NVDA 2025-11-25
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for NVDA as of 2025-11-25
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.05
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.00
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-08-27
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-07-31
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.64
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.96
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.27
Upcoming earnings date: None
Valuation Data Summary for NVDA as of 2025-11-25
Current P/E for NVDA: 48.32
1 year P/E range: 32.64 - 53.21
2 years P/E range: 32.64 - 53.21
5 years P/E range: 32.64 - 90.62
Management Sentiment Summary for NVDA in 2025Q3 earnings call The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CFO | 0.59 |
| CEO | 0.78 |
Insider transactions in the last 90 days On 2025-11-05, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 47640.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $207.0295 and $210.8573.
The insiders have 18587118.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-31, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 25000.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $205.6542 and $211.7617.
The insiders have 488188291.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-28, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 125000.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $184.2404 and $202.6359.
The insiders have 1325912832.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-23, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 47640.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $180.4073 and $182.174.
The insiders have 11309296.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-23, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 225000.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $177.5699 and $183.2697.
The insiders have 979710946.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-20, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 225000.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $180.5366 and $184.9179.
The insiders have 912704922.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-15, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 225000.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $178.1301 and $189.4587.
The insiders have 1197105532.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-10, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 225000.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $183.3881 and $195.3234.
The insiders have 1412632851.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-07, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 225000.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $184.2322 and $189.8025.
The insiders have 992435251.0 shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-02, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at NVDA.
Total of 225000.0 shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $182.1939 and $190.5162.
The insiders have 995823531.0 shares left in the company.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for NVDA
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 186.58
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 172.93
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 184.32
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 178.91
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 179.14
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 169.26
Price Range for NVDA
NVDA current price: $182.55
5-Day Range: $172.93 - $196.00
50-Day Range: $168.41 - $212.19
200-Day Range: $86.61 - $212.19
Technical Indicators Summary for NVDA as of 2025-11-25
MACD values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | -2.16 | -1.51 | 0.65 |
| 2025-11-20 | -2.01 | -0.83 | 1.19 |
| 2025-11-19 | -1.81 | -0.12 | 1.69 |
| 2025-11-18 | -1.96 | 0.18 | 2.14 |
| 2025-11-17 | -1.54 | 1.09 | 2.63 |
| 2025-11-14 | -1.32 | 1.70 | 3.02 |
| 2025-11-13 | -1.26 | 2.09 | 3.35 |
| 2025-11-12 | -0.77 | 2.90 | 3.66 |
| 2025-11-11 | -0.68 | 3.18 | 3.85 |
| 2025-11-10 | -0.47 | 3.55 | 4.02 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | 185.81 |
| 2025-11-20 | 186.09 |
| 2025-11-19 | 186.31 |
| 2025-11-18 | 186.30 |
| 2025-11-17 | 186.50 |
| 2025-11-14 | 186.50 |
| 2025-11-13 | 186.35 |
| 2025-11-12 | 186.33 |
| 2025-11-11 | 186.02 |
| 2025-11-10 | 185.73 |
EMA values for NVDA with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | 161.29 |
| 2025-11-20 | 161.11 |
| 2025-11-19 | 160.91 |
| 2025-11-18 | 160.66 |
| 2025-11-17 | 160.45 |
| 2025-11-14 | 160.19 |
| 2025-11-13 | 159.88 |
| 2025-11-12 | 159.61 |
| 2025-11-11 | 159.27 |
| 2025-11-10 | 158.93 |
RSI values for NVDA in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | 41.41 |
| 2025-11-20 | 42.68 |
| 2025-11-19 | 47.16 |
| 2025-11-18 | 42.21 |
| 2025-11-17 | 46.30 |
| 2025-11-14 | 49.33 |
| 2025-11-13 | 46.31 |
| 2025-11-12 | 52.39 |
| 2025-11-11 | 51.84 |
| 2025-11-10 | 57.42 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for NVDA over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 29.06
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | 29.06 | 0.41 | 180.84 |
| 2025-11-21 | 27.42 | 0.38 | 178.79 |
| 2025-11-20 | 28.30 | 0.39 | 185.50 |
| 2025-11-19 | 29.85 | 0.43 | 185.74 |
| 2025-11-18 | 18.53 | 0.23 | 181.94 |
| 2025-11-17 | 18.58 | 0.23 | 186.64 |
| 2025-11-14 | 28.25 | 0.39 | 187.25 |
| 2025-11-13 | 37.79 | 0.61 | 187.38 |
| 2025-11-12 | 38.04 | 0.61 | 193.61 |
| 2025-11-11 | 43.19 | 0.76 | 193.29 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for NVDA, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 182.55
Latest SMA: 192.5
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 174.82
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 210.18
ADX for NVDA, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 26.83
Volume and volume ratio for NVDA:
Last 30 days average volume: 203268260.0
Today's volume: 270777398.0
