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QQQ 2025-06-21

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Symbol

QQQ

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Technical Report

----ETF performance for QQQ----

QQQ performance in the past 5 days: -0.02%

QQQ performance in the past 30 days: 7.89%

QQQ performance in the past 90 days: -0.07%

QQQ performance in the past 200 days: 14.59%

----Technical Indicators Summary for QQQ as of 2025-06-21----

MACD values for QQQ in the past 14 days:

| Date | histogram | macd | signal |

|--------|---------|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-20 | -1.83 | 7.84 | 9.67 |

| 2025-06-18 | -1.52 | 8.61 | 10.13 |

| 2025-06-17 | -1.28 | 9.23 | 10.51 |

| 2025-06-16 | -0.94 | 9.89 | 10.83 |

| 2025-06-13 | -1.01 | 10.05 | 11.06 |

| 2025-06-12 | -0.45 | 10.86 | 11.32 |

| 2025-06-11 | -0.38 | 11.06 | 11.43 |

| 2025-06-10 | -0.26 | 11.27 | 11.52 |

| 2025-06-09 | -0.40 | 11.19 | 11.59 |

| 2025-06-06 | -0.40 | 11.29 | 11.69 |

EMA values for QQQ with a window of 50 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-20 | 509.32 |

| 2025-06-18 | 508.61 |

| 2025-06-17 | 507.78 |

| 2025-06-16 | 506.91 |

| 2025-06-13 | 505.79 |

| 2025-06-12 | 504.93 |

| 2025-06-11 | 503.75 |

| 2025-06-10 | 502.59 |

| 2025-06-09 | 501.29 |

| 2025-06-06 | 500.09 |

EMA values for QQQ with a window of 200 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-20 | 492.99 |

| 2025-06-18 | 492.65 |

| 2025-06-17 | 492.29 |

| 2025-06-16 | 491.92 |

| 2025-06-13 | 491.49 |

| 2025-06-12 | 491.13 |

| 2025-06-11 | 490.71 |

| 2025-06-10 | 490.29 |

| 2025-06-09 | 489.85 |

| 2025-06-06 | 489.43 |

RSI values for QQQ in the past 14 days:

| Date | Value |

|--------|--------|

| 2025-06-20 | 57.02 |

| 2025-06-18 | 59.36 |

| 2025-06-17 | 59.45 |

| 2025-06-16 | 65.01 |

| 2025-06-13 | 60.14 |

| 2025-06-12 | 68.20 |

| 2025-06-11 | 67.44 |

| 2025-06-10 | 69.65 |

| 2025-06-09 | 67.74 |

| 2025-06-06 | 67.31 |

Money Flow Index (MFI) for QQQ over the last 20 days:

Latest MFI: 50.69

| Date | MFI | Money Flow Ratio | Typical Price |

|--------|--------|----------------|-------------|

| 2025-06-20 | 50.69 | 1.03 | 528.42 |

| 2025-06-18 | 50.27 | 1.01 | 529.65 |

| 2025-06-17 | 50.39 | 1.02 | 530.11 |

| 2025-06-16 | 49.91 | 1.00 | 533.37 |

| 2025-06-13 | 50.40 | 1.02 | 528.19 |

| 2025-06-12 | 55.75 | 1.26 | 533.05 |

| 2025-06-11 | 59.73 | 1.48 | 533.10 |

| 2025-06-10 | 59.63 | 1.48 | 532.67 |

| 2025-06-09 | 59.72 | 1.48 | 530.69 |

| 2025-06-06 | 59.39 | 1.46 | 529.98 |

| 2025-06-05 | 59.14 | 1.45 | 526.83 |

| 2025-06-04 | 64.39 | 1.81 | 528.19 |

| 2025-06-03 | 60.79 | 1.55 | 526.24 |

| 2025-06-02 | 57.22 | 1.34 | 520.88 |

| 2025-05-30 | 56.85 | 1.32 | 517.24 |

| 2025-05-29 | 63.00 | 1.70 | 521.24 |

| 2025-05-28 | 57.54 | 1.36 | 520.33 |

| 2025-05-27 | 56.63 | 1.31 | 519.17 |

| 2025-05-23 | 55.77 | 1.26 | 508.89 |

| 2025-05-22 | 61.47 | 1.60 | 514.67 |

| 2025-05-21 | 65.84 | 1.93 | 515.76 |

Bollinger lower and higher band for QQQ, calculated for the past 20 days

Number of Standard Deviations: 2

Latest Close: 526.83

Latest SMA: 525.68

Latest Bollinger Lower Band: 511.97

Latest Bollinger Higher Band: 539.38

Volume and volume ratio for QQQ:

Last 30 days average volume: 48288406.67

Today's volume: 61572200

Volume Ratio: 1.28

Support levels for QQQ in the last 200 days:

Last Low: 402.39 on 2025-04-07

Last High: 536.78 on 2025-06-11

Fibonacci Levels: 23.6%: 505.06, 38.2%: 485.44, 50.0%: 469.59, 61.8%: 453.73, 78.6%: 431.15

Resonance Supports: No resonance supports —— fib support levels are not within ±3% range of the recent low.

