TSLA 2025-06-26
Symbol
TSLA
User Message
Identify ideal cash secured puts strike prices, prefer to be assigned and avoid being assigned
Financial Report
----Earnings Data Summary for TSLA as of 2025-06-26----
Most recent EPS (Actual): 0.27
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.41
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-04-22
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.69
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 5 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.91
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.45
Upcoming earnings date: 2025-07-21
----Valuation Data Summary for TSLA as of 2025-06-26----
Current P/E for TSLA: 188.25
1 year P/E range: 89.68 - 166.88
2 years P/E range: 64.18 - 166.88
5 years P/E range: 30.27 - 227.19
Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: None
Average P/E for these peer companies: None
----Management Sentiment Summary for TSLA in 2025Q2 earnings call----:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.
The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.
0.5 is neutral.
No data available
Technical Report
----Price Distribution for TSLA----
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 321.31
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 273.21
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 313.3
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 291.14
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 299.74
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 277.82000000000005
----Technical Indicators Summary for TSLA as of 2025-06-26----
MACD values for TSLA in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-24 | 0.25 | 4.79 | 4.53 |
| 2025-06-23 | -0.46 | 4.01 | 4.47 |
| 2025-06-20 | -2.47 | 2.11 | 4.58 |
| 2025-06-18 | -2.83 | 2.37 | 5.20 |
| 2025-06-17 | -3.24 | 2.67 | 5.91 |
| 2025-06-16 | -3.12 | 3.60 | 6.72 |
| 2025-06-13 | -4.07 | 3.43 | 7.50 |
| 2025-06-12 | -4.96 | 3.55 | 8.52 |
| 2025-06-11 | -5.47 | 4.29 | 9.76 |
| 2025-06-10 | -6.70 | 4.42 | 11.12 |
EMA values for TSLA with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-24 | 315.51 |
| 2025-06-23 | 314.49 |
| 2025-06-20 | 313.09 |
| 2025-06-18 | 312.72 |
| 2025-06-17 | 312.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | 312.18 |
| 2025-06-13 | 311.48 |
| 2025-06-12 | 310.92 |
| 2025-06-11 | 310.59 |
| 2025-06-10 | 309.94 |
EMA values for TSLA with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-24 | 299.33 |
| 2025-06-23 | 298.92 |
| 2025-06-20 | 298.42 |
| 2025-06-18 | 298.18 |
| 2025-06-17 | 297.94 |
| 2025-06-16 | 297.75 |
| 2025-06-13 | 297.44 |
| 2025-06-12 | 297.16 |
| 2025-06-11 | 296.94 |
| 2025-06-10 | 296.64 |
RSI values for TSLA in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|--------|--------|
| 2025-06-24 | 56.29 |
| 2025-06-23 | 59.73 |
| 2025-06-20 | 50.70 |
| 2025-06-18 | 50.66 |
| 2025-06-17 | 48.52 |
| 2025-06-16 | 53.34 |
| 2025-06-13 | 52.01 |
| 2025-06-12 | 49.87 |
| 2025-06-11 | 52.44 |
| 2025-06-10 | 52.33 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for TSLA over the last 20 days:
Latest MFI: 64.16
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|
| 2025-06-25 | 64.16 | 1.79 | 330.27 |
| 2025-06-24 | 69.15 | 2.24 | 345.72 |
| 2025-06-23 | 65.16 | 1.87 | 344.57 |
| 2025-06-20 | 63.68 | 1.75 | 324.10 |
| 2025-06-18 | 59.16 | 1.45 | 322.27 |
| 2025-06-17 | 59.94 | 1.50 | 319.45 |
| 2025-06-16 | 59.79 | 1.49 | 329.20 |
| 2025-06-13 | 60.08 | 1.50 | 323.87 |
| 2025-06-12 | 55.39 | 1.24 | 322.84 |
| 2025-06-11 | 60.39 | 1.52 | 328.14 |
| 2025-06-10 | 60.64 | 1.54 | 321.53 |
| 2025-06-09 | 60.00 | 1.50 | 300.09 |
| 2025-06-06 | 59.86 | 1.49 | 297.26 |
| 2025-06-05 | 58.74 | 1.42 | 294.15 |
| 2025-06-04 | 66.99 | 2.03 | 334.99 |
| 2025-06-03 | 68.16 | 2.14 | 347.57 |
| 2025-06-02 | 63.90 | 1.77 | 341.35 |
| 2025-05-30 | 68.23 | 2.15 | 351.81 |
| 2025-05-29 | 73.99 | 2.85 | 360.71 |
| 2025-05-28 | 68.81 | 2.21 | 359.27 |
| 2025-05-27 | 67.22 | 2.05 | 358.00 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for TSLA, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 327.55
Latest SMA: 328.63
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 290.78
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 366.48
Volume and volume ratio for TSLA:
Last 30 days average volume: 119252839.4
Today's volume: 118823482
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.0
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 331.7
Support levels for TSLA in the last 200 days:
Last Low: 210.51 on 2024-09-06
Last High: 488.54 on 2024-12-18
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 416.2, 38.2%: 371.44, 50.0%: 335.27, 61.8%: 299.1, 78.6%: 247.6
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.