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.33
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 192.86
Support levels for NVDA (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 115.21 on 2025-05-09 (UTC)
Last High: 212.19 on 2025-10-29 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 182.56, 38.2%: 164.22, 50.0%: 149.4, 61.8%: 134.59, 78.6%: 113.49
Resonance Supports: 78.6%: 113.49
Short interest data for NVDA in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | 176361326 | 1.35 | 238599888 |
| 2025-10-15 | 171666204 | 1.23 | 210957056 |
| 2025-09-30 | 194676865 | 1.16 | 226771413 |
| 2025-09-15 | 172256551 | 1.26 | 217485473 |
| 2025-08-29 | 192556087 | 1.02 | 196695074 |
| 2025-08-15 | 151192926 | 1.36 | 205241302 |
| 2025-07-31 | 156238095 | 1.23 | 192121364 |
| 2025-07-15 | 170825226 | 1.18 | 201664565 |
| 2025-06-30 | 198579947 | 1.22 | 243029014 |
| 2025-06-13 | 182114203 | 1.14 | 206798022 |
Option Chain
----Put Option Chain for NVDA---- Monthly options: NVDA 175 put expires on 2025-12-26 iv: 0.3881, delta: -0.3844, gamma: 0.0186, theta: -0.1149, vega: 0.2027 ask price: 5.95, bid price: 5.9
NVDA 170 put expires on 2025-12-26 iv: 0.4098, delta: -0.3003, gamma: 0.016, theta: -0.1119, vega: 0.1846 ask price: 4.45, bid price: 4.4
NVDA 165 put expires on 2025-12-26 iv: 0.4284, delta: -0.2292, gamma: 0.0133, theta: -0.1029, vega: 0.1608 ask price: 3.25, bid price: 3.2
NVDA 160 put expires on 2025-12-26 iv: 0.4505, delta: -0.1731, gamma: 0.0107, theta: -0.092, vega: 0.1358 ask price: 2.37, bid price: 2.36
NVDA 155 put expires on 2025-12-26 iv: 0.4734, delta: -0.1293, gamma: 0.0084, theta: -0.0801, vega: 0.1118 ask price: 1.74, bid price: 1.72
NVDA 150 put expires on 2025-12-26 iv: 0.4973, delta: -0.0959, gamma: 0.0065, theta: -0.0682, vega: 0.0903 ask price: 1.28, bid price: 1.25
NVDA 145 put expires on 2025-12-26 iv: 0.522, delta: -0.0708, gamma: 0.0049, theta: -0.0571, vega: 0.0719 ask price: 0.93, bid price: 0.92
NVDA 140 put expires on 2025-12-26 iv: 0.5506, delta: -0.053, gamma: 0.0037, theta: -0.0482, vega: 0.0573 ask price: 0.7, bid price: 0.69
Weekly options: NVDA 175 put expires on 2025-12-05 iv: 0.3879, delta: -0.3432, gamma: 0.0305, theta: -0.1946, vega: 0.1144 ask price: 2.87, bid price: 2.87
NVDA 170 put expires on 2025-12-05 iv: 0.4272, delta: -0.2224, gamma: 0.0224, theta: -0.1754, vega: 0.0927 ask price: 1.77, bid price: 1.76
NVDA 165 put expires on 2025-12-05 iv: 0.4636, delta: -0.1398, gamma: 0.0154, theta: -0.1429, vega: 0.0692 ask price: 1.07, bid price: 1.06
NVDA 160 put expires on 2025-12-05 iv: 0.5008, delta: -0.0868, gamma: 0.0101, theta: -0.1101, vega: 0.0492 ask price: 0.65, bid price: 0.64
NVDA 155 put expires on 2025-12-05 iv: 0.5421, delta: -0.0546, gamma: 0.0066, theta: -0.0837, vega: 0.0344 ask price: 0.41, bid price: 0.4
NVDA 150 put expires on 2025-12-05 iv: 0.587, delta: -0.0353, gamma: 0.0043, theta: -0.0639, vega: 0.0242 ask price: 0.27, bid price: 0.26
NVDA 145 put expires on 2025-12-05 iv: 0.6319, delta: -0.0229, gamma: 0.0028, theta: -0.0481, vega: 0.0169 ask price: 0.18, bid price: 0.17
NVDA 140 put expires on 2025-12-05 iv: 0.6756, delta: -0.0149, gamma: 0.0018, theta: -0.0356, vega: 0.0117 ask price: 0.12, bid price: 0.11
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial: NVDA shows strong earnings performance with Q3 EPS of $1.05 beating consensus of $1.00, and has not missed earnings estimates in the past 8 quarters. However, the current P/E of 48.32 is near the high end of its 1-year range (32.64-53.21), indicating premium valuation. Management sentiment is positive (CEO: 0.78, CFO: 0.59), but significant insider selling over the past 90 days (multiple transactions totaling over 1 million shares) raises concerns about management's confidence in near-term valuation.
-
Technical: The stock is in a short-term downtrend, trading at $182.55 below its 50-day EMA ($185.81) but above the 200-day EMA ($161.29). Key technical indicators show mixed signals: RSI at 41.41 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, MACD histogram remains negative indicating bearish momentum, and Money Flow Index at 29.06 shows weak buying pressure. The stock is trading near the lower Bollinger Band ($174.82), suggesting potential support, but volume is elevated at 1.33x average, indicating heightened selling pressure.
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News: Sentiment is mixed with 4 positive articles highlighting strong AI demand and partnerships (including Microsoft-Anthropic deal) versus 2 negative articles featuring Michael Burry's short position and concerns about potential oversupply in AI infrastructure. The broader macroeconomic context shows late-cycle characteristics with elevated market valuations (Buffett Indicator at 215.75%) and rising unemployment, creating headwinds for growth stocks.
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Option Chain: Put options show elevated implied volatility (38-67% across strikes), particularly for near-term expirations, indicating heightened fear. The concentration of put open interest around the $175 strike suggests this as a key support level. Delta values for near-the-money puts indicate moderate hedging activity.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $175-180 (near key support levels and Fibonacci 23.6% level at $182.56)
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $195-200 (7-10% gain, near recent resistance)
- Long-term: $210+ (15%+ gain, requires breakout above all-time high)
- Time Horizon: 3-6 months, awaiting next earnings catalyst and clarity on AI demand sustainability
Final Notes: While NVDA's fundamental growth story remains intact, the combination of premium valuation, significant insider selling, technical weakness, and mixed news sentiment suggests waiting for a better risk-reward entry point. The stock appears to be in a consolidation phase after its strong run-up, and investors should monitor the $175 support level closely. A break below this level could signal further downside toward the $160-165 range.