ORCL 2025-10-20
Symbol
ORCL
User Message
Look for opportunities of selling cash secured puts or covered calls.
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for ORCL as of 2025-10-22----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.47
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.48
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-09-09
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-08-31
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.45
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 3 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.7
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.19
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-12-08
----Valuation Data Summary for ORCL as of 2025-10-22----
Current P/E for ORCL: 63.69
1 year P/E range: 27.35 - 36.95
2 years P/E range: 19.55 - 36.95
5 years P/E range: 14.48 - 36.95
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['FTNT', 'RBRK', 'AMZN', 'CRWD', 'NOW', 'CRM', 'ZS', 'PATH', 'GOOGL', 'GTLB', 'GEN', 'META', 'ADBE', 'NVDA', 'PANW', 'TSLA', 'FDX', 'MSFT', 'GOOG']
Average P/E for these peer companies: -78.55
----Management Sentiment Summary for ORCL in 2025Q3 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|--------|---------------|
| CEO | 0.79 |
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for ORCL----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 283.55
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 270.53
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 282.51
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 275.42
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 276.65
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 267.25
----Price Range for ORCL----
ORCL current price: $275.15
5-Day Range: $272.26 - $322.54
50-Day Range: $218.41 - $345.12
200-Day Range: $117.98 - $345.12
----Technical Indicators Summary for ORCL as of 2025-10-22----
MACD values for ORCL in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-21 | -3.34 | 3.02 | 6.36 |
| 2025-10-20 | -2.30 | 4.90 | 7.20 |
| 2025-10-17 | -0.75 | 7.02 | 7.77 |
| 2025-10-16 | 0.23 | 8.19 | 7.96 |
| 2025-10-15 | -0.55 | 7.35 | 7.90 |
| 2025-10-14 | -0.90 | 7.13 | 8.04 |
| 2025-10-13 | -1.04 | 7.22 | 8.26 |
| 2025-10-10 | -2.22 | 6.30 | 8.52 |
| 2025-10-09 | -2.50 | 6.58 | 9.08 |
| 2025-10-08 | -3.28 | 6.42 | 9.70 |
EMA values for ORCL with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-21 | 275.81 |
| 2025-10-20 | 275.84 |
| 2025-10-17 | 275.78 |
| 2025-10-16 | 275.15 |
| 2025-10-15 | 273.61 |
| 2025-10-14 | 272.38 |
| 2025-10-13 | 271.29 |
| 2025-10-10 | 269.80 |
| 2025-10-09 | 268.85 |
| 2025-10-08 | 267.70 |
EMA values for ORCL with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-21 | 218.96 |
| 2025-10-20 | 218.39 |
| 2025-10-17 | 217.80 |
| 2025-10-16 | 217.06 |
| 2025-10-15 | 216.10 |
| 2025-10-14 | 215.22 |
| 2025-10-13 | 214.38 |
| 2025-10-10 | 213.43 |
| 2025-10-09 | 212.64 |
| 2025-10-08 | 211.79 |
RSI values for ORCL in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-21 | 44.41 |
| 2025-10-20 | 45.15 |
| 2025-10-17 | 50.65 |
| 2025-10-16 | 61.27 |
| 2025-10-15 | 57.71 |
| 2025-10-14 | 55.85 |
| 2025-10-13 | 60.68 |
| 2025-10-10 | 54.59 |
| 2025-10-09 | 56.76 |
| 2025-10-08 | 53.16 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for ORCL over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 58.39
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-10-21 | 58.39 | 1.40 | 275.90 |
| 2025-10-20 | 55.44 | 1.24 | 280.58 |
| 2025-10-17 | 65.05 | 1.86 | 294.36 |
| 2025-10-16 | 72.19 | 2.60 | 312.87 |
| 2025-10-15 | 69.64 | 2.29 | 304.52 |
| 2025-10-14 | 70.86 | 2.43 | 298.47 |
| 2025-10-13 | 69.17 | 2.24 | 305.48 |
| 2025-10-10 | 58.15 | 1.39 | 297.56 |
| 2025-10-09 | 45.58 | 0.84 | 295.06 |
| 2025-10-08 | 31.38 | 0.46 | 287.92 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for ORCL, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 275.15
Latest SMA: 291.64
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 270.72
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 312.56
ADX for ORCL, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 19.53
Volume and volume ratio for ORCL:
Last 30 days average volume: 33813419.73
Today's volume: 18370081.0
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 0.54
No VWAP data for ORCL.
Support levels for ORCL (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 118.86 on 2025-04-07 (UTC)
Last High: 345.72 on 2025-09-10 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 292.18, 38.2%: 259.06, 50.0%: 232.29, 61.8%: 205.52, 78.6%: 167.41
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Current Price: 275.15
Short interest data for ORCL in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-09-30 | 33953496 | 1.00 | 18589003 |
| 2025-09-15 | 39842365 | 1.00 | 23583435 |
| 2025-08-29 | 10064395 | 2.13 | 21476926 |
| 2025-08-15 | 10705769 | 2.09 | 22359262 |
| 2025-07-31 | 10036792 | 2.06 | 20691587 |
| 2025-07-15 | 14934843 | 1.38 | 20684639 |
| 2025-06-30 | 17717541 | 1.05 | 18560332 |
| 2025-06-13 | 18228689 | 1.12 | 20483165 |
| 2025-05-30 | 8611376 | 1.83 | 15760080 |
| 2025-05-15 | 7958153 | 3.07 | 24406346 |
News Report
----News and sentiment report for ORCL as of 2025-10-22----
There are 298 articles found for ORCL for the last 30 days.