Short interest data for TSLA in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|
| 2025-05-30 | 102126773 | 1.00 | 76998079 |
| 2025-05-15 | 106155805 | 1.00 | 85015009 |
| 2025-04-30 | 121293722 | 1.00 | 81317940 |
| 2025-04-15 | 157598049 | 1.00 | 81302709 |
| 2025-03-31 | 132428494 | 1.00 | 76463964 |
| 2025-03-14 | 125160315 | 1.00 | 81331870 |
| 2025-02-28 | 84714426 | 1.00 | 67129145 |
| 2025-02-14 | 81171592 | 1.00 | 61498198 |
| 2025-01-31 | 70139920 | 1.00 | 59612004 |
| 2025-01-15 | 81212823 | 1.00 | 63254084 |
Economics Report
Summary: Time to Be Cautiously Greedy
The current macroeconomic landscape suggests a mixed but leaning-positive outlook, warranting cautious optimism ("greedy" in selective areas) rather than outright fear. Here’s why:
-
Soft Landing Potential: The Fed’s anticipated rate cuts (likely Q4 2025) and cooling inflation could stabilize markets, historically a bullish signal. Past soft landings (e.g., mid-1990s) saw equities rally as growth normalized without recession.
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Valuation Opportunities: Slower growth may create pockets of undervaluation, especially in sectors less sensitive to rates (e.g., healthcare, staples) or beneficiaries of structural trends (AI, green energy).
-
Historical Precedent: Markets often bottom before economic troughs. With inflation decelerating and policy easing ahead, early positioning in quality assets could pay off.
Risks to Monitor:
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Tariffs/Geopolitics: Trade tensions could reignite inflation, delaying Fed cuts.
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Consumer Weakness: Rising delinquencies may pressure earnings in discretionary sectors.
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Global Spillovers: Emerging market stress or geopolitical shocks could derail sentiment.
Action: Favor defensive growth (tech, utilities) and dividend payers, but keep dry powder for volatility. Avoid overexposure to rate-sensitive cyclicals until the Fed’s path clarifies.
Bottom Line: Not time for outright fear, but selective greed with hedges.
News Report
----News and sentiment report for TSLA as of 2025-06-26----
There are 704 articles found for TSLA for the last 30 days.
No peer news results found.
Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 TSLA news articles:
Title: Why Shares of Tesla Are Sinking Today
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-25T15:16:36Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: Tesla's electric vehicle sales in Europe declined by nearly 28% in May, indicating that the company is struggling to compete with its rivals in the market.
Title: Robotaxi Roll Out: Tesla, Uber And Waymo Take Diverging Roads To Autonomy
Publisher: Benzinga
Published: 2025-06-25T15:03:13Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: Tesla's vertically integrated model allows it to optimize costs, streamline innovation, and accelerate deployment of its robotaxi fleet.
Title: 1 Surprising Reason Rivian Stock Is a Buy in 2025
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-25T10:18:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: The article mentions Tesla's new robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, but does not provide any further analysis or commentary on the company.
Title: Amazon's Secret Autonomous Car!
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-25T10:02:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Tesla is mentioned as a related company, but the article does not provide any details about Tesla's activities in the robotaxi market.
Title: Tesla Makes 2 Big Moves for Its Future
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-25T01:14:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: The article presents a balanced view of Tesla's recent moves, highlighting both the challenges the company is facing (falling sales, price war in China) and the potential opportunities (expansion into India, robotaxi pilot). The overall sentiment is neutral, as the article suggests these moves may not have a significant immediate impact, but could provide long-term benefits.
Title: Tesla Robotaxi Launch Supports Bull Case, but Execution Will Be Key
Publisher: Investing.com
Published: 2025-06-24T10:17:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The successful launch of Tesla's robotaxi service in Austin supports the bull case for the company's autonomous driving capabilities. However, the article notes that scaling challenges remain significant, and the path to profitably competing with industry leader Waymo will be long and challenging.
Title: Billionaire Philippe Laffont Thinks This Could Be Worth More Than Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Tesla By 2030
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-24T10:15:00Z
Sentiment: negative
Reasoning: The article suggests that Bitcoin could be worth more than Tesla by 2030, indicating that the author believes Bitcoin has more upside potential than Tesla over the next decade.
Title: Tesla Just Achieved a Big Milestone With Its Robotaxi Launch. But There's Another Potential Speed Bump Fast Approaching.
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-24T00:30:00Z
Sentiment: neutral
Reasoning: Tesla has achieved a significant milestone with the launch of its robotaxi service, but its core electric vehicle business is facing potential headwinds, such as concerns about second-quarter sales and increasing competition in China.
Title: 3 Reasons Bitcoin's Momentum Could Continue Into 2026 and Beyond
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-23T08:04:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article cites Tesla's ability to post $600 million in gains due to its Bitcoin holdings as an example of the potential impact of the new FASB accounting rule, which is seen as a driver for more companies to hold Bitcoin.
