TSLA 2026-02-08
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for TSLA as of 2026-02-08
Most recent EPS (Actual): 0.39
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.44
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 0.12 - 0.73
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.52
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 6 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-22
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-04-20
Valuation Data Summary for TSLA as of 2026-02-08
Current P/E for TSLA: 282.3
1 year P/E range: 132.44 - 282.3
2 years P/E range: 64.39 - 282.3
5 years P/E range: 30.27 - 282.3
Management Sentiment Summary for TSLA in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| VP of Energy Products | 0.80 |
| Head of Investor Relations | 0.32 |
| Director of Self-Driving AI | 0.58 |
| CFO | 0.70 |
| CEO | 0.62 |
Insider transactions for TSLA in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
| Date | Total Amount Traded | Avg. Traded Price | Transaction Type | Remaining Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | -60K | $445.4 | Sell | 13.2M |
| 2025-12-09 | -56.8K | $450.66 | Sell | 1.4M |
| 2025-12-08 | -2.6K | $443.93 | Sell | 13.8K |
Technical Report
Price Range for TSLA
TSLA current price: $411.11
5-Day Range: $387.53 - $428.56
50-Day Range: $387.53 - $498.83
200-Day Range: $244.43 - $498.83
Price Distribution for TSLA in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 421.17
Lowest price: 387.53
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 417.44
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 399.18
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 408.18
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 392.45
Technical Indicators Summary for TSLA as of 2026-02-08
MACD values for TSLA in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | -10.14 | -7.35 | -2.80 |
| 2026-02-05 | -9.99 | -6.65 | -3.34 |
| 2026-02-04 | -8.23 | -5.81 | -2.41 |
| 2026-02-03 | -6.76 | -5.21 | -1.55 |
| 2026-02-02 | -6.41 | -4.82 | -1.58 |
| 2026-01-30 | -5.85 | -4.43 | -1.43 |
| 2026-01-29 | -5.93 | -4.07 | -1.87 |
| 2026-01-28 | -4.54 | -3.60 | -0.94 |
| 2026-01-27 | -4.22 | -3.37 | -0.85 |
| 2026-01-26 | -3.69 | -3.16 | -0.53 |
EMA values for TSLA with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | 434.86 |
| 2026-02-05 | 435.82 |
| 2026-02-04 | 437.40 |
| 2026-02-03 | 438.68 |
| 2026-02-02 | 439.36 |
| 2026-01-30 | 440.08 |
| 2026-01-29 | 440.48 |
| 2026-01-28 | 441.45 |
| 2026-01-27 | 441.86 |
| 2026-01-26 | 442.31 |
EMA values for TSLA with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | 392.56 |
| 2026-02-05 | 392.38 |
| 2026-02-04 | 392.33 |
| 2026-02-03 | 392.19 |
| 2026-02-02 | 391.89 |
| 2026-01-30 | 391.59 |
| 2026-01-29 | 391.20 |
| 2026-01-28 | 390.94 |
| 2026-01-27 | 390.54 |
| 2026-01-26 | 390.13 |
RSI values for TSLA in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | 41.45 |
| 2026-02-05 | 34.26 |
| 2026-02-04 | 36.93 |
| 2026-02-03 | 42.50 |
| 2026-02-02 | 42.42 |
| 2026-01-30 | 45.63 |
| 2026-01-29 | 38.70 |
| 2026-01-28 | 44.34 |
| 2026-01-27 | 44.06 |
| 2026-01-26 | 45.73 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for TSLA over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 41.0
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | 407.80 | 0.69 | 41.00 |
| 2026-02-05 | 395.61 | 0.69 | 40.98 |
| 2026-02-04 | 409.70 | 1.10 | 52.36 |
| 2026-02-03 | 421.40 | 1.74 | 63.57 |
| 2026-02-02 | 421.15 | 1.18 | 54.05 |
| 2026-01-30 | 431.00 | 1.16 | 53.70 |
| 2026-01-29 | 423.80 | 1.05 | 51.21 |
| 2026-01-28 | 433.27 | 1.14 | 53.17 |
| 2026-01-27 | 433.04 | 1.14 | 53.22 |
| 2026-01-26 | 438.17 | 1.60 | 61.53 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for TSLA, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 411.11
Latest SMA: 430.41
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 400.33
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 460.49
ADX for TSLA, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 27.02
Volume and volume ratio for TSLA:
Last 30 days average volume: 62.5M
Today's volume: 62.7M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.0
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 430.9
Support levels for TSLA (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 297.82 on 2025-08-01 (UTC)
