TSM 2026-03-08
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for TSM as of 2026-03-08
Most recent EPS (Actual): 2.92
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 2.66
Historical EPS range (last 8 quarters): 1.29 - 2.47
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.8
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 0 times.
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-16
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-04-15
Valuation Data Summary for TSM as of 2026-03-08
Current P/E for TSM: 27.95
1 year P/E range: 21.04 - 28.09
2 years P/E range: 19.5 - 30.42
5 years P/E range: 10.71 - 30.42
Management Sentiment Summary for TSM in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| Director of Investor Relations | 0.23 |
| Chairman and CEO | 0.57 |
| CFO | 0.58 |
Insider transactions for TSM in the last 90 days:
Total Amount Traded is negative for total net sale of shares. Positive for total net purchase of shares.
No Form 4 has been filed.
Technical Report
Price Range for TSM
TSM current price: $338.89
5-Day Range: $336.69 - $373.10
50-Day Range: $292.20 - $390.21
200-Day Range: $188.23 - $390.21
Price Distribution for TSM in the past 20 days
25th percentile: 356.93
Lowest price: 322.1
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score: 354.55
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score: 336.69
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 341.85
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 326.95
Technical Indicators Summary for TSM as of 2026-03-08
MACD values for TSM in the past 14 days:
| Date | macd | signal | histogram |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 4.26 | 9.13 | -4.87 |
| 2026-03-05 | 6.76 | 10.35 | -3.59 |
| 2026-03-04 | 8.33 | 11.24 | -2.92 |
| 2026-03-03 | 9.84 | 11.97 | -2.13 |
| 2026-03-02 | 12.08 | 12.51 | -0.43 |
| 2026-02-27 | 13.12 | 12.61 | 0.51 |
| 2026-02-26 | 13.71 | 12.49 | 1.22 |
| 2026-02-25 | 14.03 | 12.18 | 1.85 |
| 2026-02-24 | 13.13 | 11.72 | 1.41 |
| 2026-02-23 | 11.98 | 11.37 | 0.62 |
EMA values for TSM with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 342.69 |
| 2026-03-05 | 342.84 |
| 2026-03-04 | 342.39 |
| 2026-03-03 | 341.78 |
| 2026-03-02 | 341.32 |
| 2026-02-27 | 340.18 |
| 2026-02-26 | 338.78 |
| 2026-02-25 | 337.22 |
| 2026-02-24 | 335.16 |
| 2026-02-23 | 333.10 |
EMA values for TSM with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 286.18 |
| 2026-03-05 | 285.65 |
| 2026-03-04 | 284.96 |
| 2026-03-03 | 284.23 |
| 2026-03-02 | 283.54 |
| 2026-02-27 | 282.68 |
| 2026-02-26 | 281.76 |
| 2026-02-25 | 280.80 |
| 2026-02-24 | 279.73 |
| 2026-02-23 | 278.66 |
RSI values for TSM in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 40.96 |
| 2026-03-05 | 48.38 |
| 2026-03-04 | 50.40 |
| 2026-03-03 | 47.97 |
| 2026-03-02 | 57.73 |
| 2026-02-27 | 61.72 |
| 2026-02-26 | 63.38 |
| 2026-02-25 | 72.21 |
| 2026-02-24 | 71.54 |
| 2026-02-23 | 65.43 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for TSM over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 36.05
| Date | Typical Price | Money Flow Ratio | MFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 341.43 | 0.56 | 36.05 |
| 2026-03-05 | 352.38 | 0.79 | 44.28 |
| 2026-03-04 | 357.69 | 0.92 | 47.84 |
| 2026-03-03 | 351.08 | 0.84 | 45.71 |
| 2026-03-02 | 368.95 | 0.97 | 49.15 |
| 2026-02-27 | 373.29 | 1.53 | 60.42 |
| 2026-02-26 | 377.66 | 1.30 | 56.55 |
| 2026-02-25 | 387.59 | 2.49 | 71.31 |
| 2026-02-24 | 383.66 | 2.57 | 72.00 |
| 2026-02-23 | 369.98 | 2.58 | 72.05 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for TSM, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 338.89
