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WDC 2025-06-16

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WDC

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What it means to WDC if there is a war in Taiwan?

financial report

----EPS data summary for WDC as of 2025-06-16----:

Most recent EPS (Actual): 1.36

Most recent EPS (Consensus): 1.1081

Most recent EPS reported date: 2025-04-30

Most recent EPS fiscal date (quarterly): 2025-03-31

Historical EPS (last 8 quarters):

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2024-12-31 | 1.77 |

| 2024-09-30 | 1.78 |

| 2024-06-30 | 1.44 |

| 2024-03-31 | 0.63 |

| 2023-12-31 | -0.69 |

| 2023-09-30 | -1.76 |

| 2023-06-30 | -1.98 |

| 2023-03-31 | -1.37 |

Historical Average EPS (last 8 quarters): -0.02

In the past 8 quarters, the company missed earnings estimates 1 times.

Historical High EPS (last 8 quarters): 1.78

Historical Low EPS (last 8 quarters): -1.98

----Valuation data summary for WDC as of 2025-06-16----:

Current P/E for WDC: 19.08

Symbols of peer companies within the same sector: ['IONQ', 'HPE', 'AAPL', 'MKSI', 'HPQ', 'AMAT', 'SMCI', 'SNDK', 'DBD', 'NTAP', 'LRCX', 'STX', 'PSTG', 'MU']

Average P/E for these peer companies: 10.24

Historical low P/E for WDC: -151.64

Historical high P/E for WDC: 149.58

----Sector peers performance for WDC in the past 200 days----:

IONQ: 419.78%

HPE: -5.59%

AAPL: -13.55%

MKSI: -24.24%

HPQ: -30.43%

AMAT: -12.21%

SMCI: -24.11%

SNDK: 18.06%

DBD: 24.74%

NTAP: -23.36%

LRCX: 10.11%

STX: 29.22%

PSTG: -15.49%

MU: 18.57%

----Management Sentiment Summary for WDC in 2025Q2 earnings call----:

The following is the average sentiment score for each management title:

The lower the score, the more negative the sentiment.

The higher the score, the more positive the sentiment.

0.5 is neutral.

| Title | Sentiment Score |

|--------|---------------|

| CEO | 0.48 |

| CFO | 0.35 |

| Future CEO of Western Digital | 0.45 |

technical report

Technical Summary for WDC as of 2025-06-16:

MACD values for WDC in the past 14 days:

| Date | histogram | macd | signal |

|--------|---------|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-13 | -0.06 | 2.77 | 2.83 |

| 2025-06-12 | 0.03 | 2.87 | 2.84 |

| 2025-06-11 | 0.11 | 2.95 | 2.83 |

| 2025-06-10 | 0.21 | 3.01 | 2.81 |

| 2025-06-09 | 0.27 | 3.02 | 2.75 |

| 2025-06-06 | 0.20 | 2.89 | 2.69 |

| 2025-06-05 | 0.19 | 2.83 | 2.64 |

| 2025-06-04 | 0.16 | 2.75 | 2.59 |

| 2025-06-03 | 0.13 | 2.68 | 2.55 |

| 2025-06-02 | 0.10 | 2.61 | 2.52 |

EMA values for WDC with a window of 50 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-13 | 49.48 |

| 2025-06-12 | 49.23 |

| 2025-06-11 | 48.96 |

| 2025-06-10 | 48.69 |

| 2025-06-09 | 48.39 |

| 2025-06-06 | 48.04 |

| 2025-06-05 | 47.74 |

| 2025-06-04 | 47.44 |

| 2025-06-03 | 47.15 |

| 2025-06-02 | 46.88 |

RSI values for WDC in the past 14 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-13 | 72.22 |

| 2025-06-12 | 72.79 |

| 2025-06-11 | 72.51 |

| 2025-06-10 | 74.32 |

| 2025-06-09 | 81.52 |

| 2025-06-06 | 78.70 |

| 2025-06-05 | 77.91 |

| 2025-06-04 | 76.66 |

| 2025-06-03 | 75.27 |

| 2025-06-02 | 71.50 |

Money Flow Index (MFI) for WDC over the last 20 days:

Latest MFI: 62.16

| Date | MFI | Money Flow | Money Flow Ratio | Negative Flow | Positive Flow | Typical Price |

|--------|--------|----------|----------------|-------------|-------------|-------------|

| 2025-06-13 | 62.16 | 586021020.59 | 1.64 | 586021020.59 | 0.00 | 55.52 |

| 2025-06-12 | 70.32 | 200841748.23 | 2.37 | 200841748.23 | 0.00 | 55.65 |

| 2025-06-11 | 74.39 | 246582553.31 | 2.91 | 246582553.31 | 0.00 | 55.90 |

| 2025-06-10 | 78.62 | 403587923.30 | 3.68 | 403587923.30 | 0.00 | 56.30 |

| 2025-06-09 | 84.45 | 372383651.00 | 5.43 | 0.00 | 372383651.00 | 56.85 |

| 2025-06-06 | 80.69 | 332563665.21 | 4.18 | 0.00 | 332563665.21 | 55.87 |

| 2025-06-05 | 80.40 | 603543243.91 | 4.10 | 0.00 | 603543243.91 | 54.96 |

| 2025-06-04 | 74.09 | 256981111.76 | 2.86 | 0.00 | 256981111.76 | 54.22 |

| 2025-06-03 | 70.32 | 299184142.29 | 2.37 | 0.00 | 299184142.29 | 53.09 |

| 2025-06-02 | 70.50 | 218429092.17 | 2.39 | 0.00 | 218429092.17 | 51.83 |

| 2025-05-30 | 71.21 | 382283910.18 | 2.47 | 382283910.18 | 0.00 | 51.64 |

| 2025-05-29 | 77.42 | 240119060.30 | 3.43 | 0.00 | 240119060.30 | 52.53 |

| 2025-05-28 | 78.92 | 353773381.94 | 3.74 | 0.00 | 353773381.94 | 52.16 |

| 2025-05-27 | 78.68 | 327527743.29 | 3.69 | 0.00 | 327527743.29 | 51.38 |

| 2025-05-23 | 78.40 | 286799568.60 | 3.63 | 286799568.60 | 0.00 | 49.76 |

| 2025-05-22 | 82.44 | 290010828.88 | 4.69 | 0.00 | 290010828.88 | 49.98 |

| 2025-05-21 | 82.29 | 363456892.77 | 4.65 | 363456892.77 | 0.00 | 49.93 |

| 2025-05-20 | 87.66 | 250277374.14 | 7.10 | 0.00 | 250277374.14 | 50.76 |

| 2025-05-19 | 87.53 | 264617920.16 | 7.02 | 0.00 | 264617920.16 | 50.09 |

| 2025-05-16 | 83.60 | 246989422.92 | 5.10 | 0.00 | 246989422.92 | 49.84 |

| 2025-05-15 | 82.92 | 407119264.29 | 4.85 | 0.00 | 407119264.29 | 49.35 |

Bollinger lower and higher band for WDC, calculated for the past 20 days

Number of Standard Deviations: 2

Latest Close: 55.7

Latest SMA: 52.95

Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 47.95

Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 57.95

Volume and volume ratio for WDC:

Last 30 days average volume: 6450433.33

Today's volume: 10554500

Volume Ratio: 1.64

Support levels for WDC in the last 200 days:

Last Low: 28.78 on 2025-04-07

Last High: 57.46 on 2025-06-09

Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 50.69, 38.2%: 46.5, 50.0%: 43.12, 61.8%: 39.73, 78.6%: 34.91

Resonance Supports:

Short interest data for WDC in the past 5 months:

| Report Date | avg_daily_volume | days_to_cover | short_interest |

|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|

| 2025-05-30 | 5828725 | 5.38 | 31355996 |

| 2025-05-15 | 7190787 | 4.44 | 31906353 |

| 2025-04-30 | 6967184 | 4.28 | 29812134 |

| 2025-04-15 | 13083274 | 2.33 | 30480445 |

| 2025-03-31 | 5980494 | 5.39 | 32213986 |

| 2025-03-14 | 9006055 | 3.72 | 33483340 |

| 2025-02-28 | 9358656 | 3.43 | 32123617 |

| 2025-02-14 | 6210326 | 4.76 | 29571941 |

| 2025-01-31 | 8246333 | 2.93 | 24194111 |

| 2025-01-15 | 4731081 | 4.62 | 21868285 |

Current VIX: 20.01, VIX percentile: 50.0%

Close Price: 55.70

news report

News and sentiment report for WDC as of 2025-06-16:

There are 54 articles found for WDC for the last 30 days.