Last High: 498.83 on 2025-12-22 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 431.67, 38.2%: 390.12, 50.0%: 356.54, 61.8%: 322.96, 78.6%: 275.15
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for TSLA in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | 64.4M | 64.1M | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | 67.9M | 74.9M | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-15 | 74.7M | 72.2M | 1.03 |
| 2025-11-28 | 78.3M | 81M | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | 71.2M | 88.1M | 1.00 |
| 2025-10-31 | 72.2M | 83M | 1.00 |
| 2025-10-15 | 72.7M | 93.5M | 1.00 |
| 2025-09-30 | 76.8M | 92.4M | 1.00 |
| 2025-09-15 | 86.2M | 95.1M | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-29 | 78.3M | 73.5M | 1.06 |
Option Chain
Monthly put options that expire on 2026-03-13:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 | 0.45 | -0.38 | 0.01 | -0.30 | 0.47 | 16.00 | 15.85 |
| 390 | 0.46 | -0.31 | 0.01 | -0.29 | 0.44 | 12.30 | 12.15 |
| 380 | 0.46 | -0.25 | 0.01 | -0.27 | 0.39 | 9.30 | 9.20 |
| 370 | 0.47 | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.24 | 0.35 | 7.05 | 6.90 |
| 360 | 0.49 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.30 | 5.30 | 5.20 |
| 350 | 0.50 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.25 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| 340 | 0.52 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.21 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
| 330 | 0.54 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.17 | 2.30 | 2.24 |
Weekly put options that expire on 2026-02-20:
| Strike Price | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta | Vega | Ask Price | Bid Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 | 0.46 | -0.34 | 0.01 | -0.51 | 0.27 | 8.20 | 8.10 |
| 390 | 0.47 | -0.24 | 0.01 | -0.45 | 0.23 | 5.35 | 5.30 |
| 380 | 0.49 | -0.17 | 0.01 | -0.38 | 0.19 | 3.45 | 3.40 |
| 370 | 0.51 | -0.11 | 0.01 | -0.30 | 0.14 | 2.21 | 2.18 |
| 360 | 0.54 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.24 | 0.11 | 1.43 | 1.41 |
| 350 | 0.57 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.08 | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| 340 | 0.60 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.06 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| 330 | 0.64 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.04 | 0.47 | 0.45 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Sell Reasoning:
- Financial: Tesla's P/E ratio of 282.3 is extremely high compared to historical ranges, indicating overvaluation. The company has missed earnings estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, with recent EPS of 0.39 below consensus of 0.44. Insider transactions show net selling over the past 90 days, suggesting lack of confidence. Revenue and net income declines in 2025 further highlight financial deterioration.
- Technical: The current price of $411.11 is below the 50-day EMA (~$434) and near the Bollinger lower band ($400.33), indicating short-term bearish momentum. MACD is negative, RSI is neutral to slightly oversold (around 34-45), and ADX at 27.02 signals a weak trend. Support levels at $390.12 (Fibonacci 38.2%) and $400.33 may be tested.
- News: Sentiment is mixed, with 3 positive, 4 negative, and 3 neutral articles out of 10 analyzed. Positive catalysts like robotaxi expansion and new products are offset by concerns over valuation, competition, and execution risks. The high P/E ratio is frequently cited as a red flag.
- Option Chain: Put options show implied volatility of 45-64%, reflecting expected volatility. Strikes near $400-$390 have moderate delta and theta, indicating traders are hedging downside risk. Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: For existing holders, consider selling on rallies to $430-$440 (near 50-day EMA or VWAP).
- Profit Targets: If shorting, cover at $390 (support) or $350 (next Fibonacci level).
- Time Horizon: Short-term (weeks to months) due to weak catalysts and upcoming earnings on April 20, 2026. Final Notes: Tesla's stock carries high downside risk given its premium valuation and deteriorating fundamentals. While future growth in autonomous driving could drive upside, execution uncertainty and competition make it prudent to reduce exposure or wait for a better entry point near stronger support levels.