Latest SMA: 364.97
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 340.95
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 389.0
ADX for TSM, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 26.78
Volume and volume ratio for TSM:
Last 30 days average volume: 12.8M
Volume ratio and Price spread in the past 14 days:
| Date | Volume | Volume Ratio | Price Spread (High - Low) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | 13.8M | 1.08 | 12.03 |
| 2026-03-07 | 16.3M | 1.27 | 15.67 |
| 2026-03-06 | 12.1M | 0.95 | 6.54 |
| 2026-03-05 | 18.6M | 1.45 | 11.84 |
| 2026-03-04 | 12.6M | 0.98 | 8.45 |
| 2026-03-03 | 9.2M | 0.72 | 8.06 |
| 2026-03-02 | 14.6M | 1.14 | 16.77 |
| 2026-03-01 | 11M | 0.85 | 5.38 |
| 2026-02-28 | 13.3M | 1.04 | 13.13 |
| 2026-02-27 | 9.6M | 0.75 | 6.97 |
| 2026-02-26 | 9M | 0.70 | 13.10 |
| 2026-02-25 | 6.3M | 0.49 | 5.36 |
| 2026-02-24 | 7.3M | 0.57 | 8.68 |
| 2026-02-23 | 10.1M | 0.78 | 9.96 |
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 363.78
Support levels for TSM (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 223.7 on 2025-08-20 (UTC)
Last High: 390.2 on 2026-02-25 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 329.8, 38.2%: 292.43, 50.0%: 262.23, 61.8%: 232.02, 78.6%: 189.02
Resonance Supports: No resonance supports (Fibonacci levels not within ±3% of last low).
Short interest data for TSM in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Short Interest | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | 19.6M | 15M | 1.31 |
| 2026-01-30 | 19.5M | 14.2M | 1.37 |
| 2026-01-15 | 22.9M | 16.4M | 1.40 |
| 2025-12-31 | 23.9M | 8.5M | 2.81 |
| 2025-12-15 | 25.3M | 12M | 2.11 |
| 2025-11-28 | 33.7M | 12.8M | 2.64 |
| 2025-11-14 | 34.6M | 12.2M | 2.84 |
| 2025-10-31 | 33.6M | 14.3M | 2.34 |
| 2025-10-15 | 34.1M | 15.3M | 2.23 |
| 2025-09-30 | 32.3M | 12.5M | 2.58 |
Final Report
Recommendation: Buy Reasoning:
- Financial: Strong earnings performance with recent EPS of 2.92 beating consensus of 2.66, and no misses in the last 8 quarters. Revenue growth highlighted in news (35.9% YoY), with high profitability. Current P/E of 27.95 is near the high end of its 1-year range but justified by growth outlook and AI exposure. Management sentiment is slightly positive (CEO and CFO scores above neutral).
- Technical: Short-term bearish momentum (MACD negative, price below 50-day EMA at ~$342.69), but oversold signals suggest potential rebound: RSI at 40.96, MFI at 36.05, and price below Bollinger lower band ($340.95). Support at Fibonacci 23.6% level ($329.8) and recent low ($336.69) provides a floor. Long-term trend remains bullish with price well above 200-day EMA ($286.18).
- News: Overwhelmingly positive sentiment from 7 out of 10 recent articles, emphasizing TSM's dominance in AI chip manufacturing, partnerships with AMD, strong financials, and growth trajectory. No negative news reported. Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: Ideal buy zone: $330-$340 (near Fibonacci support and current oversold levels).
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term: $373 (approximately 10% gain from $338.89, near recent resistance).
- Long-term: $390+ (all-time high area) if growth catalysts materialize.
- Time Horizon: Short-term trade until upcoming earnings on 2026-04-15, or long-term hold for AI-driven growth. Final Notes: Monitor price action; if stock breaks below $320 (key support), reassess the thesis. Upcoming earnings could be a catalyst. Positive news flow and decreasing short interest (down to 19.6M shares) reduce downside risk.