Peer news results as a comparison:
FTNT: 81 articles found.
RBRK: 10 articles found.
AMZN: 2492 articles found.
CRWD: 66 articles found.
NOW: 233054 articles found.
CRM: 1591 articles found.
ZS: 502 articles found.
PATH: 20575 articles found.
GOOGL: 461 articles found.
GTLB: 12 articles found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 ORCL news articles:
Title: Big Money Moves: Investment Advisor Stocks Up on Often-Overlooked Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-21T15:33:20Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Increased investment by Sander Capital, plans to build 100+ data centers, expected double-digit revenue growth, and strong positioning in AI infrastructure
Title: Meet the Unstoppable Dark Horse Stock That Could Join Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon in the $2 Trillion Club Before 2030
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-21T07:02:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Strong revenue growth (12% YoY), 51% cloud infrastructure growth, massive performance obligation backlog of $455 billion, and potential to capture significant AI market share
Title: My Top 5 Growth Stocks to Buy for 2026
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-20T18:00:22Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Positioned as a potential top AI cloud provider by 2031, but considered the riskiest stock in the analysis
Title: Bloom Energy's Brookfield Deal Brings Prestige, Not Profit—Yet
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-10-20T16:32:17Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned as part of potential deployment ecosystem, no specific details provided
Title: Insurance Analytics Market to Reach USD 54.47 Billion by 2033 Driven by AI and Big Data Integration | SNS Insider
Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.
Published: 2025-10-20T14:00:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Noted for introducing new cloud capabilities and enhancing platform functionalities
Title: What Is One of the Best AI Hardware Stocks to Buy Today?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-20T05:15:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Deploying 50,000 AMD chips, indicating confidence in AMD's technology
Title: Is Now the Time to Buy Oracle Stock?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-19T21:31:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mixed outlook with strong long-term potential but near-term concerns about capital spending, execution risks, and financing challenges
Title: Jensen Huang Just Announced Bad News for Nvidia's Rivals
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-19T17:15:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Utilizing AI chips from various providers, exploring market opportunities
Title: Prediction: Palantir (PLTR) Will Be Worth More Than Oracle (ORCL) by 2030
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-19T17:02:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Strong stock performance (68% rise in past year), robust cloud and AI strategy, predicted revenue growth to $156 billion by 2030
Title: After Upbeat Outlook, Is It Time to Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing?
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-10-19T12:10:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Mentioned in context of AI infrastructure buildout plans without specific performance details
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 5 articles with positive sentiment, and
0 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral
Reasoning:
-
Financial: ORCL shows mixed financial signals. While the most recent EPS of $1.47 was slightly below consensus ($1.48), the historical average EPS of $1.45 over the last 8 quarters indicates stability. However, the current P/E of 63.69 is significantly elevated compared to its 1-year (27.35-36.95) and 5-year (14.48-36.95) ranges, suggesting overvaluation. The company has missed earnings estimates 3 times in the last 8 quarters, indicating some inconsistency. Upcoming earnings on December 8, 2025, presents a near-term catalyst but also risk.
-
Technical: The stock is currently trading at $275.15, near the lower end of its recent ranges (5-day: $272.26-$322.54). Key technical indicators show weakness: MACD histogram is negative and declining, RSI at 44.41 indicates neutral momentum but has been declining from overbought levels, and the price is below both 50-day EMA ($275.81) and 200-day EMA ($218.96). The stock is trading near the Bollinger lower band ($270.72), suggesting potential oversold conditions. Support levels at Fibonacci 38.2% ($259.06) and the 200-day range low ($218.41) provide downside protection.
-
News: Sentiment is generally positive with 5 out of 10 recent articles bullish, focusing on ORCL's AI infrastructure expansion, cloud growth (51% YoY), and massive $455 billion performance obligation backlog. However, some articles express concerns about capital spending and execution risks. The CEO sentiment score of 0.79 indicates management confidence.
-
Additional Context: For cash-secured puts and covered calls, the current elevated valuation and technical weakness create uncertainty. The stock appears to be in a consolidation phase after recent declines from September highs.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
-
Cash-Secured Puts: Consider selling puts with strike prices between $260-$270 (near technical support levels) for the November or December expiration. This provides a 4-6% buffer from current price while collecting premium.
-
Covered Calls: For existing positions, consider selling calls with strikes between $290-$300 (near recent resistance) to generate income while maintaining upside to these levels.
-
Entry Price for New Positions: $260-$270 range (near Fibonacci 38.2% support and recent lows)
-
Stop-Loss: Exit put positions if stock breaks below $250 (approximately 8-10% below current entry zones)
-
Profit Targets:
-
Short-term: $285-290 (4-6% upside from current levels)
-
Long-term: $300+ (if AI growth narrative materializes)
- Time Horizon: 1-3 months, with close monitoring of December earnings catalyst
Final Notes: ORCL's rich valuation limits upside potential in the near term, but the strong AI/cloud growth story provides long-term support. The neutral rating reflects the balance between near-term technical weakness and long-term fundamental strength. Focus on defined-risk strategies like cash-secured puts at support levels or covered calls for income generation rather than outright stock purchases at current levels.