 |
| 2025-10-21 | 58.53 |
| 2025-10-20 | 57.94 |
| 2025-10-17 | 48.32 |
| 2025-10-16 | 43.50 |
| 2025-10-15 | 48.78 |
| 2025-10-14 | 52.40 |
| 2025-10-13 | 53.53 |
| 2025-10-10 | 53.83 |
| 2025-10-09 | 57.00 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for NFLX over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 37.67
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-10-23 | 37.67 | 0.60 | 1113.72 |
| 2025-10-22 | 47.06 | 0.89 | 1128.83 |
| 2025-10-21 | 71.04 | 2.45 | 1240.57 |
| 2025-10-20 | 67.73 | 2.10 | 1231.07 |
| 2025-10-17 | 66.37 | 1.97 | 1193.81 |
| 2025-10-16 | 66.46 | 1.98 | 1192.10 |
| 2025-10-15 | 62.80 | 1.69 | 1208.17 |
| 2025-10-14 | 59.02 | 1.44 | 1214.25 |
| 2025-10-13 | 56.56 | 1.30 | 1218.99 |
| 2025-10-10 | 55.66 | 1.26 | 1228.73 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for NFLX, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 1113.59
Latest SMA: 1192.65
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 1120.05
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 1265.25
ADX for NFLX, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 15.21
Volume and volume ratio for NFLX:
Last 30 days average volume: 3741268.07
Today's volume: 6849761.0
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.83
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 1193.68
Support levels for NFLX (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 821.1 on 2025-04-07 (UTC)
Last High: 1341.15 on 2025-06-30 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 1201.11, 38.2%: 1114.48, 50.0%: 1044.46, 61.8%: 974.44, 78.6%: 874.75
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Current Price: 1113.59
Short interest data for NFLX in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-09-30 | 2939607 | 2.19 | 6428320 |
| 2025-09-15 | 2909802 | 2.39 | 6955599 |
| 2025-08-29 | 2482068 | 2.66 | 6611028 |
| 2025-08-15 | 2952724 | 2.25 | 6648890 |
| 2025-07-31 | 4530046 | 1.41 | 6394148 |
| 2025-07-15 | 3144114 | 1.97 | 6195865 |
| 2025-06-30 | 2892974 | 2.35 | 6811562 |
| 2025-06-13 | 2568792 | 2.77 | 7115106 |
| 2025-05-30 | 2928025 | 2.67 | 7824689 |
| 2025-05-15 | 4115862 | 1.98 | 8138708 |
News Report
----News and sentiment report for NFLX as of 2025-10-24----
There are 161 articles found for NFLX for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
GOOGL: 467 articles found.
AAPL: 691 articles found.
BATRA: 70 articles found.
FWONA: 20 articles found.
AMZN: 2456 articles found.
CMCSA: 44 articles found.
DIS: 1399 articles found.
TKO: 711 articles found.
ROKU: 22183 articles found.
MSGS: 26 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 NFLX news articles:
Title: Apple Going All In On Streaming, Entertainment? Tech Giant Named As Potential Warner Bros. Suitor
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-10-23T22:50:49Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Expressed reluctance to purchase legacy media networks and prefers organic growth
Title: Why Warner Bros. Discovery Stock Surged This Week
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-23T19:16:48Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned as potentially interested in some of Warner Bros. Discovery's assets
Title: S&P 500 Remains on the Front Foot as Oil Rally Fuels Energy Stocks
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-10-23T13:48:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Earnings results fell short of expectations
Title: Cathie Wood Goes Shopping: 3 Stocks She Just Bought
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-23T13:15:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Experienced a 10% stock slip after earnings report, but still considered the top streaming service with potential for growth and seasonal subscriber increases
Title: Netflix Stock Drops. Time to Sell?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-23T10:15:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Stock dropped 10% after missing earnings expectations, with a specific mention of a Brazilian tax dispute impacting financial performance
URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/10/23/netflix-stock-drops-time-to-sell/?source=iedfolrf0000001
Title: S&P 500, Nasdaq: All-Time High Resistance Holds - What's Next?
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-10-23T07:39:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Significant stock price drop of 10.07% mentioned in the article
URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/sp-500-nasdaq-alltime-high-resistance-holds--whats-next-200668947
Title: S&P 500 Retreats Amid Potential Double-Top Formation - Correction Ahead?
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-10-23T06:20:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Broke below descending triangle pattern with potential further downside projection to low $900s
URL: https://www.investing.com/analysis/stocks-retreat-as-sp-500-forms-possible-double-top-200668948
Title: Warner Bros. Discovery Raises Streaming Prices A Month After CEO Said Plans Were 'Way Underpriced'
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-10-22T22:43:47Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Referenced in context of streaming market dynamics
Title: Netflix Stock Drops on Q3 Miss, but Pullback Could Offer Buying Opportunity
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-10-22T20:42:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Stock dropped 10% due to earnings miss, but underlying business metrics remain strong with record view shares, successful content, and positive future outlook
Title: Netflix Slides as One-Off Brazil Charge Clouds Otherwise Strong Growth
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-10-22T18:38:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Stock dropped 9.56% due to missed earnings, unexpected tax charge, and lowered margin forecast, despite strong content performance and subscriber growth
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 0 articles with positive sentiment, and
6 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial: NFLX reported a significant earnings miss (actual EPS $5.87 vs. consensus $6.97), primarily due to a one-time Brazilian tax charge. While the company maintains strong underlying metrics with record viewership and subscriber growth, its P/E ratio of 46.61 remains extremely elevated compared to sector peers (average P/E 8.69). The company has lowered margin forecasts, creating near-term uncertainty ahead of the next earnings report on January 19, 2026.
-
Technical: The stock is in a clear downtrend, trading near recent lows at $1113.59, well below key moving averages (50-day EMA at $1205, 200-day EMA at $1106). RSI at 34.87 and MFI at 37.67 indicate oversold conditions but not extreme. The stock has broken below the Bollinger lower band ($1120), suggesting potential for either a bounce or further decline. Support exists at the 38.2% Fibonacci level ($1114) and the 200-day EMA ($1106).
-
News: Overwhelmingly negative sentiment with 6 out of 10 recent articles bearish, focusing on the earnings miss and 10% price decline. However, some neutral articles suggest the pullback could present a buying opportunity for long-term investors, citing strong content performance and seasonal subscriber growth potential.
-
Additional Context: For cash-secured puts and covered calls, current volatility presents opportunity, but timing is crucial given the technical breakdown and negative momentum.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Cash-Secured Puts: Sell puts with strike prices between $1050-$1100, expiring in 30-45 days. This targets the strong support zone while providing attractive premium due to elevated volatility.
-
Covered Calls: For existing positions, sell calls with strikes near $1200-$1250 (resistance levels) to generate income while waiting for recovery.
-
Entry Price for New Positions: Ideal buy zone: $1080-$1100 (near 200-day EMA and psychological support)
-
Stop-Loss: Exit long positions if price breaks below $1050 (key support level)
-
Profit Targets:
-
Short-term: $1180-$1200 (resistance from recent breakdown)
-
Long-term: $1250+ (requires positive earnings catalyst in January)
- Time Horizon: 2-4 months, aligning with next earnings report in January 2026
Final Notes: NFLX presents a classic "fallen angel" scenario - strong business fundamentals but expensive valuation and negative technical momentum. The current setup favors income generation through options rather than outright long positions. Wait for technical stabilization (consolidation above $1100 with improving RSI/MACD) before establishing new equity positions. The high short interest (2.19 days to cover) could fuel a sharp rally on any positive news.