UBER 2025-12-15
Financial Report
Earnings Data Summary for UBER as of 2025-12-15
Most recent EPS (Actual): 3.11
Most recent EPS (Consensus): 0.69
Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-10-30
Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-09-30
Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): 0.85
In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 2 times.
Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 3.21
Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): -0.31
Upcoming earnings date: 2026-02-03
Valuation Data Summary for UBER as of 2025-12-15
Current P/E for UBER: 12.8
1 year P/E range: 12.74 - 15.59
2 years P/E range: 12.74 - 122.21
5 years P/E range: -193.55 - 122.21
Management Sentiment Summary for UBER in 2025Q3 earnings call:
The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:
The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment. The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment. 0.5 is neutral.
| Title | Sentiment Score |
|---|---|
| CEO | 0.78 |
| CFO | 0.73 |
Insider transactions in the last 90 days:
On 2025-11-18, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at UBER.
Total of 3.1K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $92.10 and $92.10.
The insiders have 174.1K shares left in the company.
On 2025-11-13, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at UBER.
Total of 5.5K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $94.4062 and $94.4062.
The insiders have 20.3K shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-20, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at UBER.
Total of 3.1K shares were sold by insiders, traded at prices between $93.00 and $93.00.
The insiders have 172.8K shares left in the company.
On 2025-10-20, a Form 4 was filed by insiders at UBER.
Total of 5 shares were purchased by insiders, traded at prices between $93.00 and $93.00.
The insiders have 5 shares left in the company.
Technical Report
Price Distribution for UBER
25th percentile in the past 20 days: 84.09
Lowest price in the past 20 days: 81.17
Price with moderate low (closest to -0.5) z-score in the past 20 days: 84.52
Price with low (closest to -1.0) z-score in the past 20 days: 82.39
Price below mean by one standard deviation: 82.65
Price below mean by two standard deviations: 79.29
Price Range for UBER
UBER current price: $81.86
5-Day Range: $81.17 - $92.01
50-Day Range: $81.17 - $101.29
200-Day Range: $60.63 - $101.99
Technical Indicators Summary for UBER as of 2025-12-15
MACD values for UBER in the past 14 days:
| Date | histogram | macd | signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | -0.06 | -1.43 | -1.38 |
| 2025-12-11 | 0.07 | -1.29 | -1.36 |
| 2025-12-10 | 0.26 | -1.12 | -1.38 |
| 2025-12-09 | 0.69 | -0.76 | -1.44 |
| 2025-12-08 | 0.83 | -0.78 | -1.62 |
| 2025-12-05 | 0.67 | -1.16 | -1.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0.50 | -1.50 | -1.99 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0.24 | -1.87 | -2.12 |
| 2025-12-02 | -0.12 | -2.29 | -2.18 |
| 2025-12-01 | -0.33 | -2.48 | -2.15 |
EMA values for UBER with a window of 50 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 90.73 |
| 2025-12-11 | 90.96 |
| 2025-12-10 | 91.18 |
| 2025-12-09 | 91.47 |
| 2025-12-08 | 91.57 |
| 2025-12-05 | 91.53 |
| 2025-12-04 | 91.54 |
| 2025-12-03 | 91.56 |
| 2025-12-02 | 91.59 |
| 2025-12-01 | 91.76 |
EMA values for UBER with a window of 200 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 87.59 |
| 2025-12-11 | 87.61 |
| 2025-12-10 | 87.63 |
| 2025-12-09 | 87.67 |
| 2025-12-08 | 87.65 |
| 2025-12-05 | 87.60 |
| 2025-12-04 | 87.57 |
| 2025-12-03 | 87.53 |
| 2025-12-02 | 87.50 |
| 2025-12-01 | 87.50 |
RSI values for UBER in the past 14 days:
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | 39.99 |
| 2025-12-11 | 40.60 |
| 2025-12-10 | 37.16 |
| 2025-12-09 | 46.82 |
| 2025-12-08 | 56.56 |
| 2025-12-05 | 53.34 |
| 2025-12-04 | 52.48 |
| 2025-12-03 | 51.70 |
| 2025-12-02 | 42.99 |
| 2025-12-01 | 39.75 |
Money Flow Index (MFI) for UBER over the last 10 trading days:
Latest MFI: 44.21
| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | 44.21 | 0.79 | 82.22 |
| 2025-12-12 | 47.00 | 0.89 | 85.36 |
| 2025-12-11 | 45.17 | 0.82 | 84.84 |
| 2025-12-10 | 56.11 | 1.28 | 85.21 |
