PG 2025-12-10
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for PG as of 2025-12-10
Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.99
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.90
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-24
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.68
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.93
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.4
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-01-22
Valuation Data Summary for PG as of 2025-12-10
Current P/E for PG: 22.13
1 year P/E range: 22.13 - 24.4
2 years P/E range: 21.73 - 25.13
5 years P/E range: 20.53 - 26.01
Management Sentiment Summary for PG in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CFO | 0.32 |
Insider transactions in the last 90 days:
No transactions have been reported in recent Form 4 filings.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for PG
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 145.71
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 138.14
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 144.5
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 139.54
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 142.03
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 138.95
Price Range for PG
PG current price: $139.82
5-Day Range: $138.14 - $147.42
50-Day Range: $138.14 - $157.40
200-Day Range: $138.14 - $176.43
Technical Indicators Summary for PG as of 2025-12-10
MACD values for PG in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | -0.79 | -1.98 | -1.19 |
| 2025-12-08 | -0.65 | -1.64 | -0.99 |
| 2025-12-05 | -0.23 | -1.06 | -0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | -0.06 | -0.83 | -0.77 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0.05 | -0.71 | -0.76 |
| 2025-12-02 | 0.08 | -0.69 | -0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.23 | -0.56 | -0.79 |
| 2025-11-28 | 0.30 | -0.55 | -0.85 |
| 2025-11-26 | 0.32 | -0.60 | -0.92 |
| 2025-11-25 | 0.33 | -0.67 | -1.00 |
EMA values for PG with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | 148.55 |
| 2025-12-08 | 148.91 |
| 2025-12-05 | 149.34 |
| 2025-12-04 | 149.58 |
| 2025-12-03 | 149.75 |
| 2025-12-02 | 149.88 |
| 2025-12-01 | 150.04 |
| 2025-11-28 | 150.15 |
| 2025-11-26 | 150.23 |
| 2025-11-25 | 150.31 |
EMA values for PG with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | 156.01 |
| 2025-12-08 | 156.18 |
| 2025-12-05 | 156.36 |
| 2025-12-04 | 156.49 |
| 2025-12-03 | 156.60 |
| 2025-12-02 | 156.70 |
| 2025-12-01 | 156.81 |
| 2025-11-28 | 156.90 |
| 2025-11-26 | 156.99 |
| 2025-11-25 | 157.08 |
RSI values for PG in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | 32.21 |
| 2025-12-08 | 27.76 |
| 2025-12-05 | 36.60 |
| 2025-12-04 | 41.15 |
| 2025-12-03 | 44.80 |
| 2025-12-02 | 41.78 |
| 2025-12-01 | 46.14 |
| 2025-11-28 | 48.27 |
| 2025-11-26 | 48.53 |
| 2025-11-25 | 49.19 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for PG over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 37.54
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | 37.54 | 0.60 | 140.21 |
| 2025-12-09 | 36.12 | 0.57 | 139.84 |
| 2025-12-08 | 25.96 | 0.35 | 139.79 |
| 2025-12-05 | 38.47 | 0.63 | 144.11 |
| 2025-12-04 | 48.48 | 0.94 | 145.76 |
| 2025-12-03 | 56.81 | 1.32 | 146.95 |
| 2025-12-02 | 57.49 | 1.35 | 144.85 |
| 2025-12-01 | 61.28 | 1.58 | 147.89 |
| 2025-11-28 | 70.29 | 2.37 | 148.02 |
| 2025-11-26 | 68.24 | 2.15 | 148.28 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for PG, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 139.82
Latest SMA: 146.05
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 139.48
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 152.63
ADX for PG, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 43.23
Volume and volume ratio for PG:
Last 30 days average volume: 9.9M
Today's volume: 13.6M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.38
No VWAP data for PG.
