OLED 2026-01-08
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for OLED as of 2026-01-08
Most recent EPS (Actual): 0.92
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.19
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-11-06
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.22
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 2 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.41
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.96
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-18
Valuation Data Summary for OLED as of 2026-01-08
Current P/E for OLED: 31.06
1 year P/E range: 29.88 - 31.31
2 years P/E range: 29.88 - 44.33
5 years P/E range: 23.3 - 44.33
Management Sentiment Summary for OLED in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CFO | 0.38 |
| CEO | 0.75 |
Insider transactions for OLED in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
No transactions have been reported in recent Form 4 filings.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for OLED
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 117.62
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 114.53
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 117.18
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 115.22
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 115.89
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 113.45
Price Range for OLED
OLED current price: $123.66
5-Day Range: $116.69 - $128.99
50-Day Range: $106.82 - $151.66
200-Day Range: $102.66 - $161.57
Technical Indicators Summary for OLED as of 2026-01-08
MACD values for OLED in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | -0.11 | -1.29 | 1.18 |
| 2026-01-05 | -0.70 | -1.59 | 0.88 |
| 2026-01-02 | -1.12 | -1.81 | 0.69 |
| 2025-12-31 | -1.50 | -1.98 | 0.48 |
| 2025-12-30 | -1.45 | -2.10 | 0.65 |
| 2025-12-29 | -1.58 | -2.26 | 0.68 |
| 2025-12-26 | -1.76 | -2.43 | 0.67 |
| 2025-12-24 | -2.00 | -2.60 | 0.60 |
| 2025-12-23 | -2.22 | -2.75 | 0.53 |
| 2025-12-22 | -2.41 | -2.88 | 0.47 |
EMA values for OLED with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | 124.31 |
| 2026-01-05 | 124.22 |
| 2026-01-02 | 124.26 |
| 2025-12-31 | 124.36 |
| 2025-12-30 | 124.67 |
| 2025-12-29 | 124.90 |
| 2025-12-26 | 125.13 |
| 2025-12-24 | 125.36 |
| 2025-12-23 | 125.62 |
| 2025-12-22 | 125.91 |
EMA values for OLED with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | 139.23 |
| 2026-01-05 | 139.36 |
| 2026-01-02 | 139.53 |
| 2025-12-31 | 139.70 |
| 2025-12-30 | 139.93 |
| 2025-12-29 | 140.14 |
| 2025-12-26 | 140.35 |
| 2025-12-24 | 140.56 |
| 2025-12-23 | 140.78 |
| 2025-12-22 | 141.00 |
RSI values for OLED in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | 62.17 |
| 2026-01-05 | 56.53 |
| 2026-01-02 | 53.81 |
| 2025-12-31 | 41.05 |
| 2025-12-30 | 46.14 |
| 2025-12-29 | 46.83 |
| 2025-12-26 | 47.68 |
| 2025-12-24 | 46.42 |
| 2025-12-23 | 44.89 |
| 2025-12-22 | 45.81 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for OLED over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 70.28
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | 123.70 | 2.36 | 70.28 |
| 2026-01-06 | 126.27 | 3.76 | 78.99 |
| 2026-01-05 | 123.43 | 4.53 | 81.91 |
| 2026-01-02 | 121.49 | 2.32 | 69.91 |
| 2025-12-31 | 117.48 | 1.58 | 61.27 |
| 2025-12-30 | 119.14 | 1.42 | 58.70 |
| 2025-12-29 | 119.18 | 2.05 | 67.25 |
| 2025-12-26 | 119.14 | 1.39 | 58.12 |
| 2025-12-24 | 118.85 | 1.03 | 50.72 |
| 2025-12-23 | 118.41 | 0.78 | 43.90 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for OLED, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 123.66
Latest SMA: 119.67
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 114.0
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 125.34
ADX for OLED, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 55.72
Volume and volume ratio for OLED:
Last 30 days average volume: 516.1K
Today's volume: 302.4K
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.59
No VWAP data for OLED.