| 2025-12-09 | 67.35 | 2.06 | 90.00 |
| 2025-12-08 | 79.09 | 3.78 | 92.04 |
| 2025-12-05 | 63.95 | 1.77 | 91.51 |
| 2025-12-04 | 49.85 | 0.99 | 90.48 |
| 2025-12-03 | 42.52 | 0.74 | 90.34 |
| 2025-12-02 | 33.10 | 0.49 | 87.21 |
Bollinger lower and higher band for UBER, calculated for the past 20 days
Number of Standard Deviations: 2
Latest Close: 81.86
Latest SMA: 87.28
Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 80.52
Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 94.05
ADX for UBER, calculated for the past 14 days
ADX: 11.75
Volume and volume ratio for UBER:
Last 30 days average volume: 21.3M
Today's volume: 32.1M
Volume Ratio (Today / Avg Volume in the past 30 days): 1.5
Average VWAP in the past 30 days: 87.44
Support levels for UBER (last 200 trading days):
Last Low: 81.17 on 2025-12-15 (UTC)
Last High: 101.99 on 2025-09-22 (UTC)
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 91.92, 38.2%: 85.69, 50.0%: 80.66, 61.8%: 75.63, 78.6%: 68.46
Resonance Supports: 50.0%: 80.66
Short interest data for UBER in the past 5 months:
| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | 22.3M | 2.51 | 56M |
| 2025-11-14 | 20.4M | 2.50 | 51.1M |
| 2025-10-31 | 13.8M | 3.69 | 51.1M |
| 2025-10-15 | 14.1M | 3.71 | 52.5M |
| 2025-09-30 | 21.4M | 2.43 | 52.1M |
| 2025-09-15 | 15.6M | 3.37 | 52.8M |
| 2025-08-29 | 15.2M | 3.26 | 49.5M |
| 2025-08-15 | 20.7M | 2.32 | 48.1M |
| 2025-07-31 | 16.6M | 2.58 | 42.8M |
| 2025-07-15 | 16.5M | 2.68 | 44.2M |
Option Chain
Monthly options:
UBER 81 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. UBER 80 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.3176, delta: -0.3785, gamma: 0.0495, theta: -0.0423, vega: 0.092 ask price: 2.2, bid price: 2.07
UBER 79 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. UBER 78 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. UBER 77 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. UBER 76 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. UBER 75 put expires on 2026-01-16
iv: 0.3456, delta: -0.178, gamma: 0.0312, theta: -0.0325, vega: 0.0631 ask price: 0.88, bid price: 0.81
UBER 74 put expires on 2026-01-16
No option chain data available. Weekly options:
UBER 81 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3117, delta: -0.4154, gamma: 0.0882, theta: -0.0748, vega: 0.0553 ask price: 1.4, bid price: 1.35
UBER 80 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3189, delta: -0.3319, gamma: 0.0802, theta: -0.0717, vega: 0.0515 ask price: 1.06, bid price: 0.98
UBER 79 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3311, delta: -0.2613, gamma: 0.0692, theta: -0.0672, vega: 0.0461 ask price: 0.79, bid price: 0.74
UBER 78 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3436, delta: -0.2027, gamma: 0.0579, theta: -0.0608, vega: 0.04 ask price: 0.59, bid price: 0.55
UBER 77 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3555, delta: -0.155, gamma: 0.0472, theta: -0.0533, vega: 0.0338 ask price: 0.45, bid price: 0.39
UBER 76 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3772, delta: -0.123, gamma: 0.038, theta: -0.0484, vega: 0.0289 ask price: 0.38, bid price: 0.29
UBER 75 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.3843, delta: -0.0904, gamma: 0.0299, theta: -0.0396, vega: 0.0231 ask price: 0.26, bid price: 0.21
UBER 74 put expires on 2025-12-26
iv: 0.4062, delta: -0.0721, gamma: 0.0238, theta: -0.0353, vega: 0.0195 ask price: 0.37, bid price: 0.01
Final Report
Recommendation: Neutral (with a bias toward cautious accumulation on weakness)
Reasoning:
-
Financial: UBER's most recent earnings were a massive beat (EPS $3.11 vs. $0.69 consensus), and the 8-quarter average EPS is positive at $0.85, showing a clear trend toward profitability. The current P/E of 12.8 is at the low end of its 1-year range (12.74-15.59) and historically very low, suggesting the stock is not expensive on an earnings basis. Management sentiment from the Q3 call was positive (CEO 0.78, CFO 0.73). However, insider transactions over the last 90 days show consistent selling (over 11K shares sold vs. a trivial 5 shares purchased), which is a yellow flag regarding near-term management confidence. The upcoming earnings date (Feb 3, 2026) is a key near-term catalyst.