Peer news results as a comparison:

IONQ: 212 articles found.

HPE: 415 articles found.

AAPL: 822 articles found.

MKSI: 13 articles found.

HPQ: 61 articles found.

AMAT: 152 articles found.

SMCI: 114 articles found.

SNDK: 3 articles found.

DBD: 32 articles found.

NTAP: 47 articles found.

Detailed Sentiment Analysis based on 10 WDC news articles:

Title: Storage Systems Market worth $130.4 billion by 2032, booming at 9.8% CAGR, Coherent Market Insights

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2025-05-29T15:00:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: The article lists Western Digital Corporation as one of the key companies in the global storage systems market, but does not provide any further details about the company's performance or initiatives.

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/05/29/3090542/0/en/Storage-Systems-Market-worth-130-4-billion-by-2032-booming-at-9-8-CAGR-Coherent-Market-Insights.html

Title: Stocks Rebound, Chipmakers Soar On Trade Deal Hopes, Bitcoin Lags: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

Publisher: Benzinga

Published: 2025-04-08T17:22:10Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Western Digital Corp. is mentioned as one of the top winners on Tuesday, gaining 5.77%.

URL: https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44697600/stocks-rebound-chipmakers-soar-on-trade-deal-hopes-bitcoin-lags-whats-driving-mar

Title: Memristor Market to surpass USD 9.5 billion by 2032, Says Global Market Insights inc.

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2025-01-23T10:00:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: The article mentions Western Digital Corporation as one of the companies working in the memristor industry, but does not provide any specific information about the company's performance or outlook.

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/01/23/3014064/0/en/Memristor-Market-to-surpass-USD-9-5-billion-by-2032-Says-Global-Market-Insights-inc.html

Title: Applied Materials Announces New Collaboration Model for Advanced Packaging at Summit on Energy-Efficient Computing

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2024-11-19T07:30:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: The article mentions Western Digital as one of the companies that participated in the summit, but does not provide any additional information about the company.

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/11/19/2983290/0/en/Applied-Materials-Announces-New-Collaboration-Model-for-Advanced-Packaging-at-Summit-on-Energy-Efficient-Computing.html

Title: UAE External Hard Drive Market Forecast Report, 2024-2029: Smart City Vision and Growing Tech Sector Fuel Dubai's Expanding Market for High-Performance External Hard Drives

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2024-11-15T12:56:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Western Digital is also mentioned as one of the key companies in the UAE external hard drive market, suggesting its competitive position and ability to capitalize on the market's expansion.

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/11/15/2981953/28124/en/UAE-External-Hard-Drive-Market-Forecast-Report-2024-2029-Smart-City-Vision-and-Growing-Tech-Sector-Fuel-Dubai-s-Expanding-Market-for-High-Performance-External-Hard-Drives.html

Title: Will Seagate Continue to Gain From Increasing Mass Capacity Demand?

Publisher: Benzinga

Published: 2024-10-11T17:11:26Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The article notes that Western Digital is well-positioned to gain from continued momentum in its HDD and Flash businesses, particularly in the cloud end market.

URL: https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41278436/will-seagate-continue-to-gain-from-increasing-mass-capacity-demand

Title: Network Attached Storage Market Size to Reach USD 162.74 Billion by 2033 | Straits Research

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2024-10-07T17:30:00Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: The article does not provide any specific information about Western Digital Corp.'s performance or outlook in the network attached storage market.

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/10/07/2959230/0/en/Network-Attached-Storage-Market-Size-to-Reach-USD-162-74-Billion-by-2033-Straits-Research.html

Title: Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights NetApp, Western Digital and Pure Storage

Publisher: Zacks Investment Research

Published: 2024-07-31T09:24:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: Western Digital is well-positioned to gain from upward revenue trends across HDD and Flash businesses. An uptick in ASP pricing and improving demand for its nearline HDD offerings, especially SMR drives, is a tailwind.