Short interest data for QQQ in the past 5 months:

| Report Date | Avg Daily Volume | Days to Cover | Short Interest |

|-----------|----------------|-------------|--------------|

| 2025-05-30 | 54734827 | 1.00 | 53945902 |

| 2025-05-15 | 40301923 | 1.40 | 56234402 |

| 2025-04-30 | 44025547 | 1.18 | 51751949 |

| 2025-04-15 | 83413099 | 1.00 | 47407003 |

| 2025-03-31 | 38731453 | 1.21 | 46756211 |

| 2025-03-14 | 54956208 | 1.00 | 54794733 |

| 2025-02-28 | 37328295 | 1.25 | 46700131 |

| 2025-02-14 | 24667692 | 1.94 | 47961239 |

| 2025-01-31 | 33164323 | 1.52 | 50321708 |

| 2025-01-15 | 34796885 | 1.37 | 47799340 |

Close Price as of 2025-06-21: 526.83

Final Report

ETF Technical Analysis: QQQ (as of 2025-06-21)

1. Performance Summary

  • 5-day: -0.02% (Neutral)

  • 30-day: +7.89% (Strong Bullish Momentum)

  • 90-day: -0.07% (Sideways Consolidation)

  • 200-day: +14.59% (Long-Term Uptrend Intact)

Trend Assessment:

  • Short-term consolidation after a strong 30-day rally.

  • Long-term trend remains bullish, but recent weakness in MACD suggests caution.

2. Technical Indicator Breakdown

Trend Analysis (EMA 50 vs. EMA 200)

  • EMA 50 (509.32) > EMA 200 (492.99) → Bullish Golden Cross still in place.

  • However, MACD histogram is negative (-1.83) and declining, signaling weakening momentum.

Momentum (RSI & MACD)

  • RSI at 57.02 (Neutral, cooling from recent overbought levels).

  • MACD (7.84) below Signal Line (9.67) → Bearish crossover forming.

Volatility (Bollinger Bands)

  • Bollinger Bands widening (Higher Band: 539.38, Lower Band: 511.97).

  • Current price (~526.83) near the middle band, suggesting neutral volatility.

Volume & Liquidity

  • Volume Ratio: 1.28x (Above-average volume, but not extreme).

  • Short Interest: Days to cover at 1.00, indicating low short-squeeze risk.

Support/Resistance Levels

  • Immediate Support: 505.06 (23.6% Fibonacci level).

  • Strong Support: 485.44 (38.2% Fib).

  • Resistance: 536.78 (Recent High).

3. Risk Assessment

Downside Risks:

  • MACD bearish divergence (Potential trend reversal).

  • RSI cooling from overbought, suggesting short-term pullback.

  • Volume not confirming breakout (No extreme buying pressure).

Upside Potential:

  • EMA 50 > EMA 200 (Long-term bullish structure).

  • Holding above 505 support could lead to another rally.

Market Context:

  • Tech sector (QQQ-heavy) sensitive to Fed policy and earnings.

  • Watch for macroeconomic shifts (inflation, interest rates).

4. Recommendation: Hold (Neutral Bias, Await Confirmation)

  • Not a strong buy yet due to weakening momentum.

  • Not a sell yet because long-term trend remains intact.

Ideal Entry:

  • Near $505 (23.6% Fib support) for lower-risk entry.

Stop-Loss:

  • Below $485 (38.2% Fib level) to protect against deeper correction.

Take-Profit Targets:

  • First Target: $536 (Recent High)

  • Second Target: $550 (Psychological Resistance)

5. Final Warning & Disclaimer

⚠️ "Past performance ≠ future results."

⚠️ "ETFs carry market risk; diversify accordingly."

⚠️ "Consult a financial advisor before investing."

Key Watchlist Items:

  • MACD crossover confirmation (bullish/bearish).

  • Volume trends (institutional accumulation/distribution).

  • Fed policy & tech earnings reports.

Final Thought:

QQQ is in a bullish consolidation phase. Wait for either a break above $536 (bullish continuation) or a drop below $505 (bearish warning) before taking aggressive action.