-
Technical: The stock is in a pronounced downtrend and is currently at a critical juncture. The price ($81.86) is below all key moving averages (50-day EMA ~$90.73, 200-day EMA ~$87.59), indicating strong bearish momentum. It is trading near the bottom of its 20-day range (low: $81.17) and is below the 20-day Bollinger Lower Band ($80.52), suggesting it is oversold in the very short term. Key support levels are the recent low of $81.17 and the Fibonacci 50% resonance support at $80.66. The RSI (39.99) is neutral-to-weak, and the MACD, while still negative, shows its histogram improving from deeply negative levels, hinting at potential slowing of downward momentum. Volume is elevated today (1.5x 30-day average), indicating heightened selling pressure. The ADX is very low at 11.75, suggesting the current downtrend, while strong, lacks directional strength and could be prone to reversal.
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News & Macro: News sentiment is mixed but leans positive (6 positive vs. 2 negative articles in the sample). Positive catalysts include strategic partnerships in robotaxis (Lucid, Joby, Serve Robotics) and strong user growth. The primary negative is increased regulatory scrutiny, which caused a recent 4.34% drop. Macro-economically, the environment is a late-cycle expansion with sticky inflation and a cautious Fed. While not a direct headwind for UBER's business model, a potential broader market correction (as indicated by the extremely high Buffett Indicator of 226.3%) poses a systemic risk that could drag down all stocks, including UBER.
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Option Chain: The option chain shows elevated implied volatility (IV) for out-of-the-money puts, especially for weekly expiries (IV up to 40.6% for the $74 put). The high put skew indicates traders are paying a premium for downside protection. The $80 strike put (monthly) has a delta of -0.38 and an IV of ~32%, which could be used to define a risk level. The clustering of put open interest around the $75-$81 strikes aligns with the technical support levels noted.
Strategy to Minimize Risk:
- Entry Price: The stock is oversold but not yet at a confirmed reversal. An ideal, lower-risk entry zone would be on a successful test and bounce from the $80.00 - $81.00 support cluster (recent low + Fibonacci 50% level). A more aggressive entry could be considered on a daily close back above the 20-day Bollinger Lower Band (~$80.52) with rising volume.
- Profit Targets:
- Short-term (Trade): Initial target at the 50-day EMA (~$90.00), representing a ~10% gain and a major resistance level.
- Long-term (Hold): A move back toward the 200-day EMA (~$87.50) and then the $94-$95 resistance area (previous Bollinger high).
- Stop-Loss: A definitive stop-loss should be placed below $79.00 (just under the two-standard-deviation price level of $79.29). This level represents a breakdown of all immediate support.
- Time Horizon: Short-to-medium term (2-8 weeks), looking for a technical rebound from oversold conditions ahead of the Q4 earnings report in early February.
Final Notes: UBER presents a classic "fallen angel" scenario: strong fundamentals (earnings, valuation) clashing with terrible technicals and regulatory concerns. The insider selling is disconcerting. The recommendation is Neutral because the risk of the breakdown continuing is real, but the fundamental value is compelling for patient investors. Actionable advice: Wait for price stabilization and a bullish confirmation signal (e.g., a strong bullish reversal candle on high volume above $81.50) before initiating a position. The risk/reward improves significantly near the $80 support. Avoid chasing the stock until the downtrend is broken.