URL: https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2312573/zacks-industry-outlook-highlights-netapp-western-digital-and-pure-storage?cid=CS-ZC-FT-press_releases-2312573

Title: Global Streaming Media Device Market Size To Worth USD 48.32 Billion By 2033 l CAGR Of 13.47% - GlobeNewswire

Publisher: GlobeNewswire Inc.

Published: 2024-07-19T07:02:11Z

Sentiment: neutral

Reasoning: The article mentions Western Digital as one of the companies covered, but does not provide any additional information about the company's performance or outlook.

URL: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/07/19/2915733/0/en/Global-Streaming-Media-Device-Market-Size-To-Worth-USD-48-32-Billion-By-2033-l-CAGR-Of-13-47.html

Title: Why I Sold These 7 Stocks: A Stock Portfolio Spring Cleaning - The Motley Fool

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Published: 2024-07-13T11:41:00Z

Sentiment: positive

Reasoning: The author closed out their Western Digital position, which provided an 87% total return, but the broader market outperformed the stock.

URL: https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/07/13/why-i-sold-7-stocks-this-week/

Out of the total 10 articles,

There are 5 articles with positive sentiment, and

0 articles with negative sentiment. Remaining articles are neutral.

final report

Recommendation: Neutral (Hold for Existing Positions, Avoid New Buys)

Reasoning:

Financial:

  • Earnings: WDC has shown significant improvement in EPS over the last 8 quarters, moving from losses (-$1.98 in Q2 2023) to profitability ($1.36 in Q1 2025). However, the P/E ratio (19.08) is higher than the sector average (10.24), suggesting the stock may be overvalued relative to peers.

  • Management Sentiment: Mixed, with CFO sentiment slightly negative (0.35) and CEO sentiment neutral (0.48). This indicates cautious internal outlooks.

  • Taiwan War Risk: A conflict in Taiwan would severely disrupt semiconductor supply chains, directly impacting WDC (which relies on Asian manufacturing). This is a major downside risk not yet priced in.

Technical:

  • Overbought Conditions: RSI (72.22) and MFI (62.16) suggest the stock is overbought in the short term.

  • MACD Turning Negative: The MACD histogram has flipped negative (-0.06), signaling potential short-term bearish momentum.

  • Bollinger Bands: Price ($55.70) is near the upper band ($57.95), indicating limited upside before a pullback.

  • Volume Spike: Today’s volume is 64% higher than average, which could signal distribution (smart money selling).

News:

  • Sentiment is Mostly Neutral/Positive, with mentions of WDC benefiting from storage market growth. However, no major catalysts are present to justify further upside.

  • Taiwan Conflict Risk: No news directly addresses this, but if tensions escalate, WDC could face supply chain disruptions and demand destruction.


Strategy to Minimize Risk:

  1. Capital Allocation: Avoid new buys until geopolitical risks clarify. If holding, limit exposure to ≤5% of portfolio.

  2. Entry Price: Only consider buying on a pullback to $50.69 (23.6% Fibonacci level) or below.

  3. Stop-Loss: If holding, set a stop-loss at $47.95 (Bollinger lower band) to limit downside.

  4. Profit Targets:

  • Short-term (1-3 months): Take profits at $57.95 (upper Bollinger band) if resistance holds.

  • Long-term (6+ months): Reassess if Taiwan risks subside and EPS growth continues.

  1. Time Horizon: Short-term cautious (1-3 months), long-term depends on macro stability.

Final Notes:

  • Geopolitical Risk is the Biggest Threat: A Taiwan war would likely crash WDC’s stock due to supply chain reliance. Monitor China-Taiwan tensions closely.

  • Wait for Better Valuation: The stock is overbought and overvalued vs. peers—better entry points likely ahead.

  • Earnings Watch: Next earnings report could shift sentiment, but management’s neutral tone suggests no major surprises.

Conclusion: Hold if already invested, but avoid new positions until risks clear. If Taiwan tensions escalate, prepare to sell aggressively.