Title: 10 Brilliant Growth Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for the Long Term
Publisher: The Motley Fool
Published: 2025-06-22T09:10:00Z
Sentiment: positive
Reasoning: The article highlights Tesla's promising robotaxi and full self-driving software, which could transform the company into a high-margin and recurring revenue business.
Out of the total 10 articles,
There are 4 articles with positive sentiment, and
2 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.
Hedging Tools
----VIX Summary as of 2025-06-26----
Current VIX: 16.76, VIX percentile in the past 200 days: 31.0%
Z-score (5 days): -1.28
Z-score (20 days): -1.26
VIX9D: 13.81
VIX9D VIX: False
---UVXY Performance Summary----
Current UVXY: 19.08, UVXY percentile in the past 90 days: 0.0%
5D % Change: -11.99
5D Volatility (%): 3.85
RSI (14): 41.89
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.36
----SQQQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -8.0
5D Volatility (%): 2.17
RSI (14): 37.29
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.7
5D Correlation with QQQ: -1.0
----PSQ Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -3.41
5D Volatility (%): 0.8
RSI (14): 35.98
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.66
5D Correlation with QQQ: -0.97
----QID Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -5.57
5D Volatility (%): 1.45
RSI (14): 37.39
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.61
5D Correlation with QQQ: -0.99
----SH Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -2.8
5D Volatility (%): 0.62
RSI (14): 34.99
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.49
5D Correlation with SPY: -0.97
----SDS Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -4.54
5D Volatility (%): 1.1
RSI (14): 36.45
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.8
5D Correlation with SPY: -0.99
----SPXU Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -6.41
5D Volatility (%): 1.65
RSI (14): 36.72
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.89
5D Correlation with SPY: -1.0
----DOG Performance Summary----
5D % Change: -2.65
5D Volatility (%): 0.5
RSI (14): 38.32
Above 5-day MA: False
Volume Spike Ratio: 0.52
5D Correlation with ^DJI: -0.97
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral (with a slight lean toward Sell for short-term traders)
Reasoning:
Financial:
-
Earnings Concerns: TSLA missed earnings estimates in 5 of the last 8 quarters, with the most recent EPS ($0.27) significantly below consensus ($0.41). The upcoming earnings report (July 21) poses a risk given this trend.
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Valuation Risk: The P/E ratio (188.25) is extremely high compared to historical ranges (89.68–166.88 over the past year). This suggests the stock is overvalued unless growth accelerates dramatically.
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Lack of Peer Comparison: No direct peers are listed, making relative valuation difficult, but the high P/E is a red flag.
Technical:
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Mixed Momentum:
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MACD: Recent histogram values are slightly positive (0.25 on June 24), but the signal line remains above the MACD, indicating weak bullish momentum.
-
RSI (56.29): Neutral, not oversold or overbought.
-
MFI (64.16): Slightly bullish, but not extreme.
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Key Levels:
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Support: $291.14 (low z-score), $299.74 (1 standard deviation below mean).
-
Resistance: $366.48 (Bollinger upper band).
-
Volume: Average volume (~119M shares) suggests no unusual accumulation/distribution.
News & Macro Economics:
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Negative Catalysts: Declining EV sales in Europe, increasing competition in China, and mixed sentiment around robotaxi execution.
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Positive Catalysts: Robotaxi pilot launch (bullish long-term, but execution risks remain).
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Macro: Fed rate cuts (likely Q4 2025) could help growth stocks, but TSLA’s high valuation may limit upside.
Additional Context:
- Short Interest: High (~76M shares short, ~1 day to cover), indicating skepticism but no extreme squeeze risk.
Strategy for Cash-Secured Puts
Objective: Generate premium while being comfortable with assignment at a favorable price.
Ideal Strike Prices:
- Prefer Assignment (Bullish/Neutral View):
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Strike: $290–$300 (near key support levels).
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Rationale: If assigned, you acquire shares at a ~10% discount to current price ($327.55), aligning with historical lows ($273.21).
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Expiration: July or August (post-earnings if you believe in a rebound).
- Avoid Assignment (Bearish/Neutral View):
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Strike: $310–$320 (above support but below current price).
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Rationale: Higher premium with lower chance of assignment. Exit early if the stock approaches the strike.
-
Expiration: July (shorter duration to avoid earnings volatility).
Stop-Loss for Short Puts:
- If the stock breaks below $273 (recent low), consider buying back puts to limit losses.
Time Horizon:
- Earnings Risk: July 21 could bring volatility. Avoid holding puts expiring near this date unless you want assignment.
Final Notes:
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Caution Advised: TSLA’s high valuation and earnings misses make it risky. The robotaxi narrative is promising but unproven.
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Alternative Play: If bullish, consider selling puts at $290–$300 for potential entry at a discount. If bearish, avoid selling puts or use higher strikes with tight stop-losses.
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Watch For: Earnings surprises, Fed policy shifts, and robotaxi rollout updates.
Bottom Line: TSLA is not a high-conviction buy here. Cash-secured puts at $290–$300 offer a balanced risk/reward for those willing to own the stock at a discount. Avoid aggressive positions until earnings clarity emerges.