Support levels for OLED (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 107.22 on 2025-11-20 (UTC)
Last High: 163.21 on 2025-06-11 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 149.17, 38.2%: 140.48, 50.0%: 133.46, 61.8%: 126.43, 78.6%: 116.44
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for OLED in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | 1.8M | 499.2K | 3.59 |
| 2025-11-28 | 1.6M | 549.6K | 2.90 |
| 2025-11-14 | 1.6M | 872.6K | 1.84 |
| 2025-10-31 | 1.8M | 396.3K | 4.54 |
| 2025-10-15 | 1.8M | 444.7K | 4.08 |
| 2025-09-30 | 1.8M | 978.2K | 1.84 |
| 2025-09-15 | 2.1M | 674K | 3.19 |
| 2025-08-29 | 1.8M | 469.5K | 3.81 |
| 2025-08-15 | 1.7M | 581.6K | 2.88 |
| 2025-07-31 | 1.7M | 442K | 3.88 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-02-06:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 122 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 121 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 120 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 119 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 118 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 117 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 116 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-01-23:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 122 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 121 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 120 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 119 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 118 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 117 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| 116 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial:
- Earnings Miss: The most recent EPS of $0.92 missed the consensus estimate of $1.19, continuing a trend of underperformance (historical average EPS is $1.22).
- Valuation Concerns: The current P/E of 31.06 is near the top of its 1-year range (29.88–31.31), suggesting the stock is fully valued relative to recent history.
- Management Sentiment Mixed: The CEO’s sentiment score is positive (0.75), but the CFO’s score is negative (0.38), indicating internal caution on financial execution.
- Upcoming Catalyst: Earnings on February 18, 2026, could provide direction, but the recent miss raises uncertainty.
-
Technical:
- Price Action: The stock is trading at $123.66, above the 50-day EMA (~124.31) but well below the 200-day EMA (~139.23), indicating a longer-term downtrend.
- Momentum: MACD histogram has turned positive recently (1.18 on Jan 6), suggesting short-term bullish momentum, but the MACD line remains negative. RSI at 62.17 is neutral-to-overbought.
- Support/Resistance: Immediate support at the Bollinger lower band (~114.0) and the 20-day low (~114.53). Resistance at the Bollinger upper band (~125.34) and the 50-day high (~151.66).
- Volume: Today’s volume is below average (volume ratio 0.59), indicating lack of conviction in the recent price move.
- Short Interest: Days to cover have been stable (~3–4 days), suggesting moderate but not extreme short pressure.
-
News:
- Sentiment Positive: Recent news articles highlight OLED technology growth and potential breakthroughs (e.g., PHOLED blue), with 3 out of 4 articles rated positive.
- Macro Context: The broader market (SPY) is at all-time highs with extreme valuations (Buffett Indicator 220.1%), suggesting systemic risk. However, the Fed has turned accommodative (rate cuts to 3.7%), which may support growth stocks.
-
Option Chain:
- No actionable data for puts (all fields “None”), indicating low liquidity or missing data. This limits hedging or income strategies.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Entry Price:
- Ideal buy zone: $115–$118 (near the 20-day low ~$114.53 and Bollinger lower band ~$114.0, providing a margin of safety).
- A breakout above $125.34 (Bollinger upper band) with high volume could signal a trend reversal, but wait for confirmation.
-
Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $130 (5% gain from current price) if momentum continues.
- Long-term: $140–$150 (13–21% gain) if the stock reclaims its 200-day EMA and earnings improve.
-
Time Horizon:
- Weeks to months, pending the Q4 earnings report on February 18, 2026.
Final Notes:
- Catalysts to Watch: Q4 earnings (Feb 18) and any updates on PHOLED blue technology.
- Key Risks: High valuation (P/E ~31), earnings misses, and broader market overvaluation. The stock is in a long-term downtrend relative to its 200-day EMA, so avoid aggressive buying until it shows sustained recovery.
- Action: Hold existing positions; new buyers should wait for a pullback to support or a clear breakout above resistance with volume.