Support levels for PG (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 138.14 on 2025-12-08 (UTC)
Last High: 142.9 on 2025-12-08 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 141.78, 38.2%: 141.08, 50.0%: 140.52, 61.8%: 139.96, 78.6%: 139.16
Resonance Supports: 23.6%: 141.78, 38.2%: 141.08, 50.0%: 140.52, 61.8%: 139.96, 78.6%: 139.16
Short interest data for PG in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | 9.6M | 2.04 | 19.5M |
| 2025-11-14 | 9M | 2.05 | 18.4M |
| 2025-10-31 | 7.6M | 2.45 | 18.7M |
| 2025-10-15 | 7.1M | 2.36 | 16.7M |
| 2025-09-30 | 8.3M | 2.04 | 17M |
| 2025-09-15 | 6.3M | 2.80 | 17.5M |
| 2025-08-29 | 6.3M | 2.74 | 17.3M |
| 2025-08-15 | 6.9M | 2.41 | 16.7M |
| 2025-07-31 | 8M | 2.11 | 16.8M |
| 2025-07-15 | 10M | 1.47 | 14.7M |
Option Chain
Monthly options:
PG 139 put expires on 2026-01-09
No option chain data available. PG 138 put expires on 2026-01-09
No option chain data available. PG 137 put expires on 2026-01-09
No option chain data available. PG 136 put expires on 2026-01-09
No option chain data available. PG 135 put expires on 2026-01-09
iv: 0.201, delta: -0.2338, gamma: 0.038, theta: -0.0377, vega: 0.1231 ask price: 1.35, bid price: 0.92
PG 134 put expires on 2026-01-09
No option chain data available. PG 133 put expires on 2026-01-09
No option chain data available. PG 132 put expires on 2026-01-09
No option chain data available. Weekly options:
PG 139 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.1953, delta: -0.3997, gamma: 0.0674, theta: -0.0631, vega: 0.1133 ask price: 1.85, bid price: 1.49
PG 138 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.194, delta: -0.3324, gamma: 0.0638, theta: -0.0596, vega: 0.1065 ask price: 1.41, bid price: 1.14
PG 137 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.1944, delta: -0.2706, gamma: 0.058, theta: -0.0549, vega: 0.0971 ask price: 1.04, bid price: 0.89
PG 136 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.1944, delta: -0.2144, gamma: 0.0512, theta: -0.0488, vega: 0.0856 ask price: 0.79, bid price: 0.63
PG 135 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.1971, delta: -0.1686, gamma: 0.0435, theta: -0.043, vega: 0.0738 ask price: 0.59, bid price: 0.47
PG 134 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.1958, delta: -0.1256, gamma: 0.036, theta: -0.0352, vega: 0.0606 ask price: 0.41, bid price: 0.32
PG 133 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.1917, delta: -0.0873, gamma: 0.0282, theta: -0.0266, vega: 0.0466 ask price: 0.45, bid price: 0.01
PG 132 put expires on 2025-12-26
No option chain data available.
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy
Reasoning:
-
Financial: PG’s most recent EPS of 1.99 beat consensus (1.90), continuing a trend of no earnings misses over the past eight quarters. The historical average EPS (1.68) and current P/E (22.13) are within the 5-year range (20.53–26.01), suggesting fair valuation. However, management sentiment (CFO score: 0.32) is slightly negative, and the upcoming earnings date (Jan 22, 2026) introduces near-term event risk.
-
Technical: The stock is in a downtrend, trading near recent lows ($138.14) and below key moving averages (50-day EMA: ~148.55; 200-day EMA: ~156.01). RSI (32.21) and MFI (37.54) indicate oversold conditions, while MACD remains negative but shows slowing bearish momentum (histogram improving from -0.79 to -0.23 over the past week). Strong support exists at $138.14 (recent low) and $139.48 (Bollinger lower band). Volume is elevated (ratio: 1.38), suggesting capitulation.
-
News: Sentiment is overwhelmingly positive (9 of 10 articles), highlighting PG’s market leadership, innovation (e.g., AR packaging, smart fragrance dispensers), dividend stability (69-year increase history), and resilience in uncertain times. No negative news or insider selling was reported.
-
Option Chain: Weekly put options (expiring Dec 26) show elevated implied volatility (~0.194–0.197) for strikes near the current price ($135–$139), reflecting heightened near-term uncertainty. Delta values for puts are moderate (-0.17 to -0.40), indicating some hedging demand.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $138.50–$140.00 (near the recent low and Bollinger lower band).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $145–$147 (5–7% gain; aligns with 50-day EMA and recent resistance).
- Long-term: $152–$157 (10–15% gain; toward the 200-day EMA and upper Bollinger band).
- Time Horizon: 1–3 months (catalysts: oversold bounce, positive news flow, pre-earnings positioning).
Final Notes:
- Stop-loss: $136.50 (just below the recent low and Fibonacci 78.6% support at $139.16).
- Risks: The broader market (SPY) is at all-time highs with elevated valuations (Buffett Indicator: 224.9%), increasing systemic risk. PG’s downtrend could persist if the market corrects.
- Opportunity: PG’s oversold technicals, strong dividend profile, and positive news sentiment create a favorable risk/reward setup for a bounce toward key resistance levels.